• 제목/요약/키워드: summer monsoon rainfalls

검색결과 10건 처리시간 0.031초

기후변화와 이상기상 발생의 현황과 미래 (Overview of Climate Change and Unusual Regional Climate and the Future)

  • 문승의
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2000년도 추계 학술대회지
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2000
  • The Asian summer monsoon has a profound social and economic impact in East Asia and its surrounding countries. The monsoon is basically a response of the atmosphere to the differential heating between the land mass of the Asian continent and the adjacent oceans. The atmospheric response, however, is quite complicated due to the interactions between the atmospheric heat sources, land-sea contrast, and topography, The occurrence of extreme summertime floods in Korea, Japan, and China in 1998 and 1999 has highlighted the range of variability of the East Asian summertime monsoon circulation and spurred interest in investigating the cause of such extreme variability. While ENSO is often considered a prime mechanism responsible for the unusual hydrological disasters in East Asia, understanding of the connection between ENSO and the East Asian monsoon is hampered by their dynamic complexities. Along with a recent phenomenon of weather abnormalities observed in many parts of the globe, Korea has seen its share of increased weather abnormalities such as the record-breaking heavy rainfalls due to a series of flash floods in the summers of 1998 and 1999, following devastating Yangtze river floods in China. A clear regime shift is found in the tropospheric mean temperature in the northern hemisphere middle latitudes and the surface temperature over the Asian continent during the summer with a sudden warming since 1977. Either decadal climate variation or climate regime shift in the Asian continent is evident and may have altered the characteristics of the East Asian summer monsoon. Considering the summertime rainfall amount in Korea is overall increased lately, the 1998/99 heavy rainfalls may not be isolated episodes related only to ENSO, but could be a part of long-term climate variation. The record-breaking heavy summer rainfalls in Korea may not be direct impact of ENSO. Instead, the effects of decadal climate variation and ENSO may be coupled to each other and also to the East Asian summer monsoon system, while their individual impacts are difficult to separate.

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동아시아 기온과 강수의 불확실성 평가 (An Uncertainty Assessment of Temperature and Precipitation over East Asia)

  • 신진호;김민지;이효신;권원태
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.299-303
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    • 2008
  • In this study, an uncertainty assessment for surface air temperature(T2m) and precipitation(PCP) over East Asia is carried out. The data simulated by the intergovermental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) Atmosphere-Ocean coupled general circulation Model (AOGCM) are used to assess the uncertainty. Examination of the seasonal uncertainty of T2m and PCP variabilities shows that spring-summer cold bias and fall warm bias of T2m are found over both East Asia and the Korea peninsula. In contrast, distinctly summer dry bias and winter-spring wet bias of PCP over the Korea peninsula is found. To investigate the PCP seasonal variability over East Asia, the cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function(CSEOF) analysis is employed. The CSEOF analysis can extract physical modes (spatio-temporal patterns) and their undulation (PC time series) of PCP, showing the evolution of PCP. A comparison between spatio-temporal patterns of observed and modeled PCP anomalies shows that positive PCP anomalies located in northeastern China (north of Korea) of the multi-model ensemble(MME) cannot explain properly the contribution to summer monsoon rainfalls across Korea and Japan. The uncertainty of modeled PCP indicates that there is disagreement between observed and MME anomalies. The spatio-temporal deviation of the PCP is significantly associated with lower- and upper-level circulations. In particular, lower-level moisture transports from the warm pool of the western Pacific and corresponding moisture convergence significantly contribute to summer rainfalls. These lower- and upper-level circulations physically consistent with PCP give a insight of the reason why differences between modeled and observed PCP occur.

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AOGCM에 의해 모의된 동아시아지역의 강수 연변동성에 대한 불확실성 평가 (An Uncertainty Assessment for Annual Variability of Precipitation Simulated by AOGCMs Over East Asia)

