• Title/Summary/Keyword: the Gulf crisis

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Mediated Public Diplomacy and the Contest Over International Agenda-Building in the Gulf Diplomatic Crisis

  • Albishri, Osama;Lan, Xiaomeng;Kiousis, Spiro
    • Journal of Public Diplomacy
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.57-79
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    • 2021
  • Drawing on the theories of mediated public diplomacy, intermedia agenda-building, and homophily, this study aims to compare the effectiveness of the public diplomacy efforts made by the Saudi and Qatari governments during the Gulf diplomatic crisis. The study examines the respective international agenda-building influence of the state-sponsored media from the two competing Gulf states on the regional and international media's coverage of the crisis. Results show that, compared to Saudisponsored Al Arabiya, Qatari-sponsored Al Jazeera was more effective in shaping the agendas of the regional and international media. Whereas Al Arabiya has a weak first-level agenda-building influence and a moderate-to-strong influence at the second and the third levels, Al Jazeera demonstrates a strong agenda-building influence on the foreign media outlets at all of the three levels. We also analyze the impact of political proximity and the language of the media content (English or Arabic) on the agenda-building relationships. Still, the results suggest that, compared to Al Arabiya, Al Jazeera was more successful in shaping the agendas of the regional and international news media-no matter where they are based in the allied or the opposing countries. Also, we observe a higher level of consistency between Arabic- and English-language content in Al Jazeera.

Financial Stability of GCC Banks in the COVID-19 Crisis: A Simulation Approach

  • AL-KHARUSI, Sami;MURTHY, Sree Rama
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.337-344
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    • 2020
  • Stability and sustainability of the biggest banks in any country are extremely important. When big banks become unstable and vulnerable, they typically stop lending. The resulting credit squeeze pushes the economy into recession or a slow growth path. The present study examines the financial stability and sustainability of the 30 large banks operating in the six Gulf Cooperation Council countries. These banks represent 70% of the GCC banking market. Monte Carlo simulation was attempted assuming that key drivers can vary randomly by twenty percent on either side of the current values. The conclusions are drawn based on 300 simulation trails of the five-year forecast balance and income statement of each bank. Year 2020 is not favorable for the GCC countries because of the COVID-19 pandemic and low oil prices, though the future years may be better. The study identifies several banks, which may become financially unsustainable because the simulations indicate the possibility of negative profitability, unacceptably low capital ratios and potential for heavy credit losses during periods of economic turbulence, which is the current situation due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Through simulation the paper is able to throw light on which factors lead to bank instability and weakness.

Prospects of Development of the Russian Asia Railway System: Geoeconomic Aspect

  • Evgeniy, Kibalov
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.123-125
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    • 2010
  • That Russia is potentially great transport power becomes obvious if look to map of any route. The geographical position of the Russian Federation unequivocally specifies intended by nature the role of geobridge between the countries of Asia-Pacific Region and Europe. However, in construction engineering practice and feasibility study the construction of difficult and strategically important bridges is generally joins in wider concept of bridge crossing. The last includes not only actually the bridge(through the river, gulf, etc.), but also approaches to it, which construction in view of features of a relief and a configuration of new transport communications which have already developed and subject to construction not less difficult technically and not only economically expended, than building of the basic artificial construction.

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A Study on the application of unemployment insurance of flextime system worker (플렉스 타임제(Flextime system) 근로자의 고용보험적용에 관한 연구)

  • Yim Woong-Seok;Kim Hyoung-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.165-179
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    • 2006
  • Flextime system labor problem appeared by social issue going through a late 97s economic crisis. The most important thing among gravity is that act for factor who do to magnify gulf between rich and poor because do so that may polarize labor market at central part and neighborhood and makes preservation of society integration hardly social economy enemy of flextime system worker's spread. Furthermore, new economy surrounding has attribute that deepen uncertainty social bipolarization according as order by 21th century information-oriented society, globalization, knowledge base economy. Therefore, role of the country that control spread of flextime system in fixed level is more important first of all and application of employment insurance may do that have important meaning and social deliquescence.

Water Level Prediction on the Golok River Utilizing Machine Learning Technique to Evaluate Flood Situations

  • Pheeranat Dornpunya;Watanasak Supaking;Hanisah Musor;Oom Thaisawasdi;Wasukree Sae-tia;Theethut Khwankeerati;Watcharaporn Soyjumpa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.31-31
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    • 2023
  • During December 2022, the northeast monsoon, which dominates the south and the Gulf of Thailand, had significant rainfall that impacted the lower southern region, causing flash floods, landslides, blustery winds, and the river exceeding its bank. The Golok River, located in Narathiwat, divides the border between Thailand and Malaysia was also affected by rainfall. In flood management, instruments for measuring precipitation and water level have become important for assessing and forecasting the trend of situations and areas of risk. However, such regions are international borders, so the installed measuring telemetry system cannot measure the rainfall and water level of the entire area. This study aims to predict 72 hours of water level and evaluate the situation as information to support the government in making water management decisions, publicizing them to relevant agencies, and warning citizens during crisis events. This research is applied to machine learning (ML) for water level prediction of the Golok River, Lan Tu Bridge area, Sungai Golok Subdistrict, Su-ngai Golok District, Narathiwat Province, which is one of the major monitored rivers. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, a tree-based ensemble machine learning algorithm, was exploited to predict hourly water levels through the R programming language. Model training and testing were carried out utilizing observed hourly rainfall from the STH010 station and hourly water level data from the X.119A station between 2020 and 2022 as main prediction inputs. Furthermore, this model applies hourly spatial rainfall forecasting data from Weather Research and Forecasting and Regional Ocean Model System models (WRF-ROMs) provided by Hydro-Informatics Institute (HII) as input, allowing the model to predict the hourly water level in the Golok River. The evaluation of the predicted performances using the statistical performance metrics, delivering an R-square of 0.96 can validate the results as robust forecasting outcomes. The result shows that the predicted water level at the X.119A telemetry station (Golok River) is in a steady decline, which relates to the input data of predicted 72-hour rainfall from WRF-ROMs having decreased. In short, the relationship between input and result can be used to evaluate flood situations. Here, the data is contributed to the Operational support to the Special Water Resources Management Operation Center in Southern Thailand for flood preparedness and response to make intelligent decisions on water management during crisis occurrences, as well as to be prepared and prevent loss and harm to citizens.

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Policy Suggestions for the Security of Korean Energy Maritime Logistics (우리나라 에너지 해상 물류의 현황과 위협에 대한 정책제언)

  • Jon, Joon-Soo;Cho, Yong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.111-135
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this article is to understand the present situation of energy maritime logistics and to suggest a safe way for maritime transportation. In addition, this study is going to assess the risk of maritime transport of energy and propose alternatives in terms of strategy and policy. We examine the security of the Strait of Hormuz, near the east coast of Somalia, the Gulf of Aden and the Strait of Malacca where the Korean tankers pass through and discuss countermeasures responding to a variety of dangerous situations. This article also provides plans for stable supply of energy in case of Korea peninsula crisis and emphasizes the need of establishing cooperation with neighbor countries.