• Title/Summary/Keyword: shipping period

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A Study on the Comprehensive Impact of the 2023 IMO GHG Strategy on International Shipping (2023 IMO 온실가스 전략이 국제해운에 미치는 포괄적 영향에 대한 고찰)

  • Jung-Yoon Lee;Dae-Jung Hwang;Mingyu Kim
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.60 no.6
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    • pp.397-405
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    • 2023
  • As interest in greenhouse gas reduction has increased in all sectors, the discussion of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) to regulate pollution by ships is attracting attention in international shipping. At the 80th IMO MEPC held in July 2023, the 「2023 IMO Strategy for the Reduction of Green House Gases from Ships (MEPC. 377(80))」 was adopted, which included the net-zero target around 2050, and a firm intention to the decarbonization of the international shipping sector showed. In particular, energy, fuel and technology targets for zero or near-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 were added as new targets, and total greenhouse gas emission checkpoints for 2030 and 2040 were added as an indicator for achieving the 2050 target. The IMO's goal setting for 2030, which is about seven years away, will impose a lot of technical, economic, and political burden despite the decarbonization technology of international shipping, which has grown to a significant level in a short period of time. Accordingly, this paper presents the comprehensive impact of the 2023 IMO GHG Strategy on international shipping.

A Study on the International Competitiveness of the Korea Liner Shipping Commany (우리나라 정기선사의 국제경쟁력에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyu
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.11
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    • pp.365-384
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    • 1998
  • Under the rapid change of the world shipping industry, the liner shipping company in Korea should initiate the adaptation power, counterplot for survival, and continuous development. The world shipping industry is in the middle of the wave for the liberalization and openness of it. According to this change in world shipping industry, it is the fact that government policy for shipping industry should start turning its direction from the protectionism to the liberalism. Under this kinds of situations, this study firstly treated the liner shipping company and its governmental policy of Korea and Japan. Based on those studies, analysis of the liner shipping company operation and management reality was executed. Through the execution of studies, the problems which should be solved for development occurred. Furthermore, this thesis takes two way of researches of literature and actual proof for reinforcement plan of international competitiveness. This standard time period of study is set in 1993 except the irregular liner shipping company.

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Analysis of Trends and Rate of Change in Domestic and Foreign Passenger Traffic (국내외 여객수송수단의 동향과 변동률 분석)

  • Soo-ho Choi;Jeong-il Choi
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to look for the trends and rates of change of major passenger modes such as railway, subway, domestic shipping, domestic airline, international shipping and international airline. The data used were selected from the KOSIS, "Domestic Statistics, Statistics by Subject, Transportation and Logistics". The analysis period was 22 years from 1999 to 2020, and the annual rate of change from the previous year was calculated. In descriptive statistics, international shipping and international airlines showed relatively high volatility, whereas railway and subway showed low volatility. In the rise rate analysis, international air and international shipping dropped significantly from 539% and 368% in 2019 to 85% and 20% in 2020 due to Corona. International airline and international shipping fell significantly in 2020, but we expect them to rise again as the shock of Corona disappears in the future. Therefore, it seems that we need a project to prepare for this. International air and international shipping are expected to continue their upward trend as international trade picks up again and international travel regains its momentum.

A Study on the Causality between Geopolitical Risk and Stock Price Volatility of Shipping Companies (지정학적 위기와 해운기업 주가 변동성의 인과관계에 관한 연구)

  • Chi Yeol Kim
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.206-213
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    • 2024
  • This paper aims to investigate the causal relationship between geopolitical risk and stock price volatility in the shipping industry. Given its international nature and dependence on global trade, this industry is exposed to various uncertainties and risk factors. This study specifically focuses on the impact of geopolitical risk, which has gained significant attention in recent years due to events such as the Russia-Ukraine War and the Israel-Hamas War. To analyze this relationship, the study utilizes vector autoregressive model-based causality tests. The research estimates the causal relationship between geopolitical risk indicators and the stock price volatility of five shipping companies listed on the Korea Exchange. The study covers the period from 2000 to 2023. The results indicate the following: Firstly, an increase in geopolitical risk leads to a rise in stock price volatility for shipping companies. Moreover, the impact of actual geopolitical events, rather than just diplomatic disputes, is statistically significant. Lastly, the impact of geopolitical risk is particularly significant in the bulk shipping sector.

