• 제목/요약/키워드: stochastic simulation.

검색결과 786건 처리시간 0.025초

적응 이동 구간 칼만 필터를 이용한 무인 잠수정의 항법 시스템에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Underwater Navigation System with Adaptive Receding Horizon Kalman Filter)

  • 조경남;서동철;최항순
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.269-279
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, an underwater navigation system with adaptive receding horizon Kalman filter (ARHKF) is studied. It is well known that incorrect statistical information and temporal disturbance invoke errors of any navigation systems with Kalman filter, which makes the autonomous navigation difficult in real underwater environment. In this context, two kinds of problems are herein considered. The first one is the development of an algorithm, which estimates the noise covariance of a linear discrete time-varying stochastic system. The second one is the implementation of ARHKF to underwater navigation systems. The performance of the derived estimation algorithm of noise covariance and the ARHKF are verified by simulation and experiment in the towing tank of Seoul National University.

Natural frequency of laminated composite plate resting on an elastic foundation with uncertain system properties

  • Lal, Achchhe;Singh, B.N.;Kumar, Rakesh
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.199-222
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    • 2007
  • Composite laminated structures supported on elastic foundations are being increasingly used in a great variety of engineering applications. Composites exhibit larger dispersion in their material properties compared to the conventional materials due to large number of parameters associated with their manufacturing and fabrication processes. And also the dispersion in elastic foundation stiffness parameter is inherent due to inaccurate modeling and determination of elastic foundation properties in practice. For a better modeling of the material properties and foundation, these are treated as random variables. This paper deals with effects of randomness in material properties and foundation stiffness parameters on the free vibration response of laminated composite plate resting on an elastic foundation. A $C^0$ finite element method has been used for arriving at an eigen value problem. Higher order shear deformation theory has been used to model the displacement field. A mean centered first order perturbation technique has been employed to handle randomness in system properties for obtaining the stochastic characteristic of frequency response. It is observed that small amount of variations in random material properties and foundation stiffness parameters significantly affect the free vibration response of the laminated composite plate. The results have been compared with those available in the literature and an independent Monte Carlo simulation.

RFID시스템에서 슬롯의 혼잡도를 이용한 DFS-ALOHA 알고리즘 (A DFS-ALOHA Algorithm with Slot Congestion Rates in a RFID System)

  • 이재구;최승식
    • 정보처리학회논문지C
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    • 제16C권2호
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    • pp.267-274
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    • 2009
  • RFID 리더기가 영역내의 다수의 태그를 인식할 때 태그간의 통신간섭에 의해 태그인식이 방해 받는다. 이를 피하기 위해서는 충돌방지 알고리즘이 필요하게 된다. 충돌방지 알고리즘은 크게 슬롯 알로하 기반 알고리즘과 트리기반 알고리즘으로 나뉜다. 본 논문은 ISO 18000-6 TYPE A에 정의된 알로하 기반의 Framed Slotted ALOHA(FSA) 알고리즘에 태그와 슬롯간의 혼잡도를 이용하여 성능을 개선한 Dynamic Framed Slotted ALOHA-Slot Congestion(DFSA-SC) 알고리즘을 제안한다. 시뮬레이션 결과 최초 태그 수 추정의 정확도를 높여 전체 태그인식 시간이 줄어든 것을 확인 할 수 있었다. 나아가 태그 아이디의 중복성이 클 경우 대표적인 트리기반 알고리즘인 Query Tree 알고리즘보다 제안된 알고리즘이 우수한 것을 확인 할 수 있었다.

Fuzzy Logic based Admission Control for On-grid Energy Saving in Hybrid Energy Powered Cellular Networks

  • Wang, Heng;Tang, Chaowei;Zhao, Zhenzhen;Tang, Hui
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제10권10호
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    • pp.4724-4747
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    • 2016
  • To efficiently reduce on-grid energy consumption, the admission control algorithm in the hybrid energy powered cellular network (HybE-Net) with base stations (BSs) powered by on-grid energy and solar energy is studied. In HybE-Net, the fluctuation of solar energy harvesting and energy consumption may result in the imbalance of solar energy utilization among BSs, i.e., some BSs may be surplus in solar energy, while others may maintain operation with on-grid energy supply. Obviously, it makes solar energy not completely useable, and on-grid energy cannot be reduced at capacity. Thus, how to control user admission to improve solar energy utilization and to reduce on-grid energy consumption is a great challenge. Motivated by this, we first model the energy flow behavior by using stochastic queue model, and dynamic energy characteristics are analyzed mathematically. Then, fuzzy logic based admission control algorithm is proposed, which comprehensively considers admission judgment parameters, e.g., transmission rate, bandwidth, energy state of BSs. Moreover, the index of solar energy utilization balancing is proposed to improve the balance of energy utilization among different BSs in the proposed algorithm. Finally, simulation results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm performs excellently in improving solar energy utilization and reducing on-grid energy consumption of the HybE-Net.

