• Title/Summary/Keyword: runoff simulation

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Analysis of Microcystis Bloom in Daecheong Reservoir using ELCOM-CAEDYM (ELCOM-CAEDYM을 이용한 대청호 Microcystis Bloom 해석)

  • Chung, Se Woong;Lee, Heung Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.73-87
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    • 2011
  • An abnormal mono-specific bloom of the cyanobacterium Microcystis aeruginosa had developed at a specific location (transitional zone, monitoring station of Hoenam) in Daecheong Reservoir from middle of July to early August, 2001. The maximum cell counts during the peak bloom reached 1,477,500 cells/mL, which was more than 6~10 times greater than those at other monitoring sites. The hypothesis of this study is that the timing and location of the algal bloom was highly correlated with the local environmental niche that was controled by physical processes such as hydrodynamic mixing and pollutant transport in the reservoir. A three-dimensional, coupled hydrodynamic and ecological model, ELCOM-CAEDYM, was applied to the period of development and subsequent decline of the bloom. The model was calibrated against observed water temperature profiles and water quality variables for different locations, and applied to reproduce the algal bloom event and justify the limiting factor that controled the Microcystis bloom at R3. The simulation results supported the hypothesis that the phosphorus loading induced from a contaminated tributary during several runoff events are closely related to the rapid growth of Microcystis during the period of bloom. Also the physical environments of the reservoir such as a strong thermal stratification and weak wind velocity conditions provided competitive advantage to Microcystis given its light adaptation capability. The results show how the ELCOM-CAEDYM captures the complex interactions between the hydrodynamic and biogeochemical processes, and the local environmental niche that is preferable for cyanobacterial species growth.

A Study for Estimation of Chlorophyll-a in an Ungauged Stream by the SWMM and an Artificial Neural Network (SWMM과 인공신경망을 이용한 미 계측 하천의 클로로필a 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Taeuk;Lee, Sangho;Kim, Ilkyu;Lee, Namju
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.670-679
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    • 2011
  • Chlorophyll-a is a major water quality indicator for an algal bloom in streams and lakes. The purpose of the study is to estimate chlorophyll-a concentration in tributaries of the Seonakdonggang by an artificial neural network (ANN). As the tributaries are ungauged streams, a watershed runoff and quality model was used to simulate water quality parameters. The tributary watersheds include urban area and thus Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was used to simulate TN, TP, BOD, COD, and SS. SWMM, however, can not simulate chlorophyll-a. The chlorophyll-a series data from the tributaries were estimated by the ANN and the simulation results of water quality parameters using SWMM. An assumption used is as follows: the relation between water quality parameters and chlorophyll-a in the tributaries of the Seonakdonggang would be similar to that in the mainstream of the Seonakdonggang. On the assumption, the measurement data of water quality and chlorophyll-a in the mainstream of the Seonakdonggang were used as the learning data of the ANN. Through the sensitivity analysis, the learning data combination of water quality parameters was determined. Finally, chlorophyll-a series were estimated for tributaries of the Seonakdonggang by the ANN and TN, TP, BOD, COD, and temperature data from those streams. The relative errors between the estimated and measured chlorophyll-a were approximately 40 ~ 50%. Though the errors are somewhat large, the estimation process for chlorophyll-a may be useful in ungauged streams.

Impact Assessment of Agricultural Reservoir and Landuse Changes on Water Circulation in Watershed (농업용 저수지와 토지이용변화가 유역 물순환에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Seokhyeon;Song, Jung-Hun;Hwang, Soonho;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2021
  • Agricultural reservoirs have a great influence on the water circulation in the watershed. It is necessary to evaluate the impact on water circulation by the agricultural reservoir. Therefore, in this study, we simulated the agricultural watershed through linkage of Hydrological Simulation Program Fortran (HSPF) and Module-based hydrologic Analysis for Agricultural watershed (MASA) and evaluated the contribution of the agricultural reservoir to water circulation by watershed water circulation index. As a result of simulating the Idong reservoir watershed through the HSPF-MASA linkage model, the model performance during the validation period was R2 0.74 upstream, 0.78 downstream, and 0.76 reservoir water level, respectively. To evaluate the contribution of agricultural reservoirs, three scenarios (baseline, present state, and present state without reservoir) were simulated, and the water balance differences for each scenario were analyzed. In the evaluation through the agricultural water circulation rate in the watershed, it was found that the water circulation rate increased by 1.1%, and the direct flow rate decreased by 13.6 mm due to the agricultural reservoir. In the evaluation through the Budyko curve, the evaporation index increased by 0.01. Agricultural reservoirs reduce direct runoff and increase evapotranspiration, which has a positive effect on the water circulation.

