• 제목/요약/키워드: surrogate model

검색결과 264건 처리시간 0.026초

A surrogate model-based framework for seismic resilience estimation of bridge transportation networks

  • Sungsik Yoon ;Young-Joo Lee
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2023
  • A bridge transportation network supplies products from various source nodes to destination nodes through bridge structures in a target region. However, recent frequent earthquakes have caused damage to bridge structures, resulting in extreme direct damage to the target area as well as indirect damage to other lifeline structures. Therefore, in this study, a surrogate model-based comprehensive framework to estimate the seismic resilience of bridge transportation networks is proposed. For this purpose, total system travel time (TSTT) is introduced for accurate performance indicator of the bridge transportation network, and an artificial neural network (ANN)-based surrogate model is constructed to reduce traffic analysis time for high-dimensional TSTT computation. The proposed framework includes procedures for constructing an ANN-based surrogate model to accelerate network performance computation, as well as conventional procedures such as direct Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) calculation and bridge restoration calculation. To demonstrate the proposed framework, Pohang bridge transportation network is reconstructed based on geographic information system (GIS) data, and an ANN model is constructed with the damage states of the transportation network and TSTT using the representative earthquake epicenter in the target area. For obtaining the seismic resilience curve of the Pohang region, five epicenters are considered, with earthquake magnitudes 6.0 to 8.0, and the direct and indirect damages of the bridge transportation network are evaluated. Thus, it is concluded that the proposed surrogate model-based framework can efficiently evaluate the seismic resilience of a high-dimensional bridge transportation network, and also it can be used for decision-making to minimize damage.

Developing efficient model updating approaches for different structural complexity - an ensemble learning and uncertainty quantifications

  • Lin, Guangwei;Zhang, Yi;Liao, Qinzhuo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.321-336
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    • 2022
  • Model uncertainty is a key factor that could influence the accuracy and reliability of numerical model-based analysis. It is necessary to acquire an appropriate updating approach which could search and determine the realistic model parameter values from measurements. In this paper, the Bayesian model updating theory combined with the transitional Markov chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) method and K-means cluster analysis is utilized in the updating of the structural model parameters. Kriging and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) are employed to generate surrogate models to reduce the computational burden in TMCMC. The selected updating approaches are applied to three structural examples with different complexity, including a two-storey frame, a ten-storey frame, and the national stadium model. These models stand for the low-dimensional linear model, the high-dimensional linear model, and the nonlinear model, respectively. The performances of updating in these three models are assessed in terms of the prediction uncertainty, numerical efforts, and prior information. This study also investigates the updating scenarios using the analytical approach and surrogate models. The uncertainty quantification in the Bayesian approach is further discussed to verify the validity and accuracy of the surrogate models. Finally, the advantages and limitations of the surrogate model-based updating approaches are discussed for different structural complexity. The possibility of utilizing the boosting algorithm as an ensemble learning method for improving the surrogate models is also presented.

초임계 영역에서 대체 모델 연료를 이용한 케로신의 열역학적 상태량 연구 (Investigation of Thermophysical Properties of the Kerosene Using the Surrogate Model Fuel at Supercritical Conditions)

  • 김국진;허준영;성홍계
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제38권8호
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    • pp.823-833
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    • 2010
  • 액체 로켓 및 항공용 엔진 연료로서 사용되는 케로신의 열역학적 상태량을 연구하기 위해 surrogate 모델이 조사되었다. 초임계 조건에서 실제 기체 상태 방정식(SRK 상태 방정식, PR 상태 방정식)과 NIST SUPERTRAPP(ECS 원리)을 이용하였을 경우의 밀도 분포가 기존의 실험 결과와 비교되었다. 또한 surrogate 모델의 종류에 따른 열역학적 상태량의 오차 범위에 대한 고찰이 수행되었다. 탄화 수소 계열 연료에 대해서는 PR 상태 방정식과 ECS 원리가 높은 정확도를 나타내지만 압력, 온도와 같은 작동 환경에 따라 적절한 surrogate 모델을 선별하여 선택해야 함을 확인하였다.

