• Title/Summary/Keyword: route prediction

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Intersection Collision Situation Simulation of Automated Vehicle Considering Sensor Range (센서 범위를 고려한 자율주행자동차 교차로 충돌 상황 시뮬레이션)

  • Lee, Jangu;Lee, Myungsu;Jeong, Jayil
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, an automated vehicle intersection collision accident was analyzed through simulation. Recently, the more automated vehicles are distributed, the more accidents related to automated vehicles occur. Accidents may show different trends depending on the sensor characteristics of the automated vehicle and the performance of the accident prevention system. Based on NASS-CDS (National Automotive Sampling System-Crashworthiness Data System) and TAAS (Traffic Accident Analysis System), four scenarios are derived and simulations are performed. Automated vehicles are applied with a virtual system consisting of an autonomous emergency braking system and algorithms that predict the route and avoid collisions. The simulations are conducted by changing the sensor angle, vehicle speed, the range of the sensor and vehicle speed range. A range of variables considered vehicle collision were derived from the simulation.

Long-term Prediction of Bus Travel Time Using Bus Information System Data (BIS 자료를 이용한 중장기 버스 통행시간 예측)

  • LEE, Jooyoung;Gu, Eunmo;KIM, Hyungjoo;JANG, Kitae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.348-359
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    • 2017
  • Recently, various public transportation activation policies are being implemented in order to mitigate traffic congestion in metropolitan areas. Especially in the metropolitan area, the bus information system has been introduced to provide information on the current location of the bus and the estimated arrival time. However, it is difficult to predict the travel time due to repetitive traffic congestion in buses passing through complex urban areas due to repetitive traffic congestion and bus bunching. The previous bus travel time study has difficulties in providing information on route travel time of bus users and information on long-term travel time due to short-term travel time prediction based on the data-driven method. In this study, the path based long-term bus travel time prediction methodology is studied. For this purpose, the training data is composed of 2015 bus travel information and the 2016 data are composed of verification data. We analyze bus travel information and factors affecting bus travel time were classified into departure time, day of week, and weather factors. These factors were used into clusters with similar patterns using self organizing map. Based on the derived clusters, the reference table for bus travel time by day and departure time for sunny and rainy days were constructed. The accuracy of bus travel time derived from this study was verified using the verification data. It is expected that the prediction algorithm of this paper could overcome the limitation of the existing intuitive and empirical approach, and it is possible to improve bus user satisfaction and to establish flexible public transportation policy by improving prediction accuracy.

Analysis of Cosmic Radiation Dose of People by Abroad Travel (일반인들의 항공여객기 이용 시 우주방사선 피폭선량 비교 분석)

  • Jang, Donggun;Shin, Sanghwa
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.339-344
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    • 2018
  • Humans received an exposure dose of 2.4 mSv of natural radiation per year, of which the contribution of spacecraft accounts for about 75%. The crew of the aircraft has increased radiation exposure doses based on cosmic radiation safety management regulations There is no reference to air passengers. Therefore, in this study, we measured the radiation exposure dose received in the sky at high altitude during flight, and tried to compare the radiation exposure dose received by ordinary people during flight. We selected 20 sample specimens, including major tourist spots and the capital by continent with direct flights from Incheon International Airport. Using the CARI-6/6M model and the NAIRAS model, which are cosmic radiation prediction models provided at the National Radio Research Institute, we measured the cosmic radiation exposure dose by the selected flight and departure/arrival place. In the case of exposure dose, Beijing was the lowest at $2.87{\mu}Sv$ (NAIRAS) and $2.05{\mu}Sv$ (CARI - 6/6M), New York had the highest at $146.45{\mu}Sv$ (NAIRAS) and $79.42{\mu}Sv$ (CARI - 6/6M). We found that the route using Arctic routes at the same time and distance will receive more exposure dose than other paths. While the dose of cosmic radiation to be received during flight does not have a decisive influence on the human body, because of the greater risk of stochastic effects in the case of frequent flights and in children with high radiation sensitivity Institutional regulation should be prepared for this.

