• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2021

Previous studies have found the significant adverse effects of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on stock returns and volatility. The effects varied with the confirmed cases and deaths. However, the extent of the effects have never been measured exactly. This study proposes a measurement model for the COVID-19 effects. In the proposed model, stock returns in the COVID-19 period are weighted averages of pre-COVID-19 normal returns and COVID-19-induced returns. The effects are measured by the contributing weights of the COVID-19-induced returns. Kalman filtering is used to estimate the model for the world and Chinese markets, in combination with 10 markets - five most affected countries (United States, India, Brazil, Russia, and France) and five best recovering countries (Hong Kong, Australia, Singapore, Thailand, and South Korea). The sample returns are daily, obtained from the closing Morgan Stanley global investable market indexes. The full period is from September 24, 2018, to October 30, 2020, whereas the COVID-19 period is from November 18, 2019, to October 30, 2020. The contributing weights are significant and close to 100% for all markets. The COVID-19-induced returns replace the pre-COVID-19 normal returns; they are negatively auto-correlated and highly volatile. The COVID-19-induced returns are new normal returns in the COVID-19 period.

• Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.7-13
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• 2006

Using biochemical methods, we determined the potential of local female shrimp populations as breeding stock to select the best adult prawns for improving larval production. As condition indexes, we selected total RNA, DNA, their ratio, and trypsin activity. The DNA content in the pleopods of each local population was similar, i.e., between $0.90{\pm}0.06\;and\;1.02{\pm}0.04(SE){\mu}g/mg$. In comparison, the RNA contents differed markedly between $2.00{\pm}0.09$ and $0.96{\pm}0.08\;{\mu}g/mg$. Therefore, the RNA/DNA (R/D) ratio in the pleopod could be used as a condition index because it represents a biochemical characteristic of the population. The mean pleopodal R/D ratio of the Goheung population was the highest at $2.52{\pm}0.19$, which indicated the best condition. Trypsin activity was influenced little by shrimp condition and more by the amount of food ingested. The gonadosomatic index (GSI) and R/D ratio in the gonads provided offsetting information about the instantaneous gonad maturity. The Goheung population had the highest instantaneous GSI, despite some spawning. Based on the condition indexes and time of gonad maturation, the Goheung shrimp population is suitable for use as breeding stock.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제16권12호
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• pp.5-11
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• 2018

Purpose - We investigate the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of the US and China and housing distribution economy in Korea using EPU indexes of two countries and the economic indicators in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - We use the data such as the Korean housing price stability index (HPSI), housing purchase price index (HPPI), housing lease price index (HLPI), banking stock index (BSI), and consumer price index (CPI) with EPU indexes from January 1999 to December 2017. As an empirical methodology, we select the vector error correction model (VECM) due to the existence of cointegration. Result - As results of the impulse response function, the impact of the US EPU index has initially a negative response on the Korean HPSI, HPPI, and HLPI referring the housing distribution market including the economic variables, BSI, and CPI. Likewise, the impact of index in China has initially a negative response on economic indicators except the BSI in Korea. Conclusions - This study shows that the EPU index of the US has significantly negative relationships on all economic indicators in Korea. In this study, we reveal EPU of the US and China has dynamic impact on housing distribution economy returns in Korea.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.217-227
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• 2022

Predicting return and volatility in the global Capital Market during a pandemic is challenging, and it is more difficult for a specific sector, particularly if that sector has a positive outlook. The goal of this research is to look at the impact of COVID-19 on the mean and volatility of the Information Technology Indexes of the best nine technology-driven countries based on return performance using an econometric GARCH model that is widely used. The daily returns of information technology indexes are evaluated for the same from November 2018 to February 2021. Data is taken from Yahoo Finance for CAC Tech (France), DAX Tech (Germany), FTSE All Tech (UK), KOPSI 200 IT (Korea), NIFTY IT (India), S&P 500 IT (US), S&P TSX (Canada), SSE_IT (China) and TOPIX17 (Japan). The results show daily positive mean returns for 8 countries' IT Indices and further, an uptrend in mean daily returns is observed in the crisis period for 6 countries' IT Indices. The exogenous variable COVID-19 which was taken as a regressor for the GARCH model was found to be positively significant for IT indices of all the countries. The overall results confirm the presence of the mean-reverting phenomenon for IT indices of all the countries.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.509-525
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• 2015