Has Container Shipping Industry been Fixing Prices in Collusion?: A Korean Market Case

  • Jaewoong Yoon;Yunseok Hur
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.79-100
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to analyze the market power of the Korea Container Shipping Market (Intra Asia, Korea-Europe, and Korea-U.S.) to verify the existence of collusion empirically, and to answer whether the joint actions of liner market participants in Korea have formed market dominance for each route. Precisely, it will be verified through the Lerner index as to whether the regional market of Asia is a monopoly, oligopoly, or perfect competition. Design/methodology - This study used a Lerner index adjusted with elasticity presented in the New Imperial Organization (NEIO) studies. NEIO refers to a series of empirical studies that estimate parameters to judge market power from industrial data. This study uses B-L empirical models by Bresnahan (1982) and Lau (1982). In addition, NEIO research data statistically contain self-regression and stability problems as price and time series data. A dynamic model following Steen and Salvanes' Error Correction Model was used to solve this problem. Findings - The empirical results are as follows. First, λ, representing market power, is nearly zero in all three markets. Second, the Korean shipping market shows low demand elasticity on average. Nevertheless, the markup is low, a characteristic that is difficult to see in other industries. Third, the Korean shipping market generally remains close to perfect competition from 2014 to 2022, but extreme market power appears in a specific period, such as COVID-19. Fourth, there was no market power in the Intra Asia market from 2008 to 2014. Originality/value - Doubts about perfect competition in the liner market continued, but there were few empirical cases. This paper confirmed that the Korea liner market is a perfect competition market. This paper is the first to implement dynamics using ECM and recursive regression to demonstrate market power in the Korean liner market by dividing the shipping market into Deep Sea and Intra Asia separately. It is also the first to prove the most controversial problems in the current shipping industry numerically and academically.

Sensitivity Analysis of JLSP Inventory Model with Ordering Cost inclusive of a Freight Cost under Trade Credit in a Two-stage Supply Chain

  • Shinn, Seong-Whan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.300-306
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the distributor's inventory model in a two-stage supply chain consisting of the supplier, the distributor and the end customer. The supplier will allow a credit period before the distributor settles the account with him in order to stimulate the demand for the product he produces. It is also assumed that the distributor pays the shipping cost for the order and hence, the distributor's ordering cost consists of a fixed ordering cost and the shipping cost that depend on the order quantity. The availability of the delay in payments from the supplier enables discount of the distributor's selling price from a wider range of the price option in anticipation of increased customer's demand. As a result, the availability of a credit transaction leads to an increase in inventory levels. On the other hand, in the case of deteriorating products in which the utility of the product perish over time, the deterioration rate with time plays a role in reducing inventory levels. In this regard, we analyze the effect of the length of the credit period and the degree of product deterioration on the distributor's inventory level. For the analysis, we formulate the distributor's annual net profit and analyze the effect of the length of credit period and deterioration rate of the product on inventory policy numerically.

The Realities and Problems of Deregulation of Shipping Industry in Major Countries (주요국의 해운산업 규제완화 실태와 문제점에 관한 소고)

  • Kim, Eun-Joo;Han, Nak-Hyun
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.20
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    • pp.153-179
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    • 2003
  • Deregulation is not a matter or problem to be resolved simply by revising a law or a system in a short period of time. Rather, it should be implemented at a steady pace on the basis of a full understanding of the relationships between government regulation and the government's role, taking into account the inherent functions of the market. Moreover, arguments about government regulation and its deregulation vary according to viewpoints and approaches on the part of parties concerned. This makes it more difficult to form a consensus or reach a conclusion in recognizing and resolving the basis of problems at issue. This paper aims to review the shipping industry deregulation of major countries, to analyze Korea's situation and problems of shipping regulation, and to suggest it's improving methods. Although government regulation is a sensitive policy issue, this paper remains relatively at the basic research. Regulation problems should be tackled by interdisciplinary approach. A specific approach in regulation study could not explain exactly the causes and results of government policy

