• Title/Summary/Keyword: the Korean financial crisis

Search Result 512, Processing Time 0.108 seconds

The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Korea during the Global Financial Crisis (금융위기에 대응한 확장적 재정정책의 효과성 분석)

  • Kim, SeongTae
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.27-68
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study outlines measures related to fiscal policies aimed at responding to the financial crisis according to the timing of commencement and then examines impacts of expansionary fiscal policies on macro variables so as to extract policy implications. The size of expansionary fiscal policy to respond to the financial crisis is found to total 59.8 trillion won (6.1% of GDP in 2007), among which a total of 30.5 trillion won was the increased fiscal expenditure made by the 2008 supplementary budget, the 2009 revised budget and the 2009 supplementary budget. In addition, tax reductions are found to be a total of 29.3 trillion won, mainly driven by the tax reforms in 2008 and 2009. Examining dynamic changes in macro variables caused by the temporary increase in fiscal expenditure and the tax reductions reveals that the increase effect of the real GDP growth rate brought by a temporary rise in fiscal expenditure excluding tax reduction effects turned out to be 1.1%p in 2009 and 0.3%p in 2010, compared to the period without the increase in fiscal expenditure. Meanwhile, when taking into account the effect of expansionary fiscal policies including tax reduction effects, the increase effect of real GDP turns out to be much higher. In the case of 2009, the real GDP rose additionally by 1.9%p, in which 1.1%p by the increase in fiscal expenditure and 0.8%p by tax reduction. Based on these results, the expansionary fiscal policy conducted during the financial crisis since the second half of 2008 can be seen to have played a significant role in helping the Korean economy post a higher-than-anticipated recovery pace from the economic slowdown triggered by the crisis.

  • PDF

An Analysis on Mutual Shock Spillover Effects among Interest Rates, Foreign Exchange Rates, and Stock Market Returns in Korea (한국에서의 금리, 환율, 주가의 상호 충격전이 효과 분석)

  • Kim, Byoung Joon
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.3-22
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this study, I examine mutual shock spillover effects among interest rate differences, won-dollar foreign exchange change rates, and stock market returns in Korea during the daily sample period from the beginning of 1995 to the October 16, 2015, using the multivariate GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) BEKK (Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner) model framework. Major findings are as follows. Throughout the 6 model estimation results of variance equations determining return spillovers covered from symmetric and asymmetric models of total sample period and two crisis sub-sample periods composed of Korean FX Crisis Times and Global Financial Crisis Times, shock spillovers are shown to exist mainly from stock market return shocks. Stock market shocks including down-shocks from the asymmetric models are shown to transfer to those other two markets most successfully. Therefore it is most important to maintain stable financial markets that a policy design for stock market stabilization such as mitigating stock market volatility.

A Test on the Pecking Order Theory of Financing : Considering Chaebol Affiliation

  • Lee, Jang-Woo;Hurr, Hee-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.63-91
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper tests the validity of pecking order theory by Myers(1977) and Myers and Majluf(1984) on Korean manufacturing firms listed in the KRX for the years of 1994 to 2003. We also want to see if there is any difference in financing behavior between chaebol affiliated firms and non-chaebol affiliated firms. We develop testable hypotheses from the idea that established relationship between bank and firm mitigates the problem of information asymmetry (Kang and Lim, 2001), and thus makes it easier for firms to raise funds through banks. The test result of the first stage shows that firms prefer cash reserves to debt financing, and prefer debt to equity. Chaebol affiliated firms are found to behave as if they already exploit internal capital markets. The second stage of the test carried out by dividing debt capital into bank loans and corporate bonds also shows a consistent pattern of financing behavior. Firms are testified to prefer cash to bank loans, bank loans to corporate bonds, and corporate bonds to equity. In this case chaebol affiliation seems to make firms behave as if they already establish internal capital markets. Further analysis shows that some, though not in every case, difference of ordering around the occasion of Korean financial crisis exists. It may be from the change of attitude of Korean firms to risk, or from weakened influence of internal capital market along with strengthened market power in the post-crisis period.

