• Title/Summary/Keyword: system dynamics

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System Dynamic Approaches on Land-Price Volume in Land according to Population of Aging Society (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 고령화 사회 인구에 따른 지목별 토지거래량에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hae-Ok
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2015
  • The price-volume in land by land categories is evaluated with dynamic approaches in the era of aging society This research tries to investigate in the respect of major factors such as real estate, macro-economics, and population that is simulated by land categories. The system dynamics approaches on price-volume in land are forecasted until 2020 using the data in the period of 2000-2014. In regard to methodologies, this research adopted system dynamics to evaluate the relationships between price-volume in land and aging society. The meaningful results have been found during the last over 10 year's analysis as the dynamic relations with major factors. Regarding land categories, this research tries to overcome former research limitations. As an implication from the price-volume in land, it confirmed that the multifaceted aspects show that system dynamics approach effectively simulated them by price-volume in land with the population of aging society.

Model-based Construction Policy Making: Singapore Government's Strategies for the Diffusion of Prefabrication

  • Park, Moonseo
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.103-122
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    • 2002
  • Construct ion sector government policies are targeted towards regulation than facilitation and management. This approach often fails to integrate different segments of the public and private and seems to be inadequate in encouraging the private sector to achieve better quality construction. This situation suggests a need for a better and systematic approach for construct ion policy making. This paper suggests a model-based approach to public policy making using system dynamics approach. Singapore government's policy making efforts to encourage the use of prefabrication are discussed as an application example. This paper presents system models which discuss strengths and weaknesses of the current construction system in Singapore using casual loops, and highlights the feedback processes that would be useful in decision making for the government. Based on these system dynamics models, this paper identifies four major potential policy interventions policy interventions.

An Operational Availability Analysis in Supply Chain Using Simulation (다단계 공급체인에서의 장비운용가용도 시뮬레이션 분석)

  • Park, Se-Hoon;Moon, Seong-Am
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.115-130
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    • 2011
  • This study shows the operational availability(Ao) analysis of the supply chain with maintenance functions using the system dynamics simulation. The simulation uses 60 equipments which are serial systems composed by 4 major components. And every entities are connected each other by causal loops. So whole simulation executed like one organic system. Specially we consider 2 constraints, one is the number of spare parts and the other is maintenance capacity level. 2 constraints have 11 levels each so the simulation has 121(11*11) scenarios which scenario has 30 different random number seed. The simulation executed total 3,630(11*11*30) times. We analysis average Ao of total equipments by 121 scenarios and additionally the regression of the average Ao and 2 constraints. As the result, we can get the more accurate values by the system dynamics simulation than the regression to analysis complex system like the supply chain with maintenance functions.

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Policy Impact Analysis of Road Transport Investment via System Dynamics Theory (혼잡해소를 위한 도로건설의 정책효과: 시스템 다이내믹스 이론의 적용)

  • Kwon, Tae-Hyeong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2011
  • Congestion problems can be approached from the viewpoint of system dynamics theory. The relationship between road capacity and congestion can be explained by the 'relative control' archetype among four system archetypes suggested by Wolstenholme. There is a balancing feedback loop between road capacity and road congestion. However, there is another balancing loop between road congestion and car traffic volume, which keeps disrupting the equilibrium of the former loop. A system dynamics model, which is based on a partial adjustment model of induced traffic in the literature, is built to simulate three road building scenarios: 'Expanding investment', 'Balancing investment' and 'Frozen road investment' scenarios. The 'Expanding investment' scenario manages to drop congestion levels by 9% over 30 years, however, causing much higher emissions of $CO_2$ than other scenarios. The trade-off relationship between congestion levels and environmental costs must be taken into consideration for road investment policies.

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Considering the Concept of Resilience toward Applying to System Dynamics Approach (시스템의 회복성에 대한 이론적 검토와 시스템 다이내믹스 방법론의 적용)

  • Jeon, Dae Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.5-30
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    • 2013
  • The concept of resilience in complex and adaptive socio-economic systems, has been a buzz word in international societies and academies related to policy makers for sustainable development since some years ago. This paper deals with an application of the resilient concept, which has been told since the last some decades in the field of ecology and applied system sciences, to social science especially in system dynamics. First the author introduces the concept of equilibrium stability and resilience in simple dynamic models, and moreover provides the behavioral characteristics and examples of system resilience in terms of system dynamics. The concept of resilience in structural perspectives are also discussed with the topics of panarchy and adaptive renewal cycles, etc.