  • 신진호;이효신;김민지;권원태
    • 대기
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.111-130
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    • 2010
  • An uncertainty assessment for precipitation datasets simulated by Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled General Circulation Model (AOGCM) is conducted to provide reliable climate scenario over East Asia. Most of results overestimate precipitation compared to the observational data (wet bias) in spring-fall-winter, while they underestimate precipitation (dry bias) in summer in East Asia. Higher spatial resolution model shows better performances in simulation of precipitation. To assess the uncertainty of spatiotemporal precipitation in East Asia, the cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function (CSEOF) analysis is applied. An annual cycle of precipitation obtained from the CSEOF analysis accounts for the biggest variability in its total variability. A comparison between annual cycles of observed and modeled precipitation anomalies shows distinct differences: 1) positive precipitation anomalies of the multi-model ensemble (MME) for 20 models (thereafter MME20) in summer locate toward the north compared to the observational data so that it cannot explain summer monsoon rainfalls across Korea and Japan. 2) The onset of summer monsoon in MME20 in Korean peninsula starts earlier than observed one. These differences show the uncertainty of modeled precipitation. Also the comparison provides the criteria of annual cycle and correlation between modeled and observational data which helps to select best models and generate a new MME, which is better than the MME20. The spatiotemporal deviation of precipitation is significantly associated with lower-level circulations. In particular, lower-level moisture transports from the warm pool of the western Pacific and corresponding moisture convergence significantly are strongly associated with summer rainfalls. These lower-level circulations physically consistent with precipitation give insight into description of the reason in the monsoon of East Asia why behaviors of individually modeled precipitation differ from that of observation.

열대 및 아열대 SST에 관련된 동아시아 강우량의 경년 변동성 (Interannual variabilities of the East Asia precipitation associated with tropical and subtropical sea surface temperature)

  • 하경자
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제4권5호
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    • pp.28-28
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    • 1995
  • The aim of the present study is to investigate the interannual variabilities of the East Asia monsoon rainfall associated with the global sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA). For this study, the summer rainfall(from June to August) over the twenty-eight period of 1961-1988 were analyzed with being divided by nine-subregions over East Asia including Korea, China and Japan. From the analysis of the principal modes explaining the interannual variation, the interannual variabilities of summer rainfalls in South Japan and Korea are larger than those of the other subregions of the East Asia. There is a strong negative correlation between the summer rainfalls of south China and Korea. In this study, the relationship between the summer monsoon of each subregion and SSTs of the tropical NINO regions, of western Pacific warm pool, and of the subtropical ocean were investigated. The longitudinal sections of the lagged cross correlations of the summer rainfal1 anomaly in (a) Korea and (b) south China, and the monthly SSTA in the equatorial(averaged from 65 to 6N) Pacific were analyzed. The negative maximum correlation pattems of Korea''s stammer rainfal1 and SSTs over the eastern Pacific is transfered to positive maximum conrlation over central Pacific region with a biennial periodicity. In South China, the significant positive correlations are found at -12 month lag over the eastern Pacific and maximum negative correlation at 16 month lag over the central Pacific with the quasi-biennial oscillation. But the correlation coefficient reverses completely to that in Korea. In order to investigate the most prevailing interannual variability of rainfall related to the favored SSTA region, the lagged cross correlations between East Asia rainfall and SSTs over the moO regions(NINO 1+2(0-105, 90W-80W), NINO 3(5N-5S, 150W-90W), NINO 4(5N-5S, 160E-l50W) and the western Pacific worm pool (5N-5S, 120E-l60E) were analyzed. Among the lagged cross-correlation cycles in NINO regions, the maximum correlations for the negative lagged months prevail in NINO 1+2 and NINO 3, and the cross correlations for the positive lagged months NINO 4. It is noteworthy that correlation between the western Pacific warm pool SSTA and the monsoon rainfall in Korea and South China have the maximum value at negative 4 month lag. The evolution of the correlation between the East Asia monsoon rainfall and SSTA is linked to the equatorial convective cluster and related to northward propagating situation, and raising the possibility that the East Asia monsoon precipitation may be more fundamentally related to the interaction of intraseasonal oscillations and the sub-regional characteristics including the surface boundary conditions and the behavior of climatological air mass.

열대 및 아열대 SST에 관련된 동아시아 강우량의 경년 변동성 (Interannual variabilities of the East Asia precipitation associated with tropical and subtropical sea surface temperature)

