• 제목/요약/키워드: stage confidence

검색결과 323건 처리시간 0.025초

Input Quantity Control in a Multi-Stage Production System with Yield Randomness, Rework and Demand Uncertainty

  • Park, Kwangtae;Kim, Yun-Sang
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, we investigate the effects of yield randomness for lot-sizing in a multi-stage production system. The practical importance of incorporating yield randomness into production models has been emphasized by many researchers. Yield randomness, especially in semiconductor manufacturing, poses a mojor challenge for production planning and control. The task becomes even more difficult if the demand for final product is uncertain. An attempt to meet the demand with a higher level of confidence forces one to release more input in the fabrication line. This leads to excessive work-in-process (WIP) inventories which cause jobs to spend unpredictably longer time waiting for the machines. The result is that it is more difficult to meet demand with exceptionally long cycle time and puts further pressure to increase the safety stocks. Due to this spiral effect, it is common to find that the capital tied in inventory is the msot significant factor undermining profitability. We propose a policy to determine the quantity to be processed at each stage of a multi-stage production system in which the yield at each stage may be random and may need rework.

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친환경농산물의 생산실태 몇 소비확대에 관한 연구 -광주 ${\cdot}$ 전남지역을 중심으로 - (A Study on Production and Demand Expansion for Environmental-Friendly Farming Products - In Kwangju and Jeonnam Province -)

  • 김병무;송경환
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.265-278
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    • 2004
  • With the development of national economy and increase of income, consumers' demand for quality and safe agricultural products have increased and perception on environmental-friendly Farming products has been sharply changing. In other words, consumers increasingly show the tendency to prefer environmental-friendly farming products for considering health and environment protection, despite higher price. The environmental-friendly farming products in Jeonnam Province is still at its early stage, accounting for 1% or so of the total products. Considerable part of environment-friendly farming products, nevertheless, difficult problem to End consumers, thus sold at relatively high prices. To the questionnaire asking their most severe difficulty is about 30.5% for sale. This suggests that strategies for consumption expansion of environment-friendly farming products, including of consumers, confidence, publicity of consumers, should be established to increase the income of environmental-friendly farmers in Jeonnam Province.

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Multistage Point and Confidence Interval Estimation of the Shape Parameter of Pareto Distribution

  • Hamdy, H.I.;Son, M.S.;Gharraph, M.K.;Rashad, A.M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.1069-1086
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    • 2003
  • This article presents the asymptotic theory of triple sampling procedure as pertain to estimating the shape parameter of Pareto distribution. Both point and confidence interval estimation are considered within the same inference unified framework. We show that this group sampling technique possesses the efficiency of Anscome (1953), Chow and Robbins (1965) purely sequential procedure as well as reduce the number of sampling operations by utilizing Stein (1945) two stages procedure. The analysis reveals that the technique performs excellent as far as the accuracy is concerned. The present problem differs from those considered by many authors, in multistage sampling, in that the final stage sample size and the parameter's estimate become highly correlated and therefore we adopted different approach.

New Postprocessing Methods for Rejectin Out-of-Vocabulary Words

  • Song, Myung-Gyu
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • 제16권3E호
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 1997
  • The goal of postprocessing in automatic speech recognition is to improve recognition performance by utterance verification at the output of recognition stage. It is focused on the effective rejection of out-of vocabulary words based on the confidence score of hypothesized candidate word. We present two methods for computing confidence scores. Both methods are based on the distance between each observation vector and the representative code vector, which is defined by the most likely code vector at each state. While the first method employs simple time normalization, the second one uses a normalization technique based on the concept of on-line garbage mode[1]. According to the speaker independent isolated words recognition experiment with discrete density HMM, the second method outperforms both the first one and conventional likelihood ratio scoring method[2].