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Building safe communities: A dynamic simulation study

  • Cho, Sung-Sook;Gillespie David F.;Robards Karen Joseph
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.213-228
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    • 2006
  • This paper reports the results of a study designed to understand and facilitate disaster mitigation for communities located in low frequency/high magnitude earthquake zones. The study is based on a small town located near the New Madrid Fault Zone and is therefore at significant earthquake risk. A system dynamics model describes the variables and policies governing the distribution of building safety over time. Data from this town is used to establish a 25-year baseline. Simulations are run to demonstrate the consequences of different building policies.

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A Dynamic Analysis of The Deployment of Korean Renewable Energy Market (신.재생에너지 시장 확장의 동태적 분석)

  • Yu, Jae-Kook;Kwak, Sang-Man
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.95-116
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the structure of renewable energy market in order to deploy more renewable energy in Korea on the basis of information asymmetry between suppliers and demanders. To attain this purpose we develop the model to analyze and simulate the renewable market using system dynamics. This model is developed not to forecast the accurate size of market but to learn more structure of market using our limited data, mental model and knowledge of market.

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Emotional Engine Model based on Linear Dynamic Systems (선형 동적 시스템 기반의 감정 엔진 모델)

  • Ahn, Ho-Seok;Choi, Jin-Young
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.213-215
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    • 2007
  • This paper introduces an emotional behavior decision model for intelligent service robots. An emotional model should make different behavior decisions according to the purpose of the robots. We propose an emotional behavior decision model which can change the character of emotional model and make different behavior decisions although the situation and environment remain the same. We defined each emotional element such as reactive dynamics, internal dynamics, emotional dynamics, and behavior dynamics by state dynamic equations. The proposed system model is a linear system. If you want to add one external stimulus or behavior, you need to add just one dimensional vector to the matrix of external stimulus or behavior dynamics. The case of removing is same. The change of reactive dynamics, internal dynamics, emotional dynamics, and behavior dynamics also follows the same procedure. We implemented the proposed emotional behavior decision model and verified its performance.

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A study on the Dynamic Cost-Benefit Analysis with System Dynamics: Modeling and Economic Feasibility (시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 동태적 비용편익분석 모델구축과 사업성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 최남희;전재호
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.113-140
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    • 2002
  • The cost-benefit analysis is a technique for assisting with decision about the use of society's scare resources. There exists no detailed assessment like cost-benefit analysis. But recently, many policy analysts criticized the merit of cost-benefit analysis. As it is, it can be said that partial or approximate estimates of benefit and cost may be more dangerous than helpful. The purpose of this study is to overcome the limit of traditional cost-benefit analysis. For this purpose, we use the system dynamics approach for setting up new cost-benefit analysis, which we named that ‘Dynamics Cost-Benefit Analysis'. The usefulness of ‘Dynamics Cost-Benefit Analysis' is as follows; finding structural causal relationship between cost factors and benefit factors, understanding the long-term behavior of systems economic feasibility. In this study, we apply 'Dynamic Cost-Benefit Analysis' to case that is construction investment of funeral house by local government sector.

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Design of new sliding mode control system using discrete-time switching dynamics and its stability analysis (이산 시간 스위칭 다이나믹을 이용한 새로운 슬라이딩 모드 제어 시스템의 설계 및 안정도 해석)

  • 김동식;서호준;서삼준;박귀태
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.407-414
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we consider the variable structure control for a class of discrete-time uncertain multivariable systems where the nominal system is linear. Discrete-time switching dynamics are introduced so that a new type of state trajectories called sliding mode may exist on the sliding surface by state feedback. The quantitative analysis for the matched uncertainties will show that every response of the system with the proposed switching dynamics is bounded within small neighborhoods of the state-space origin. Also, by the similarity transformation it will be shown that the eigenvalues of the closed-loop systems are composed of those of the subsystems which govern the range-space dynamics and null-space dynamics. It will be also shown that ideal sliding mode can be obtained in the absence of uncertainties due to one-step attraction to the sliding surface regardless of initial position of states. (author). 12 refs., 2 figs.

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