• 제목/요약/키워드: simultaneous events

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Long-term Statistical Analysis of the Simultaneity of Forbush Decrease Events at Middle Latitudes

  • Lee, Seongsuk;Oh, Suyeon;Yi, Yu;Evenson, Paul;Jee, Geonhwa;Choi, Hwajin
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.33-38
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    • 2015
  • Forbush Decreases (FD) are transient, sudden reductions of cosmic ray (CR) intensity lasting a few days, to a week. Such events are observed globally using ground neutron monitors (NMs). Most studies of FD events indicate that an FD event is observed simultaneously at NM stations located all over the Earth. However, using statistical analysis, previous researchers verified that while FD events could occur simultaneously, in some cases, FD events could occur non-simultaneously. Previous studies confirmed the statistical reality of non-simultaneous FD events and the mechanism by which they occur, using data from high-latitude and middle-latitude NM stations. In this study, we used long-term data (1971-2006) from middle-latitude NM stations (Irkutsk, Climax, and Jungfraujoch) to enhance statistical reliability. According to the results from this analysis, the variation of cosmic ray intensity during the main phase, is larger (statistically significant) for simultaneous FD events, than for non-simultaneous ones. Moreover, the distribution of main-phase-onset time shows differences that are statistically significant. While the onset times for the simultaneous FDs are distributed evenly over 24-hour intervals (day and night), those of non-simultaneous FDs are mostly distributed over 12-hour intervals, in daytime. Thus, the existence of the two kinds of FD events, according to differences in their statistical properties, were verified based on data from middle-latitude NM stations.

확률의 독립성의 개념 확장과 이중적 관점에 대한 고찰 (A Study on Twofold Interpretation and Concept Extension of Stochastic Independence)

  • 조차미
    • 대한수학교육학회지:수학교육학연구
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.257-271
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    • 2009
  • 확률의 독립성은 직관적으로 판단이 가능한 경우와 그렇지 못한 경우로 나뉜다. 독립성은 가정을 근거로 하여 형성된 개념이나 곱셈정리로 정의되어 개념의 확장을 불러왔다. 이러한 확장의 원인을 동시발생 사건과 양립하는 사건에 모두 허용되는 교집합 기호에 원인을 두고 이에 관한 분석이 필요하다. 본 논문은 독립성의 개념 확장 과정을 구체적으로 보여주고 동일한 기호 $P(A\cap{B})$를 사용하는 '동시발생사건'과 '양립하는 사건'의 독립성의 이중적 관점을 Pierce의 삼분법적 기호학을 사용하여 구조화하였다.

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Simultaneous Forbush Decrease caused by a CME shot by the STEREO

  • Oh, Su-Yeon;Yi, Yu
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.80.2-80.2
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    • 2011
  • The sudden decrease of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity observed by ground neutron monitor (NM) is called a Forbush decrease (FD) event. The intensity time profile of FD event looks like the geomagnetic storm visualized by geomagnetic storm index Dst. Oh et al. [2008] and Oh and Yi [2009] classified the FD events into two kinds by criteria of the overlapping simultaneity of main phase in universal time (UT). The FD event is defined simultaneous if the main phase parts observed by the stations distributed evenly around the Earth are overlapped in UT and non-simultaneous if ones are overlapped in each station's local time (LT). They suggested the occurrence mechanisms of two kind FD events related to the interplanetary magnetic structures such as the interplanetary shock (IP shock) and magnetic cloud. According to their model, the simultaneity of FD depends on the strength and propagation direction of interactive magnetic structures overtaking the Earth. Now the STEREO mission can visualize the emergence and propagation direction of the coronal mass ejection (CME) in 3-dimension in the heliosphere. Thus, it is possible to test the suggested mechanisms causing two different types of FD events. One simultaneous FD observed on February 17, 2011 may be caused by a CME heading directly toward the Earth observed on February 15, 2011 by the STEREO mission. The simultaneity of FD event is proved to be a useful analysis tool in figuring out the geo-effectiveness of solar events such as interplanetary CMEs and IP shocks.