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Predicting Factors for Positive Vaginal Surgical Margin Following Radical Hysterectomy for Stage IB1 Carcinoma of the Cervix

  • Sethasathien, Sethawat;Charoenkwan, Kittipat;Settakorn, Jongkolnee;Srisomboon, Jatupol
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.2211-2215
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    • 2014
  • Background: To examine the incidence of positive vaginal surgical margins and determine the predicting factors following radical hysterectomy for stage IB1 carcinoma of the cervix. Materials and Methods: The clinical and histological data of 656 FIGO stage IB1 cervical cancer patients who had radical hysterectomy with bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy (RHPL) from January 2003 to December 2012 were retrospectively reviewed and were analyzed for their association with a positive vaginal surgical margin. A p-value of < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: Thirty-five patients (5.3%) had positive vaginal surgical margins following RHPL; 24 (3.7%) for intraepithelial lesions and 11 (1.7%) for carcinoma. On multivariate analysis, microscopic vaginal involvement by high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion and/or carcinoma (adjusted odd ratio (OR) 186.8; 95% confidence interval (CI) 48.5-718.5) and squamous histology (OR 8.7; 95% CI 1.7-44.0), were significantly associated with positive vaginal surgical margin. Conclusions: Microscopic vaginal involvement by HSIL and/or carcinoma are strong predictors for positive vaginal surgical margins for stage IB1 cervical cancer patients undergoing radical hysterectomy. Preoperative 'mapping' colposcopy or other strategies should be considered to ensure optimal vaginal resection.

예비아버지 교육 프로그램의 개발 -발달적 접근과 이야기 치료적 관점을 중심으로- (Development of the Pre-father Education Program - Based on Developmental Approach and Narrative Therapeutic Perspective -)

  • 최현숙;이기숙
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.177-193
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a program which aims at providing a better understanding of parenthood, establishing a desirable value of being a parent and preparing for being a good father positively affecting children, and determine effects of the program on unmarried men who are in the so-called stage of 'not belonged youth'. The program consisted of 5 sessions titled 'My father, 'I will be a father, too', 'Being a good father I', 'Being a good father II' and 'I will be a respectable father'. 7 unmarried men surveyed here were asked to participate in the program held at B church located in Busan from Oct. 3 to Nov. 7, 2004, with 1 session a week and 120 minutes per session based. Before and after the program, tests were carried out with the father acceptance-rejection scale and the scale of confidence in father's role'. For each of the sessions, a process evaluation was performed. Results of the study can be summarized as follows. First, the pre- and post-tests with the father acceptance-rejection scale showed some changed recognition that father's attitude of child raising would be more acceptable and unrejectable. This indicates that the program made some achievements in relation to understanding and reestablishing relations with father. Second, significant differences were found in confidence in father's role between before and after the program. Especially, anxiety about father's role as a sub-area of such confidence was most considerably reduced. In conclusion, such objectives of the program as removing vague anxiety about father's role, establishing a desirable view of fatherhood and improving confidence about being a father proved to be achievable through getting skills of child understanding with the concept of developmental perspective and narrative therapy based.

신호 성상도 상의 신뢰구간을 활용한 하이브리드 오차 발생 알고리즘 (A Hybrid Error Generation Algorithm Using Confidence Intervals on Signal Constellation)

  • 오길남
    • 전자공학회논문지
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    • 제51권11호
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2014
  • 효과적인 블라인드 등화기 갱신을 위해, 등화 초기에 요구되는 빠른 수렴 속도와 정상상태에서 요구되는 낮은 오차 레벨을 만족하면서, 또한 등화 초기와 정상상태 간의 완만하면서도 가역적인 전환 특성을 가지는 적응 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안 방법에서는 신호의 등화 상태를 구분하는 세 기준을 제시하고, 이 기준에 따라 세 오차 중 하나를 발생시키는 하이브리드 오차발생 알고리즘을 사용하여 등화기를 차등적으로 갱신한다. 이때 신호의 등화 상태를 판단하는 기준으로 신호 성상도 상의 신뢰구간을 이용하였으며, 등화기 출력이 놓이는 신뢰구간에 따라 오차를 다르게 발생시켜 등화기를 갱신함으로써 빠르게 그리고 낮은 오차 레벨에 수렴할 수 있음을 보였다. 제안 아이디어의 유용성을 검증하기 위해 모의실험을 통해 기존 방법의 성능과 비교하였다.

