• 제목/요약/키워드: statistical limits

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IUU어업을 고려한 생태계기반 자원평가 (A revised ecosystem-based fishery risk assessment incorporating IUU fishing)

  • 권유정;이성일;장창익
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제60권3호
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    • pp.244-257
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    • 2024
  • Considering the negative impact of IUU fishing on fishery resources and fishery management, a revised approach for estimating risks of the ecosystem-based fisheries assessment (EBFA) of Zhang et al. (2011) was developed that incorporates three components of the IUU (illegal, unreported and unregulated) fishing as penalties. In this study, we introduced ways to develop indicators of IUU fishing suitable for the Korean fishery and apply them to ecosystem-based resource assessment. The indicator for the illegal fishing component was set as the fishing without licenses or permits, and that for the unreported fishing component was set as unreported fishing activities. Indicators for the unregulated fishing component were set as fishing operated by illegal fishing gear, illegal fish capture, fishing operations in prohibited fishing area, and fishing with restrict permits. IUU fishing significantly impacts the stock of target species. Therefore, in this study, the influence of IUU fishing is included in the Species Risk Index (SRI) at the species level, and weights are assigned based on the ratio of the stock, as $SRI={{\sum\limits_j}{\lambda}_j{\cdot}ORI/{\sum\limits_j}{\lambda}_j}+P_f(B_i/B)$. The revised ecosystem-based fisheries assessment method, which considers the impact of IUU fishing, was applied to major fisheries on the south coast of Korea. It is necessary to reduce the non-reporting rate through the expansion of the TAC system and improve the accuracy of statistical compilation. To this end, the electronic fishing reporting system, which is being implemented on all vessels in Korean distant water fishing vessels, should be introduced to the coastal and offshore fisheries as well.

화학물질 관리 연구-1. 산업안전보건법상 관리 화학물질의 특성과 노출기준 비교 (Study on the Chemical Management - 1. Chemical Characteristics and Occupational Exposure Limits under Occupational Safety and Health Act of Korea)

  • 박지훈;함승헌;김선주;이권섭;하권철;박동욱;윤충식
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: This study aims to compare the physicochemical characteristics, toxicological data with Occupational Exposure Limits (OELs) of chemicals under the Occupational Safety and Health Act(OSHA) regulated by the Ministry of Employment and Labor of Korea. Methods: Information on chemicals which have OELs on physicochemical characteristics and toxicological data was collected using Material Safety Data Sheet(MSDS) from Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency(KOSHA) and the Korea Information System for Chemical Safety Management(KISChem) in 2014. Statistical analyses including correlation and simple regression were performed to compare the OELs with chemical characteristics including molecular weight, boiling point, odor threshold, vapor pressure, vapor density, solubility and octanol-water partition coefficient(OWPC) and toxicological data such as median lethal dose($LD_{50}$) and median lethal concentration($LC_{50}$). Results: A total of 656 chemicals have OELs under OSHA in Korea. The numbers of chemicals which have eight-hour time weighted average(TWA) and short term exposure limits(STEL) are 618 and 190, respectively. TWA was significantly correlated with boiling point and STEL was only correlated with vapor pressure among physicochemical characteristics. Solubility and OWPC between "skin" and "no skin" substances which indicate skin penetration were not significantly different. Both $LD_{50}$ and $LC_{50}$ were correlated with TWA, while the $LC_{50}$ was not with STEL. As health indicators, health rating and Emergency Response Planning Guidelines(ERPG) rating as recommended by the National Fire Protection Association(NFPA) and American Industrial Hygiene Association(AIHA) were associated with OELs and reflect the chemical hazards. Conclusions: We found relationships between OEL and chemical information including physicochemical characteristics and toxicological data. The study has an important meaning for understanding present regulatory OELs.

대구지방의 증발량에 대한 통계학적 연구 (A Statistical Study Evaporation tn DAEGU Area)

