• 제목/요약/키워드: seasonal variability

검색결과 259건 처리시간 0.027초

대기-해양 접합 모델에서 모사한 ENSO의 특징 (Characteristics of the Simulated ENSO in CGCM)

  • 문병권
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.343-356
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    • 2007
  • 새롭게 개발한 대기-해양 접합모형(CGCM)에서 모사한 열대 태평양 해수면 온도(SST)의 경년 변동성의 특징을 조사하였다. 모형은 SST의 경년변동과 평균분포, 계절변동, 강수량, 그리고 해양 내부 구조를 관측과 유사하게 모사하였다. 모델은 서태평양 경계 부근에서 관측에 비해 큰 SST 경년변동을 보였는데 이 원인으로 적도 태평양의 SST 동서 변화율을 제시하였다. 즉 관측에 비해 강한 SST 경도는 zonal advection feedback을 강화시켜 SST 아노말리의 서진(westward propagation)과 서태평양의 경년 변동성 증가를 가져왔다. 간단한 two-strip 모델을 이용한 민감도 실험 결과는 이를 뒷받침하였다. 동서 평균한 수온약층의 깊이와 NINO3 SST 인덱스의 분석 결과는 모델의 경년 변동이 충전-방전 진동자에 의한 것임을 나타냈다. 그리고 지연 회귀분석 결과를 이용하여 엘니뇨가 발달하기 전에 barrier layer thickness(BLT) 증가에 의한 열 축적 과정이 서태평양에서 먼저 일어난다는 것을 제시하였다.

북서태평양 열대해역에서 관측된 수괴의 경년변동성 (Interannual Variability of the Water Masses Observed in the Tropical Northwestern Pacific)

  • 최은지;전동철
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.161-169
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    • 2016
  • The interannual variability of the water masses was analyzed from the CTD data measured in the tropical northwestern Pacific from 2006 to 2014. There are two typical water masses NPTW and NPIW that reveal the interannual variability in the survey area, in addition to two other water masses; the surface water mass TSW with a large seasonal variability and the deep water mass AACDW with a constant temperature-salinity characteristic at the depths deeper than 2,000 meters. In 2012 and 2014 NPTW was the most widely extended horizontally and thicker than 100 meters vertically, which was found over the entire survey area. However, NPTW was reduced and became much narrower in 2009 than in the other years. NPIW seemed to expand southwards from the north of $21^{\circ}N$ to $15^{\circ}N$ in 2008 and in 2012, which showed the salinity minimum in 2013 (< 34.15 psu). The sea surface height estimated by Absolute Dynamic Topography (ADT) approximately along $135^{\circ}E$ section showed the high peaks (> $1.45dyn{\cdot}m$) between $16^{\circ}N$ and $18^{\circ}N$ during the periods between 2007 and 2009 and between 2012 and 2013; the former peak lasted wider and longer in latitude and time (about three times) than the latter. The vertical section of the geostrophic currents in the upper 1,000 meters shows that there was a mesoscale pattern of repeated eastward and westward flows a few times in some years (2010 and 2014), which seemed to disappear in some other years (2008 and 2012); the former was closely related to the mesoscale eddies and the latter implied the pattern with the permanent currents. The persistent eastward flow between $17^{\circ}N$ and $19^{\circ}N$ seems to be related to the Subtropical Countercurrent (STCC).

한국 남서해안 진도군 금갑의 해조상 및 군집구조의 계절 변화 (Seasonal Variability of Marine Algal Flora and Community Structure at Gumgap, Jindo, on the Southwestern Coast of Korea)

  • 유현일;허진석;최한길
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.300-307
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    • 2015
  • Seasonal variation in marine macroalgal community structure was examined at the intertidal zones of Geumgap, Jindo, Korea, from October 2013 to August 2014. In total, 56 macroalgal species were identified, including 9 green, 12 brown, and 35 red algae. Annual seaweed biomass was 548.96 g wet wt. /$m^2$ with seasonal range between 371.08 g wet wt. /$m^2$ at summer and 32.91 g wet wt. /$m^2$ at winter. The dominant seaweed in terms of biomass was Sargassum thunbergii and subdominant species were Gelidium elegans, Sargassum fusiforme, and Ishige okamurae. The vertical distribution of seaweeds from the upper to lower intertidal zones was Gloiopeltis spp., Ulva spp.- S. thunbergii, S. fusiforme, Ishige okamurae - S. thunbergii, S. fusiforme, G. elegans. Annual seaweed coverage, richness index (R), evenness index (J'), and diversity index (H') values were 27.95%, 6.10, 0.38, and 1.38, respectively. Coarsely branched form was the most dominant functional group in terms of species number and biomass among benthic macroalgal species.