A three-dimensional aerodynamic model and a vehicle dynamics model are established to investigate the effect of noise barrier on the dynamic performance of a high-speed train running on an embankment in crosswind in this paper. Based on the developed model, flow structures around the train with and without noise barrier are compared. Effect of the noise barrier height on the train dynamic performance is studied. Then, comparisons between the dynamic performance indexes of the train running on the windward track and on the leeward track are made. The calculated results show that the noise barrier has significant effects on the structure of the flow field around the train in crosswind and thus on the dynamic performance of the high-speed train. The dynamic performance of the train on the windward track is better than that on the leeward track. In addition, various heights of the noise barrier will have different effects on the train dynamic performance. The dynamic performance indexes keep decreasing with the increase of the noise barrier height before the height reaches a certain value, while these indexes have an inverse trend when the height is above this value. These results suggest that optimization on the noise barrier height is possible and demonstrate that the designed noise barrier height of the existing China Railway High-speed line analysed in this article is reasonable from the view point of the flow field structure and train dynamic performance although the noise barrier is always designed based on the noise-related standard.

• 동아시아경상학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.41-51
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• 2021

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to propose strategies of improving efficiency of 20 listed port companies in China based on analysis of their input-output indexes from 2014 to 2018. Research design, data, and methodology - In this paper, the relevant input-output indicators of 20 listed port companies in China from 2014 to 2018 were adopted. Data derived from the company annual reports announced by Shanghai stock exchange and Shenzhen stock exchange. Comprehensive efficiency and pure technical efficiency were measured from output perspective by DEA and Malmquist index, and efficiency changes and regional efficiency were analyzed. Result - The results showed that the efficiency value of 20 listed port companies in China fluctuated and increased during 2014-2018, regional efficiency was unbalanced, and change of MPI was influenced by internal factors and external factors. Listed port companies affected by internal and external factors needed to make appropriate response to internal and external factors. Conclusion - The research conclusion can provide important reference information about management and planning for port companies in China and related areas. However, this paper is limited to the availability of data. So the improvement scheme for listed companies in inefficient regional ports needs further study, such as using AHP method.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1366-1372
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• 2011

Life cycle of the rolling stock is normally 20 to 40 years, though there is some difference in accordance with each vehicle. Maintenance cost is over the twice of purchasing price. and also it is true that precise statics is not managed properly except for some developed countries due to the difference of maintenance method, skills. After KORAIL introduced ERP system in 2007, maintenance cost is managed by type of cars, by unit. but, afterwards it should be controlled as an index and also more precisely. it is the best pending issues to make train maintenance efficiency, to utilize accumulated indexes. I want to attribute to train maintenance efficiency by analysing what is the problems in the present maintenance method.

• 한국정보과학회논문지:데이타베이스
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.201-213
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• 2006

