• 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.44-65
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• 1983

As a part of the epidemiological studies of clonorchiasis, this study was conducted to evaluate the current endemicity and the natural transition of the Clonorchis infection in Gimhae Gun and delta area a high endemic area in Korea in recent years, prior to the introduction of praziquantel which will eventually influence the status of the prevalence. The data obtained in this study in 1983 were evaluated for natural transition of the infection in comparison with those obtained 16 years ago in 1967 by the author(Kim, 1974). The areas of investigation, villages and schools surveyed, methods and techniques used in this study were the same as in 1967, except for the contents of the questionnaire for raw freshwater fish consumption by the local inhabitants. 1) The prevalence rate of clonorchiasis in the general population of the villages was 48.1% on the average out of a total of 484 persons examined. The average of those of the riverside-delta area was 65.2% and 43.0% in the inland area. Among the schoolchildren, the prevalence rate was 8.2% on the average out of a total of 1,423 examined. By area, the prevalence rate was 10.8% in the riverside delta area and 2.8% in the inland area. By sex, difference in the prevalence was seen only in the inhabitants of the inland area showing 52.4% in the male and 33.5% in the female. 2) In the natural transition of the infection, the prevalence rate among the inhabitants has decreased from 68.8% in 1967 to 48.1% in 1983, and in the schoolchildren from 56.4% in 1967 to 8.2% in 1983. The reduction rate was higher in the riverside-delta area than in the inland area. 3) In the prevalence rate by age, 11.9% was first seen in the 5-9 age group and the rate gradually increased up to 75.0% in the 50-59 age group. By sex, the rate was higher in the male than in the female in the 20-29 age group and over. 4) In the natural transition of the prevalence rate by age, the reduction rate of the infection during the past 16 years was greater in the younger age groups up to the 40-49 age group and reached the same level in the age group 50-59. Reduction was seen again in the age group over 60s. By sex, the reduction rate was greater in the female than in the male in the 20-29 age group and over. By area, the reduction rate was greater in the riverside delta area than in the inland area, particularly in the young age groups. 5) In the intensity of the infection among the cases, the mean egg out-put per mg feces per infected cases(EPmg) in the inhabitants was 6.3. EPmg of those of the river-side-delta area was 15.4 and that of the in-land was 2.8. On the other hand, in the schoolchildren, EPmg was 3.2, and no difference was seen between the two areas, the river-side-delta area and the inland area. 6) In the transition of the intensity of the infection by area, EPmg among the inhabitants inexplically increased from 7.8 in 1967 to 15.4 in 1983. This was probably caused by uneven specimen collection in the process of sampling the population. EPmg of the inhabitants in the inland area and those of the schoolchildren of both riverside delta and inland areas showed a similar decrease in the past 16 years. 7) The intensity of the infection by age showed a relatively low level in the 20-29 age group and below, and EPmg 5.1-9.5 was seen in the 30-39 age group and over. Sex, Epmg was 5.8 in the male and 4.7 the female. By in 8) In the transition of the intensity of the infection, EPmg decreased from 6.2 in 1967 to 5.4 in 1983. By age, in contrast to the figures of 1967 in which EPmg gradually increased with some fluctuation from 1.1 in the 0-4 age group to peak 10.5 in the 50-59 age group, in 1983 lower intensity of the infection was seen in the age group from 10-14 to 20-29 with the EPmg range of 0.6-2.7. 9) In the distribution of the clonorchiasis cases by the range of EPmg value, 43.2% of the cases were in 0.1 0.9 and 34.6% in 1.0-4.9. As a whole by cumulative percent, 44.6% of them were under 0.9 as light infection and 86.1% of them under 9.9 up to moderate infection. By sex, no difference was seen in Epmg. 10) In the transition of the distribution by the range of Epmg, the cases were distributed up to the range 80.0-99.9 in 1967 and to 60.0-79.9 in 1983. By cumulative percent, in the range of 0.1-0.9 and less, light infection, 34.3% of them were distributed in 1967 and 44.6% in 1983 with about 10% increase. In the range of 5.0-9.9 and less, up to moderate infection, 83.2% in 1967 and 86.1% in 1983 of the cases were seen, respectively. 11) The practice of raw freshwater fish consumption among the inhabitants seems to have decreased in recent years. Those who admitted to raw freshwater fish consumption in the last two years among the infected inhabitants were 59.3%, although 86.8% of them professed to have experience with raw freshwater fish consumption. 