• 제목/요약/키워드: runoff modeling

검색결과 273건 처리시간 0.028초

분포형 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수 불확실성에 대한 시.공간적 유역 응답 (Catchment Responses in Time and Space to Parameter Uncertainty in Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Modeling)

  • 이기하;타카라 카오루;타치카와 야수토;사야마 타카히로
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
    • /
    • pp.2215-2219
    • /
    • 2009
  • For model calibration in rainfall-runoff modeling, streamflow data at a specific outlet is obviously required but is not sufficient to identify parameters of a model since numerous parameter combinations can result in very similar model performance measures (i.e. objective functions) and indistinguishable simulated hydrographs. This phenomenon has been called 'equifinality' due to inherent parameter uncertainty involved in rainfall-runoff modeling. This study aims to investigate catchment responses in time and space to various uncertain parameter sets in distributed rainfall-runoff modeling. Seven plausible (or behavioral) parameter sets, which guarantee identically-good model performances, were sampled using deterministic and stochastic optimization methods entitled SCE and SCEM, respectively. Then, we applied them to a computational tracer method linked with a distributed rainfall-runoff model in order to trace and visualize potential origins of streamflow at a catchment outlet. The results showed that all hydrograph simulations based on the plausible parameter sets were performed equally well while internal catchment responses to them showed totally different aspects; different parameter values led to different distributions with respect to the streamflow origins in space and time despite identical simulated hydrographs. Additional information provided by the computational tracer method may be utilized as a complementary constraint for filtering out non-physical parameter set(s) (or reducing parameter uncertainty) in distributed rainfall-runoff modeling.

  • PDF

MIKE SWMM 모형을 이용한 도시유역 유출분석에 관한 연구 (Runoff Analysis of Urban Watershed using MIKE SWMM Model)

  • 김종석;안재현;오태석;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제38권11호
    • /
    • pp.907-916
    • /
    • 2005
  • 도시유역의 유출분석을 위하여 국내에서 많이 사용하고 있는 모형들로는 ILLVDAS, SWMM이 대표적이라고 할 수 있다. 그러나 국내의 대부분의 도시하천의 경우 합류식의 배수계통을 가지고 있어, 홍수시에 하수관거용량을 초과하는 우수량은 하천을 통해 배수가 되고 있다. 이러한 배수계통을 갖는 하천에 대하여 대상유역의 배수관망 자료 부족과 Modeling의 어려움으로 인해 도시유출모형이 아닌 HEC-HMS 모형과 같은 유역추적법을 통해 유출분석이 이루어지고 있다. 또한 기존 논문에서 제시한 도시유출모형에 하도추적을 결합한 강우-유출 모의는 정확성 결여 및 번거로운 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 보다 안정적인 해석 모형인 MIKE SWMM 모형을 사용하여 과거 침수자료와 DEM 자료 및 수치 배수관망 자료를 통한 유역 및 배수관망 자료를 구축하고 유역에 대해서는 Runoff Block을 사용하고, 하수관거와 본류에 대해서는 Dynamic 방정식을 이용한 Extran Block을 적용하여 유출분석을 실시하고 그 결과를 기존의 방법들과 비교하여 각각의 장단점 및 적용성을 밝히고 개선방향등을 제시하고자 하였다.

도시홍수 수문모의를 위한 GIS 자료구축 및 분포형 모델링 기법 연구 (A Study on GIS Data Development and Distributed Modeling for Hydrological Simulation of Urban Flood)

  • 김성준;박근애
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.204-208
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study is to develop a distributed urban flood runoff model that simulates the road runoff and to test the applicability of the model by applying to Pyeongtaek city of $12.2km^2$. To generate the runoff along the runoff, agree burned DEM (Digital Elevation Model) with road networks was suggested and the proper spatial resolution of DEM was identified finer than 15 m. To test the model applicability, 32 points on the road networks were selected and the hydrographs of each point were generated. The test showed reasonable results that increase the road runoff from the high elevation roads to the low elevation roads and the road runoff considering rainwater drainage from the road also showed reasonable results.