Predicting lane speeds from link speeds by using neural networks

  • Pyun, Dong hyun;Pyo, Changwoo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a method for predicting the speed for each lane from the link speed using an artificial neural network is presented to increase the accuracy of predicting the required time of a driving route. The time required for passing through a link is observed differently depending on the direction of going straight, turning right, or turning left at the intersection of the end of the link. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the speed according to the vehicle's traveling direction. Data required for learning and verification were constructed by refining the data measured at the Gongpyeong intersection of Gukchaebosang-ro in Daegu Metropolitan City and four adjacent intersections around it. Five neural network models were used. In addition, error analysis of the prediction was performed to select a neural network experimentally suitable for the research purpose. Experimental results showed that the error in the estimation of the time required for each lane decreased by 17.4% for the straight lane, 4.4% for the right-turn lane, and 3.9% for the left-turn lane. This experiment is the result of analyzing only one link. If the entire pathway is tested, the effect is expected to be greater.

Passenger Demand Forecasting for Urban Air Mobility Preparation: Gimpo-Jeju Route Case Study (도심 항공 모빌리티 준비를 위한 승객 수요 예측 : 김포-제주 노선 사례 연구)

  • Jung-hoon Kim;Hee-duk Cho;Seon-mi Choi
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.472-479
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    • 2024
  • Half of the world's total population lives in cities, continuous urbanization is progressing, and the urban population is expected to exceed two-thirds of the total population by 2050. To resolve this phenomenon, the Korean government is focusing on building a new urban air mobility (UAM) industrial ecosystem. Airlines are also part of the UAM industry ecosystem and are preparing to improve efficiency in safe operations, passenger safety, aircraft operation efficiency, and punctuality. This study performs demand forecasting using time series data on the number of daily passengers on Korean Air's Gimpo to Jeju route from 2019 to 2023. For this purpose, statistical and machine learning models such as SARIMA, Prophet, CatBoost, and Random Forest are applied. Methods for effectively capturing passenger demand patterns were evaluated through various models, and the machine learning-based Random Forest model showed the best prediction results. The research results will present an optimal model for accurate demand forecasting in the aviation industry and provide basic information needed for operational planning and resource allocation.

A Short-Term Vehicle Speed Prediction using Bayesian Network Based Selective Data Learning (선별적 데이터 학습 기반의 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 단기차량속도 예측)

  • Park, Seong-ho;Yu, Young-jung;Moon, Sang-ho;Kim, Young-ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.2779-2784
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    • 2015
  • The prediction of the accurate traffic information can provide an optimal route from the place of departure to a destination, therefore, this makes it possible to obtain a saving of time and money. To predict traffic information, we use a Bayesian network method based on probability model in this paper. Existing researches predicting the traffic information based on a Bayesian network generally used to study the data for all time. In this paper, however, only data corresponding to same time and day of the week to predict selectively will be used for learning. In fact, the experiment was carried out for 14 links zone in Seoul, also, the accuracy of the prediction results of the two different methods should be tested with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) which is commonly used. In view of MAPE, experimental results show that the proposed method may calculate traffic prediction value with a higher accuracy than the method used to learn the data for all time zones.

Calculation of Appropriate Number of Parking Lots for Cultural and Assembly Facilities - Focused on the Gwangju Metropolitan City Movie Theater - (문화 및 집회시설 적정 주차면 수 산정에 관한 연구 - 광주광역시 영화관을 중심으로 -)

  • Jin, Tae-Hee;Kwon, Sung-Dae;Jin, Il;Ha, Tae-Jun;Lee, Hyung-Mu;Lee, Gang-Seok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.551-557
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    • 2021
  • Attached parking lots installation criteria is determined by use, total floor area, etc. according to the Parking Lot Act and local government ordinances. However, with traffic demand increase inconvenience about use of culture and assembly facilities have been raised. When planning number of parking lots for cultural and assembly facilities, legal parking lots and unit parking lots are used, but this causes inconvenience and traffic problems on the surrounding roads, because reality and convenience are not considered. Therefore, this study intend to present an realistic number of parking lots calculating equation for movie theater in Gwangju Metropolitan City. After investigating number of parking lots, number of screens, number of seats, total floor area, bus route and illegal parking for a cultural facility in Gwangju Metropolitan City, prediction model for calculating number of parking lots was presented using SPSS regression analysis. As a result of comparing prediction model and unit method, the prediction model was be closer actual cumulative parking space, so prediction model verification was completed. Based on the model verified in this study, Realistic number of parking lots will be installed. However, due to limitations of research on specific areas, research on various facilities should continue in consideration of regional, population, and urban characteristics