31.7% of those who have had experience of the raw freshwater fish consumption denied any further consumption in recent years. From an interview of 543 school-children, 24.1% of them admitted to an experience of raw freshwater fish consumption. However, those who have practised in the past two years comprized 17.9%. Those who denied raw freshwater fish consumption in recent years among those who had such experience were 26.0% out of 131 interviewed. The rate of raw freshwater fish consumption in both inhabitants and schoolchildren were higher in the male than in the female. On the contrary, the rate of those who did not practise in recent years among those who had experience of raw freshwater fish consumption was higher in the female than in the male. 12) The major reason for the reduction of raw freshwater fish consumption among the local inhabitants was the risk of the fluke infection. However, it has become apparent that such change of taste has resulted from water pollution impact which has affected throughout the areas of the freshwater systems in this locality since last several years. 13) In animal survey, Clonorchis infection was seen in 14.8% of 88 dogs examined and 3.7% of 27 house rats examined. It was noted that populations of dogs and cats have increased in the villages surveyed. Although the prevalence rate was lower in the present survey than those of 1967, the significance of the animals as the reservoir host has not changed. 14) Prevalence rate of Clonorchis infection by cercariae in the first intermediate host, Parafossarulus manchouricus, was 0.6% out of 517 snails examined. The infection rate was lower in comparison with 2.3% out of 2,124 examined in 1967. Moreover, sharp decreases in number and distribution of the intermediate host snails in many watershed areas of the huge freshwater systems in this locality seemed to reduce transmission of Clonorchis in connection with the intermediate host stage of its life cycle. 15) Clonorchis infection in the second intermediate fish hosts was relatively low. The mean number of Clonorchis metacercaria per fish in Pseudorasbora parva was 517 in 1983, whereas it was 1943 in 1968 through 1969. Environmental water pollution has also caused the decreased fish population density in these areas, and this has also apparently affected to the practice of raw freshwater fish consumption among the local inhabitants. 16) In conclusion, endemicity of Clonorchis infection in Gimhae Gum and delta area of the Nagdong River has sharply decreased during the past 16 years. The major cause of the regressive transition of the infection was the water pollution of the land water systems of this locality. The pollution has upset the ecosystems comprizing of the intermediate hosts of Clonorchis in many areas, and also affected to a significant extent to the discontinuance of the local inhabitants for raw freshwater fish consumption.

• 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한교통학회 1995년도 제27회 학술발표회
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• pp.101-113
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• 1995

The objective of this research is to test the feasibility of developing a statewide truck traffic forecasting methodology for Wisconsin by using Origin-Destination surveys, traffic counts, classification counts, and other data that are routinely collected by the Wisconsin Department of Transportation (WisDOT). Development of a feasible model will permit estimation of future truck traffic for every major link in the network. This will provide the basis for improved estimation of future pavement deterioration. Pavement damage rises exponentially as axle weight increases, and trucks are responsible for most of the traffic-induced damage to pavement. Consequently, forecasts of truck traffic are critical to pavement management systems. The pavement Management Decision Supporting System (PMDSS) prepared by WisDOT in May 1990 combines pavement inventory and performance data with a knowledge base consisting of rules for evaluation, problem identification and rehabilitation recommendation. Without a r.easonable truck traffic forecasting methodology, PMDSS is not able to project pavement performance trends in order to make assessment and recommendations in the future years. However, none of WisDOT's existing forecasting methodologies has been designed specifically for predicting truck movements on a statewide highway network. For this research, the Origin-Destination survey data avaiiable from WisDOT, including two stateline areas, one county, and five cities, are analyzed and the zone-to'||'&'||'not;zone truck trip tables are developed. The resulting Origin-Destination Trip Length Frequency (00 TLF) distributions by trip type are applied to the Gravity Model (GM) for comparison with comparable TLFs from the GM. The gravity model is calibrated to obtain friction factor curves for the three trip types, Internal-Internal (I-I), Internal-External (I-E), and External-External (E-E). ~oth "macro-scale" calibration and "micro-scale" calibration are performed. The comparison of the statewide GM TLF with the 00 TLF for the macro-scale calibration does not provide suitable results because the available 00 survey data do not represent an unbiased sample of statewide truck trips. For the "micro-scale" calibration, "partial" GM trip tables that correspond to the 00 survey trip tables are extracted from the full statewide GM trip table. These "partial" GM trip tables are then merged and a partial GM TLF is created. The GM friction factor curves are adjusted until the partial GM TLF matches the 00 TLF. Three friction factor curves, one for each trip type, resulting from the micro-scale calibration produce a reasonable GM truck trip model. A key methodological issue for GM. calibration involves the use of multiple friction factor curves versus a single friction factor curve for each trip type in order to estimate truck trips with reasonable accuracy. A single friction factor curve for each of the three trip types was found to reproduce the 00 TLFs from the calibration data base. Given the very limited trip generation data available for this research, additional refinement of the gravity model using multiple mction factor curves for each trip type was not warranted. In the traditional urban transportation planning studies, the zonal trip productions and attractions and region-wide OD TLFs are available. However, for this research, the information available for the development .of the GM model is limited to Ground Counts (GC) and a limited set ofOD TLFs. The GM is calibrated using the limited OD data, but the OD data are not adequate to obtain good estimates of truck trip productions and attractions .. Consequently, zonal productions and attractions are estimated using zonal population as a first approximation. Then, Selected Link based (SELINK) analyses are used to adjust the productions and attractions and possibly recalibrate the GM. The SELINK adjustment process involves identifying the origins and destinations of all truck trips that are assigned to a specified "selected link" as the result of a standard traffic assignment. A link adjustment factor is computed as the ratio of the actual volume for the link (ground count) to the total assigned volume. This link adjustment factor is then applied to all of the origin and destination zones of the trips using that "selected link". Selected link based analyses are conducted by using both 16 selected links and 32 selected links. The result of SELINK analysis by u~ing 32 selected links provides the least %RMSE in the screenline volume analysis. In addition, the stability of the GM truck estimating model is preserved by using 32 selected links with three SELINK adjustments, that is, the GM remains calibrated despite substantial changes in the input productions and attractions. The coverage of zones provided by 32 selected links is satisfactory. Increasing the number of repetitions beyond four is not reasonable because the stability of GM model in reproducing the OD TLF reaches its limits. The total volume of truck traffic captured by 32 selected links is 107% of total trip productions. But more importantly, ~ELINK adjustment factors for all of the zones can be computed. Evaluation of the travel demand model resulting from the SELINK adjustments is conducted by using screenline volume analysis, functional class and route specific volume analysis, area specific volume analysis, production and attraction analysis, and Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) analysis. Screenline volume analysis by using four screenlines with 28 check points are used for evaluation of the adequacy of the overall model. The total trucks crossing the screenlines are compared to the ground count totals. L V/GC ratios of 0.958 by using 32 selected links and 1.001 by using 16 selected links are obtained. The %RM:SE for the four screenlines is inversely proportional to the average ground count totals by screenline .. The magnitude of %RM:SE for the four screenlines resulting from the fourth and last GM run by using 32 and 16 selected links is 22% and 31 % respectively. These results are similar to the overall %RMSE achieved for the 32 and 16 selected links themselves of 19% and 33% respectively. This implies that the SELINICanalysis results are reasonable for all sections of the state.Functional class and route specific volume analysis is possible by using the available 154 classification count check points. The truck traffic crossing the Interstate highways (ISH) with 37 check points, the US highways (USH) with 50 check points, and the State highways (STH) with 67 check points is compared to the actual ground count totals. The magnitude of the overall link volume to ground count ratio by route does not provide any specific pattern of over or underestimate. However, the %R11SE for the ISH shows the least value while that for the STH shows the largest value. This pattern is consistent with the screenline analysis and the