  • 하경자
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제4권5호
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    • pp.413-426
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    • 1995
  • The aim of the present study is to investigate the interannual variabilities of the East Asia monsoon rainfall associated with the global sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA). For this study, the summer rainfall(from June to August) over the twenty-eight period of 1961-1988 were analyzed with being divided by nine-subregions over East Asia including Korea, China and Japan. From the analysis of the principal modes explaining the interannual variation, the interannual variabilities of summer rainfalls in South Japan and Korea are larger than those of the other subregions of the East Asia. There is a strong negative correlation between the summer rainfalls of south China and Korea. In this study, the relationship between the summer monsoon of each subregion and SSTs of the tropical NINO regions, of western Pacific warm pool, and of the subtropical ocean were investigated. The longitudinal sections of the lagged cross correlations of the summer rainfal1 anomaly in (a) Korea and (b) south China, and the monthly SSTA in the equatorial(averaged from 65 to 6N) Pacific were analyzed. The negative maximum correlation pattems of Korea's stammer rainfal1 and SSTs over the eastern Pacific is transfered to positive maximum conrlation over central Pacific region with a biennial periodicity. In South China, the significant positive correlations are found at -12 month lag over the eastern Pacific and maximum negative correlation at 16 month lag over the central Pacific with the quasi-biennial oscillation. But the correlation coefficient reverses completely to that in Korea. In order to investigate the most prevailing interannual variability of rainfall related to the favored SSTA region, the lagged cross correlations between East Asia rainfall and SSTs over the moO regions(NINO 1+2(0-105, 90W-80W), NINO 3(5N-5S, 150W-90W), NINO 4(5N-5S, 160E-l50W) and the western Pacific worm pool (5N-5S, 120E-l60E) were analyzed. Among the lagged cross-correlation cycles in NINO regions, the maximum correlations for the negative lagged months prevail in NINO 1+2 and NINO 3, and the cross correlations for the positive lagged months NINO 4. It is noteworthy that correlation between the western Pacific warm pool SSTA and the monsoon rainfall in Korea and South China have the maximum value at negative 4 month lag. The evolution of the correlation between the East Asia monsoon rainfall and SSTA is linked to the equatorial convective cluster and related to northward propagating situation, and raising the possibility that the East Asia monsoon precipitation may be more fundamentally related to the interaction of intraseasonal oscillations and the sub-regional characteristics including the surface boundary conditions and the behavior of climatological air mass.

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Classification of Convective/Stratiform Radar Echoes over a Summer Monsoon Front, and Their Optimal Use with TRMM PR Data

  • Oh, Hyun-Mi;Heo, Ki-Young;Ha, Kyung-Ja
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.465-474
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    • 2009
  • Convective/stratiform radar echo classification schemes by Steiner et al. (1995) and Biggerstaff and Listemaa (2000) are examined on a monsoonal front during the summer monsoon-Changma period, which is organized as a cloud cluster with mesoscale convective complex. Target radar is S-band with wavelength of 10cm, spatial resolution of 1km, elevation angle interval of 0.5-1.0 degree, and minimum elevation angle of 0.19 degree at Jindo over the Korean Peninsula. For verification of rainfall amount retrieved from the echo classification, ground-based rain gauge observations (Automatic Weather Stations) are examined, converting the radar echo grid data to the station values using the inverse distance weighted method. Improvement from the echo classification is evaluated based on the correlation coefficient and the scattered diagram. Additionally, an optimal use method was designed to produce combined rainfalls from the radar echo and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Precipitation Radar (TRMM/PR) data. Optimal values for the radar rain and TRMM/PR rain are inversely weighted according to the error variance statistics for each single station. It is noted how the rainfall distribution during the summer monsoon frontal system is improved from the classification of convective/stratiform echo and the use of the optimal use technique.

강릉 남대천 부유입자유기물의 탄소안정동위원소 비와 C/N 비의 시·공간 변동 (Spatial and Temporal Variations of δ13C and C/N in Suspended Particulate Organic Matter in the Gangneung Namdae Stream, Korea)

  • 곽정현;박현제
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.531-539
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    • 2020
  • To understand the composition, quantity, and quality of Suspended Particulate Organic Matter (SPOM) in the Gangneung Namdae Stream, Korea, we examined spatiotemporal variations in water temperature, salinity, chlorophlly a (Chl a), Particulate Organic Carbon (POC) and nitrogen (PON), and carbon stable isotope (δ13C) of SPOM at six stations in June (pre-monsoon), July (monsoon), and September (post-monsoon) 2017. With increasing precipitation, the average POC and C/N values increased significantly in July than in June. In September, the values decreased with decreasing precipitation. The δ13C values showed irregular spatiotemporal fluctuations among the stations and periods, thereby suggesting a greater contribution of autochthonous organic matter to the pool of SPOM than that of allochthonous organic matter derived from upstream. In addition, the large and irregular changes in POC, C/N ratio, C:Chl a, and δ13C compared to that of PON were observed for all periods among the stations, indicating a serial discontinuity of the stream. Our results suggest that the Gangneung Namdae Stream is significantly influenced by the increase in freshwater discharge caused by heavy rainfalls during the summer monsoon and post-monsoon periods.