  • PDF

The Association Between Accounting Conservatism and Corporate Investment Expenditure in Korean Listed Firms During the Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기가 한국 기업의 투자지출에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증적 분석: 회계보수주의를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Byoung Ho
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.121-148
    • /
    • 2018
  • This paper examines the role of accounting conservatism on investment expenditure for non-financial Korean listed firms around the 2007-2008 global financial crisis using a differences-in-differences design. Specifically, this paper examines the association between an ex ante classification of firms by their level of accounting conservatism prior to the credit crisis and the ex post magnitude of the decline in investment. Consistent with prior literature, this study found that firms experienced a decline in their investment when hit by the financial crisis (Campello et al. 2010). And also this study found that firms with more conservative financial reporting experienced a smaller decline in investment activity following the financial crisis than did firms with less conservative financial reporting. Together, the results suggest that negative shocks to the supply of external finance hampers firm-level investment and that conservative financial reporting can lessen the sensitivity of firms' investment to such negative shocks. Next, this study shows that the magnitude of our findings is greater for firms more likely to suffer from underinvestment (as opposed to overinvestment). Firms that are financially constrained or have greater demand for external finance are more likely to experience underinvestment. Consistent with the predictions, this study finds stronger benefits of conservatism for firms that face relatively greater costs in raising external capital (i.e., financially constrained firms) or that have a relatively greater need to do so (i.e., firms that lack internal financial resources). This study also finds that the role for conservatism is greater in firms with a higher level of information asymmetry, consistent with the notion that conservatism mitigates financing frictions arising from information problems.

The Productivity Trend and the Effect of the Corporate Education & Training after Financial Crisis - A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis using the Listed Manufacturing Companies' Data - (외환위기 이후 생산성 추이와 교육훈련효과 - 상장제조기업 자료를 이용한 동적 패널 분석 -)

  • Ban, Ga Woon
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.95-124
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this article, I were trying to analyze the listed manufacturing companies' trend of productivity and the corporate education & training effect after the financial crisis. According to the analysis, the listed manufacturing companies have decreased their productivity since financial crisis, and from such declining trend. jobless growth and a growth without physical and human capital investment has been observed. Furthermore, there is no efficient labor force coordination within the manufacturing industry; In order to analyze the effect of education & training investment on productivity more deeply, I have practiced the dynamic panel data analysis from constructing the micro panel data which consists of company level information 1997~2008. According to the consequences, dynamic panel data analysis solved the problem of the overestimating education & training effect fairly well.

  • PDF

Are Korean Industry-Sorted Portfolios Mean Reverting?

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.169-190
    • /
    • 2016
  • This paper tests the weak-form efficient market hypothesis for Korean industry-sorted portfolios. Based on a panel variance ratio approach, we find significant mean reversion of stock returns over long horizons in the pre Asian currency crisis period but little evidence in the post-crisis period. Our empirical findings are consistent with the fact that Korea accelerated its integration with international financial market by implementing extensive capital liberalization since the crisis.

The Implications of Simultaneous Capital Stop and Retrenchment during Financial Crises

  • Suh, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
    • /
    • v.24 no.7
    • /
    • pp.38-53
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose - A financial crash triggers asset fire sales by foreign investors and, as a consequence, the price of domestic assets severely decreases. Domestic investors take advantage of these low prices by replacing foreign assets with domestic assets, which helps to alleviate the liquidity shock caused by foreigners. However, is the amount of capital retrenchment by domestic investors sufficient to protect the Korean economy from capital stop by foreign investors during financial crisis? This paper answers this question and suggests the implications of this phenomenon for the Korean economy. Design/methodology - We estimate the associations between capital stop and retrenchment and various financial crises such as banking, currency, debt, and inflation crises using the complementary log-log model. Specifically, we use data of gross capital flows to differentiate between the role of foreign and domestic investors in financial markets. Capital stop and retrenchment designate a sharp decrease in gross capital inflows and outflows, respectively. Findings - Capital stop is significantly associated with financial crises, especially currency and debt crises. This implies that increased risk aversion during times of financial turmoil encourages foreign investors to retrench their investments, worsening liquidity shocks. Conversely, capital retrenchment is not significantly associated with such crises. The results show that, although financial crises reduce gross capital outflows, the reduction is not as large as that with capital inflows. Originality/value - The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, this study investigates how domestic investors behave during times of financial distress by studying gross capital flows-not net capital flows. Second, we concentrate on sharp changes in capital flows during crises. Third, we examine the associations between capital stop and retrenchment and financial crises in general, not specific events.

