• Title/Summary/Keyword: survival regression

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Prognostic Value of Artificial Intelligence-Driven, Computed Tomography-Based, Volumetric Assessment of the Volume and Density of Muscle in Patients With Colon Cancer

  • Minsung Kim;Sang Min Lee;Il Tae Son;Taeyong Park;Bo Young Oh
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.24 no.9
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    • pp.849-859
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    • 2023
  • Objective: The prognostic value of the volume and density of skeletal muscles in the abdominal waist of patients with colon cancer remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between the automated computed tomography (CT)-based volume and density of the muscle in the abdominal waist and survival outcomes in patients with colon cancer. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 474 patients with colon cancer who underwent surgery with curative intent between January 2010 and October 2017. Volumetric skeletal muscle index and muscular density were measured at the abdominal waist using artificial intelligence (AI)-based volumetric segmentation of body composition on preoperative pre-contrast CT images. Patients were grouped based on their skeletal muscle index (sarcopenia vs. not) and muscular density (myosteatosis vs. not) values and combinations (normal, sarcopenia alone, myosteatosis alone, and combined sarcopenia and myosteatosis). Postsurgical disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using univariable and multivariable analyses, including multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression. Results: Univariable analysis showed that DFS and OS were significantly worse for the sarcopenia group than for the non-sarcopenia group (P = 0.044 and P = 0.003, respectively, by log-rank test) and for the myosteatosis group than for the non-myosteatosis group (P < 0.001 by log-rank test for all). In the multivariable analysis, the myosteatotic muscle type was associated with worse DFS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.89 [95% confidence interval, 1.25-2.86]; P = 0.003) and OS (aHR, 1.90 [95% confidence interval, 1.84-3.04]; P = 0.008) than the normal muscle type. The combined muscle type showed worse OS than the normal muscle type (aHR, 1.95 [95% confidence interval, 1.08-3.54]; P = 0.027). Conclusion: Preoperative volumetric sarcopenia and myosteatosis, automatically assessed from pre-contrast CT scans using AI-based software, adversely affect survival outcomes in patients with colon cancer.

Long-Term Survival Analysis of Unicompartmental Knee Arthroplasty (슬관절 부분 치환술의 장기 생존 분석)

  • Park, Cheol Hee;Lee, Ho Jin;Son, Hyuck Sung;Bae, Dae Kyung;Song, Sang Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Orthopaedic Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study evaluated the long term clinical and radiographic results and the survival rates of unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA). In addition, the factors affecting the survival of the procedure were analyzed and the survival curve was compared according to the affecting factors. Materials and Methods: Ninety-nine cases of UKA performed between December 1982 and January 1996 were involved: 10 cases with Modular II, 44 cases with Microloc, and 45 cases with Allegretto prostheses. The mean follow-up period was 16.5 years. Clinically, the hospital for special surgery (HSS) scoring system and the range of motion (ROM) were evaluated. Radiographically, the femorotibial angle (FTA) was measured. The survival rate was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression analysis was used to identify the factors affecting the survival according to age, sex, body mass index, preoperative diagnosis, and type of implant. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves were compared according to the factors affecting the survival of UKA. Results: The overall average HSS score and ROM was 57.7 and 134.3° preoperatively, 92.7 and 138.4° at 1 year postoperatively, and 79.1 and 138.4° at the last follow-up (p<0.001, respectively). The overall average FTA was varus 0.8° preoperatively, valgus 4.1° at postoperative 2 weeks, and valgus 3.0° at the last follow-up. The overall 5-, 10-, 15- and 20-year survival rates were 91.8%, 82.9%, 71.0%, and 67.0%, respectively. The factors affecting the survival were the age and type of implant. The risk of the failure decreased with age (hazard ratio=0.933). The Microloc group was more hazardous than the other prostheses (hazard ratio=0.202, 0.430, respectively). The survival curve in the patients below 60 years of age was significantly lower than those of the patients over 60 years of age (p=0.003); the survival curve of the Microloc group was lower compared to the Modular II and Allegretto groups (p=0.025). Conclusion: The long-term clinical and radiographic results and survival of UKA using old fixed bearing prostheses were satisfactory. The selection of appropriate patient and prosthesis will be important for the long term survival of the UKA procedure.

