• 제목/요약/키워드: the Great Recession

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경기 대침체 이후 가계의 부채상환 문제 (Effects of the Great Recession on Debt Repayment Problems of Hispanic Households in the United States)

  • 이종희
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.275-287
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    • 2017
  • The recent Great Recession of 2008 was a period of sharp economic decline throughout the late 2000s. All socio-demographic groups were impacted by the economic downturn, however, Hispanic households were particularly hard hit. It is not a recent phenomenon that minority groups often have greater problems related to credit and debt repayments. A better understanding of these racial/ethnic differences in credit and debt has been hindered by the propensity of many studies to pool all racial/ethnic minorities together and compare them to white households. Using a Heckman-type selection model with a combination of the 2010 and 2013 Survey of Consumer Finances datasets to study household debt repayment problems, we found that racial/ethnic groups have been differently impacted by the recent Great Recession in terms of debt repayment problems. Hispanic households were less likely to hold debt; however, those with debt were just as likely as white households and African American households to be delinquent in repayments. This finding is contrary to prior research that indicated Hispanics with debt were less likely than white and African American households to be delinquent on repayments prior to the Great Recession of 2008. We propose possible explanations for the increase in debt repayment problems, that includes increased assimilation into the U.S. culture of credit use, the circumstance of being more recent home buyers prior to the decline, and living in states that suffered the greatest decline in housing value.

How to Recover From the Great Recession: The Case of a Two-Sector Small Open Economy with Traded and Non-Traded Capital

  • Jeon, Jong-Kyou
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.161-206
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    • 2013
  • Since the global financial crisis in 2008, the world economy has been suffering from the Great Recession characterized by high and persistent unemployment as well as drastic fall in asset prices. Real business cycle theory or new-Keynesian economics which has been the dominant paradigm in macroeconomics for the last four decades is unable to explain the high and persistent unemployment during the Great Recession. This implies that the economics of Keynes should be taken seriously again as a tool to explain the Great Recession. Farmer (2012) proposes a new way of interpreting the economics of Keynes by providing it with a solid micro-foundation based on labor markets with search. According to Farmer (2012), aggregate economic activity independently depends on the long-term self-fulfilling expectations about the stock prices. As a consequence, the government or the central bank should implement a policy that influences the public's confidence about the stock market. For an open economy like the Korean economy, it is not only stock price but also the price of asset such as house that matters more for the aggregate economic activity. Households in the Korean economy hold more than 70 percent of their wealth in the form of real estate asset, especially housing asset. This makes the public's confidence about the future prices of houses even more important in explaining the business cycles of the Korean economy. Policymakers should implement policies to improve the confidence of households about the housing market to recover from the recession caused by a fall in house prices. Little theoretical work has been done in explaining fluctuations in the aggregate economic activity from the point of house prices. This paper develops a small open economy model with traded and non-traded capital based on Farmer (2012) and shows that the aggregate economic activity also independently depends on the households' self-fulfilling expectations about the future prices of non-traded asset such as houses.

감수곡선을 이용한 산림소유역 유출특성의 시계열 변화 평가 (Analysis of Secular Changes in the Hydrological Characteristics of a Small Forested Watershed using a Baseflow Recession Curve)