The Impact of Preoperative Low Body Mass Index on Postoperative Complications and Long-term Survival Outcomes in Gastric Cancer Patients

  • Kim, Chang Hyun;Park, Seung-Man;Kim, Jin-Jo
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.274-286
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of preoperative low body mass index (BMI) on both the short- and long-term outcomes in patients with gastric cancer. Materials and Methods: A total of 510 patients with gastric cancer were divided into the following 3 groups: low BMI group (${\leq}18.5kg/m^2$, n=51), normal BMI group ($18.6-24.9kg/m^2$, n=308), and high BMI group (${\geq}25.0kg/m^2$, n=151). Results: There were significantly more stage III/IV patients in the low BMI group than in the other groups (P=0.001). Severe postoperative complications were more frequent (P=0.010) and the survival was worse (P<0.001) in the low BMI group. The subgroup analysis indicated that survival was worse in the low BMI group of the stage I/II subgroup (P=0.008). The severe postoperative complication rate was higher in the low BMI group of the stage III/IV subgroup (P=0.001), although the recurrence rate and survival did not differ in the stage III/IV subgroup among all the BMI groups. Low BMI was an independent poor prognostic factor in the stage I/II subgroup (disease-free survival: hazard ratio [HR], 13.521; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.186-154.197; P=0.036 and overall survival: HR, 5.130; 95% CI, 1.644-16.010; P=0.005), whereas low BMI was an independent risk factor for severe postoperative complications in the stage III/IV subgroup (HR, 17.158; 95% CI, 1.383-212.940; P=0.027). Conclusions: Preoperative low BMI in patients with gastric cancer adversely affects survival among those with stage I/II disease and increases the severe postoperative complication rate among those with stage III/IV disease.

고역률 단일 전력단 고주파 공진 AC-DC 컨버터의 특성해석 (A Characteristic Analysis of Single-Power-Stage High Frequency Resonant AC-DC Converter with High Power Factor)

  • 남승식;원재선;황계호;오경섭;박재욱;김동희;오승훈
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.372-380
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문은 기존의 2개의 전력 처리단을 갖는 컨버터를 단일 전력단으로 구성하고, ZVS기법을 이용한 고역률 단일전력단 고주파 공진 AC-DC 컨버터를 제안하고 있다. 입력단에 승압형 역률개선 인덕터를 연결하여 일정 듀티비와 가변 스위칭 주파수로 입력전류를 불연속 모드로 제어함으로써 입력 역률을 개선하는 것이 가능하였다. 종래의 2개 전력 처리단을 가지는 컨버터의 경우 역률 제어용 스위치가 별도로 필요하지만 전력 처리단을 하나로 단일화 시키므로써 컨버터의 구성이 간략화 되어져, 비용의 저감과 신뢰성을 증가시킬 수 있는 등의 장점이 있다. 본 연구는 고역률 단일전력단 AC-DC 컨버터의 동작원리와 무차원화 파라미터를 이용한 특성평가를 범용성 있게 행하여, 특성평가에서 산출한 특성값을 기초로 하여 실험장치를 제작하였으며, 실험치와 이론치를 비교ㆍ검토하여 제안 회로의 특성해석의 정당성을 입증하고 있다.

신뢰도 예측을 위한 수명시험 시뮬레이션 (Life Testing Simulation for Reliability Prediction)

  • 김연수;정영배
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.124-131
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents a spreadsheet-based reliability prediction simulation framework for the conceptual product design stage to acquire system reliability information in timely manner. During early stage, reliability performance deals with both known and unknown failure rates and component-level and subsystem-level failure estimate to predict system reliability. A technique for performing life testing simulation using Excel spreadsheet has been developed under the such circumstances. This paper also discuss the results obtainable from this method such as reliability estimate, mean and variance of failures and confidence intervals. The resultant of this reliability prediction system is mainly benefitting small and medium-sized enterprise's field engineers.