• Wind and Structures
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.369-380
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• 2019

Statistical distributions are very useful in describing wind speed characteristics and in predicting wind power potential of a specified region. Although the Weibull distribution is the most popular one in wind energy literature, it does not seem to be able to perfectly fit all the investigated wind speed data in nature. Thus, many studies are still being conducted to find flexible distribution for modelling wind speed data. In this study, we propose a new Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution for wind speed characterization. The Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution with two shape parameters is flexible enough to model different shapes of wind speed data and thus it can be an alternative wind speed distribution for the assessment of wind energy potential. Therefore, suitability of the Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution is investigated on real wind speed data taken from different regions in the South Africa. Numerical results of the conducted analysis confirm that the new Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution is suitable for modelling most of the considered real wind speed cases and it also can be used for predicting wind power.

• 대기
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.461-471
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• 2016

A quality check algorithm for the Weather Information Service Engine pulsed Doppler wind lidar is developed from a view point of spatial and temporal consistencies of observed wind speed. Threshold values for quality check are determined by statistical analysis on the standard deviation of 3-component of wind speed obtained by a wind lidar, and the vertical gradient of horizontal wind speed obtained by a radiosonde system. The algorithm includes carrier-to-noise ratio (CNR) check, data availability check, and vertical gradient of horizontal wind speed check. That is, data sets whose CNR is less than -29 dB, data availability is less than 90%, or vertical gradient of horizontal wind speed is less than $-0.028s^{-1}$ or larger than $0.032s^{-1}$ are classified as 'doubtful', and flagged. The developed quality check algorithm is applied to data obtained at Bucheon station for the period from 1 to 30 September 2015. It is found that the number of 'doubtful' data shows maxima around 2000 m high, but the ratio of 'doubtful' to height-total data increases with increasing height due to atmospheric boundary height, cloud, or rainfall, etc. It is also found that the quality check by data availability is more effective than those by carrier to noise ratio or vertical gradient of horizontal wind speed to remove an erroneous noise data.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제35권
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• pp.95-102
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• 2015

Two extreme wind speed prediction models, the EWM(Extreme wind speed model) in IEC61400-1 and the Gumbel method were compared in this study. The two models were used to predict extreme wind speeds of six different sites in Korea and the results were compared with long term wind data. The NCAR reanalysis data were used for inputs to two models. Various periods of input wind data were tried from 1 year to 50 years and the results were compared with the 50 year maximum wind speed of NCAR wind data. It was found that the EWM model underpredicted the extreme wind speed more than 5 % for two sites. Predictions from Gumbel method overpredicted the extreme wind speed or underpredicted it less than 5 % for all cases when the period of the input data is longer than 10 years. The period of the input wind data less than 3 years resulted in large prediction errors for Gumbel method. Predictions from the EWM model were not, however, much affected by the period of the input wind data.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.149-163
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• 2023

Affected by external factors, errors in time series data collected by sensors are common. Using the traditional method of constraining the speed change rate to clean the errors can get good performance. However, they are only limited to the data of stable changing speed because of fixed constraint rules. Actually, data with uneven changing speed is common in practice. To solve this problem, an online cleaning algorithm for time series data based on dynamic speed change rate constraints is proposed in this paper. Since time series data usually changes periodically, we use the extreme learning machine to learn the law of speed changes from past data and predict the speed ranges that change over time to detect the data. In order to realize online data repair, a dual-window mechanism is proposed to transform the global optimal into the local optimal, and the traditional minimum change principle and median theorem are applied in the selection of the repair strategy. Aiming at the problem that the repair method based on the minimum change principle cannot correct consecutive abnormal points, through quantitative analysis, it is believed that the repair strategy should be the boundary of the repair candidate set. The experimental results obtained on the dataset show that the method proposed in this paper can get a better repair effect.

