• Title/Summary/Keyword: runoff modeling

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Catchment Responses in Time and Space to Parameter Uncertainty in Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Modeling (분포형 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수 불확실성에 대한 시.공간적 유역 응답)

  • Lee, Gi-Ha;Takara, Kaoru;Tachikawa, Yasuto;Sayama, Takahiro
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.2215-2219
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    • 2009
  • For model calibration in rainfall-runoff modeling, streamflow data at a specific outlet is obviously required but is not sufficient to identify parameters of a model since numerous parameter combinations can result in very similar model performance measures (i.e. objective functions) and indistinguishable simulated hydrographs. This phenomenon has been called 'equifinality' due to inherent parameter uncertainty involved in rainfall-runoff modeling. This study aims to investigate catchment responses in time and space to various uncertain parameter sets in distributed rainfall-runoff modeling. Seven plausible (or behavioral) parameter sets, which guarantee identically-good model performances, were sampled using deterministic and stochastic optimization methods entitled SCE and SCEM, respectively. Then, we applied them to a computational tracer method linked with a distributed rainfall-runoff model in order to trace and visualize potential origins of streamflow at a catchment outlet. The results showed that all hydrograph simulations based on the plausible parameter sets were performed equally well while internal catchment responses to them showed totally different aspects; different parameter values led to different distributions with respect to the streamflow origins in space and time despite identical simulated hydrographs. Additional information provided by the computational tracer method may be utilized as a complementary constraint for filtering out non-physical parameter set(s) (or reducing parameter uncertainty) in distributed rainfall-runoff modeling.

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Runoff Analysis of Urban Watershed using MIKE SWMM Model (MIKE SWMM 모형을 이용한 도시유역 유출분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Suk;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.11
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    • pp.907-916
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    • 2005
  • For an urban watershed modeling, the ILLVDAS and SWMM model were the popular rainfall-runoff models using in Korea. However, combined sewerage systems in urban area produce some problems when a flood event happens because of the surcharged precipitation amounts which drain to streams directly. Also, rack of pipe line data and difficulties of modeling yield inappropriate modeling results in urban runoff analysis. In addition, rainfall-runoff models in an urban which using channel routing could be inaccurate and complicated processes. In this paper, the MIKE SWMM model has been applied for a stable urban area runoff analysis. Watershed and pipe line data were established by using past inundated records, DEM data and numerical pipe line data. For a runoff modeling, the Runoff block was adapted to a basin and the Extran block using dynamic equation was applied for sewerage system. After a comparisons against existing models yield that the MIKE SWMM model produce reliable and consistence results without distorting parameter of the model.

A Study on GIS Data Development and Distributed Modeling for Hydrological Simulation of Urban Flood (도시홍수 수문모의를 위한 GIS 자료구축 및 분포형 모델링 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Park, Geun-Ae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.204-208
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    • 2006
  • This study is to develop a distributed urban flood runoff model that simulates the road runoff and to test the applicability of the model by applying to Pyeongtaek city of $12.2km^2$. To generate the runoff along the runoff, agree burned DEM (Digital Elevation Model) with road networks was suggested and the proper spatial resolution of DEM was identified finer than 15 m. To test the model applicability, 32 points on the road networks were selected and the hydrographs of each point were generated. The test showed reasonable results that increase the road runoff from the high elevation roads to the low elevation roads and the road runoff considering rainwater drainage from the road also showed reasonable results.