Groping for Growth Strategy of Savings Bank as a result of signing the Korea-U.S. FTA (한.미 FTA 체결에 따른 저축은행의 성장전략 모색)

  • Lee, Hyun-Sik
    • International Commerce and Information Review
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.265-290
    • /
    • 2008
  • Domestic industries are facing the open era as a result of signing the Korea-U.S. FTA with no exception to the financial industry. The FFA between two countries is expected to produce pros and cons for domestic financial industry. Therefore, it is very important to minimize the shock caused by opening our financial market and to adopt the advanced financial tools actively. Signing the Korea-U.S. FTA and enforcing the Integration Law of Capital Market are leading a big crisis to the Savings Banks which have been shrinking under the dramatically changing domestic financial environment since the financial crisis. To cope with financial globalization, Korean Savings Banks are demanded to build up their concrete identity and reposition their status. This is related to shaping the long-term position of domestic financial industry. Therefore, the Savings Banks must take the growth strategy for their survival, and it is an inescapable choice. Several options are available: big scale operation and diversification of business functions, reinforcement of local-focused mediating function of funds, establishment of strategic alliance with other financial firms, reinforcement of risk management system and core competence, nourishment and employment of professional manpower, and active deregulation and policy support. When the Savings Banks are refurbished as an independent local bank performing the central role of local finance, the bright future can be their destiny under the enormously changing global financial environment. Also, two more conditions need to be satisfied: to establish horizontal networks among local banks directed by cooperative Korea Federation of Savings Banks to reverse the weak scale position, and to satisfy their own peculiar niche market with internal countermeasure to face global financial networks.

  • PDF

A Study on solution for strategic profit of KORAIL via MICE industry (MICE산업을 통한 KORAIL의 전략적 수익 창출 방안 연구)

  • Ku, Suk-Kyeong;Ko, Eun-Hee;Lee, In-Kyeong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2010.06a
    • /
    • pp.408-414
    • /
    • 2010
  • G20 summit is expected to be held in seoul this coming Nov. 2010 which is a typical case of international meeting in MICE industries have been rising in the world and can be considered as a new marketing paradigm. since IMF crisis in 1997 in korea via financial leeman turmoil in the wall street caused ruins of the middle class as financial resources of korea. it's like saying that we need to look for another practical marketing way not mass marketing any more to get through this comprehensive financial crisis. in this study, we are going to find out new marketing way using MICE industires.

  • PDF

Economic Crisis and Intergenerational Economy: Lessons from Korea's 1997~98 Economic Crisis (경제위기와 세대 간 경제: 1997~98년 경제위기의 교훈)

  • An, Chong-Bum;Lee, Sang-Hyop;Hwang, Namhui
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-49
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper provides insight into some important features of the intergenerational resource allocation in Korea, before and after the financial crisis in 1997-98. Data sets of three periods before and after the financial crisis (1996, 2000, and 2005) were used to compare the results. This research particularly addresses two related issues: i) the generational effects of economic crisis, and ii) the capacity of age reallocation systems to spread economic risks across generations. The results show tremendous consumption smoothing and resource reallocation by age, during and after the financial crisis. Private education and private health consumption decreased for children between 1996 and 2000. However, the decrease in private education and private health consumption was mitigated by the increase in public consumption. It appears that the public sector did not only mitigate the adverse impact of the economic crisis on consumption, but it also reduced the widening disparity amongst generations. Within transfers, the public transfers for the elderly increased substantially as the private transfers decreased rapidly. Finally, there was a big increase in the asset-based reallocation of the elderly. The increase in asset-based reallocation was mainly due to an increase in asset income between 1996 and 2000, but it was almost entirely due to a decrease in saving (i.e. an increase in dissaving) between 2000 and 2005. This suggests that Korean elderly seemed to have some degree of supporting system during the crisis, even without sufficient pension benefits. The increased reliance on asset accumulation will be critical in the long-run in Korea, as public pension funds diminish due to population aging.

  • PDF