• Title/Summary/Keyword: sequential prediction

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Effective Performance Prediction of Axial Flow Compressors Using a Modified Stage-Stacking Method (단축적법의 개선에 의한 축류압축기의 효과적인 성능예측)

  • Song, Tae-Won;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Tong-Seop;Ro, Sung-Tack
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.1077-1084
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    • 2000
  • In this work, a modified stage-stacking method for the performance prediction of multi-stage axial flow compressors is proposed. The method is based on a simultaneous calculation of all interstage variables (temperature, pressure, flow velocity) instead of the conventional sequential stage-by-stage scheme. The method is also very useful in simulating the effect of changing angles of the inlet guide vane and stator vanes on the compressor operating characteristics. Generalized stage performance curves are used in presenting the performance characteristics of each stage. General assumptions enable determination of flow path data and stage design performance. Performance of various real compressors is predicted and comparison between prediction and field data validates the usefulness of the present method.

Intelligent System Predictor using Virtual Neural Predictive Model

  • 박상민
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1998.03a
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    • pp.101-105
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    • 1998
  • A large system predictor, which can perform prediction of sales trend in a huge number of distribution centers, is presented using neural predictive model. There are 20,000 number of distribution centers, and each distribution center need to forecast future demand in order to establish a reasonable inventory policy. Therefore, the number of forecasting models corresponds to the number of distribution centers, which is not possible to estimate that kind of huge number of accurate models in ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning)module. Multilayer neural net as universal approximation is employed for fitting the prediction model. In order to improve prediction accuracy, a sequential simulation procedure is performed to get appropriate network structure and also to improve forecasting accuracy. The proposed simulation procedure includes neural structure identification and virtual predictive model generation. The predictive model generation consists of generating virtual signals and estimating predictive model. The virtual predictive model plays a key role in tuning the real model by absorbing the real model errors. The complement approach, based on real and virtual model, could forecast the future demands of various distribution centers.

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Adaptive Antenna Muting using RNN-based Traffic Load Prediction (재귀 신경망에 기반을 둔 트래픽 부하 예측을 이용한 적응적 안테나 뮤팅)

  • Ahmadzai, Fazel Haq;Lee, Woongsup
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.633-636
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    • 2022
  • The reduction of energy consumption at the base station (BS) has become more important recently. In this paper, we consider the adaptive muting of the antennas based on the predicted future traffic load to reduce the energy consumption where the number of active antennas is adaptively adjusted according to the predicted future traffic load. Given that traffic load is sequential data, three different RNN structures, namely long-short term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU), and bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM) are considered for the future traffic load prediction. Through the performance evaluation based on the actual traffic load collected from the Afghanistan telecom company, we confirm that the traffic load can be estimated accurately and the overall power consumption can also be reduced significantly using the antenna musing.

HPV-type Prediction System using SVM and Partial Sequential Pattern (분할 순차 패턴과 SVM을 이용한 HPV 타입 예측 시스템)

  • Kim, Jinsu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 2014
  • The existing system consumes a considerable amount time and cost for extracting the patterns from whole sequences or misaligned sequences. In this paper, We propose the classification system, which creates the partition sequence sections using multiple sequence alignment method and extracts the sequential patterns from these section. These extracted patterns are accumulated motif candidate sets and then used the training sets of SVM classifier. This proposed system predicts a HPV-type(high/low) using the learned knowledges from known/unknown protein sequences and shows more improved precision, recall than previous system in 30% minimum support.

Observational Arc-Length Effect on Orbit Determination for KPLO Using a Sequential Estimation Technique

  • Kim, Young-Rok;Song, Young-Joo;Bae, Jonghee;Choi, Seok-Weon
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.295-308
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    • 2018
  • In this study, orbit determination (OD) simulation for the Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) was accomplished for investigation of the observational arc-length effect using a sequential estimation algorithm. A lunar polar orbit located at 100 km altitude and $90^{\circ}$ inclination was mainly considered for the KPLO mission operation phase. For measurement simulation and OD for KPLO, the Analytical Graphics Inc. Systems Tool Kit 11 and Orbit Determination Tool Kit 6 software were utilized. Three deep-space ground stations, including two deep space network (DSN) antennas and the Korea Deep Space Antenna, were configured for the OD simulation. To investigate the arc-length effect on OD, 60-hr, 48-hr, 24-hr, and 12-hr tracking data were prepared. Position uncertainty by error covariance and orbit overlap precision were used for OD performance evaluation. Additionally, orbit prediction (OP) accuracy was also assessed by the position difference between the estimated and true orbits. Finally, we concluded that the 48-hr-based OD strategy is suitable for effective flight dynamics operation of KPLO. This work suggests a useful guideline for the OD strategy of KPLO mission planning and operation during the nominal lunar orbits phase.