Assessing the Impact of Bias Correction on Runoff simulation according to CMIP6 GCMs climate (CMIP6 GCMs 기후에 따른 유출 모의에 대한 편의보정 방법의 영향 평가)

  • Seung Taek Chae;Jin Hyuck Kim;Eun-Sung Chung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.91-91
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    • 2023
  • General circulation models(GCMs)은 여러 국가 기관들의 물리적 기후 모의 프로세스를 기반으로 과거 및 미래 기후변화의 영향을 정량화하기 위해 개발되었으며 현재 미래 기후변화를 예측하는데 가장 효과적인 도구이다. 그러나 GCMs에 내포된 여러 불확실성 요소 및 넓은 격자형식의 기후 데이터는 GCMs 기후 데이터를 사용한 지역적 기후 모의 시 주요 걸림돌로 인식되어지고 있다. 편의보정 방법은 GCMs을 사용한 지역적 기후 모의 시 기후 모의 성능을 향상시키기 위해 여러 연구에서 사용되어져 왔으나 다른 연구에서는 이러한 편의보정 방법의 문제점을 언급했다. 따라서 본 연구는 편의보정 방법이 GCMs 기후 모의 결과에 미치는 영향을 정량화하고 더 나아가 GCMs 기후 변수에 따른 유량 모의 결과에 미치는 영향을 분석했다. 연구대상지 과거 기간 기후 모의를 위해 coupled model intercomparison project(CMIP)6의 GCMs을 사용했으며, 미래 기후 모의를 위해 shared socioeconomic pathway(SSP) 시나리오를 사용했다. 편의보정 방법으로는 분위사상법을 사용했으며, 편의보정 전후 GCMs 기후 모의 성능평가를 위해 5개 평가 지표를 사용했다. 연구대상지 장기 유출 모의를 위해 storm water management model(SWMM)이 사용되었으며, 기후 입력 자료로는 일 단위 강수량, 최고 및 최저온도를 고려했다. 미래 기후 및 유량 모의 결과의 불확실성은 square root of error variance(SREV) 방법을 통해 정량화됐다. 결과적으로 과거 기간 GCMs 기후 및 유량 모의성능은 편의보정 전보다 편의보정 후에서 향상되었으며 특히, 강수 및 유량 모의 성능이 크게 향상되었다. 미래 기간의 경우 편의보정 후에서 기후 및 유량의 극값을 더 잘 반영함을 확인했다. 본 연구의 결과는 GCMs 기후 변수를 사용한 지역적 기후 및 유량 모의 시 편의보정 방법이 미치는 영향에 대한 구체적인 정보를 제공할 수 있다.

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Future changes in runoff characteristics of an estuarine reservoir watershed using CMIP6 multi-GCMs (CMIP6 다중 GCMs을 적용한 담수호 유역의 미래 유출특성 변화)

  • Sinae Kim;Seokhyeon Kim;Hyunji Lee;Jihye Kwak;Jihye Kim;Moon-Seong Kang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.419-419
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    • 2023
  • 하천의 최종 유출부와 해양이 만나는 지점을 하구라고 하며, 우리나라는 주로 서해안 지역에 하구 방조제 건설에 따른 담수호가 조성되어 다양한 목적으로 수자원이 활용되고 있다. 이러한 하구 담수호는 바다로 유입되기 직전의 물을 저류시켜 수자원 확보에 긍정적이나, 일반적으로 유역의 최하류에 위치해 있어 오염물질 유입, 부영양화, 염분 침출로 인한 오염물질 용출 등에 취약하다. 따라서 담수호의 회복탄력성 향상과 지속가능한 수자원 관리를 위해서는 미래 기후변화에 따른 영향 분석이 필수적이다. 특히 기후변화는 거대규모의 홍수과 같은 자연재난, 농업가뭄 및 식생가뭄 등의 증가로 이어질 수 있으므로, 이에 효과적으로 대비하기 위해서는 미래 기후조건에 따른 하천의 미래 유출량 변화 예측이 수행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 불확실한 미래 수문변화를 예측하기 위해 CMIP6(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) GCMs(Global Climate Models)의 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 시나리오를 유역 유출모델에 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 미래 유출특성의 변화를 예측하였다. 충청남도 서산시에 위치한 간월호 유역을 대상유역으로 선정하고, HSPF(Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN) 모형을 적용하여 상류유역의 과거 및 미래 장기유출량 모의를 수행하였다. 모의된 시나리오별 유출량을 기반으로 최빈유량곡선법을 적용하여 미래의 기준유량 발생시점 및 지속기간의 변화를 분석하였으며, CVDs(Center-of-volume dates)의 변화를 통해 기후변화에 따른 홍수기의 시기적 변화 양상을 파악하고자 하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 미래 유역 환경변화를 고려한 담수호의 수자원 보전관리계획 수립에 있어 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Baseflow Varaiance Analysis using Runoff-Groundwater Linkage Model (지표-지하수 연동모형을 활용한 기저유량 변동특성 파악)