  • 김영기
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.3160-3169
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    • 1973
  • Rainfall, evaporation, and permeability of water are the most important factors in determining the demand of water. The Daegu area has only a meteorologi observatory and there is not sufficient data for adapting the advanced method for derivation of the estimated of evaporation in the Daegu area. However, by using available data, the writer devoted his great effort in deriving the most reasonable formula applicable to the Daegu area and it is adaptable for various purposes such as industry and estimation of groundwater etc. The data used in this study was the monthly amount of evaporation of the Daegu area for the past 13 years(1960 to 1970). A year can be divided into two groups by relative degrees of evaporation in this area: the first group (less evaporation) is January, February, March, October, November, and December, and the second (more evaporation) is April, May, June, July, August, and September. The amount of evaporation of the two groups were statistically treated by the theory of probability for derivation of estimated formula of evaporation. The formula derved is believed to fully consider. The characteristic hydrological environment of this area as the following shows: log(x+3)=0.8963+0.1125$\xi$..........(4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 month) log(x-0.7)=0.2051+0.3023$\xi$..........(1, 2, 3, 10, 11, 12 month) This study obtained the above formula of probability of the monthly evaporation of this area by using the relation: $F_(x)=\frac{1}{{\surd}{\pi}}\int\limits_{-\infty}^{\xi}e^{-\xi2}d{\xi}\;{\xi}=alog_{\alpha}({\frac{x_0+b'}{x_0+b})\;(-b<x<{\infty})$ $$log(x_0+b)=0.80961$ $$\frac{1}{a}=\sqrt{\frac{2N}{N-1}}\;Sx=0.1125$$ $$b=\frac{1}{m}\sum\limits_{i-I}^{m}b_s=3.14$$ $$S_x=\sqrt{\frac{1}{N}\sum\limits_{i-I}^{N}\{log(x_i+b)\}^2-\{log(x_i+b)\}^2}=0.0791$$ (4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 month) This formula may be advantageously applied to estimation of evaporation in the Daegu area. Notation for general terms has been denoted by following: $W_(x)$: probability of occurance. $$W_(x)=\int_x^{\infty}f(x)dx$$ P : probability $$P=\frac{N!}{t!(N-t)}{F_i^{N-{\pi}}(1-F_i)^l$$ $$F_{\eta}:\; Thomas\;plot\;F_{\eta}=(1-\frac{n}{N+1})$$ $X_l\;X_i$: maximun, minimum value of total number of sample size(other notation for general terms was used as needed)

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러프집합과 퍼지 모델을 이용한 인공위성의 이상 동작 검출 시스템 (Satellite Anomalous Behavior Detection System through Rough-Set and Fuzzy Model)

  • 양승은
    • 한국위성정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2017
  • 위성의 상태를 파악하기 위해 기존에는 OOL(Out-Of-Limit) 방식을 많이 사용하여 왔다. OOL은 특정 텔레메트리의 상위, 하위 문턱 값을 지정하여 해당 값을 벗어날 경우 문제가 발생한 것으로 인식 하는 방식이다. 이 방법은 파라미터의 특성을 파악하여 각각의 문턱 값을 정확히 설정해야 하는 전문 지식과 노력이 필요하고 텔레메트리 값이 문턱값 내에서 비정상적으로 변할 경우는 검출할 수 없다는 문제점이 있다. 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위해 본 논문에서는 위성이 정상 상태일 때 텔레메트리의 통계적 특징 중 러프집합을 이용하여 중요한 것을 선택, 적용하여 퍼지 모델을 구축하고 이상 상태를 구분하는 시스템을 제안한다. 정상 상태의 데이터만 이용하여 모델을 구축하기 때문에 출력값을 비교 하여 사전에 정의되지 않은 비정상 상태의 구분이 가능 하며 다양한 통계 값을 이용하기 때문에 전문 지식 필요 없이 문턱값 내에서 비정상적으로 변하는 텔레메트리를 검출할 수 있다. 제안한 시스템의 동작 확인을 위해 실제 저궤도 관측위성의 배터리 온도 텔레메트리를 적용하여 시험을 수행 하였고 비정규적 운영 상태에 대한 검출이 성공적으로 이루어 졌다.

어린이 급식소의 배식용기 표면에 대한 ATP(Adenosine Triphosphate) 위생 모니터링 가이드라인 설정 (Setting Guidelines for ATP Bioluminescence Hygiene Monitoring of Distribution Trays in Used Children's Foodservices)

  • 문혜경
    • 대한영양사협회학술지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.243-253
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to set new guidelines for adenosine triphosphate (ATP) bioluminescence hygiene monitoring of distribution trays at children's foodservices. Five dietitians visited 223 foodservices (95 institutional, 128 small) to examine whether they adhered to the norms of 'Keeping distribution tray sanitary by washing/sanitizing' and 'Performing food distribution in a clean and appropriate way'. In this visit, dietitians swabbed 100 ㎠ area of the distribution trays twice, once for obtaining ATP measurements and the second time for Aerobic Plate Counts (APC) using 3M Petrifilm Plates. Chi-square test and ANOVA were applied using SPSS 23.0 software. SPSS 23.0 was used to conduct graphical and statistical analysis of the raw data of ATP measurements, which were further transformed by a Box-Cox transformation. The mean of APC from all the subjects inspected was 3.8×102±2,102.0 CFU/100 ㎠. A total of 208 (93.3%) trays were observed within the acceptable limits of APC (Pass<5.0×102 CFU/100 ㎠). APCs taken at institutional foodservices showed significantly lower levels (1.4×102±600.0 CFU/100 ㎠, P<0.01) compared to the small foodservices (5.5×102±2,718.7 CFU/100 ㎠). No significant differences were observed between the two groups in ATP measurements and in the performance rate of 2 checklist items. As against the 93.3% APC adequacy from the total subjected inspection, total ATP adequacy (Pass≤300 RLU/100 ㎠) was only 71.7%. Therefore, more practical guidelines should be prepared for the assessment of the hygiene of distribution trays. In the graphical and statistical analysis, levels below 250 RLU/100 ㎠ was considered 'Pass', while equal to or greater than 350 RLU/100 ㎠ was considered 'Fail' for distribution trays.