Association of miR-193b Down-regulation and miR-196a up-Regulation with Clinicopathological Features and Prognosis in Gastric Cancer

  • Mu, Yong-Ping;Tang, Song;Sun, Wen-Jie;Gao, Wei-Min;Wang, Mao;Su, Xiu-Lan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.20
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    • pp.8893-8900
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    • 2014
  • Dysregulated expression of microRNAs (miRNAs) has been shown to be closely associated with tumor development, progression, and carcinogenesis. However, their clinical implications for gastric cancer remain elusive. To investigate the hypothesis that genome-wide alternations of miRNAs differentiate gastric cancer tissues from those matched adjacent non-tumor tissues (ANTTs), miRNA arrays were employed to examine miRNA expression profiles for the 5-pair discovery stage, and the quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRTPCR) was applied to validate candidate miRNAs for 48-pair validation stage. Furthermore, the relationship between altered miRNA and clinicopathological features and prognosis of gastric cancer was explored. Among a total of 1,146 miRNAs analyzed, 16 miRNAs were found to be significantly different expressed in tissues from gastric cancer compared to ANTTs (p<0.05). qRT-PCR further confirmed the variation in expression of miR-193b and miR-196a in the validation stage. Down-expression of miR-193b was significantly correlated with Lauren type, differentiation, UICC stage, invasion, and metastasis of gastric cancer (p<0.05), while over-expression of miR-196a was significantly associated with poor differentiation (p=0.022). Moreover, binary logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the UICC stage was a significant risk factor for down-expression of miR-193b (adjusted OR=8.69; 95%CI=1.06-56.91; p=0.043). Additionally, Kaplan-Meier survival curves indicated that patients with a high fold-change of down-regulated miR-193b had a significantly shorter survival time (n=19; median survival=29 months) compared to patients with a low fold-change of down-regulated miR-193b (n=29; median survival=54 months) (p=0.001). Overall survival time of patients with a low fold-change of up-regulated miR-196a (n=27; median survival=52 months) was significantly longer than that of patients with a high fold-change of up-regulated miR-196a (n=21; median survival=46 months) (p=0.003). Hence, miR-193b and miR-196a may be applied as novel and promising prognostic markers in gastric cancer.

Carcinoma Microsatellite Instability Status as a Predictor of Benefit from Fluorouracil-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Stage II Rectal Cancer

  • Yang, Liu;Sun, Yan;Huang, Xin-En;Yu, Dong-Sheng;Zhou, Jian-Nong;Zhou, Xin;Li, Dong-Zheng;Guan, Xin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1545-1551
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Rectal cancers with high microsatellite-instable have clinical and pathological features that differentiate them from microsatellite-stable or low-frequency carcinomas, which was studied rarely in stage II rectal cancer, promoting the present investigation of the usefulness of microsatellite-instability status as a predictor of the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy with fluorouracil in stage II rectal cancer. Patients and Methods: Data of 460 patients who underwent primary anterior resection with a double stapling technique for rectal carcinoma at a single institution from 2008 to 2012 were retrospectively collected. All patients experienced a total mesorectal excision (TME) operation. Survival analysis were analyzed using the Cox regression method. Results: Five-year rate of disease-free survival (DFS) was noted in 390 (84.8%) of 460 patients with stage II rectal cancer. Of 460 tissue specimens, 97 (21.1%) exhibited high-frequency microsatellite instability. Median age of the patients was 65 (50-71) and 185 (40.2%) were male. After univariate and multivariate analysis, microsatellite instability (p= 0.001), female sex (p<0.05) and fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy (p<0.001), the 3 factors were attributed to a favorable survival status independently. Among 201 patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy, those cancers displaying high-frequency microsatellite instability had a better 5-year rate of DFS than tumors exhibiting microsatellite stability or low-frequency instability (HR, 13.61 [95% CI, 1.88 to 99.28]; p= 0.010), while in 259 patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy, there was no DFS difference between the two groups (p= 0.145). Furthermore, patients exhibiting microsatellite stability or low-frequency instability who received adjuvant chemotherapy had a better 5-year rate of DFS than patients did not (HR, 5.16 [95% CI, 2.90 to 9.18]; p<0.001), while patients exhibiting high-frequency microsatellite instability were not connected with increased DFS (p= 0.696). It was implied that female patients had better survival than male. Conclusion: Survival status after anterior resection of rectal carcinoma is related to the microsatellite instability status, adjuvant chemotherapy and gender. Fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy benefits patients of stage II rectal cancer with microsatellite-stable or low microsatellite-instable, but not those with high microsatellite-instable. Additionally, free of adjuvant chemotherapy, carcinomas with high microsatellite-instable have a better 5-year rate of DFS than those with microsatellite-stable or low microsatellite-instable, and female patients have a better survival as well.