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Runoff Forecasting Model by the Combination of Fuzzy Inference System and Neural Network (Fuzzy추론 시스템과 신경회로망을 결합한 하천유출량 예측)

  • Heo, Chang-Hwan;Lim, Kee-Seok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2007
  • This study is aimed at the development of a runoff forecasting model by using the Fuzzy inference system and Neural Network model to solve the uncertainties occurring in the process of rainfall-runoff modeling and improve the modeling accuracy of the stream runoff forecasting. The Neuro-Fuzzy (NF) model were used in this study. The NF model, recently received a great deal of attention, improve the existing Neural Networks by the aid of the Fuzzy theory applied to each node. The study area is the downstreams of Naeseung-chun. Therefore, time-dependent data was obtained from the Wolpo water level gauging station. 11 and 2 out of total 13 flood events were selected for the training and testing set of model respectively. The schematic diagram method and the statistical analysis are conducted to evaluate the feasibility of rainfall-runoff modeling. The model accuracy was rapidly decreased as the forecasting time became longer. The NF model can give accurate runoff forecasts up to 4 hours ahead in standard above the Determination coefficient $(R^2)$ 0.7. In the comparison of the runoff forecasting using the NF and TANK models, characteristics of peak runoff in the TANK model was higher than ones in the NF models, but peak values of hydrograph in the NF models were similar.

Effects of Digital Elevation Model in Water Quality Modeling using Geogrpahic Information System

  • Cho, Sung-Min
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2021
  • Aim of this research was to investigate the effects of Digital Elevation Model (DEM) for sensitivity analysis with two types of DEMs: 1 to 24,000 and 1 to 250,000 DEM. Another emphasis was given to the development of methodology for processing DEMs to create ArcGIS Pro and GRASS layers. This was done while developing water quality system modeling using DEMs which were used to model hydrological processes and SWAT model. Sensitivity analysis with DEMs resulted in different runoff volumes in the model simulation. Runoff volume was higher for the 1:24,000 DEM than 1:250,000 DEM, probably due to the finer resolution and slope which increased the estimated runoff from the watershed. Certainly the DEMs were factors in precision of the simulations and it was obvious during sensitivity analysis that DEMs had significant effect on runoff volumes. We suggest, however, that additional comparative research could be conducted involving more parameters such as soil and hydrologic parameters to provide insight into the overall physical system which the SWAT model represents.

Analysis on the Runoff of Urban Watershed using MIKE SWMM Model (MIKE SWMM모형을 이용한 도시유역 유출분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Jong Seok;Choe Gyeong Rok;Ahn Jae Hyun;Moon Young Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.862-866
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    • 2005
  • For urban watershed models, the ILLUDAS and SWMM are the popular rainfall-runoff models used in Korea. However, combined sewage systems in urban areas produced problems when a flood occured because of the surcharged precipitation amount which drained to the streams directly. Also, the lack of pipe line data and the difficulties of modeling yield inappropriate modeling results in urban runoff analysis. In addition, rainfall-runoff models in urban areas which use channel routing could have inaccurate and complicated processes. In this paper, the MIKE SWMM model has been applied for the stable runoff analysis of urban areas. Watershed and pipe line data were established by using past inundated records, DEM data, and the numerical pipe line data. For runoff modelings, the runoff block was adapted to a basin and the Extran block using dynamic equations was applied to the sewage system. After comparing to models that exist, it is concluded that the MIKE SWMM model produces reliable and consistence results without distorting the Parameters of the model.

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Soil Related Parameters Assessment Comparing Runoff Analysis using Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD) and Detailed Soil Map (HWSD와 정밀토양도를 이용한 유출해석시 토양 매개변수 특성 비교 평가)

  • Choi, Yun Seok;Jung, Young Hun;Kim, Joo Hun;Kim, Kyung-Tak
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2016
  • Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD) including the global soil information has been implemented to the runoff analysis in many watersheds of the world. However, its accuracy can be a critical issue in the modeling because of the limitation the low resolution reflecting the physical properties of soil in a watershed. Accordingly, this study attempted to assess the effect of HWSD in modeling by comparing parameters of the rainfall-runoff model using HWSD with the detailed soil map. For this, Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model (GRM) was employed in the Hyangseok watershed. The results showed that both of two soil maps in the rainfall-runoff model are able to well capture the observed runoff. However, compared with the detailed soil map, HWSD produced more uncertainty in the GRM parameters related to soil depth and hydraulic conductivity during the calibrations than the detailed soil map. Therefore, the uncertainty from the limited information on soil texture in HWSD should be considered for better calibration of a rainfall-runoff model.