Numerical framework for stress cycle assessment of cables under vortex shedding excitations

  • Ruiz, Rafael O.;Loyola, Luis;Beltran, Juan F.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.225-238
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    • 2019
  • In this paper a novel and efficient computational framework to estimate the stress range versus number of cycles curves experienced by a cable due to external excitations (e.g., seismic excitations, traffic and wind-induced vibrations, among others) is proposed. This study is limited to the wind-cable interaction governed by the Vortex Shedding mechanism which mainly rules cables vibrations at low amplitudes that may lead to their failure due to bending fatigue damage. The algorithm relies on a stochastic approach to account for the uncertainties in the cable properties, initial conditions, damping, and wind excitation which are the variables that govern the wind-induced vibration phenomena in cables. These uncertainties are propagated adopting Monte Carlo simulations and the concept of importance sampling, which is used to reduce significantly the computational costs when new scenarios with different probabilistic models for the uncertainties are evaluated. A high fidelity cable model is also proposed, capturing the effect of its internal wires distribution and helix angles on the cables stress. Simulation results on a 15 mm diameter high-strength steel strand reveal that not accounting for the initial conditions uncertainties or using a coarse wind speed discretization lead to an underestimation of the stress range experienced by the cable. In addition, parametric studies illustrate the computational efficiency of the algorithm at estimating new scenarios with new probabilistic models, running 3000 times faster than the base case.

Probabilistic study on buildings with MTMD system in different seismic performance levels

  • Etedali, Sadegh
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제81권4호
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    • pp.429-441
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    • 2022
  • A probabilistic assessment of the seismic-excited buildings with a multiple-tuned-mass-damper (MTMD) system is carried out in the presence of uncertainties of the structural model, MTMD system, and the stochastic model of the seismic excitations. A free search optimization procedure of the individual mass, stiffness and, damping parameters of the MTMD system based on the snap-drift cuckoo search (SDCS) optimization algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of the MTMD system. Considering a 10-story structure in three cases equipped with single tuned mass damper (STMS), 5-TMD and 10-TMD, sensitivity analyses are carried out using Sobol' indices based on the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. Considering different seismic performance levels, the reliability analyses are done using MCS and kriging-based MCS methods. The results show the maximum structural responses are more affected by changes in the PGA and the stiffness coefficients of the structural floors and TMDs. The results indicate the kriging-based MCS method can estimate the accurate amount of failure probability by spending less time than the MCS. The results also show the MTMD gives a significant reduction in the structural failure probability. The effect of the MTMD on the reduction of the failure probability is remarkable in the performance levels of life safety and collapse prevention. The maximum drift of floors may be reduced for the nominal structural system by increasing the TMDs, however, the complexity of the MTMD model and increasing its corresponding uncertainty sources can be caused a slight increase in the failure probability of the structure.

제어 장벽함수를 이용한 안전한 행동 영역 탐색과 제어 매개변수의 실시간 적응 (Online Adaptation of Control Parameters with Safe Exploration by Control Barrier Function)

  • 김수영;손흥선
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 2022
  • One of the most fundamental challenges when designing controllers for dynamic systems is the adjustment of controller parameters. Usually the system model is used to get the initial controller, but eventually the controller parameters must be manually adjusted in the real system to achieve the best performance. To avoid this manual tuning step, data-driven methods such as machine learning were used. Recently, reinforcement learning became one alternative of this problem to be considered as an agent learns policies in large state space with trial-and-error Markov Decision Process (MDP) which is widely used in the field of robotics. However, on initial training step, as an agent tries to explore to the new state space with random action and acts directly on the controller parameters in real systems, MDP can lead the system safety-critical system failures. Therefore, the issue of 'safe exploration' became important. In this paper we meet 'safe exploration' condition with Control Barrier Function (CBF) which converts direct constraints on the state space to the implicit constraint of the control inputs. Given an initial low-performance controller, it automatically optimizes the parameters of the control law while ensuring safety by the CBF so that the agent can learn how to predict and control unknown and often stochastic environments. Simulation results on a quadrotor UAV indicate that the proposed method can safely optimize controller parameters quickly and automatically.