Research on Analytical Technique for Satellite Observstion of the Arctic Sea Ice (극지 해빙 위성관측을 위한 분석 기술 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun-cheol;Han, Hyangsun;Hyun, Chang-Uk;Chi, Junhwa;Son, Young-sun;Lee, Sungjae
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_2
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    • pp.1283-1298
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    • 2018
  • KOPRI(Korea Polar Research Institute) have researhed Arctic sea ice by using satellite remote sensing data since 2017 as a mission of KOPRI. The title of the reseach is "Development of Satellite Observation and Analysis for Arctc sea-ice". This project has three major aims; 1) development of prototype satellite data archive/manage system for Arctic sea ice monitoring, 2) development of sea ice remote sensing data processing and analysis technique, and 3) development of international satellite observing network for Arcitc. This reseach will give us that 1) deveolpment of sea ice observing system for northern sea route, 2) development of optimal remote sensing data processing technique for sea ice and selected satelite sensors, 3) development of international satellite onbservation network. I hope that this letter of introducton KOPRI satellite program for Arctic will help to understand Arctic remote sensing and will introduce you to step into the Arctic remote sensing, which Iis like a blue ocean of remote sensing.

Performance Enhancement of AODV Routing Protocol Based on Interrupt Message and Backup Path Strategy in MANET (MANET환경에서 Interrupt Message와 Backup path 기법에 기반한 AODV의 성능개선)

  • Lee, Yun-kyung;Kim, Ju-gyun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.1313-1329
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    • 2015
  • In MANET, frequent route breaks lead to repeated route discovery process and this increases control packet overhead and packet drop. AODV-I improves performance of AODV by using the event driven approach which removes periodic Hello message. Unlike the Hello message, Interrupt message which is sent for each event can detect and predict the link failure because it allows node to know the status of the neighbor node. From this characteristics of Interrupt message, performance of AODV-I can be further improved by adding a processing procedures for each type of Interrupt message and it is also possible to improve AODV-I by adding the Backup path scheme because it originally has problems due to a single path of AODV. In this paper, we propose AODV-IB that combines improved Backup path scheme and Interrupt message approach of AODV-I in order to reduce transmission delay and the number of route discoveries. AODV-IB improves AODV-I by adding proper processing procedures for the link failure prediction and detection for each Interrupt message. We also implement improved Backup path strategy in AODV-IB by minimizing delay without additional Control packet. Simulation results, using the simulator QualNet 5.0, indicate that proposed AODV-IB performs better than AODV-I.

Modeling of Space Radiation Exposure Estimation Program for Pilots, Crew and Passengers on Commercial Flights

  • Hwang, Junga;Dokgo, Kyunghwan;Choi, Enjin;Park, Jong-Sun;Kim, Kyung-Chan;Kim, Hang-Pyo
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2014
  • There has been a rapid increase of the concern on the space radiation effect on pilots, crew and passengers at the commercial aircraft altitude (~ 10 km) recently. It is because domestic airline companies, Korean Air and Asiana Airlines have just begun operating the polar routes over the North Pole since 2006 and 2009 respectively. CARI-6 and CARI-6M are commonly used space radiation estimation programs which are provided officially by the U.S. federal aviation administration (FAA). In this paper, the route doses and the annual radiation doses for Korean pilots and cabin crew were estimated by using CARI-6M based on 2012 flight records. Also the modeling concept was developed for our own space radiation estimation program which is composed of GEANT4 and NRLMSIS00 models. The GEANT4 model is used to trace the incident particle transports in the atmosphere and the NRLMSIS00 model is used to get the background atmospheric densities of various neutral atoms at the aircraft altitude. Also presented are the results of simple integration tests of those models and the plan to include the space weather variations through the solar proton event (SPE) prediction model such as UMASEP and the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) prediction model such as Badhwar-O'Neill 2010.