Development of a Runoff Forecasting Model Using Artificial Intelligence (인공지능기법을 이용한 홍수량 선행예측 모형의 개발)

  • Lim Kee-Seok;Heo Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.141-155
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    • 2006
  • This study is aimed at the development of a runoff forecasting model to solve the uncertainties occurring in the process of rainfall-runoff modeling and improve the modeling accuracy of the stream runoff forecasting, The study area is the downstream of Naeseung-chun. Therefore, time-dependent data was obtained from the Wolpo water level gauging station. 11 and 2 out of total 13 flood events were selected for the training and testing set of model. The model performance was improved as the measuring time interval$(T_m)$ was smaller than the sampling time interval$(T_s)$. The Neuro-Fuzzy(NF) and TANK models can give more accurate runoff forecasts up to 4 hours ahead than the Feed Forward Multilayer Neural Network(FFNN) model in standard above the Determination coefficient$(R^2)$ 0.7.

Development of Combination Runoff Model Applied by Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 적용한 혼합유출모형의 개발)

  • Shim, Seok-Ku;Koo, Bo-Young;Ahn, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 2009
  • The Tank model and the PRMS(Precipitation Runoff Modeling-modular System) model have been adopted to simulate runoff data from 1981 to 2001 year in the Seomgin-dam basin. However, the simulated runoff by each single model showed some deviations compared with the observed runoff, respectively. In this study a genetic algorithm combination runoff model has been proposed to minimize deviations between simulated runoff and observed runoff that should yield from single model such as Tank model or PRMS model. The proposed combination runoff model combining the simulated respective output of the Tank model and the PRMS model is to produce the optimum combination ratio of each single model applying to the genetic algorithm which may yield the minimum deviations between simulated runoff and observed one. The proposed combination runoff model has been applied to the Seomgin-dam basin. It has also been shown that the combination model by introducing optimal combination ratio should yield less deviations than single model such as the Tank model or the PRMS model.

Development of a Distributed Rainfall-Runoff System for the Guem River Basin Using an Object-oriented Hydrological Modeling System (객체지향형 수문 모델링 시스템을 이용한 금강유역 분포형 강우-유출 시스템의 개발)

  • Lee, Gi-Ha;Takara, Kaoru;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Kim, Jeong-Yup;Jeon, Ja-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.149-153
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    • 2009
  • Physics-based distributed rainfall-runoff models are now commonly used in a variety of hydrologic applications such as to estimate flooding, water pollutant transport, sedimentation yield and so on. Moreover, it is not surprising that GIS has become an integral part of hydrologic research since this technology offers abundant information about spatial heterogeneity for both model parameters and input data that control hydrological processes. This study presents the development of a distributed rainfall-runoff prediction system for the Guem river basin ($9,835km^2$) using an Object-oriented Hydrological Modeling System (OHyMoS). We developed three types of element modules: Slope Runoff Module (SRM), Channel Routing Module (CRM), and Dam Reservoir Module (DRM) and then incorporated them systemically into a catchment modeling system under the OHyMoS. The study basin delineated by the 250m DEM (resampled from SRTM90) was divided into 14 midsize catchments and 80 sub-catchments where correspond to the WAMIS digital map. Each sub-catchment was represented by rectangular slope and channel components; water flows among these components were simulated by both SRM and CRM. In addition, outflows of two multi-purpose dams: Yongdam and Daechung dams were calculated by DRM reflecting decision makers' opinions. Therefore, the Guem river basin rainfall-runoff modeling system can provide not only each sub-catchment outflow but also dam inand outflow at one hour (or less) time step such that users can obtain comprehensive hydrological information readily for the effective and efficient flood control during a flood season.

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