overall relationship between %RMSE and ground count volume groups. Area specific volume analysis provides another broad statewide measure of the performance of the overall model. The truck traffic in the North area with 26 check points, the West area with 36 check points, the East area with 29 check points, and the South area with 64 check points are compared to the actual ground count totals. The four areas show similar results. No specific patterns in the L V/GC ratio by area are found. In addition, the %RMSE is computed for each of the four areas. The %RMSEs for the North, West, East, and South areas are 92%, 49%, 27%, and 35% respectively, whereas, the average ground counts are 481, 1383, 1532, and 3154 respectively. As for the screenline and volume range analyses, the %RMSE is inversely related to average link volume. 'The SELINK adjustments of productions and attractions resulted in a very substantial reduction in the total in-state zonal productions and attractions. The initial in-state zonal trip generation model can now be revised with a new trip production's trip rate (total adjusted productions/total population) and a new trip attraction's trip rate. Revised zonal production and attraction adjustment factors can then be developed that only reflect the impact of the SELINK adjustments that cause mcreases or , decreases from the revised zonal estimate of productions and attractions. Analysis of the revised production adjustment factors is conducted by plotting the factors on the state map. The east area of the state including the counties of Brown, Outagamie, Shawano, Wmnebago, Fond du Lac, Marathon shows comparatively large values of the revised adjustment factors. Overall, both small and large values of the revised adjustment factors are scattered around Wisconsin. This suggests that more independent variables beyond just 226; population are needed for the development of the heavy truck trip generation model. More independent variables including zonal employment data (office employees and manufacturing employees) by industry type, zonal private trucks 226; owned and zonal income data which are not available currently should be considered. A plot of frequency distribution of the in-state zones as a function of the revised production and attraction adjustment factors shows the overall " adjustment resulting from the SELINK analysis process. Overall, the revised SELINK adjustments show that the productions for many zones are reduced by, a factor of 0.5 to 0.8 while the productions for ~ relatively few zones are increased by factors from 1.1 to 4 with most of the factors in the 3.0 range. No obvious explanation for the frequency distribution could be found. The revised SELINK adjustments overall appear to be reasonable. The heavy truck VMT analysis is conducted by comparing the 1990 heavy truck VMT that is forecasted by the GM truck forecasting model, 2.975 billions, with the WisDOT computed data. This gives an estimate that is 18.3% less than the WisDOT computation of 3.642 billions of VMT. The WisDOT estimates are based on the sampling the link volumes for USH, 8TH, and CTH. This implies potential error in sampling the average link volume. The WisDOT estimate of heavy truck VMT cannot be tabulated by the three trip types, I-I, I-E ('||'&'||'pound;-I), and E-E. In contrast, the GM forecasting model shows that the proportion ofE-E VMT out of total VMT is 21.24%. In addition, tabulation of heavy truck VMT by route functional class shows that the proportion of truck traffic traversing the freeways and expressways is 76.5%. Only 14.1% of total freeway truck traffic is I-I trips, while 80% of total collector truck traffic is I-I trips. This implies that freeways are traversed mainly by I-E and E-E truck traffic while collectors are used mainly by I-I truck traffic. Other tabulations such as average heavy truck speed by trip type, average travel distance by trip type and the VMT distribution by trip type, route functional class and travel speed are useful information for highway planners to understand the characteristics of statewide heavy truck trip patternS. Heavy truck volumes for the target year 2010 are forecasted by using the GM truck forecasting model. Four scenarios are used. Fo~ better forecasting, ground count- based segment adjustment factors are developed and applied. ISH 90 '||'&'||' 94 and USH 41 are used as example routes. The forecasting results by using the ground count-based segment adjustment factors are satisfactory for long range planning purposes, but additional ground counts would be useful for USH 41. Sensitivity analysis provides estimates of the impacts of the alternative growth rates including information about changes in the trip types using key routes. The network'||'&'||'not;based GMcan easily model scenarios with different rates of growth in rural versus . . urban areas, small versus large cities, and in-state zones versus external stations. cities, and in-state zones versus external stations.

