• 제목/요약/키워드: surprise attack

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손자병법의 전략과 그 현대적 응용에 관한 연구 (A Study on The Art of War's strategy and its modern application)

  • 송용호;전명용
    • 동양고전연구
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    • 제73호
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    • pp.249-279
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문은 손자병법의 '전략'을 분석하고, 이를 현대사회, 특히 기업경영에 접목하는 시도를 통해 손자병법의 현대적 응용가치를 검증하기 위한 것이다. 군대는 전쟁에서 피해와 희생을 최소화하고 빠른 시간 내에 승리를 얻기 위해 '전쟁전략'을, 기업은 최소비용으로 최대이윤을 내기 위해 '경영전략'을 사용한다. 손자병법의 '세(勢)', '응변력(應變力)', '궤도(詭道)'로 구성되는 전략의 3요소는 현대 기업경영에서의 '내부자원 분석', '외부환경 분석', '정보관리'와 연결된다. 전략의 수립단계에서 손자병법에서는 '선지(先知)', '묘산(廟算)', '군쟁(軍爭)'을 포함하는 '선승전략(先勝戰略)'의 중요성을 강조하였는데, 이는 현대 기업경영에서 '선지'는 3C분석 중 경쟁자분(competitor)과 벤치마킹으로, '묘산'은 SWOT분석과 4P's분석으로, '군쟁'은 포지셔닝전략과 시장선점전략으로 표현되고 있다. 전략의 실행단계에서 '기습전략(奇襲戰略)', '허실전략(虛實戰略)', '분합전략(分合戰略)'은 현대 기업경영에서 '기습전략'은 차별화전략과 집중화전략으로, '허실전략'은 정보관리와 합리적 포지셔닝으로, '분합전략'은 다각화전략, 집중화전략, 변화관리, 본원적 경쟁전략, 시너지효과 등으로 발현되고, 전략의 결실은 손자병법에서는 '전쟁의 승리', 현대 기업경영에서는 '경쟁우위'와 '이윤극대화'로 나타난다. 이처럼 손자병법의 전략은 표현과 방식에 있어서 약간의 차이가 있을 뿐 현대 기업의 경영전략과 궁극적으로 서로 상통하고 있어, 기원전 500년경에 쓴 병법서이지만 빠르게 변화하는 환경과 치열한 경쟁 속에 놓여 있는 현대의 기업들과 현대인들에게 경쟁의 원리와 승리의 비법을 깨닫는데 필요한 '큰 지혜'를 제공하고 있다는 것을 알 수 있다.

중국군의 해양작전능력과 한국군의 과제 (PRC Maritime Operational Capability and the Task for the ROK Military)

  • 김민석
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권33호
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    • pp.65-112
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    • 2014
  • Recent trends show that the PRC has stepped aside its "army-centered approach" and placed greater emphasis on its Navy and Air Force for a wider range of operations, thereby reducing its ground force and harnessing its economic power and military technology into naval development. A quantitative growth of the PLA Navy itself is no surprise as this is not a recent phenomenon. Now is the time to pay closer attention to the level of PRC naval force's performance and the extent of its warfighting capacity in the maritime domain. It is also worth asking what China can do with its widening naval power foundation. In short, it is time to delve into several possible scenarios I which the PRC poses a real threat. With this in mind, in Section Two the paper seeks to observe the construction progress of PRC's naval power and its future prospects up to the year 2020, and categorize time frame according to its major force improvement trends. By analyzing qualitative improvements made over time, such as the scale of investment and the number of ships compared to increase in displacement (tonnage), this paper attempts to identify salient features in the construction of naval power. Chapter Three sets out performance evaluation on each type of PRC naval ships as well as capabilities of the Navy, Air Force, the Second Artillery (i.e., strategic missile forces) and satellites that could support maritime warfare. Finall, the concluding chapter estimates the PRC's maritime warfighting capability as anticipated in respective conflict scenarios, and considers its impact on the Korean Peninsula and proposes the directions ROK should steer in response. First of all, since the 1980s the PRC navy has undergone transitions as the focus of its military strategic outlook shifted from ground warfare to maritime warfare, and within 30 years of its effort to construct naval power while greatly reducing the size of its ground forces, the PRC has succeeded in building its naval power next to the U.S.'s in the world in terms of number, with acquisition of an aircraft carrier, Chinese-version of the Aegis, submarines and so on. The PRC also enjoys great potentials to qualitatively develop its forces such as indigenous aircraft carriers, next-generation strategic submarines, next-generation destroyers and so forth, which is possible because the PRC has accumulated its independent production capabilities in the process of its 30-year-long efforts. Secondly, one could argue that ROK still has its chances of coping with the PRC in naval power since, despite its continuous efforts, many estimate that the PRC naval force is roughly ten or more years behind that of superpowers such as the U.S., on areas including radar detection capability, EW capability, C4I and data-link systems, doctrines on force employment as well as tactics, and such gap cannot be easily overcome. The most probable scenarios involving the PRC in sea areas surrounding the Korean Peninsula are: first, upon the outbreak of war in the peninsula, the PRC may pursue military intervention through sea, thereby undermining efforts of the ROK-U.S. combined operations; second, ROK-PRC or PRC-Japan conflicts over maritime jurisdiction or ownership over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands could inflict damage to ROK territorial sovereignty or economic gains. The PRC would likely attempt to resolve the conflict employing blitzkrieg tactics before U.S. forces arrive on the scene, while at the same time delaying and denying access of the incoming U.S. forces. If this proves unattainable, the PRC could take a course of action adopting "long-term attrition warfare," thus weakening its enemy's sustainability. All in all, thiss paper makes three proposals on how the ROK should respond. First, modern warfare as well as the emergent future warfare demonstrates that the center stage of battle is no longer the domestic territory, but rather further away into the sea and space. In this respect, the ROKN should take advantage of the distinct feature of battle space on the peninsula, which is surrounded by the seas, and obtain capabilities to intercept more than 50 percent of the enemy's ballistic missiles, including those of North Korea. In tandem with this capacity, employment of a large scale of UAV/F Carrier for Kill Chain operations should enhance effectiveness. This is because conditions are more favorable to defend from sea, on matters concerning accuracy rates against enemy targets, minimized threat of friendly damage, and cost effectiveness. Second, to maintain readiness for a North Korean crisis where timely deployment of US forces is not possible, the ROKN ought to obtain capabilities to hold the enemy attack at bay while deterring PRC naval intervention. It is also argued that ROKN should strengthen its power so as to protect national interests in the seas surrounding the peninsula without support from the USN, should ROK-PRC or ROK-Japan conflict arise concerning maritime jurisprudence. Third, the ROK should fortify infrastructures for independent construction of naval power and expand its R&D efforts, and for this purpose, the ROK should make the most of the advantages stemming from the ROK-U.S. alliance inducing active support from the United States. The rationale behind this argument is that while it is strategically effective to rely on alliance or jump on the bandwagon, the ultimate goal is always to acquire an independent response capability as much as possible.