계절별 기후요건과 유황을 고려한 주지하수감수곡선에 대한 연구 (Research on Master Recession Curve (MRC) Considering Seasonality and Flow Condition)

  • 양동석;이서로;금동혁;임경재
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.317-317
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    • 2018
  • Baseflow which is one of the unmeasurable components of streamflow and slowly flows through underground is important for water resource management. Despite various separation methods from researches preceded, it is difficult to find a significant separation method for baseflow separation. This study applied the MRC method and developed the improved approach to separate baseflow from total streamflow hydrograph. Previous researchers utilized the whole streamflow data of study period at once to derive synthetic MRCs causing unreliable results. This study has been proceeded with total nine areas with gauging stations. Each three areas are selected from 3 domestic major watersheds. Tool for drawing MRC had been used to draw MRCs of each area. First, synthetic MRC for whole period and two other MRCs were drawn following two different criteria. Two criteria were set by different conditions, one is flow condition and the other is seasonality. The whole streamflow was classified according to seasonality and flow conditions, and MRCs had been drawn with a specialized program. The MRCs for flow conditions had low R2 and similar trend to recession segments. On the other hand, the seasonal MRCs were eligible for the baseflow separation that properly reflects the seasonal variability of baseflow. Comparing two methods of assuming MRC for baseflow separation, seasonal MRC was more effective for relieving overestimating tendency of synthetic MRC. Flow condition MRCs had large distribution of the flow and this means accurate MRC could not be found. Baseflow separation using seasonal MRC is showing more reliability than the other one however, if certain technique added up to the flow condition MRC method to stabilize distribution of the streamflow, the flow conditions method could secure reliability as much as seasonal MRC method.

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계절예측 정보 기반 APEX-Paddy 모형 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of Applicability of APEX-Paddy Model based on Seasonal Forecast)

  • 조재필;최순군;황세운;박지훈
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.99-119
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    • 2018
  • Unit load factor, which is used for the quantification of non-point pollution in watersheds, has the limitation that it does not reflect spatial characteristics of soil, topography and temporal change due to the interannual or seasonal variability of precipitation. Therefore, we developed the method to estimate a watershed-scale non-point pollutant load using seasonal forecast data that forecast changes of precipitation up to 6 months from present time for watershed-scale water quality management. To establish a preemptive countermeasure against non-point pollution sources, it is possible to consider the unstructured management plan which is possible over several months timescale. Notably, it is possible to apply various management methods such as control of sowing and irrigation timing, control of irrigation through water management, and control of fertilizer through fertilization management. In this study, APEX-Paddy model, which can consider the farming method in field scale, was applied to evaluate the applicability of seasonal forecast data. It was confirmed that the rainfall amount during the growing season is an essential factor in the non-point pollution pollutant load. The APEX-Paddy model for quantifying non-point pollution according to various farming methods in paddy fields simulated similarly the annual variation tendency of TN and TP pollutant loads in rice paddies but showed a tendency to underestimate load quantitatively.

기상청 기후예측시스템(GloSea6) 과거기후 예측장의 앙상블 확대와 초기시간 변화에 따른 예측 특성 분석 (Assessment of the Prediction Derived from Larger Ensemble Size and Different Initial Dates in GloSea6 Hindcast)

  • 김지영;박연희;지희숙;현유경;이조한
    • 대기
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.367-379
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, the evaluation of the performance of Korea Meteorological Administratio (KMA) Global Seasonal forecasting system version 6 (GloSea6) is presented by assessing the effects of larger ensemble size and carrying out the test using different initial conditions for hindcast in sub-seasonal to seasonal scales. The number of ensemble members increases from 3 to 7. The Ratio of Predictable Components (RPC) approaches the appropriate signal magnitude with increase of ensemble size. The improvement of annual variability is shown for all basic variables mainly in mid-high latitude. Over the East Asia region, there are enhancements especially in 500 hPa geopotential height and 850 hPa wind fields. It reveals possibility to improve the performance of East Asian monsoon. Also, the reliability tends to become better as the ensemble size increases in summer than winter. To assess the effects of using different initial conditions, the area-mean values of normalized bias and correlation coefficients are compared for each basic variable for hindcast according to the four initial dates. The results have better performance when the initial date closest to the forecasting time is used in summer. On the seasonal scale, it is better to use four initial dates, where the maximum size of the ensemble increases to 672, mainly in winter. As the use of larger ensemble size, therefore, it is most efficient to use two initial dates for 60-days prediction and four initial dates for 6-months prediction, similar to the current Time-Lagged ensemble method.

Managing Groundwater Resources in New Zealand to Account for Environmental Change

  • Davidson, Peter William
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2007년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.40-45
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    • 2007
  • Water regulators in New Zealand have recognised the need to adapt water allocation regimes and water permit conditions to reflect the likelihood of lower catchment yield on the east coast from 2030 due to climate change. Water management mechanisms to protect the environment and maintain the reliability of other water users are currently being applied or assessed in Marlborough province. These include seasonal water quota based on spring aquifer status, linking water use to environmental triggers to avoid seawater intrusion or spring depletion; and redefining water permit entitlements to account for recharge variability.