• 한국토양비료학회지
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.171-188
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• 1977

전작물(田作物)에 대(對)한 가리비료(加里肥料)의 효과(效果)를 검토(檢討)하고 그 결과(結果)를 다음과 같이 요약(要約)하였다. 1. 작물(作物)의 종류별(種類別) 가리(加里)의 10a당(當) 평균(平均) 시비적량(施肥適量)은 각각(各各) 목초(牧草) 32, 채소(菜蔬) 22.5, 과수(果樹) 17.3, 서류(薯類) 13.3, 화곡류(禾穀類) 6.5kg이다. 최근(最近) 경제성장(經濟成長)과 더부러 목초(牧草), 채소(菜蔬) 및 과수(果樹)의 재배면적(栽培面積)이 급격(急激)히 증가(增加)하고 있어 영후(令後)의 가리비료(加里肥料) 수요(需要)는 크게 증대(增大)될 것이다. 2. 주요(主要) 전작물(田作物)에 대(對)한 평균(平均) 적정가리(適正加里) 시비량(施肥量)은 보리 6.5, 밀 6.9, 콩 4.5, 옥수수 8.1, 감자 8.9, 고구마 17.7kg/10a이다. 가리성분(加里成分) 1kg/10a당(當) 평균(平均) 증수량(增收量)은 화곡류(禾穀類)에서 4~5kg이고 서류(薯類) 46kg로서 수익성(收益生)은 서류(薯類)에서 높다. 3. 전국(全國)의 치환성(置換性) 가리(加理) 함량(含量)의 분포(分布)는 해안지대(海岸地帶) 특(特)히 남해안(南海岸)에서 높고 내륙지대(內陸地帶)에서 낮으며 산악지대(山岳地帶)는 그 중간(中間)이다. 도별(道別)로는 제주(濟州)>전남(全南)>강원(江原)>경남(慶南)의 순(順)이고 경북도(慶北道)에서 가장 낮다. 대 맥(大 麥) : 4. 월동맥류(越冬麥類에) 대(對)한 가리(加里)의 비효(肥效) 및 적량(適量)은 l차적(次的)으로 기온(氣溫)의 영향(影響)을 받으며 토양인자(土壞因子)는 제(第)2차적(次的)인 것으로 생각할 수 있다. 따라서 토양별(土壞別) 또는 토양검정(土壞檢定)에 따른 시비량(施肥量) 결정기준(決定基準)은 기존지대별(氣候地帶別)로 설정(設定)함이 합리적(合理的)일 것이다. 5. 고온(高溫)에서는 토양(土壞) 중(中)의 가리(加里)의 방출(放出)이 촉진(促進)되어 가리(加里)에서 시용효과(施用效果)와 시비적량(施肥適量)이 남부(南部)에서 적고 저온인 북부(北部)에서 높으나 시비(施肥) 인산(燐酸)은 고온에서 고정(固定)이 촉진(促進)되어 남부(南部)에서 시비적량(施肥適量)이 많으며 질소(窒素)는 온도요인(溫度要因)보다는 강수량(降水量)의 영향이 커서 강수량(降水量)이 많은 남부(南部)에서 시비적량(施肥適量)이 극히 높은 것으로 풀이되었다. 6. 도별(道別) 평균(平均) 가리비효(加里肥效)는 남부(南部)로 갈수록 떨어지는 경향(傾向)을 보였고 경북(慶北)만이 예외적(例外的)으로 높다. 경북(慶北)은 치환성(置換性) 가리함량(加里含量)이 가장 낮을 뿐 아니라 산간지역(山間地域)의 저온권 전작지대(田作地帶)가 많은 것이 원인(原因)인 것 같다. 7. 가리(加里)의 비효(肥效)와 시비적량(施肥適量)은 연차별(年次別) 변이(變異)가 크다. 가리(加里)의 비효(肥效)는 저온의 해에 컸고(평년(平年)의 2~3배(倍)) 조해(早害)와 습해(濕害)가 있었던 해에는 적었으며 시비적량(施肥適量)은 저온으로 동해(凍害)가 있었던 해보다는 조해(早害)와 습해(濕害)가 있었던 해에서 더욱 많다. 8. 