구조방정식을 이용한 도시부 4지 신호교차로의 사고원인 분석 (A Causational Study for Urban 4-legged Signalized Intersections using Structural Equation Method)

  • 오주택;이상규;허태영;황정원
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : Traffic accidents at intersections have been increased annually so that it is required to examine the causations to reduce the accidents. However, the current existing accident models were developed mainly with non-linear regression models such as Poisson methods. These non-linear regression methods lack to reveal complicated causations for traffic accidents, though they are right choices to study randomness and non-linearity of accidents. Therefore, to reveal the complicated causations of traffic accidents, this study used structural equation methods(SEM). METHODS : SEM used in this study is a statistical technique for estimating causal relations using a combination of statistical data and qualitative causal assumptions. SEM allow exploratory modeling, meaning they are suited to theory development. The method is tested against the obtained measurement data to determine how well the model fits the data. Among the strengths of SEM is the ability to construct latent variables: variables which are not measured directly, but are estimated in the model from several measured variables. This allows the modeler to explicitly capture the unreliability of measurement in the model, which allows the structural relations between latent variables to be accurately estimated. RESULTS : The study results showed that causal factors could be grouped into 3. Factor 1 includes traffic variables, and Factor 2 contains turning traffic variables. Factor 3 consists of other road element variables such as speed limits or signal cycles. CONCLUSIONS : Non-linear regression models can be used to develop accident predictions models. However, they lack to estimate causal factors, because they select only few significant variables to raise the accuracy of the model performance. Compared to the regressions, SEM has merits to estimate causal factors affecting accidents, because it allows the structural relations between latent variables. Therefore, this study used SEM to estimate causal factors affecting accident at urban signalized intersections.

통일분류(統一分類)에 의한 우리나라 토질(土質) 공학적(工學的) 특성(特性)에 관한 확률론적(確率論的) 연구(硏究) (A Probabilistic Study on the Engineering Characteristics of Soil in Korea by the Unified Soil Classification)

  • 정철호
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 1989
  • 본(本) 논문(論文)은 과거(過去) 13년간(年間)(1974~1986) 주택공사(住宅公社)가 전국(全國) 74개(個) 도시(都市), 176개(個) 주택단지(住宅團地)에서 실시(實施)한 제반토질시험결과(諸般土質試驗結果)를 통일분류법(統一分類法)에 의(依)한 흙의 종류별(種類別), 토질정수(土質定數)의 분산(分散)의 정도(程度)를 확률적(確率的)으로 분석(分析)한 것이다. 이 논문(論文)에서 분석(分析)한 토질정수(土質定數)는 자연함수비(自然含水比), 토립자(土粒子)의 비중(比重), 아터버그 한계(限界), 표준매입시험치(標準買入試驗値), 일축압축강도(一軸壓縮强度), 압축지수(壓縮指數) 그리고 강도정수(强度定數) 등(等)이다. 연구분석(硏究分析)한 결과(結果), 물리적(物理的) 저성질(藷性質)은 통계변수(統計變數)인 변동계수(變動係數)를 기준으로 하여 비교(比較)할때 변동(變動)의 범위(範圍)가 비교적(比較的) 적은 반면(反面)에, 강도정수(强度定數)는 40%, 압축지수(壓縮指數)는 32% 정도(程度)의 변동계수(變動係數)를 가지며, 비중(比重)은 사질도(砂質土)에서 0.87-2.49%, 점성토(粘性土)에서 0.91-5.03%로 분산(分散)의 정도(程度)가 매우 작음을 확인(確認)하였다.