북한강 수계의 남조 Anabaena 대발생과 강우의 관계 (Relationship between a Dense Bloom of Cyanobacterium Anabaena spp. and Rainfalls in the North Han River System of South Korea)

  • 변정환;조인환;황순진;박명환;변명섭;김백호
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.116-126
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    • 2014
  • 2012년 5월부터 2013년 4월까지 북한강 수계 3개의 연속댐(의암호, 청평호, 팔당호)의 수리-수문, 수질 및 식물플랑크톤 현존량 등을 월 1회씩 총 12회에 걸쳐 조사하였다. 3개 저수지의 식물플랑크톤 군집은 몬순전기에는 돌말류, 몬순기에는 남조류, 몬순후기에는 다시 돌말류가 우점하는 계절성을 보였으며, 팔당호에서는 몬순후기 저온기에 녹조류가 높은 밀도를 나타냈다. 조사기간동안 가장 높은 현존량을 보였던 남조 Anabaena spp.는 의암호에서 2012년 6월에 출현하여 7월에 최고치(43,850 cells $mL^{-1}$)를 보이고 높은 수준을 유지하다가 11월에 소멸되었다. 이에 비해 청평호 (31,648 cells $mL^{-1}$)와 팔당호 (7,136 cells $mL^{-1}$)에서는 공히 7월에 처음 출현하여 8월에 최고치를 보이다가 9월에 완전히 사라졌다. 수환경과 남조 Anabaena spp. 현존량과의 관계를 보면, 3개 저수지 모두 강우 (r=0.72, r=0.83, r=0.88, P<0.01 for all)를 비롯한 유입량, 유출량 및 영양염에 대하여 높은 상관성을 나타냈다. 따라서 2012년 봄철 갈수기 동안 북한강 수계 3개 저수지에서 일어난 Anabaena 대발생 및 소멸은 강우의 직, 간접적인 영향을 받았으며, 의암호는 강우 이후에도 상당기간 동안 다른 남조류가 비교적 높은 현존량을 유지하고 있어 상수원 저수지의 이취미 및 독소발생 가능성은 지속될 것으로 판단되었다.

전형적인 호우와 연관된 대기순환 (Typical Patterns of the Heavy Rains and their Associated Atmospheric Circulation)

  • Hi-Ryong Byun;Mo-Rang Her
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 1998
  • 1981년부터 1990년까지 10년간 발생한 274개의 호우사례를 분류하여,한반도에서 호우시에 나타나는 강수량의 공간분포를 여섯 종류로 나누고 각각의 정관적 특성을 분석하였다. 첫때, 강하게 발달한 지표 저기압에 연관되어 발생하는 호우보다 상, 하층 제트를 동반한 채 발달중인 저기압에 연관되어 발생하는 호우가 많다. 둘째, 재부분의 호우역은 하층 제트의 위치와 방향 그리고 지표 온나전선의 위치에 연관되어 있다. 셋째, 500hPa 면의 저기압 중심이나 기압골의 위치가 서쪽으로 멀어질수록 한반도에어 호우는 고위도에서 발생하는 경향이 있다. 넷째, 한반도에 호우를 초래하는 500hPa의 저기압 중심은 하계몬순의 발달을 따라 서쪽으로 자리잡는 경향이 있으나 해마다 차이가 있다.차이가 있다.

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RUSLE 모델에 의한 군사격장 피탄지 토양유실량 평가: 토양 유실과 오염 화약물질 이동 상관성 (Assessment of Soil Loss at Military Shooting Range by RUSLE Model: Correlation Between Soil Loss and Migration of Explosive Compounds)

  • 공효영;이광표;이종열;김범준;이아름;배범한;김지연
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.119-128
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    • 2012
  • The applicability and accuracy of Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) model on the estimation of soil loss at impacted area of shooting range was tested to further the understanding of soil erosion at shooting ranges by using RUSLE. At a shooting range located in northern Kyunggi, the amount of soil loss was estimated by RUSLE model and compared with that estimated by Global Positioning System-Total Station survey. As results, the annual soil loss at a study site (202 m long by 79 m wide) was estimated to be 2,915 ton/ha/year by RUSLE and 3,058 ton/ha/year by GPS-TS survey, respectively. The error between two different estimations was less than 5%, however, information on site conditions should be collected more to adjust model coefficients accurately. At the study shooting range, sediments generated by rainfall was transported from the top to near the bottom of the sloping face through sheet erosion as well as rill erosion, forming a gully along the direction of the storm water flow. Coarser fractions of the sediments were redeposited in the limited area along the channel. Distribution characteristics of explosive compounds in soil before and after summer monsoon rainfall in the study area were compared with the erosion patterns. Soil sampling and analyses results showed that the dispersion of explosive compounds in surface soil was consistent with the characteristics of soil erosion and redeposition pattern of sediment movements after rainfalls.