모암별(母岩別) 치환성(置換性) 가리(加里) 함량(含量)은 결정편암(結晶片岩)>화강암(花崗岩)>수성암(水成岩)>현무암(玄武岩)의 순(順)이나 가리(加里)의 비효(肥效)는 이와 반대(反對)의 순(順)이어서 모암별(母岩別) 가리(加里) 함량(含量)과 비효간(肥效間)에는 뚜렷한 역상관(逆相關)이 있다. 9. 모재별(母材別) 치환성(置換性) 가리(加里) 함량(含量)은 충적토(沖積土)>잔적토(殘積土)>홍적토(洪積土)>곡간충적토이며 가리비효(加里肥效)는 곡간충적토에서 만이 현저히 클 뿐 그 외(外)의 모재간(母材間)에 는 분명(分明)한 차이(差異)가 없다. 10. 가리(加里)의 비효(肥效)와 적량(積量)은 토성(土性) 차이(差異)에 의(依)하여 크게 달라서 가리비효(加里肥效)는 사질(砂質)쪽에서 높고 가리적량(加里適量)은 식질(埴質) 쪽에서 높다. 특(特)히 사질(砂質)인 양토(壤土)와 사양토(砂壤土)에서는 적량(適量)을 초과(超過) 시비(施肥)했을 때 감수(減收)가 크다. 11. 가리시용(加里施用)에 의(依)해서 평균적(平均的)으로 출수일(出穗日)이 1.7일(日) 지연되고 간장(稈長)은 4.4cm가 증대(增大)되며 주당수수(株當穗數)(0.3)와 1,000립중(粒重) 및 저엽비율(租葉比率)이 증대(增大)된다. 콩 : 12. 콩의 가리비효(加里肥效)는 곡류작물(穀物作物) 중(中)에서 가장 적으나 신개간지(新開墾地)에서는 가리(加里) 8kg/10a 시용(施用)으로 자실중(子實重)이 28kg/10a까지 증수(增收)된다. 13. 모암별(母岩別) 가리비효(加里肥效)는 현무암(玄武岩)제주(濟州)>수성암(水成岩)>화강암(花崗岩) 및 석회암(石灰巖)의 순(順)이며 연차별(年次別) 변이폭(慶異幅)도 크다. 옥수수 : 14. 치환성(置換性) 가리함량(加里含量)이 많은 토양(土壞)에서는 옥수수의 가리비효(加里肥效)는 떨어지나 절대수량(絶對收量)이 높기 때문에 오히려 가리(加里)의 시비적량(施肥適量)은 가리함량(加里含量)이 높은 경우에 높다. 15. 옥수수에 대(對)한 가리비효(加里肥效)는 인산(燐酸)의 시비수준(施肥水準)과 교호작용(交互作用)이 인정(認定)되어 인산(燐酸)의 적량(適量) 시용하(施用下)에서 가리(加里)의 비효(肥效)도 크고 적량(適量)도 높다. 서 류(薯類) : 16. 감자는 가리(加里)보다도 질소(窒素)의 요구량(要求量)이 더 많으며 이 때문에 감자가 스스로 토양가리(土壤加里)의 흡수능력(吸收能力)이 큰 것 같다. 17. 감자의 수량(收量)은 식양토(埴壤土) 보다는 사양토(砂壤土)에서 높고 치환성(置換性) 가리(加里) 함량(含量)이 높을수록 높다. 그러나 가리(加里)의 비효(肥效)는 사질토(砂質土)보다는 식양토(埴壤土)에서 높고 전토양(田土壤)보다는 답토양(畓土壤)과 같은 불량환경(不良環境) 조건(條件)에서 더욱 크다. 18. 고구마에서는 질소(窒素)와 인산(燐酸)의 요구량(要求量)은 비교적 낮고 흡비력(吸肥力)이 강(强)하여 불량토양(不良土壤)에서도 상당히 높은 수량(收量)을 얻을수 있으나 가리(加里)의 시비적량(施肥適量)과 시비효과(施肥效果)가 매우 크다는 것이 특징(特徵)이다. 19. 고구마에 대(對)한 가리(加里)의 시비효과(施肥效果)는 토성별(土性別)로 차이(差異)가 크며 치환성(置換性) 가리(加里) 함량(含量)이 낮은 사질토(砂質土)에서도 충분량(充分量)의 가리(加里)를 시용(施用)했을 때는 비효(肥效)가 크게 나타나 수량(收量)이 토양(壤土) 및 식양토(埴壤土)에 비하여 높아진다. 20. 신개간지(新開墾地)와 같이 척박한 토양(壤土)에서도 충분량(充分量)의 가리(加里)를 시용(施用)했을 때는 숙전(熟田)과 대등(對等)한 수량(收量)을 올릴 수 있다.