자동차 브레이크 패드 마모량 측정센서 브라켓의 다이나믹크리깅 대리모델 기반 설계최적화 (Design Optimization of Bracket for Wear Sensor of Automobile Brake Pads Based on Dynamic Kriging Surrogate Model)

  • 정준영;유정주;변경석;조현규
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2024
  • 본 논문에서는 다이나믹크리깅 대리모델 기반 자동차 브레이크 패드 마모량 측정센서 브라켓의 설계최적화를 소개한다. 브레이크 작동시 마찰재 바닥의 온도가 600℃ 이상으로 상승하고, 이 열이 전달되어 센서의 기능을 상실시킨다. 따라서 열전달을 최소화하는 브라켓 형상의 설계최적화는 필수적이다. 최적화에 소요되는 계산비용을 절감하기 위해 다이나믹크리깅 대리모델로 열전달 시뮬레이션을 대체하였다. 다이나믹크리깅은 최적의 상관함수와 기저함수를 선정하였으며, 정확한 대리모델을 도출하였다. 최적화 결과 센서위치의 온도가 초기모델에 비해 7.57% 감소하였으며, 이를 열전달 시뮬레이션으로 다시 한번 확인하여 대리모델 기반 최적설계가 유의미함을 검증하였다.

Assessment of Air Quality Impact Associated with Improving Atmospheric Emission Inventories of Mobile and Biogenic Sources

  • Shin, Tae-joo
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2000
  • Photochemical air quality models are essential tools in predicting future air quality and assessing air pollution control strategies. To evaluate air quality using a photochemical air quality model, emission inventories are important inputs to these models. Since most emission inventories are provided at a county-level, these emission inventories need to be geographically allocated to the computational grid cells of the model prior to running the model. The conventional method for the spatial allocation of these emissions uses "spatial surrogate indicators", such as population for mobile source emissions and county area for biogenic source emissions. In order to examine the applicability of such approximations, more detailed spatial surrogate indicators were developed using Geographic Information System(GIS) tools to improve the spatial allocation of mobile and boigenic source emissions, The proposed spatial surrogate indicators appear to be more appropriate than conventional spatial surrogate indicators in allocating mobile and biogenic source emissions. However, they did not provide a substantial improvement in predicting ground-level ozone(O3) concentrations. As for the carbon monoxide(CO) concentration predictions, certain differences between the conventional and new spatial allocation methods were found, yet a detailed model performance evaluation was prevented due to a lack of sufficient observed data. The use of the developed spatial surrogate indicators led to higher O3 and CO concentration estimates in the biogenic source emission allocation than in the mobile source emission allocation.llocation.

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Surrogate Model Based Approximate Optimization of Passive Type Deck Support Frame for Offshore Plant Float-over Installation

  • Lee, Dong Jun;Song, Chang Yong;Lee, Kangsu
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2021
  • The paper deals with comparative study of various surrogate models based approximate optimization in the structural design of the passive type deck support frame under design load conditions. The passive type deck support frame was devised to facilitate both transportation and installation of 20,000 ton class topside. Structural analysis was performed using the finite element method to evaluate the strength performance of the passive type deck support frame in its initial design stage. In the structural analysis, the strength performances were evaluated for various design load conditions. The optimum design problem based on surrogate model was formulated such that thickness sizing variables of main structure members were determined by minimizing the weight of the passive type deck support frame subject to the strength performance constraints. The surrogate models used in the approximate optimization were response surface method, Kriging model, and Chebyshev orthogonal polynomials. In the context of numerical performances, the solution results from approximate optimization were compared to actual non-approximate optimization. The response surface method among the surrogate models used in the approximate optimization showed the most appropriate optimum design results for the structure design of the passive type deck support frame.