Sums-of-Products Models for Korean Segment Duration Prediction

  • Chung, Hyun-Song
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.7-21
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    • 2003
  • Sums-of-Products models were built for segment duration prediction of spoken Korean. An experiment for the modelling was carried out to apply the results to Korean text-to-speech synthesis systems. 670 read sentences were analyzed. trained and tested for the construction of the duration models. Traditional sequential rule systems were extended to simple additive, multiplicative and additive-multiplicative models based on Sums-of-Products modelling. The parameters used in the modelling include the properties of the target segment and its neighbors and the target segment's position in the prosodic structure. Two optimisation strategies were used: the downhill simplex method and the simulated annealing method. The performance of the models was measured by the correlation coefficient and the root mean squared prediction error (RMSE) between actual and predicted duration in the test data. The best performance was obtained when the data was trained and tested by ' additive-multiplicative models. ' The correlation for the vowel duration prediction was 0.69 and the RMSE. 31.80 ms. while the correlation for the consonant duration prediction was 0.54 and the RMSE. 29.02 ms. The results were not good enough to be applied to the real-time text-to-speech systems. Further investigation of feature interactions is required for the better performance of the Sums-of-Products models.

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User Intention-Awareness System for Goal-oriented Context-Awareness Service

  • Lee, Jung-Eun;Yoon, Tae-Bok;Lee, Jee-Hyong
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.154-158
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    • 2007
  • As the technology developed, the system is being developed as the structure that is adapted to the intelligent environment. Therefore, the existing situation information system couldn't provide satisfactory service to the user as it provides service only by the information which it received from the sensor. This paper analyzed the problems of the existing user intention awareness system and suggested user intention awareness system to provide a stable and efficient service that fits to the intention of the user compensating this. This paper has collected the behavior data based on the scenario of the sequential behavior course of the user that occurs at breakfast time in the kitchen which is the home domain environment thai is closely related to our lives. This scenario course also showed the flow that the goal intentional user intention awareness system acted that it suggested, and showed the sequential course processing the user behavior data by tables and charts.

Damage Estimation of Structures Incorporating Structural Identification (동특성 추정을 이용한 구조물의 손상도 추정)

  • Yun, Chung-Bang;Lee, Hyeong-Jin;Kim, Doo-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.136-143
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    • 1995
  • The problem of the structural identification becomes important, particularly with relation to the rapid increase of the number of the damaged or deteriorated structures, such as highway bridges, buildings, and industrial facilities. This paper summarizes the recent studies related to those problems by the present authors. The system identfication methods are generally classified as the time domain and the frequency domain methods. As time doamin methods, the sequential algorithms such as the extended Kalman filter and the sequential prediction error method are studied. Several techniques for improving the convergences are incorporated. As frequency domain methods, a new frequency response function estimator is introduced. For damage estimation of existing structures, the modal perturbation and the sensitivity matrix methods are studied. From the example analysis, it has been found that the combined utilization of the measurement data for the static response and the dynamic (modal) properties are very effictive for the damage estimation.

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A sequential pattern analysis for dynamic discovery of customers' preference (고객의 동적 선호 탐색을 위한 순차패턴 분석 : (주)더페이스샵 사례)

  • Song, Ki-Ryong;Noh, Soeng-Ho;Lee, Jae-Kwang;Choi, Il-Young;Kim, Jae-Kyeong
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.153-170
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    • 2008
  • Customers' needs change every moment. Profitability of stores can't be increased anymore with an existing standardized chain store management. Accordingly, a personalized store management tool needs through prediction of customers' preference. In this study, we propose a recommending procedure using dynamic customers' preference by analyzing the transaction database. We utilize self-organizing map algorithm and association rule mining which are applied to cluster the chain stores and explore purchase sequence of customers. We demonstrate that the proposed methodology makes an effect on recommendation of products in the market which is characterized by a fast fashion and a short product life cycle.

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Vehicle Tracking using Sequential Monte Carlo Filter (순차적인 몬테카를로 필터를 사용한 차량 추적)

  • Lee, Won-Ju;Yun, Chang-Yong;Kim, Eun-Tae;Park, Min-Yong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.10c
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    • pp.434-436
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    • 2006
  • In a visual driver-assistance system, separating moving objects from fixed objects are an important problem to maintain multiple hypothesis for the state. Color and edge-based tracker can often be "distracted" causing them to track the wrong object. Many researchers have dealt with this problem by using multiple features, as it is unlikely that all will be distracted at the same time. In this paper, we improve the accuracy and robustness of real-time tracking by combining a color histogram feature with a brightness of Optical Flow-based feature under a Sequential Monte Carlo framework. And it is also excepted from Tracking as time goes on, reducing density by Adaptive Particles Number in case of the fixed object. This new framework makes two main contributions. The one is about the prediction framework which separating moving objects from fixed objects and the other is about measurement framework to get a information from the visual data under a partial occlusion.

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