• 제목/요약/키워드: the Future

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현존하는 디지털도서관의 문제점과 미래환경에 관한 연구 (A study of the existing problems of digital libraries and their future environment)

  • 박일종
    • 한국도서관정보학회지
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    • 제27권
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    • pp.391-421
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    • 1997
  • Information scientists need not to answer whether future libraries will be a digital library or not, but to answer how they are structured and served effectively to users currently. 'The library with walls' or 'the library as place' need to be existed in the future, but 'digital library without the wall' or 'virtual library' will need to be studied continuously. This study has tried to reveal the existing problems of digital libraries and their future environment after considering the ambiguous concepts of various types of electronic libraries and their efforts for library automation, and the changed information retrieval circumstances during the last 30 to 40 years through a qualitative document study. As a result, the major findings and suggestions are prepared. The library of the future will be a part of local and national cooperative systems, be filled with the intelligent use of old and new technologies, and be able to su n.0, pport both a place with extensive collections and convenient, easy, & free access to remote intellectual resources. Also, the information storage and retrieval (ISAR) to the future library system would easily provide users with any types of data retrieval system by anybody rather than by an expert or a specialist, so called 'A&E retrieval' in the coming 21th century. It will be highly possible that the future society changes to the information marketplace whose data may be recognized as an intangible assets.

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LARS-WG 상세화 기법을 적용한 미래 기온 및 강수량 전망 및 분석 - 우리나라 8개 기상관측소를 대상으로 - (Projection and Analysis of Future Temperature and Precipitation using LARS-WG Downscaling Technique - For 8 Meteorological Stations of South Korea -)

  • 신형진;박민지;조형경;박근애;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2010
  • Generally, the GCM (General Circulation Model) data by IPCC climate change scenarios are used for future weather prediction. IPCC GCM models predict well for the continental scale, but is not good for the regional scale. This paper tried to generate future temperature and precipitation of 8 scattered meteorological stations in South Korea by using the MIROC3.2 hires GCM data and applying LARS-WG downscaling method. The MIROC3.2 A1B scenario data were adopted because it has the similar pattern comparing with the observed data (1977-2006) among the scenarios. The results showed that both the future precipitation and temperature increased. The 2080s annual temperature increased $3.8{\sim}5.0^{\circ}C$. Especially the future temperature increased up to $4.5{\sim}7.8^{\circ}C$ in winter period (December-February). The future annual precipitation of 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s increased 17.5 %, 27.5 %, and 39.0 % respectively. From the trend analysis for the future projected results, the above middle region of South Korea showed a statistical significance for winter precipitation and south region for summer rainfall.

내부통제와 미래이익에 대한 주가 정보성 (Internal Control and Stock Price Informativeness about Future Earnings)

  • 왕람;박희우
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.255-273
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study examines whether internal control has an effect on stock price informativeness about future earnings. High quality internal control provides continuous assurance for the quality of financial reports, and these future earnings-related information is accurately reflected in the current stock price. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected 12,862 data from 2006 to 2021 in China to make an empirical analysis using the future earnings response coefficient (FERC) and the multiple regression analysis were hired in order to analyze the data. Findings - We find that internal control strengthens the association between current returns and future earnings, indicating that more information about future earnings is reflected in current stock prices. This positive effect exists in both the main board market and the growth enterprise market of China's stock market, especially in the main board market after the implementation of the internal control policy. In addition, we find that the positive effect is weaker for firms that report internal control deficiencies or receives non unqualified internal control audit opinions. The results using earnings persistence yield similar findings, further supporting the results based on the FERC model. Research Implications or Originality - Our tests provide strong evidence that the quality of internal control affects FERC in China stock market.

The Usefulness of Other Comprehensive Income for Predicting Future Earnings

  • LEE, Joonil;LEE, Su Jeong;CHOI, Sera;KIM, Seunghwan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates whether other comprehensive income (OCI) reported in the statement of comprehensive income (one of the main financial statements after the adoption of K-IFRS) predicts a firm's future performance. Using the quarterly data of Korean listed companies, we examine the association between OCI estimates and future earnings. First of all, we find that OCI is positively associated with earnings in both 1- and 2-quarter ahead, supporting the predictive value of OCI. When we break down OCI into its individual components, our results suggest that the net unrealized gains/losses on available-for-sale (AFS) investment securities are positively associated with future earnings, while the other components (e.g., net unrealized gains/losses on valuation of cash flow hedge derivatives) present insignificant results. In addition, we investigate whether the reliability in OCI estimates enhances the predictive value of OCI to predict future performance. We find that the predictive ability of OCI, in particular the net unrealized gains/losses on available-for-sale (AFS) investment securities, becomes more pronounced when firms are audited by the Big 4 audit firms. Overall, our study suggests that information content embedded in OCI can provide decision-useful information that is helpful for the prediction of future firm performance.