Change in Palliative Performance Scale (PPS) Predicts Survival in Patients with Terminal Cancer

  • Oh, Jee Hye;Lee, Yong Joo;Seo, Min Seok;Yoon, Jo Hi;Kim, Chul Min;Kang, Chung
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The Palliative Performance Scale (PPS) is a widely used prognostic tool in patients with advanced cancer. This study examines the association between changes in PPS score and survival in patients with advanced cancer. Methods: We identified a cohort of 606 inpatients who died at a Korean university hospital's hospice/palliative care center. For each patient, the PPS score was measured twice according to a standard procedure: 1) upon admission, and 2) three days after admission (D3). "Change on D3" was defined as a difference between initial PPS and PPS on D3. We used a Cox regression modeling approach to explore the association between this score change and survival. Results: The changes in scores were associated with survival. A score change of >30% yielded a hazard ratio for death of 2.66 (95% CI 2.19~3.22), compared to a score change of ${\leq}30%$. PPS of ${\leq}30$ on D3 also independently predicted survival, with a hazard ratio of 1.67 (95% CI 1.38~2.02) compared to PPS of >30. Conclusion: A change of over 30% in PPS appears to predict survival in hospitalized patients with terminal cancer, even after adjustment for confounders. Changes in PPS may be a more sensitive indicator of impending death than a single PPS measured on the day of admission in terminal cancer patients. Further prospective study is needed to examine this important finding in other populations.

The Effect of Winter Temperature on the Survival of Lantern Fly, Lycorma delicatula (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) Eggs (동절기 온도가 꽃매미 월동 알의 생존율에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Young Su;Jang, Myoung Jun;Kim, Jin Young;Kim, Jun Ran
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.311-315
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    • 2014
  • Lantern fly(Lycorma delicatula) is a major invasive pest that causes withering symptom of agricultural crops by sucking tree sap and sooty mold symptom by producing honeydew. This study was conducted to investigate the occurrence pattern of lantern fly in grape orchards in Gyeonggi area and the effect of winter temperature on L. delicatula egg survival during 2010 to 2013. In Gyeonggi areas, overwintered L. delicatula eggs began to hatch from early May and nymphs peaked in mid May. Adults emerged from late July and laid eggs until early November. The survival of L. delicatula eggs during overwintering was largely affected by winter temperatures. The relationship between the number of days below a threshold temperature (x) in January and the survival rate of overwintering L. delicatula eggs (y) was using linear regression model. The best model selected by the lowest RSS (residual sum of square) between predicted and actual survival was y = -1.0486 x + 94.496 ($R^2=0.7067$) with $-11^{\circ}C$ of threshold temperature. These results should be helpful to conduct L. delicatula management programs, since the results provided relivable prediction for the winter survival of L. delicatula eggs and the phenology of egg hatch in the spring.