  • 이익수;이헌호
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제103권3호
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    • pp.383-391
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 주지하수 감수곡선을 이용하여 산림소유역의 유출특성을 밝히기 위하여 수행하였다. 2003년부터 2011년까지 9년간 관측한 강우-유출량 자료를 이용하여 수문곡선 감수부의 시계열 변화를 분석하였다. 그 결과 산림소유역에서는 직접유출 감수계수가 기저유출의 감수계수 값보다 작았다. 또한 산림소유역에서의 직접유출량은 대유역에 비해 상당히 적은 양을 보였으며, 기저유출량은 차이가 크지 않았다. 시험유역에서 주지하수 감수곡선의 회귀식과 감수계수는 각각 $y=0.7528e^{-0.022x}$($R^2=0.8938$, 범위는 0.3 mm~0.8 mm), K = 0.978로 산출되었다. 주지하수 감수곡선과 연유출량과는 관련성이 큰 것으로 나타났는데, 유출량이 많으면 주지하수 감수곡선의 기울기가 완만해지고, 유출량이 줄어들면 감수곡선의 기울기가 급해지는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 해를 거듭할수록 주지하수 감수곡선의 기 울기가 완만해지는 경향이 나타나, 점차 기저유출량이 증가하는 것으로 판단하였다. 따라서 시험유역에서는 시간의 경과와 함께 산림의 홍수조절기능 및 수원함양기능이 점진적으로 높아지는 것으로 나타났다.

Changes in Labor Regulations During Economic Crises: Does Deregulation Favor Health and Safety?

  • Jhang, Won-Gi
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.14-21
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: The regulatory changes in Korea during the national economic crisis 10 years ago and in the current global recession were analyzed to understand the characteristics of deregulation in labor policies. Methods: Data for this study were derived from the Korean government's official database for administrative regulations and a government document reporting deregulation. Results: A great deal of business-friendly deregulation took place during both economic crises. Occupational health and safety were the main targets of deregulation in both periods, and the regulation of employment promotion and vocational training was preserved relatively intact. The sector having to do with working conditions and the on-site welfare of workers was also deregulated greatly during the former economic crisis, but not in the current global recession. Conclusions: Among the three main areas of labor policy, occupational health and safety was most vulnerable to the deregulation in economic crisis of Korea. A probable reason for this is that the impact of deregulation on the health and safety of workers would not be immediately disclosed after the policy change.

High Efficiency Thin Film Photovoltaic Device and Technical Evolution for Silicon Thin Film and Cu (In,Ga)(Se,S)

  • 신명훈
    • 한국진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국진공학회 2012년도 제43회 하계 정기 학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2012
  • High efficiency thin film photovoltaic device technology is reviewed. At present market situation, the industrial players of thin film technologies have to confront the great recession and need to change their market strategies and find technical alternatives again. Most recent technology trends and technical or industrial progress for Silicon thin film and CIGS are introduced and common interests for high efficiency and reliability are discussed.

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1993~2002년 일본불황에 대한 연구 (An Analysis on Japanese Recession Between 1993 and 2002)

  • 윤형모
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.168-188
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    • 2009
  • 일본은 과거 10년(1993-2002) 동안 버블붕괴로 극심한 경기침체기를 경험하였다. 최근 미국에서도 유사한 현상이 발생하였고, 그 여파로 세계 각국이 불경기를 겪고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 과거 일본 경기침체기를 분석하여 현재 미국 등 여러 나라의 경제 불황을 탈출할 수 있는 방법을 모색하는데 있다. 과거 문헌자료에 의하여 나타난 시사점은 정부부채에는 최적 상태가 존재하고, 경기회복을 위한 정책은 실시 시점이 중요하다는 것이다. VAR 모형과 State Space Model에 의한 통계적 분석으로부터는 다음과 같은 결과가 도출되었다. 정부 재정지출의 경기부양에 대한 영향은 단기적이며 미약했다. 조세는 생산에 장기적이며 부정적 영향을 준다. 그러므로 정부부채 감소를 위한 증세(增稅)는 신중히 실시되어야 한다. 재정지출의 효과는 정책이 발표된 후 반년의 시차를 두고 효과가 나타나는 반면, 조세증가는 공시와 동시에 민간소비와 투자를 감소시키고 그 영향도 길며 크다.