  • Yang, Dongseok;Lee, Seoro;Kang, Taeseong;Shin, Minhwan;Lim, Kyoungjae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.401-401
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    • 2021
  • 최근 급격한 기후변화로 인한 기온, 강수량 등의 시·공간적 변화는 홍수, 가뭄 등과 같은 자연재해의 빈도와 규모를 증가시키고 있다. 특히 한강수계 주요 하천에서는 급격한 도시화 및 산업화로 인한 물 수요의 증가와 기후변화로 인한 강수량 감소 그리고 하천변 시설에서의 과다한 지하수 이용으로 인해 지하수위 변동이 발생하고 있다. 2017년 국가 지하수관측연보 및 지하수조사연보에 따르면 한강수계에 위치한 전체 569개 관정 중 암반층 관정과 충적층 관정의 최근 5년간 지하수위 평균 변동폭은 각각 3.91 m, 2.73 m로 조사되었으며, 10년 이상 장기관측 자료를 보유한 430개소 관정 중 228개소 관정에서 지하수위 하강 추세를 보이는 것으로 조사된 바 있다. 이처럼 강우나 하천수위 등 자연적인 원인과 양수, 유출 등 인위적인 원인에 의해 발생하는 지하수위의 하강은 지반 침하의 주요 원인이 되며, 하천 기저유출의 변화에도 큰 영향을 미치고 있다. 기저유출은 하천으로 단기 유출되는 지하수로 평수기 및 갈수기 하천 유량의 대부분을 차지하고 있기 때문에 건기시 하천 수질과 수생태계 관리에 있어 매우 중요한 요소에 해당된다. 따라서, 기후변화에 의한 이상가뭄 발생 등을 대비하기 위한 비상용수 또는 대체수자원으로서의 지하수 개발수요가 증가하는 추세에 따라 기저유량 확보 및 수질 개선 방안을 수립하는 것은 지속가능한 수자원 이용·관리 측면에 있어서 매우 중요하다. 현재 활용되는 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)과 HSPF(Hydrological Simulation Program Fortran) 수문모형의 경우 지표유출 모의에 있어서 다양하게 활용되고 있으나 기저유량의 특성을 고려하기 위해서는 지표하 수문거동 모의가 어렵다는 한계가 있다. 또한 지표하 수문거동 모의가 가능한 MODFLOW의 경우 지표유출을 모의하기 어려운 한계가 있다. 이를 극복하기 위하여 SWAT-MODFLOW 모형이 개발되었으며, 본 연구에서는 SWAT-MODFLOW 모형을 활용하여 신둔천 유역을 대상으로 유량 및 지하수위 모의결과를 검보정하여 기저유량을 산정하고 변동특성을 분석하였다.

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Inundation Analysis of Agricultural Basin Considering Agricultural Drainage Hydrological Plan and Critical Rainfall Duration (농지배수 수문설계 기준과 임계지속기간을 고려한 농업 소유역 침수분석)