• 한국통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통신학회 1986년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.8-11
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• 1986

Data acquisition system is needed in signal analysis and processing by using computer. This paper realizes the high speed data acquisition system by using 8bit, 20MHZ refresh A/D converter and 18 x 64 Byte high speed memory. The high speed data acquisition system provides converted data to IBM-PC XT micro computer.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제11권6호
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• pp.1548-1555
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• 2016

This paper presents an application of time series analysis in hourly wind speed simulation and forecast in Jeju Island, Korea. Autoregressive - moving average (ARMA) model, which is well in description of random data characteristics, is used to analyze historical wind speed data (from year of 2010 to 2012). The ARMA model requires stationary variables of data is satisfied by power law transformation and standardization. In this study, the autocorrelation analysis, Bayesian information criterion and general least squares algorithm is implemented to identify and estimate parameters of wind speed model. The ARMA (2,1) models, fitted to the wind speed data, simulate reference year and forecast hourly wind speed in Jeju Island.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.1385-1397
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• 2018

There are many factors that affect the wind speed. In addition, the randomness of wind speed also leads to low prediction accuracy for wind speed. According to this situation, this paper constructs the short-time forecasting model based on the least squares support vector machines (LSSVM) to forecast the wind speed. The basis of the model used in this paper is support vector regression (SVR), which is used to calculate the regression relationships between the historical data and forecasting data of wind speed. In order to improve the forecast precision, historical data is clustered by cluster analysis so that the historical data whose changing trend is similar with the forecasting data can be filtered out. The filtered historical data is used as the training samples for SVR and the parameters would be optimized by particle swarm optimization (PSO). The forecasting model is tested by actual data and the forecast precision is more accurate than the industry standards. The results prove the feasibility and reliability of the model.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.383-395
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• 2018

An accurate determination of wind speed distribution is the basis for an evaluation of the wind energy potential required to design a wind turbine, so it is important to estimate unknown parameters of wind speed distribution. In this paper, Gumbel distribution is used in modelling wind speed data, and alternative robust estimation methods to estimate its parameters are considered. The methodologies used to obtain the estimators of the parameters are least absolute deviation, weighted least absolute deviation, median/MAD and least median of squares. The performances of the estimators are compared with traditional estimation methods (i.e., maximum likelihood and least squares) according to bias, mean square deviation and total mean square deviation criteria using a Monte-Carlo simulation study for the data with and without outliers. The simulation results show that least median of squares and median/MAD estimators are more efficient than others for data with outliers in many cases. However, median/MAD estimator is not consistent for location parameter of Gumbel distribution in all cases. In real data application, it is firstly demonstrated that Gumbel distribution fits the daily mean wind speed data well and is also better one to model the data than Weibull distribution with respect to the root mean square error and coefficient of determination criteria. Next, the wind data modified by outliers is analysed to show the performance of the proposed estimators by using numerical and graphical methods.

• 한국CDE학회논문집
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.222-230
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• 2003

Artificial intelligence has been used in the configuration design stage of high-speed train. The traction system of a high-speed train is composed of transformers, motor blocks, and traction motors of which locations and number in the trainset should be determined in the early stage of the train conceptual design. Components of the traction system are heavy parts in the train, so it gives strong influence to the top speeds and overall train configuration of high-speed trains. Top speeds have been predicted using the neural network with the associated data of the traction system. The neural networks have been learned with data sets of many commercially operated high-speed trains, and the predicted results have been compared with the actual values. The configuration design of the train set of a high-speed train determines the basic specification of the train and layout of the traction system. The neural networks is a useful design tool when there is not sufficient data for the configuration design and we need to use the existing data of other train for the prediction of trainset in development.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.49-54
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• 2020

Speed enforcement is one of the major challenges in traffic safety. The increasing number of accidents and fatalities has led governments to respond by implementing an intelligent control system. For example, the Korean government implemented a speed camera system for maintaining road safety. However, many drivers still engage in speeding behavior in blackspot areas where speed cameras are not provided. Therefore, we propose a methodology to analyze the combined accident and speeding data to offer recommendations to maintain traffic safety. We investigate three factors: "section," "existing speed camera location," and "over speeding data." To interpret the results, we used the QGIS tool for visualizing the spatial distribution of the incidents. Finally, we provide four recommendations based on the three aforementioned factors: "investigate with experts," "no action," "install fixed speed cameras," and "deploy mobile speed cameras."