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토양위해성평가를 위한 합리적 토양조사방안 연구 (Soil Investigation Strategies for Soil Risk Assessment)

  • 정승우;안윤주
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2007
  • 토양위해성평가를 위한 토양조사방법의 목적은 오염정도와 범위를 파악하여 부지의 대표적인 토양노출농도를 결정해야 하는 것은 물론이고 부지의 물리화학적 특성을 조사하여 노출평가시 사용될 수 있는 주요 정보를 제공하는데 있다. 앞으로 우리나라도 토양위해성평가를 위한 토양조사시 두 가지 점을 고려해야 할 것으로 나타났다. 첫째, 현재 우리나라의 토양조사는 오염정도와 범위 확인을 위한 조사에 국한하고 있으므로 차후 위해성평가를 위해서는 부지의 물리화학적 특성파악을 위한 조사가 추가되어야 한다. 둘째, 국내와 외국의 토양조사방법에 있어 가장 큰 차이는 외국의 현장조사계획에서는 모든 데이터에 대해 통계학적 개념을 반영하여 시료채취 개수 결정 및 오염여부 판단에 신뢰성을 확보하고 있다는 점으로 우리도 이에 대한 보완이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 토양위해성평가를 위한 토양조사방법을 별도로 마련하는 것보다 기존 토양정밀조사지침과 연계하여 토양위해성평가의 목적을 이룰 수 있는 토양조사방안을 제안하였다.

Mandibular Kinesiograph의 선형충실도 및 계측정확도에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Measurement Accuracy and Linearity of the Mandibular Kinesiograph)

  • 김인권
    • 대한치과의사협회지
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    • 제22권7호통권182호
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    • pp.607-620
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    • 1984
  • Mandibular Kinesiograph (MKG-5R)으로부터 얻어지는 자료의 유효성에 관한 연구를 위하여 비철, 비자석성의 기구를 이용해서 3cm×4cm×5cm의 4차원적 입체공간내에서 수행하였다. Kinesiograph로 부터의 직접 얻어지는 자료(관찰치)와 실제 움직인 거리(실제치)간의 관계를 먼저 보기위해 Scatter plot과 Correlation이 연구됐다. 그러나 최종의 목표는 어떤 형태의 공식을 만들어 이것으로 Kinesiograph관찰치를 이용, 실제치를 알도록 하는 것이었으므로 관찰치의 통계학적 회귀분석이 수행되었다. 통계분석의 결과는 Kinesiograph 관찰치와 실제치 간의 강한 상관관계를 보였다. 그러나 높은 상관계수가 반드시 얻어진 선형모형의 완벽한 예측성을 의미하는 것은 아니다. 이 연구로부터 얻어진 선형모형이 실제치를 모두 완벽하게 예측할수는 없었다. 그 이유로서는 종속변수(실제치)의 불연속성과 관찰치(비종속변수) 상호간의 독랩성 때문이다. 결론적으로 Kinesiograph가 어떤 형태로든 적절한 방법에 의해 수정이 있지 않으면 그 계통자체내에 내재하는 비선형적 특성 때문에 그 이용이 하악운동의 제한된 범위내에만 적용될 수 있다.

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Pharmacokinetics of Two Cyclosporine Formulations Using FPIA and HPLC Assay in Volunterrs

  • Kwon, Kwang-Il;Kim, Moo-Heon;Park, Jong-Woo;Lee, Chang-Hyun
    • Archives of Pharmacal Research
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.385-390
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    • 1995
  • The analytical methods for the analysis of cyclosporine (CsA), a fluorescence polarization immunoassay (FPIA) and HPLC method, were compared in a pharmacokinetic study of two CsA soft capsule formultaions ($Sandimmun^{\circledR}$; Sandoz, $Implanta^{\circledR}$; Hanmi). Sixteen healthy volunteers completed the study and each subjected single doses ($4{\tiems}100$ mg) of the test and the reference formulations in a two-way crossover design with a one-week drug-free interval between doses. Following each administration, whole blood concentrations of CsA were monitored over a period of 24 hour by both FPIA and HPLC methods. Blood concentrations nad pharmacokinetic parameters determined by either analytical method showed large intersubject variation, with the FPIA data showing relatively higher magnitude of intersubjecte variation than the HPLC data. The blood concentrations determined by FPIA were 1.1-1.3 times higher than those determined by HPLC. There were strong and significant correlations between the two methods (r>0.83 : p<0.0001). Intersubuject variation for the $AUC_{inf}{\;}and{\;}AUC_{24hr}$ of the test formulation was slightly reduced without statistical significance (paried -t test : p>0.05 $t_{max}$ was earlier nad $C_{max}$ was slightly lower for the test formulation, $AUC_{24h}, {\;}C_{max}, {\;}T_{max}$ and MRT determined separately from the data obtained by the two methods for the two formulations were examined by analyses of variance (ANOVA) for the bioequivalency evaluation. Results of ANOVA and confidence limits of terst/reference ratios of $AUC_{24th}$, $C_{max}$, $t_{max}$ and MRT, and statistical tests indicated the bioequivalence of the two formulations (i.e., test/reference ratio was within $100{\times}20%$) except for $C_{max}$ and $t_{max}$. The mean of tmax also showed 11.1% and 9.3% differences but the detection limit were 29.2% and 29.6% as determined by FPIA and HPLC resepctively. This experiments suggest that the data yielded for the two formulations demonstrated that they were bioequivalent.

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