세계 민간 항공기 시장 동향과 전망 (The Trend and forecast of Civil Aircraft market)

  • 장태진
    • 항공우주산업기술동향
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2010
  • 금융위기로 불거진 불경기와 불확실성에서 기인한 국제 유가의 변동은 세계 항공기 시장에도 심각한 영향을 끼쳤다. 항공 수요의 급감과 운영비용의 증가를 가져왔으며, 이에 따라 항공기 수요의 특성과 양에 있어서도 변화가 발생하였다. 2000년대 중반의 경기 회복기조 속에서 항공기 주문과 인도가 급증하였으나, 2009년에는 주문량이 급감하였으며, 신형 항공기의 인도와 항공수요 급감에 따라 중고항공기 및 임대 시장 그리고 MRO 시장도 축소되었다. 이렇게 위축된 항공기 수요는 2009년 하반기 세계 항공물류 및 승객 수송의 회복으로 다시 반등을 보이고 있으며, 향후 수요는 단일 통로기가 광동체기의 수요를 인도할 것으로 보인다. 현재, 시장의 반등이 단기적으로 끝날지 지속적으로 이어질 지에 대해서 확답을 내릴 수는 없으나, 장기적으로는 지속적인 항공기 수요의 증가가 이어질 것으로 예상되며, 이러한 수요는 아시아, 아프리카 등의 신흥시장의 성장에 힘입을 것으로 기대된다.

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건설업 근로자의 직무스트레스가 건설공사의 하자에 미치는 영향 (A Study on the effects of the Job-stress influenced to the construction defects)

  • 심민영;박해천;이경훈;조상훈
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2009년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.483-493
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    • 2009
  • The global economic recession caused a great change of the labor environment such as restructurings and unstable employment. This facts brought about an increase in sense of rivalry, over workload, job uncertainty and lowering of self-confidence. Due to the fact that the work process and employing system in construction field is little differ from normal industries, especially, labors working in construction field are much exposed to the job stress. On this study, we survey construction-field labors and made an analysis of the gathered data through the statistic method to reveal what kind of job-stress factors influence on the defects of construction works. As the result, we investigated the truth of the induction factors which cause the job-stress in costruction field and proposed an alternative plan for an effective job-stress management which make the defect rate low.

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An Estimate of the Mediation Effect of Risk Tolerance among Marital Status, Gender, and Investing Behavior

  • Heo, Wookjae;Grable, John E.;Nobre, Liana;Ruiz-Menjivar, Jorge
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a series of path models that were developed to test whether financial risk tolerance mediates the association between the following four variables and investing behavior: (a) male and married, (b) female and married, (c) male and single, or (d) female and single. Data for this study were obtained from a proprietary consumer survey of risk-tolerance attitudes. Four path models were developed to test relationships among the variables in 2008, 2009, 2010, and 2011. These years were chosen to represent the depth and recovery periods in the Great Recession. The total number of respondents was 29,641. Findings showed that financial risk tolerance was positively associated with risky investing behavior (i.e., equity ownership) in each of the four periods. The associations among the gender-marital status variables and investing behavior were mixed; however, findings did indicate that risk tolerance mediates these relationships by sometimes amplifying and occasionally attenuating risky behavior. Based on the findings, implications and limitation are presented.

Policies to Promote Green Economy Innovation in East Asia and North America

  • Barbier, Edward B.
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.54-69
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    • 2015
  • Although there is progress in developing green sectors in North America and East Asia, the key challenge facing the expansion of economy-wide green innovation and structural change in these regions is the absence of relevant policy follow-up to the green stimulus enacted during the Great Recession. The boost to green sectors provided by such measures is waning quickly, given that much of the green stimulus focused on energy efficiency. The biggest obstacles to sustaining green growth in North America and East Asiaare major market disincentives, especially the under-pricing of fossil fuels and market failures that inhibit green innovation. A three-part strategy to overcome these obstacles would involve: first, removing fossil fuel subsidies; second, employing market-based instruments to further reduce the social costs of fossil fuel use; and third, allocating any resulting revenue to public support for green innovation and investments. Such a strategy would ensure that green growth is not about promoting niche green sectors but instigating economy-wide innovation and structural transformation in North America and East Asia.