CMIP5 MME와 Best 모델의 비교를 통해 살펴본 미래전망: I. 동아시아 기온과 강수의 단기 및 장기 미래전망 (Future Change Using the CMIP5 MME and Best Models: I. Near and Long Term Future Change of Temperature and Precipitation over East Asia)

  • 문혜진;김병희;오효은;이준이;하경자
    • 대기
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.403-417
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    • 2014
  • Future changes in seasonal mean temperature and precipitation over East Asia under anthropogenic global warming are investigated by comparing the historical run for 1979~2005 and the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 run for 2006~2100 with 20 coupled models which participated in the phase five of Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). Although an increase in future temperature over the East Asian monsoon region has been commonly accepted, the prediction of future precipitation under global warming still has considerable uncertainties with a large inter-model spread. Thus, we select best five models, based on the evaluation of models' performance in present climate for boreal summer and winter seasons, to reduce uncertainties in future projection. Overall, the CMIP5 models better simulate climatological temperature and precipitation over East Asia than the phase 3 of CMIP and the five best models' multi-model ensemble (B5MME) has better performance than all 20 models' multi-model ensemble (MME). Under anthropogenic global warming, significant increases are expected in both temperature and land-ocean thermal contrast over the entire East Asia region during both seasons for near and long term future. The contrast of future precipitation in winter between land and ocean will decrease over East Asia whereas that in summer particularly over the Korean Peninsula, associated with the Changma, will increase. Taking into account model validation and uncertainty estimation, this study has made an effort on providing a more reliable range of future change for temperature and precipitation particularly over the Korean Peninsula than previous studies.

근미래 친환경 건축분야 엔지니어에게 필요한 역량에 대한 델파이 연구 (A Delphi Study on Competencies of Future Green Architectural Engineer)

  • 강소연;김태연;이정우
    • 공학교육연구
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.56-65
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    • 2018
  • With rapid advance of technologies including information and communication technologies, jobs are evolving faster than ever. Architectural engineering is no exception in this regard, and the green architectural engineering is emerging fast as a promising new field. In this study, a Delphi study of expert architectural engineers are conducted to find out (1) near future prospects of the field, (2) near future emerging jobs, (3) competencies needed for these jobs, and (4) educational content necessary to build these competencies with regards to the green architectural engineering. Initial Delphi survey consisting of open-ended questions in the above four areas were conducted and came out with 65 items after duplicate removal and semantic refinements. Further refinements via second and third wave of Delphi results into 40 items that the 13 architectural engineering experts may largely agree upon as future prospects with regards to the green architectural engineering. Findings indicate that it is expected that the demand for green architectural engineering and needs for automatic energy control system increase. Also, collaborations with other fields is becoming more and more important in green architectural engineering. The professional work management skills such as knowledge convergence, problem solving, collaboration skills, and creativity linking components from various related areas seem to also be on the increasing need. Near future ready critical skills are found to be the building environment control techniques (thermal, light, sound, and air), the data processing techniques like data mining, energy monitoring, and the control and utilization of environmental analysis software. Experts also agree on new curriculum for green building architecture to be developed with more of converging subjects across disciplines for future ready professional skills and experiences. Major topics to be covered in the near future includes building environment studies, building energy management, energy reduction systems, indoor air quality, global environment and natural phenomena, and machinery and electrical facility. Architectural engineering community should be concerned with building up the competencies identified in this Delphi preparing for fast advancing future.