  • PDF

Fuzzy추론 시스템과 신경회로망을 결합한 하천유출량 예측 (Runoff Forecasting Model by the Combination of Fuzzy Inference System and Neural Network)

  • 허창환;임기석
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제49권3호
    • /
    • pp.21-31
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study is aimed at the development of a runoff forecasting model by using the Fuzzy inference system and Neural Network model to solve the uncertainties occurring in the process of rainfall-runoff modeling and improve the modeling accuracy of the stream runoff forecasting. The Neuro-Fuzzy (NF) model were used in this study. The NF model, recently received a great deal of attention, improve the existing Neural Networks by the aid of the Fuzzy theory applied to each node. The study area is the downstreams of Naeseung-chun. Therefore, time-dependent data was obtained from the Wolpo water level gauging station. 11 and 2 out of total 13 flood events were selected for the training and testing set of model respectively. The schematic diagram method and the statistical analysis are conducted to evaluate the feasibility of rainfall-runoff modeling. The model accuracy was rapidly decreased as the forecasting time became longer. The NF model can give accurate runoff forecasts up to 4 hours ahead in standard above the Determination coefficient $(R^2)$ 0.7. In the comparison of the runoff forecasting using the NF and TANK models, characteristics of peak runoff in the TANK model was higher than ones in the NF models, but peak values of hydrograph in the NF models were similar.

Effects of Digital Elevation Model in Water Quality Modeling using Geogrpahic Information System

  • Cho, Sung-Min
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • 제13권2호
    • /
    • pp.14-19
    • /
    • 2021
  • Aim of this research was to investigate the effects of Digital Elevation Model (DEM) for sensitivity analysis with two types of DEMs: 1 to 24,000 and 1 to 250,000 DEM. Another emphasis was given to the development of methodology for processing DEMs to create ArcGIS Pro and GRASS layers. This was done while developing water quality system modeling using DEMs which were used to model hydrological processes and SWAT model. Sensitivity analysis with DEMs resulted in different runoff volumes in the model simulation. Runoff volume was higher for the 1:24,000 DEM than 1:250,000 DEM, probably due to the finer resolution and slope which increased the estimated runoff from the watershed. Certainly the DEMs were factors in precision of the simulations and it was obvious during sensitivity analysis that DEMs had significant effect on runoff volumes. We suggest, however, that additional comparative research could be conducted involving more parameters such as soil and hydrologic parameters to provide insight into the overall physical system which the SWAT model represents.

MIKE SWMM모형을 이용한 도시유역 유출분석에 관한 연구 (Analysis on the Runoff of Urban Watershed using MIKE SWMM Model)

  • 김종석;최경록;안재현;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.862-866
    • /
    • 2005
  • 도시유역의 유출분석을 위하여 국내에서 많이 사용하고 있는 모형들로는 ILLUDAS, SWMM이 대표적이라고 할 수 있다. 그러나 국내의 대부분의 도시하천의 경우 합류식의 배수계통을 가지고 있어, 홍수시에 하수관거용량을 초과하는 우수량은 하천을 통해 배수가 되고 있다. 이러한 배수계통을 갖는 하천에 대하여 대상유역의 배수관망 자료 부족과 Modeling의 어려움으로 인해 도시유출모형이 아닌 HEC-HMS모형과 같은 유역추적법을 통해 유출분석이 이루어지고 있다. 또한 기존 논문에서 제시한 도시유출모형에 하도추적을 결합한 강우-유출 모의는 정확성 결여 및 번거로운 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 보다 안정적인 해석 모형인 MIKE SWMM 모형을 사용하여 과거 침수자료와 DEM 자료 및 수치 배수관망 자료를 통한 유역 및 배수관망 자료를 구축하고 유역에 대해서는 Runoff Block을 사용하고, 하수관거와 본류에 대해서는 Dynamic 방정식을 이용한 Extran Block을 적용하여 유출분석을 실시하고 그 결과를 기존의 방법들과 비교하여 각각의 장단점 및 적용성을 밝히고 개선방향등을 제시하고자 하였다.

  • PDF

HWSD와 정밀토양도를 이용한 유출해석시 토양 매개변수 특성 비교 평가 (Soil Related Parameters Assessment Comparing Runoff Analysis using Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD) and Detailed Soil Map)

  • 최윤석;정영훈;김주훈;김경탁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제58권4호
    • /
    • pp.57-66
    • /
    • 2016
  • Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD) including the global soil information has been implemented to the runoff analysis in many watersheds of the world. However, its accuracy can be a critical issue in the modeling because of the limitation the low resolution reflecting the physical properties of soil in a watershed. Accordingly, this study attempted to assess the effect of HWSD in modeling by comparing parameters of the rainfall-runoff model using HWSD with the detailed soil map. For this, Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model (GRM) was employed in the Hyangseok watershed. The results showed that both of two soil maps in the rainfall-runoff model are able to well capture the observed runoff. However, compared with the detailed soil map, HWSD produced more uncertainty in the GRM parameters related to soil depth and hydraulic conductivity during the calibrations than the detailed soil map. Therefore, the uncertainty from the limited information on soil texture in HWSD should be considered for better calibration of a rainfall-runoff model.