Use of Geographic Information System Tools for Improving Atmospheric Emission Inventories of Biogenic Source

  • Shin, Tae-joo
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 1999
  • Biogenic source emissions refer to naturally occuring emissions from vegetation, microbial activities in soil, lightening, and so on. Vegetation is especially known to emit a considerable amout of volatile organic compounds into the atmosphere. Therefore, biogenic source emissions are an important input to photochemical air quality models. since most biogenic source emissions are calculated at the county-level, they should be geographically allocated to the computational grid cells of a photochemical air quality model prior to running the model. The traditional method for the spatial allocation for biogenic source emissions has been to use a "spatial surrogate indicator" such as a county area. In order to examine the applicability of such approximations, this study developed more detailed surrogate indicators to improve the spatial allocation method for biogenic source emissions. Due to the spatially variable nature of biogenic source emissions, Geographic Information Systems(GIS) were introduced as new tools to develop more detailed spatial surrogate indicators. Use of these newly developed spatial surrogate indicators for biogenic source emission allocation provides a better resolution than the standard spatial surrogate indicator.indicator.

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대리모델들을 이용한 인쇄형 열교환기의 최적설계 (Design Optimization of a Printed Circuit Heat Exchanger Using Surrogate Models)

  • 이상문;김광용
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2011
  • Shape optimization of a Printed circuit heat exchanger (PCHE) has been performed by using three-dimensional Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (3-D RANS) analysis and surrogate modeling techniques. The objective function is defined as a linear combination of effectiveness of the PCHE term and pressure drop in the cold channels of the PCHE. The cold channel angle and the ellipse aspect ratio of the cold channel are used as design variables for the optimization. Design points are selected through Latin-hypercube sampling. The optimal point is determined through surrogate-based optimization method which uses 3-D RANS analyses at design points. The results of three types of surrogate model are compared each other. The results of the optimizations indicate improved performance in friction loss but low performance in effectiveness than the reference shape.

An evolutionary approach for structural reliability

  • Garakaninezhad, Alireza;Bastami, Morteza
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제71권4호
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    • pp.329-339
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    • 2019
  • Assessment of failure probability, especially for a complex structure, requires a considerable number of calls to the numerical model. Reliability methods have been developed to decrease the computational time. In this approach, the original numerical model is replaced by a surrogate model which is usually explicit and much faster to evaluate. The current paper proposed an efficient reliability method based on Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP) as a robust variant of genetic programming (GP). GP has been applied in different fields; however, its application to structural reliability has not been tested. The current study investigated the performance of MGGP as a surrogate model in structural reliability problems and compares it with other surrogate models. An adaptive Metropolis algorithm is utilized to obtain the training data with which to build the MGGP model. The failure probability is estimated by combining MCS and MGGP. The efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method were investigated with the help of five numerical examples.

Design optimization of a nuclear main steam safety valve based on an E-AHF ensemble surrogate model

  • Chaoyong Zong;Maolin Shi;Qingye Li;Fuwen Liu;Weihao Zhou;Xueguan Song
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권11호
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    • pp.4181-4194
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    • 2022
  • Main steam safety valves are commonly used in nuclear power plants to provide final protections from overpressure events. Blowdown and dynamic stability are two critical characteristics of safety valves. However, due to the parameter sensitivity and multi-parameter features of safety valves, using traditional method to design and/or optimize them is generally difficult and/or inefficient. To overcome these problems, a surrogate model-based valve design optimization is carried out in this study, of particular interest are methods of valve surrogate modeling, valve parameters global sensitivity analysis and valve performance optimization. To construct the surrogate model, Design of Experiments (DoE) and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations of the safety valve were performed successively, thereby an ensemble surrogate model (E-AHF) was built for valve blowdown and stability predictions. With the developed E-AHF model, global sensitivity analysis (GSA) on the valve parameters was performed, thereby five primary parameters that affect valve performance were identified. Finally, the k-sigma method is used to conduct the robust optimization on the valve. After optimization, the valve remains stable, the minimum blowdown of the safety valve is reduced greatly from 13.30% to 2.70%, and the corresponding variance is reduced from 1.04 to 0.65 as well, confirming the feasibility and effectiveness of the optimization method proposed in this paper.