• Title/Summary/Keyword: the autoregressive distributed lag scheme

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Medical Tourism Industry in Kangwon Province and Its Economic Impacts on the Region

  • Zhu, Yan Hua;Kang, Joo Hoon;Jung, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2014
  • This paper has two purposes. The first is to suggest the new and simple method to derive a regional input-output model from the national input-output table published by the Bank of Korea. The interregional input-output table has not been devised in spite of its potential use while the national table has been made every five years with the revised version during each five years. Second, this paper aims to derive Kangwon interregional input-output model from the national model using the regional supply proportion of industry and to analyze the effect of medical tourism industry on the regional economy of Kangwon Province. The paper measures, in particular, the effect of medical tourism industry on the financial self-sufficiency of Kangwon Province using the estimated output elasticity of tax revenue with the autoregressive distributed lag scheme ADL(1,1) in which the dependent variable and the single explanatory variable are each lagged once.

An Empirical Analysis on the Determinants for Industrial Markup in the Korean Service Industries Using the ADL Scheme (자기회귀모형을 이용한 서비스산업의 마크업 결정요인에 관한 실증분석)

  • Hua, Zhu Yan;Park, Sehoon;Jung, Yong Sik
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2014
  • Since markup is defined as price over marginal cost by Hall(1988), the New Keynesians have intensively applied its definition in elucidating the relationship between market structure and business cycle. In lots of literatures markups proved to be counter cyclical empirically and theoretically. At the same time many studies analysed the determinants for markup in relation with business cycles. This paper establishes the markup equation based on the constant returns to scale production function including intermediate goods with technology being assumed to be AR(1) process and estimates the industrial markups in the Korean 5 service industries over the period 1975:1-2010:4. The paper also analyzed the markup determinants using the autoregressive distributed lag scheme ADL(1,1) in which the dependent variable and the single explanatory variable are each lagged once.

Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Input Factor Prices on the Export Performance in Korean Manufacturing Industries (생산요소가격 변동과 제조산업의 수출성과에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kang, Joo Hoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of the paper is to suggest the empirical evidences for the effects of factor prices on the export performance in the Korean manufacturing industries during the period 1975:1-2016:4. The paper is to set up the error correction model derived from the autoregressive distributed lag scheme and to estimate the factor price elasticities of export in the 8 manufacturing industries. The real wage, interest and import price index elasticities of export all were estimated to be statistically significant at 1% level in the most industries with showing negative signs as expected. And the real wage elasticity proved to likely be smaller as the industries become more capital-intensive while the import price index elasticity tended to become larger in industries with larger ratio of imported intermediate goods to output. The empirical results suggest that the declines in input factor prices since the foreign exchange crisis in the end of 1997 have positive effects on the export performance in the Korean manufacturing industries.