Effects of Participation in Survival Swimming Education on Elementary School Students' Underwater Anxiety, Physical Self-efficacy and Water Safety Awareness (생존수영교육 참여가 초등학생의 수중불안, 신체적 자기효능감 및 수상안전 의식에 미치는 영향)

  • Bae, Jun-seok;Cho, Gun-Sang;Kwon, Yong-Chul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.415-423
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to report the changes in underwater anxiety, physical self-efficacy, and water safety consciousness in elementary school students through participation in survival swimming education, and the relationship between variables. For this purpose, 300 out of 312 elementary school students who participated in survival swimming education in Busan were used as valid samples. The collected data were analyzed through exploratory factor analysis, reliability analysis, correspondence sample t-test, and multiple regression analysis using the SPSS 25.0 statistical program, and the results are as follows. First, the underwater anxiety of elementary school students before and after participating in survival swimming education decreased, and the physical self-efficacy and water safety awareness increased. Second, underwater anxiety of elementary school students who participated in survival swimming education partially negatively affected physical self-efficacy and water safety consciousness, and physical self-efficacy partially positively affected water safety consciousness. Based on these results, the effectiveness of survival swimming education could be confirmed, and the direction of qualitative expansion of the program could be reconsidered.

On the Determination of Outpatient's Revisit using Data Mining (데이터 마이닝을 활용한 병원 재방문도 영향요인 분석 : 외래환자의 만족도를 중심으로)

  • 이견직
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2003
  • Patient revisit to used hospital is a key factor in determining a health care organization's competitive advantage and survival. This article examines the relationship between customer's satisfaction and his/her revisit associated with three different methods which are the Chi Square Automatic Interaction Detection(CHAID) for segmenting the outpatient group, logistic regression and neural networks for addressing the outpatient's revisit. The main findings indicate that the important factors on outpatient's revisit are physician's kindness, nurse's skill, overall level of satisfaction, hospital reputation, recommendation, level of diagnoses and outpatient's age. Among these ones, physician's kindness is the most important factor as guidelines for decision of their revisit. The decision maker of hospital should select the strategy containing the variable amount of the level of revisit and size of outpatient's group under the constraint on the hospital's time, budget and manpower given. Finally, this study shows that neural networks, as non-parametric technique, appear to more correctly predict revisit than does logistic regression as a parametric estimation technique.

Regression Analysis of Doubly censored data using Gibbs Sampler for the Incubation period

  • Yoo Hanna;Lee Jae Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.237-241
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    • 2004
  • In standard time-to-event or survival analysis, the occurrence times of the event of interest are observed exactly or are right-censored. However in certain situations such as the AIDS data, the incubation period which is the time between HIV infection time and the diagnosis of AIDS is usually doubly censored. That is the HIV infection time Is interval censored and also the time of the diagnosis of AIDS is right censored. In this paper, we Impute the Interval censored infection time using the conditional mean imputation and estimate the coefficient factor of the regression analysis for the incubation period using Gibbs sampler. We applied parametric and semi-parametric methods for the analysis of the Incubation period and compared the results.

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Does total regression of primary rectal cancer after preoperative chemoradiotherapy represent "no tumor" status?

  • Jeong, Seong-A;Park, In Ja;Hong, Seung Mo;Bong, Jun Woo;Choi, Hye Yoon;Seo, Ji Hyun;Kim, Hyong Eun;Lim, Seok-Byung;Yu, Chang Sik;Kim, Jin Cheon
    • Annals of Surgical Treatment and Research
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    • v.96 no.2
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: Insistence that total regression of primary tumor would not represent long-term oncologic outcomes has been raised. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the outcomes of these patients after preoperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) and radical surgery and to evaluate the associated risk factors. Methods: We included 189 patients with rectal cancer who showed total regression of the primary tumor after PCRT, followed by radical resection, between 2001 and 2012. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the results were compared with 77 patients with Tis rectal cancer who received only radical resection. Factors associated with RFS were evaluated using Cox regression analysis. Results: Sphincter-saving resection was performed for 146 patients (77.2%). Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 168 patients (88.9%). During the follow-up period, recurrence occurred in 17 patients (9%). The 5-year RFS was 91.3%, which was significantly lower than that of patients with Tis rectal cancer without PCRT (P = 0.005). In univariate analysis, preoperative CEA and histologic differentiation were associated with RFS. However, no factors were found to be associated with RFS. Conclusion: RFS was lower in patients with total regression of primary rectal cancer after PCRT than in those with Tis rectal cancer without PCRT, and it would not be considered as the same entity with early rectal cancer or "disappeared tumor" status.