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A Study on Impact of Factors Influencing Maritime Freight Rates Using Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Analysis on Blank Sailings of Shipping Companies (포아송 및 음이항 회귀분석을 이용한 해상운임 결정요인이 해운선사의 블랭크 세일링에 미치는 영향 분석 연구)

  • Won-Hyeong Ryu;Hyung-Sik Nam
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.62-77
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    • 2024
  • In the maritime shipping industry, imbalance between supply and demand has persistently increased, leading to the utilization of blank sailings by major shipping companies worldwide as a key means of flexibly adjusting vessel capacity in response to shipping market conditions. Traditionally, blank sailings have been frequently implemented around the Chinese New Year period. However, due to unique circumstances such as the global pandemic starting in 2020 and trade tensions between the United States and China, shipping companies have recently conducted larger-scale blank sailings compared to the past. As blank sailings directly impact freight transport delays, they can have negative repercussions from perspectives of both businesses and consumers. Therefore, this study employed Poisson regression models and negative binomial regression models to analyze the influence of maritime freight rate determinants on shipping companies' decisions regarding blank sailings, aiming to proactively address potential consequences. Results of the analysis indicated that, in Poisson regression analysis for 2M, significant variables included global container shipping volume, container vessel capacity, container ship scrapping volume, container ship newbuilding index, and OECD inflation. In negative binomial regression analysis, ocean alliance showed significance with global container shipping volume and container ship order volume, the alliance with container ship capacity and interest rates, non-alliance with international oil prices, global supply chain pressure index, container ship capacity, OECD inflation, and total alliance with container ship capacity and interest rates.

Forecasting the BDI during the Period of 2012 (2012 BDI의 예측)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • In much the same way as the US Lehman crisis of 2008-2009 severely impacted the European economy through financial market dislocation, a European banking crisis would materially impact the US economy through a generalized increase in global risk aversion. A deepening of the European crisis could very well derail the US economic recovery and have a harmful impact on the Asian economies. This kind of vicious circle could be a bad news to the shipping companies. The purpose of the study is to predict the Baltic Dry Index representing the shipping business during the period of 2012 using the ARIMA-type models. This include the ARIMA and Intervention-ARIMA models. This article introduces the four ARIMA models and six Intervention-ARIMA models. The monthly data cover the period January 2000 through October 2011. The out-of-sample forecasting performance is also calculated. Forecasting performance is measured by three summary statistics: root mean squared percent error, mean absolute percent error and mean percent error. The root mean squared percent errors, however, are somewhat higher than normally expected. This reveals that it is very difficult to predict the BDI The ARIMA-type models show that the shipping market will be bearish in 2012. These pessimistic ex-ante forecasts are supported by the Hodrick-Prescott filtering technique.

A Study on Financial Ratios Change of Korean Dry Bulk Shipping Firms before and after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기 전후 한국 건화물 선사의 재무비율 변동에 대한 비교 분석)

  • Cho, In-Seong;Ryoo, Dong-Keun;Lee, Ki-Hwan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.244-252
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    • 2020
  • The 2008 global financial crisis was triggered by the Lehman Brothers crisis caused by the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the United States This crisis has had an impact on the globe's dry bulk shipping market by reducing dry bulk cargo volume. An oversupply of dry bulk carriers caused a serious recession in the globe's dry-bulk shipping industry and shipbuilding industry. In this situation, the Korean dry-bulk shipping companies were victims of the quagmire of a long recession since the global financial crisis and could not overcome this crisis. This condition forced them into severe financial risk Thus, it caused many shipping companies to file for bankruptcy. In this study, we classified Korean ocean-going dry-bulk shipping companies into two groups, that is, the solvent group and the insolvent group. We also separated the research period before and after the 2008 global financial crisis. Then we investigated the differences in the major financial ratios of the two groups by t-test and found that some financial ratios such as profitability ratios and growth ratios showed the difference between the two groups with statistical significance. The significance of this study is as follow. First, the shipping company management is also crucial for the systematic management of financial strength and business strategy, it is crucial to manage cargo which a high profitable freight. Second, the shipping company should be managed as a company with continued growth through efficient operation and management of ships.