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DEVS 모델의 낙관적 분산 시뮬레이션을 위한 사건 정렬 방법 (Events Ordering in Optimistic Distributed Simulation of DEVS Models)

  • 김기형
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we propose a new events ordering mechanism for the optimistic distributed simulation of DEVS models. To simulate DEVS models in a distributed environment, a synchronization protocol is required for correct simulation. Time Warp is the most well-known optimistic synchronization protocol for distributed simulation. However, employing the Time Warp protocol in distributed simulation of DEVS models incurs events ordering problem due to the semantic difference between Time Warp and DEVS, Thus, to resolve such semantic difference, we devise the time-and-priority-stamp and $\varepsilon$ -delay schemes. The proposed schemes can order simultaneous events correctly in Time Warp-based distributed simulation of DEVS models.Time Warp and DEVS, Thus, to resolve such semantic difference, we devise the time-and-priority-stamp and $\varepsilon$ -delay schemes. The proposed schemes can order simultaneous events correctly in Time Warp-based distributed simulation of DEVS models.

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제약 조건 기반 서술구조를 이용한 동시 진행 이야기의 생성 (Creating Simultaneous Story Arcs Using Constraint Based Narrative Structure)

  • 문성현;김석규;홍의석;한상영
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2010
  • 인터랙티브 스토리텔링 시스템(Interactive Storytelling System) 상에서 다양한 이야기의 진행과 결말을 표현할 수 있는 비선형적인 이야기(nonlinear story)는 사용자와의 상호작용으로 생성된다. 또한 연극이나 영화에서 관객은 하나의 장면에서 진행되고 있는 이야기만을 볼 수 있고 다른 장면의 이야기를 보기 위해서는 현재 장면이 끝난 후 다른 장면의 이야기를 볼 수 있다. 그러나 현실에서는 여러 가지 사건들이 여러 장소에서 동시에 발생하고 게다가 특정 사건들은 다른 사건들에 영향을 미치기 때문에 전체적인 이야기의 흐름에 큰 영향을 줄 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 비선형 스토리의 생성을 위한 제약 조건 기반의 서술구조(Constraint Based Narrative Structure)를 소개하고 동시 진행 이야기(Simultaneous Story Arcs)의 제어를 위한 멀티뷰포인트(multi viewpoint)를 제안한다.

Development of a Multiplex Polymerase Chain Reaction Method for Simultaneous Detection of Genetically Modified Soy and Maize

  • Park, Kyoung-Sik;Kim, Mi-Gyeong;Leem, Dong-Gil;Yoon, Tae-Hyung;No, Ki-Mi;Hong, Jin;Kwon, Eun-Mi;Moon, Ae-Rie;Jeong, Ja-Young
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.278-280
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    • 2010
  • This study was aimed to develop a novel qualitative multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for simultaneous detection of genetically modified (GM) soy and maize within a single reaction. The specific primers designed to detect four respective GM events (A2704-12, MON88017, Bt11, and MON863) were included in the tetraplex PCR system. Each of PCR products for four GM events could be distinguished by agarose gel based on their different lengths. The specificity and reproducibility of this multiplex PCR were evaluated. This multiplex PCR consistently amplified only a fragment corresponding to a specific inserted gene in each of the four GM events and also amplified all four of the PCR products in the simulated GM mixture. These results indicate that this multiplex PCR method could be an effective qualitative detection method for screening GM soy and maize in a single reaction.

Simultaneous Comparison of Efficacy and Adverse Events of Interventions for Patients with Esophageal Cancer: Protocol for a Systematic Review and Bayesian Network Meta-analysis