일정 기간 동안 객체의 변화한 값들을 기록한 것을 그 객체에 대한 시계열 데이타 시퀀스라고 부르며, 이들의 집합을 시계열 데이타베이스라고 한다. 서브시퀀스 매칭은 주어진 질의 시퀀스와 변화의 추세가 유사한 서브시퀀스들을 시계열 데이타베이스로부터 검색하는 연산이다. 본 논문에서는 서브시퀀스 매칭의 성능을 극대화하기 위한 방안을 제시한다. 먼저, 윈도우 크기 효과로 인한 서브시퀀스 매칭의 심각한 성능 저하 현상을 정량적으로 관찰하여, 하나의 윈도우 크기를 대상으로 만든 단 하나의 인덱스만을 이용하는 것은 실제 응용에서 만족할만한 성능을 제공할 수 없다는 것을 규명하였다 또한, 이러한 문제로 인해 다양한 윈도우 크기들을 기반으로 다수의 인덱스들을 구성하여 서브시퀀스 매칭을 수행하는 인덱스 보간법의 응용이 필요함을 보였다. 인덱스 보간법을 응용하여 서브시퀀스 매칭을 수행하기 위해서는 먼저 다수의 인덱스들을 위한 윈도우 크기들을 결정해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 물리적 데이타베이스 설계 방식을 이용하여 이러한 최적의 다수의 윈도우 크기들을 선정하는 문제를 해결하였다. 이를 위하여 시계열 데이터 베이스에서 수행될 예정인 질의 시퀀스들의 집합과 인덱스 구성의 기반이 되는 윈도우들의 크기의 집합이 주어질 때, 전체 서브시퀀스 매칭들을 수행하는 데에 소요되는 비용을 예측할 수 있는 공식을 산출하였다. 또한, 이 비용 공식을 이용하여 전체 서브시퀀스 매칭들의 성능을 극대화 할 수 있는 최적의 윈도우 크기들을 결정하는 알고리즘을 제안하였으며, 이 알고리즘의 최적성과 효율성을 이론적으로 규명하였다. 끝으로, 실제 주식 데이타와 대량의 합성 데이타를 이용한 실험 결과, 제안된 기법은 기존의 단순한 기법과 비교하여 1.5배에서 7.8배 성능이 향상됨을 보였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.335-351
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• 2011

오경주와 김태윤 (2007) 등은 위기 관련 데이터의 희귀성 에서 발생하는 문제를 해결하기 위해 과거 금융시장이 안정적이었던 구간을 기준 구간으로 설정하고 기준 구간의 금융시장 움직임을 점 근 자기회귀 모형으로 적합한 후 현재의 금융시장 상황과 비교하여 불안정 지수를 도출할 것을 제안하였다. 그러나 비모수 기법인 신경망을 사용하여 도출된 불안정 지수가 기준 구간의 데이터에 지나치게 의존하는 관계로 불안정 지수가 종종 실제 경제상황을 제대로 반영하지 못하는 것으로 관찰되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 비모수 기법인 신경망과 모수 기법인 선형모형을 이용하여 기준구간에 대한 적합을 독립적으로 수행하여 두 종류의 불안정성 지수들을 도출한 후 이 둘을 결합한 통합 불안정성 지수를 사용할 것을 제안한다. 두 지수의 적절한 통합을 위해 신경망과 선형모형을 통해 도출된 두 지수의 최적 결합비율을 부여하는 방법을 제안하며 제안기법의 타당성을 국내 주식시장 대상으로 검증하였다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.335-350
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• 1998

X11ARIMA는 1965년 미국 센서스국에서 개발된 X11분석 방법에 기초한 시계열 분석방법으로 Dagum(1975)에 의해 개발되었다. 이 기법은 Dagum(1988)에 의하여 북미지역의 174개의 경제지수를 바탕으로 일부 기본모형이 수정·보완되어 오늘날에 이르고 있다. 최근에는 회귀 모형과 ARIMA모형을 동시에 고려하여 특이치와 추세 변환효과(outlier arid Trend-change effects), 계절변동(seasonal effect), 그리고 달력효과(calendal effect) 등을 추정한 William 등(1995)과 Chen과 Findley(1995)의 X12ARIMA분석 방법이 소개되었다. 그러나 위의 모든 기법들은 주로 북미지역의 경제지수를 기초로 하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 우리나라의 산업중분류에서 산출되는 102개(생산(27), 출하(27), 재고(27), 가동률(21))의 지수에 대한 우리나라의 표준 ARIMA모형을 제시하고, 우리나라에 적합한 이동평균항수를 제공하고자 한다. 그리고 우리나라의 설, 추석 등의 명절효과를 태양력으로 전환함과 동시에, 최근에 논의되고 있는 X12ARIMA에서 사용되는 회귀모형과 ARIMA모형을 동시에 고려하는 명절효과를 도출하고자 한다.