  • Kim, Kwihoon;Jun, Sang-Min;Kang, Moon Seong;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.4
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2023
  • KDS (Korean Design Standard) for agricultural drainage is a planning standard that helps determine the appropriate capacity and type of drainage facilities. The objective of this study was to analyze the inundation of the agricultural basin considering the current design standard and the critical rainfall duration. This study used the rainfall durations of 1-48 hour, and the time distribution method with the Chicago and the modified Huff model. For the runoff model, the NRCS (Natural Resources Conservation Service) unit hydrograph method was applied, and the inundation depth and duration were analyzed using area-elevation data. From the inundation analysis using the modified Huff method with different rainfall durations, 4 hours showed the largest peak discharge, and 11 hours showed the largest inundation depth. From the comparison analysis with the current method (Chicago method with a duration of 48 hours) and the modified Huff method applying critical rainfall duration, the current method showed less peak discharge and lower inundation depth compared to the modified Huff method. From the simulation of changing values of drainage rate, the duration of 11 hours showed larger inundation depth and duration compared to the duration of 4 hours. Accordingly, the modified Huff method with the critical rainfall duration would likely be a safer design than the current method. Also, a process of choosing a design hydrograph considering the inundation depth and duration is needed to apply the critical rainfall duration. This study is expected to be helpful for the theoretical basis of the agricultural drainage design standards.

Parameter Calibration of Storage Function Model and Flood Forecasting (1) Calibration Methods and Evaluation of Simulated Flood Hydrograph (저류함수모형의 매개변수 보정과 홍수예측 (1) 보정 방법론과 모의 홍수수문곡선의 평가)

  • Song, Jae Hyun;Kim, Hung Soo;Hong, Il Pyo;Kim, Sang Ug
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1B
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2006
  • The storage function model (SFM) has been used for the flood forecasting in Korea. The SFM has a simple calculation process and it is known that the model is more reasonable than linear model because it considers non-linearity of flood runoff. However, the determination of parameters is very difficult. In general, the trial and error method which is an manual calibration by the decision of a model manager. This study calibrated the parameters by the trial and error method and optimization technique. The calibrated parameters were compared with the representative parameters which are used in the Flood Control Centers in Korea. Also, the evaluation indexes on objective functions and calibration methods for the comparative analysis of simulation efficiency. As a result, the Genetic Algorithm showed the smallest variation in objective functions and, in this study, it is known that the objective function of SSR (Sum of Squared of Residual) is the best one for the flood forecasting.

Korean Soil Characteristics Database for SWAT-K Model (SWAT-K 모형의 국내 토양특성 정보 구축)

  • Lee, Jeong Eun;Kim, Chul-Gyum;Lee, Jeongwoo;Chung, Il-Moon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.495-501
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    • 2024
  • SWAT-K (Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Korea) model is a long-term runoff model using a soil-centered water balance equation. Soil is crucial for simulating hydrological components, requiring a database (usersoil.dbf) with soil series attribute information. Since the soil property information estimated by soil transfer functions developed overseas does not reflect the characteristics of domestic soil, the Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology has established the soil database, which incorporates the results of domestic soil surveys and research from the National Institute of Agricultural Sciences. This study provides a more detailed description of the hydrological component simulation process using soil property information and revises and supplements the previously established soil database to operate in the latest SWAT model. Additionally, by providing this database through the integrated water management platform, it is expected to be utilized not only in the SWAT-K model but also in various watershed hydrological models developed considering soil characteristics.

Analysis on the Effects of Flood Damage Mitigation according to Installation of Underground Storage Facility (지하저류조 설치에 따른 침수피해 저감효과 분석)

  • Kim, Young Joo;Han, Kun Yeun;Cho, Wan Hee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.1B
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2010
  • In this study, runoff simulation was carried out in the area of Bisan 7-dong, Seo-gu, Daegu as drainage basin and the effects of the installation of underground storage facilities were analyzed during heavy rainfall. SWMM model was used for the runoff and pipe network analysis on Typhoon Maemi, 2003. 2-D inundation analysis model based on diffusion wave was employed for inundation analysis and to verify computed inundation areas with observed inundation trace map. The simulation results agree with observed in terms of inundation area and depth. Also, the effects of flood damage mitigation were analyzed through the overflow discharge and 2-D inundation analysis, depending upon whether the underground storage facility is installed or not. When the underground storage facility ($W:120m{\times}L:180m{\times}H:1.7m$) is installed, volume of overflow could be reduced by 72% and flooding area could be reduced by 40.1%. When the underground storage facility ($W:120m{\times}L:180 m{\times}H:2.0m$) is installed, volume of overflow could be reduced by 84.8% and flooding area could be reduced by 50.6%. When the underground storage facility ($W:120m{\times}L:180m{\times}H:2.2m$) is installed, volume of overflow could be reduced by 94% and flooding area could be reduced by 91.2%. There is no overflow of manhole, when the height of storage facility is 2.5 m. It is expected that the study results presented through quantitative analysis on the effects of underground facilities can be used as base data for socially and economically effective installation of underground facilities to prevent flood damage.