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대마난류와 관련된 대한해협 해수면의 변동 (Variability of Sea Levels Associated with the Tsushima Current in the Korea Strait)

  • 이재철;조규대;김순영;김호균;심태보
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.437-449
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    • 1991
  • 대한해협을 통해서 흐르는 대마난류의 변동을 연구하기 위하여 부산, 이즈하라, 하카다 해수면의 시계열 자료를 분석하였다. 해수면 및 해수면차의 변동성은 0.01-0.02cpd를 중심으로 두 부분으로 구분된다. 저주파에서 해수면과 해수면차는 상관성이 높으며 위상차는 작다. 부산 해수면의 계절변화 폭은 다른 두 곳보다 작은데 이것은 지형류 효과와 계절풍의 영향이 밀도의 계절변화 효과를 상쇄하기 때문이다. 대마난류의 세기와 관련이 있는 해수면차의 변동은 동수도에 비해 서수도에서 매우 크다. 고주파 부분에 있어서 동수도의 해수면차는 그 변동성이 서수도에 비해 크고 양수도의 해수면차는 서로 상관성이 없다. 부산과 이즈하라의 해수면은 각각 서수도와 동수도에서의 해수면차와 $180^{\circ}$ 위상차가 나는 반면에 하카다에서는 같은 위상을 가진다. 이 결과는 이즈하라가 동수도쪽에 위치함으로써 동수도의 해수면은 바람과 지형류 효과에 대해 정상적인 반응을 한다는 것을 나타낸다.

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Observations of the Cheju Current

  • Suk, Moon-Sik;Pang, Ig-Chan;Teague, William J.;Chang, Kyung-Il
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.129-152
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    • 2000
  • The Cheju Current (CC), defined here as a mean eastward flow in the Cheju Strait, mostly carries water of high temperature and salinity originating from the Kuroshio in winter and spring, the Cheju Warm Current Water (CWCW). The strong core of the eastward component of the CC is found close to Cheju Island (Cheju-Do, hereafter) in winter and spring with a peak speed of about 17.0 cm/s. The eastward flow weakens towards the northern Cheju Strait, and a weak westward flow occurs occasionally close to the southern coast of Korea. The volume transport ranges from 0.37 to 0.45 Sv(1 Sv=10$^6$ m$^3$/s) in winter and spring. Seasonal thermocline and harocline are formed in summer and eroded in November. The occurrence of the CWCW is confined in the southern Cheju Strait close to Cheju-Do below the seasonal thermocline in summer and fall, and cold water occupies the lower layer north of the CWCW which is thought to be brought into the area from the area west of Cheju-Do along with the CWCW. Stratification acts to increase both the speed of the CC with a peak speed of greater than 30 cm/s and the vertical shear of the along-strait currents. The strong core of the CC detached from the coast of Cheju-Do and shifted to the north during the stratified seasons. The volume transport in summer and fall ranges 0.510.66 Sv, which is about 1.5 times larger than that in winter and spring. An annual cycle of the cross-strait sea level difference shows its maximum in summer and fall and minimum in winter and spring, whose tendency is consistent with the annual variability of the CC and its transport estimated from the ADCP measurements. Moored current measurements west of Cheju-Do indicate the clockwise turning of the CC, and the moored current measurements in the Cheju Strait for 1530 days show the low-frequency variability of the along-strait flow with a period of about 37 days.

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대한해협주변 내부조석의 계절적 변동성: 3차원 고해상도 모델 연구 (Seasonal Variability of Internal Tides around the Korea Strait: 3-D High-resolution Model Simulation)

  • 이현정;이호진;박재훈;하호경
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates spatial and temporal variations in the generation and propagation of internal tides around the Korea Strait using a three-dimensional high resolution model (Regional Ocean Modeling System; ROMS). The model results were verified through comparison with in-situ current measurements from an array of 12 acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCPs) deployed in the Korea Strait. Fluxes and distributions of internal tidal energy were calculated using simulation results gathered in February and August. Our analyses reveal that energetic semidiurnal internal tides are generated in a region around the Korea Strait shelf break ($35.5^{\circ}N$, $130^{\circ}{\sim}130.5^{\circ}E$), where the strong cross-slope semidiurnal barotropic tidal currents interact with a sudden topographical change. The semidiurnal internal tidal energy generated in summer displays values about twice as large as values in winter. Propagation of semidiurnal internal tides also reveals seasonal variability. In February, most of the semidiurnal internal tides propagate only into the open basin of the East Sea due to weak stratification in the Korea Strait, which inhibits their southwestward propagation. In August, they propagate southwestward to $35.2^{\circ}N$ along the western channel of the Korea Strait because of strong stratification. In addition, semidiurnal internal tides generated in a region west of Tsushima Island are found to propagate to the coast of Busan. This can be explained by the intensified stratification due to the strong intrusion of bottom cold water in the western channel of the Korea Strait during summer.