  • Doosti-Irani, Amin;Mansournia, Mohammad Ali;Rahimi-Foroushani, Abbas;Cheraghi, Zahra;Holakouie-Naieni, Kourosh
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.867-872
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    • 2016
  • Background: Esophageal cancer is one of the most serious malignancies. Due to the aggressive nature of this cancer, the prognosis is poor. A network meta-analysis with simultaneous comparison of multiple treatments can help determine better treatment options that have higher effects on overall survival of patients with lower adverse events. The aim of this review is to simultaneously compare efficacy and adverse events of treatment interventions for esophageal cancer. Materials and Methods: In this review, only randomized control trials (RCT) will be considered for network meta-analysis. All international electronic databases including Medline, Web of Sciences, Scopus, Cochran's library, EMBASE and Cancerlit will be searched to find randomized control trials which compared two or more treatment interventions for esophageal cancer. A network plot will be drawn for visual representation of all available treatment interventions. Bayesian approach will be used to combine the direct and indirect evidence. Treatment effects (e.g. hazard ratio for time to event outcomes, risk ratio for binary outcomes, and rate ratio for count outcomes with 95% credible interval) will be reported. Moreover, cumulative probability of the treatment ranks will be reported using the surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) graphs. Consistency assumption will be assessed by the loop-specific and design-by-treatment interaction approaches. Conclusions: The results of this study may be helpful for the patients, clinicians and health policy makers in selecting treatments that have the best effect on survival and lowest adverse events.

스트리머 방식 탐사 자료의 동시 송신원 전파형 역산을 위한 Global correlation 기반 목적함수 최적화 연구 (A Study on Optimization of the Global-Correlation-Based Objective Function for the Simultaneous-Source Full Waveform Inversion with Streamer-Type Data)

  • 손우현;편석준;장동혁;박윤희
    • 지구물리와물리탐사
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2012
  • 동시 송신원 전파형 역산 기법은 계산량을 획기적으로 줄여 전파형 역산의 적용성을 높여준다. 그러나 다수의 송신원 모음 자료를 동시에 모델링하여 사용하기 때문에 관측 자료의 수진기 위치가 송신원에 따라 다른 경우, 나머지(residual) 파동장에 불필요한 값을 생성하게 되고 이는 파형역산의 수렴성을 저해하게 된다. 특히, 제한된 벌림 거리(offset)를 갖는 스트리머 방식의 탐사자료는 동시 송신원 기법을 적용하기에 가장 어려운 자료 형태이다. 이러한 문제점을 극복하기 위해 최근에 global correlation에 기반한 목적함수가 제안되었고, 시간영역 전파형 역산에 성공적으로 적용되었다. 그러나 이 기법은 변형된 목적함수를 사용하기 때문에 나머지 파동장이 왜곡되고 경우에 따라 역산 결과에 부정적인 영향을 주기도 한다. 또한, 여러 가지 장점을 갖고 있는 주파수 영역 파형역산에 적용된 사례는 아직 보고된 적이 없다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 나머지 파동장의 왜곡을 최소화하기 위해 global correlation 계산 시 사용하는 자료에 진폭감쇠 기법을 적용한다. 진폭감쇠를 적용한 자료는 global correlation의 특성을 최적화하여 나머지 파동장의 왜곡을 줄이고 파형역산 결과를 향상시킨다. 시간 영역에서 구한 나머지 파동장을 주파수 영역에서 역전파시킴으로써 global correlation기법을 주파수 영역에서 구현한다. 스트리머 방식의 합성 탐사자료를 이용한 예제를 통해 본 논문에서 제안한 기법이 기존의 global correlation 목적함수에 기반한 동시 송신원 전파형 역산보다 향상된 결과를 얻을 수 있음을 보여준다.

Exploring Extreme Events(X-event) in the High-Tech Science & Technology Field

  • Sang-Keun Cho;Jong-Hoon Kim;Eui-Chul Shin;Myung-Sook Hong;Jun-Chul Song;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.191-195
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    • 2023
  • An X-event is an event that is difficult to predict and unlikely to occur, but if it occurs, it has a very large ripple effect, such as loss of life, property, territory, and emotional turmoil. Extreme events are unlikely to occur, but they can happen someday, and if they do, they have a great impact on society as a whole, so they must be prepared to minimize the impact and impact. For this purpose, we collected opinions from low-level experts at the Korea Army Research Center for Future & Innovation and the Army College on extreme events that can trigger the near future (10 years) in the field of high-tech science and technology, which is currently developing rapidly after the 4th Industrial Revolution. The researchers intend to synthesize and analyze this data to derive implications and provide a response direction to alleviate the ultra-uncertainty of extreme events and provide a cornerstone for crisis management strategies for the occurrence of serial and simultaneous extreme events.