인공지능기법을 이용한 홍수량 선행예측 모형의 개발 (Development of a Runoff Forecasting Model Using Artificial Intelligence)

  • 임기석;허창환
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제15권2호
    • /
    • pp.141-155
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study is aimed at the development of a runoff forecasting model to solve the uncertainties occurring in the process of rainfall-runoff modeling and improve the modeling accuracy of the stream runoff forecasting, The study area is the downstream of Naeseung-chun. Therefore, time-dependent data was obtained from the Wolpo water level gauging station. 11 and 2 out of total 13 flood events were selected for the training and testing set of model. The model performance was improved as the measuring time interval$(T_m)$ was smaller than the sampling time interval$(T_s)$. The Neuro-Fuzzy(NF) and TANK models can give more accurate runoff forecasts up to 4 hours ahead than the Feed Forward Multilayer Neural Network(FFNN) model in standard above the Determination coefficient$(R^2)$ 0.7.

유전자 알고리즘을 적용한 혼합유출모형의 개발 (Development of Combination Runoff Model Applied by Genetic Algorithm)

  • 심석구;구보영;안태진
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제42권3호
    • /
    • pp.201-212
    • /
    • 2009
  • 탱크모형과 PRMS(Precipitation Runoff Modeling-modular System) 모형으로 섬진강댐 유역의 유출량을 1981년부터 2001년까지 모의 발생하였다. 적용된 각각의 단일모형인 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형에 의하여 모의된 유출량은 서로 상이한 모의 양상을 나타낸다. 본 연구에서는 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형과 같은 단일모형에 의하여 모의되는 유출량의 편차를 최소화하고 관측유출량에 보다 잘 부합되는 유출모의결과를 생산하기 위하여 유전자 알고리즘 혼합유출모형을 제안하였다. 제안된 혼합유출모형은 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형의 각각 결과를 혼합하는 모형이며, 유전자 알고리즘을 적용하여 모의 유출량과 관측 유출량을 최소화하는 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형에 의한 각각의 유출량의 비율을 결정하는 최적배합비를 산정하였다. 제안된 혼합 모형을 섬진강댐 유역에 적용한 결과, Tank 모형 또는 PRMS 모형과 같은 단일모형으로 유출량을 모의하는 경우보다 두 개의 모형을 적절한 배합비를 도입한 혼합 모형으로 모의된 유출량은 관측유출량과의 각종오차를 작게 하는 것을 보여 주었다.

객체지향형 수문 모델링 시스템을 이용한 금강유역 분포형 강우-유출 시스템의 개발 (Development of a Distributed Rainfall-Runoff System for the Guem River Basin Using an Object-oriented Hydrological Modeling System)

  • 이기하;타카라 카오루;정관수;김정엽;전자훈
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
    • /
    • pp.149-153
    • /
    • 2009
  • Physics-based distributed rainfall-runoff models are now commonly used in a variety of hydrologic applications such as to estimate flooding, water pollutant transport, sedimentation yield and so on. Moreover, it is not surprising that GIS has become an integral part of hydrologic research since this technology offers abundant information about spatial heterogeneity for both model parameters and input data that control hydrological processes. This study presents the development of a distributed rainfall-runoff prediction system for the Guem river basin ($9,835km^2$) using an Object-oriented Hydrological Modeling System (OHyMoS). We developed three types of element modules: Slope Runoff Module (SRM), Channel Routing Module (CRM), and Dam Reservoir Module (DRM) and then incorporated them systemically into a catchment modeling system under the OHyMoS. The study basin delineated by the 250m DEM (resampled from SRTM90) was divided into 14 midsize catchments and 80 sub-catchments where correspond to the WAMIS digital map. Each sub-catchment was represented by rectangular slope and channel components; water flows among these components were simulated by both SRM and CRM. In addition, outflows of two multi-purpose dams: Yongdam and Daechung dams were calculated by DRM reflecting decision makers' opinions. Therefore, the Guem river basin rainfall-runoff modeling system can provide not only each sub-catchment outflow but also dam inand outflow at one hour (or less) time step such that users can obtain comprehensive hydrological information readily for the effective and efficient flood control during a flood season.

  • PDF