노출평가 방법론에 대한 과거와 현재, 그리고 미래 (Review of Exposure Assessment Methodology for Future Directions)

  • 곽수영;이기영
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제48권3호
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2022
  • Public interest has been increasing the focus on the management of exposure to pollutants and the related health effects. This study reviewed exposure assessment methodologies and addressed future directions. Exposure can be assessed by direct (exposure monitoring) or indirect approaches (exposure modelling). Exposure modelling is a cost-effective tool to assess exposure among individuals, but direct personal monitoring provides more accurate exposure data. There are several population exposure models: stochastic human exposure and dose simulation (SHEDS), air pollutants exposure (APEX), and air pollution exposure distributions within adult urban population in Europe (EXPOLIS). A South Korean population exposure model is needed since the resolution of ambient concentrations and time-activity patterns are country specific. Population exposure models could be useful to find the association between exposure to pollutants and adverse health effects in epidemiologic studies. With the advancement of sensor technology and the internet of things (IoT), exposure assessment could be applied in a real-time surveillance system. In the future, environmental health services will be useful to protect and promote human health from exposure to pollutants.

추계 일기 생성 모형을 활용한 합성 적설심 시계열 모의 (Simulation of synthetic snow depth time-series using stochastic weather generation model)

  • 박정하;김동균
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.99-99
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 기상 자료와 적설 특성 자료의 관계를 도출하고, 이와 추계 일기 생성 모형을 활용하여 합성 적설심 시계열을 모의하는 방법에 대하여 제안한다. 추계 일기 생성 모형에서는 적설량을 직접 모의하지 않기 때문에 강수량을 적설량으로 변환해야한다. 이를 위해 도입한 관계식은 다음과 같다. 첫째로 기상청 적설 예보의 적설 유무 판단 기준을 이용하였다. 이 기준에서는 상대습도와 지상기온에 따라 강수의 형태를 비, 눈, 진눈깨비로 구분한다. 둘째로 강수가 적설로 판단되었을 때 강수량을 신적설심으로 환산하는 수상당량비를 지상기온과 회귀 분석하였다. 선행 연구에 따라 3시간 1 mm 이상 5 mm 이하 강수와 3시간 5 mm 이상 강수 사상에 대하여 나누어 sigmoid형 곡선을 이용하여 회귀 분석하였다. 마지막으로 융설에 의한 적설심 감소량을 지상기온과 복사량의 함수로 표현하였으며, 각 변수의 계수는 입자 군집 최적화 방법을 통하여 보정하였다. 추계 일기 생성 모형으로는 AWE-GEN 모형을 활용하였으며, 시험 자료로 강릉(105) 종관기상관측소의 24년 기간(1982-2005) 자료를 활용하여 합성 적설심 시계열을 생성하였다. 합성 적설심 시계열 모의 과정은 다음과 같다. (1) 추계 일기 생성 모형으로 합성 일기 자료 생성, (2) 강수 발생 시 적설 유무 판단, (3) 적설로 판단 시 수상당량비를 계산하여 신적설심 추정, (4) 기존 적설심에 신적설심을 더하고, 적설심 감소량만큼 감소. 위와 같은 과정으로 200년 길이 합성 적설심 시계열을 모의한 결과 극한 사상을 과소 추정하는 경향이 나타나 추가적인 개선이 필요한 것으로 판단된다.

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물 공급 시설의 향상된 가뭄 대응전략을 위한 댐 유입량 모의 기법 제시 (Stochastic Simulation for Reservoir inflows to Improve Drought Mitigation Policies of Water Supply Infrastructures)

  • 지수광;안국현
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.172-172
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    • 2021
  • 주된 물관리 시설의 신뢰성 있는 운영 계획의 수립을 위하여 충분한 길이의 유입량을 확보하는 것은 중요하나 현실적으로 제한된 관측 자료만 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 충분한 길이의 유입량을 생성하기 위하여 유입량의 모의 방법론을 제안하고자 한다. 제안하는 모형은 크게 3가지의 방법론을 기반으로 한다. 첫 번째는 연 유입량과 월 유입량의 생성단계로 Wavelet 기반으로 Autoregressive-moving-average(ARMA)을 적용할 것이다. 다음으로 일 유입량의 생성에 있어서 과거 관측값을 기반으로 한 Z-Score-based jittering 방법론을 적용할 것이다. 이렇게 각각 생성된 연 유입량, 월 유입량 그리고 일 유입량을 K-Nearest Nedighbors (K-NN) 방법론을 이용하여 최종 유입량을 결정하고자 한다. 생성된 유입량의 유용성을 판단하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 단기와 장기에서의 시계열의 지속성을 허스트 지수와 상관계수를 사용하여 검증할 것이며 이를 과거 관측치와 비교하고자 한다. 또한 각각의 연, 월, 일별의 기준으로 주요 통계치인 평균과 표준편차를 과거 관측 시계열의 통계치와 비교하여 그 유용성을 판단할 것이다.

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