미래인재의 핵심 역량 향상을 위한 교육과정 연구 (A Study on the Curriculum for Improving the Core Capacity of Future Talents)

  • 이재호;백승욱
    • 창의정보문화연구
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2019
  • 제4차 산업혁명으로 촉발된 변화는 지금까지보다 앞으로 더 많이 사회를 바꾸어 나갈 것이다. 이에 우리의 교육은 제4차 산업혁명 시대의 변화에 맞추어 새로운 미래를 준비할 수 있어야 한다. 본 연구는 현행 교육 내용 및 관련 교육 분야에 대한 분석을 바탕으로 미래인재 핵심 역량을 향상시킬 교육과정을 제시하였다. 이러한 목표를 달성하고자 본 연구는 다음과 같은 단계로 진행되었다. 첫째, 미래인재의 핵심 역량과 현행 교육과정을 분석하였다. 둘째, 미래인재 역량을 향상시킬 수 있는 교육과정의 목표를 수립하고, 그 내용 및 체계를 구성하였다. 셋째, 구성된 교육과정을 현장에서 적용하여 효과성 검증을 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과물은 향후 미래교육과 미래인재 육성에 참고 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

전략적 일탈이 기업가치, 미래 성과, 성과지속성에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Strategic Deviation on Corporate Value, Future Performance and Performance Persistence)

  • 박원
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.397-407
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 산업 내에서 모방적인 경영전략을 표방하지 않고 차별화된 전략을 수행하는 기업의 미래 성과 혹은 기업가치의 관련성을 검증하고자 한다. 경영전략은 기업의 발전과 성장 가능성에 중요한 역할을 하며 미래 성과와 기업가치를 결정짓는 요인이기도 하다. 이러한 경영전략은 산업에 따라 차이가 존재하며 동일 업종에서 이질적인 전략은 기업의 미래 성과와 가치에 영향을 줄 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 기업을 대상으로 전략적 일탈 기업들의 미래 성과와 기업가치의 관계를 검증하기 위하여 2011년부터 2019년까지 상장법인을 대상으로 분석을 실시하였다. 검증결과 전략적 일탈은 기업가치에 양(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났지만 미래 성과는 음(-)의 영향을 미치며 성과의 지속성에도 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과들은 전략을 구분하여 전략에 따른 특성이 기업가치, 미래성과 등에 대한 연구를 확대하여 전략적 일탈이 기업가치 혹은 미래성과, 성과의 지속성에 미치는 영향을 검증한 것에 의미가 있는 것으로 보인다.

기후변화 시나리오에 따른 강정천 유역의 유출특성 분석 (Runoff Analysis of Climate Change Scenario in Gangjung Basin)

  • 이준호;양성기;김민철
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권12호
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    • pp.1649-1656
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    • 2015
  • Jeju Island is the highest rain-prone area in Korea that possesses affluent water resources, but future climate changes are predicted to further increase vulnerabilities as resultant of increasing of extreme events and creating spatial-temporal imbalance in water resources. Therefore, this study aimed to provide basic information to establish a proper water resources management plan by evaluating the effects of climate change on water resources using climate change scenario. Direct runoff ratio for 15 years (2000~2014) was analyzed to be 11~32% (average of 23%), and average direct runoff ratio for the next 86 years (2015~2100) was found as 28%, showing an increase of about 22% compared to the present average direct runoff ratio (23%). To assess the effects of climate change on long-term runoff, monthly runoff variation of future Gangjeong watershed was analyzed by dividing three time periods as follows: Present (2000~2030), Future 1 (2031~2070) and Future 2 (2071~2100). The estimated results showed that average monthly runoff increases in the future and the highest runoff is shown by Future 2. Extreme values has been expected to occur more frequently in the future as compared to the present.

Army Future Experts' Prediction about Near-Future Climate X-event

  • Sang-Keun Cho;Ji-Min Lee;Eui-Chul Shin;Myung-Sook Hong;Jun-Chul Song;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.196-201
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    • 2023
  • The future is complex and unpredictable. In particular, it is unlikely to occur, but once it occurs, no one knows how it will affect our society if X-event, which has a tremendous impact, is created. This study was conducted only in the climate field to offset the ripple effect of this X-event, and was conducted through in-depth interviews with experts from the Korea Army Research Center for Future & Innovation and the Army College. As a result, it was possible to explore what factors would trigger X-event from their discourse and what X-event would be newly created by spreading them to other fields. Starting with this study, if we accumulate the discourse of experts in various fields such as population, science and technology, as well as climate, and other fields other than the Army, we can predict X-event and offset the threats that may arise.