• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk response

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INTEGRATED SOCIETAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR NUCLEAR POWER AND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

  • LEE, SANG HUN;KANG, HYUN GOOK
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the estimation of the social cost of energy sources has been emphasized as various novel energy options become feasible in addition to conventional ones. In particular, the social cost of introducing measures to protect power-distribution systems from power-source instability and the cost of accident-risk response for various power sources must be investigated. To account for these risk factors, an integrated societal risk assessment framework, based on power-uncertainty analysis and accident-consequence analysis, is proposed. In this study, we applied the proposed framework to nuclear power plants, solar photovoltaic systems, and wind-turbine generators. The required capacity of gas-turbine power plants to be used as backup power facilities to compensate for fluctuations in the power output from the main power source was estimated based on the performance indicators of each power source. The average individual health risk per terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity produced by each power source was quantitatively estimated by assessing accident frequency and the consequences of specific accident scenarios based on the probabilistic risk assessment methodology. This study is expected to provide insight into integrated societal risk analysis, and can be used to estimate the social cost of various power sources.

Apparel purchase behavior among internet shoppers -Focusing on perceived risks- (인터넷 쇼핑몰에서의 의류제품 구매행동에 관한 연구 -위험지각을 중심으로-)

  • 조영주;임숙자;이승희
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.1247-1257
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    • 2001
  • The objectives of the study were to examine apparel purchasing behavior in internet shopping malls and the level of perceived risk when internet users purchase online. For this research, 15,000 internet users were given questionaries via E-mail, or special website online. The sum of 1958 questionaries were used for statistical analyses. Using, SAS package, factor analysis, Crobach's ${\alpha}$, t-test, $\chi$$^2$-test, frequency and multi-response analysis were performed. As the results, 19% out of internet users had bought apparel products through internet shopping malls. Men had more purchasing experiences in apparels as well as general products than women. Among apparel products, T-shirts/shirts were purchased the most by internet shoppers. For perceived risks, 6 factors(quality risk, time/convenience risk, size and appearance risk, privacy risk and social/psychological risk) were investigated for this study. The level of perceived risk was lower when people had a purchasing experience in internet shopping mall than when they didn't. The level of perceived risk was lower when people had purchasing intend about apparels than when they didn't. Based on these results, marketing strategies will be suggested.

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Application of Risk Information Seeking and Processing Model to the Health Preventive Behavior: How Risk Susceptibility and Political Identity affect Vaccination

  • SoYoung Lee;Seoyeon Hong;Bokyung Kim
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2023
  • In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, the importance of collective efforts in promoting health preventive behaviors is accentuated, bringing sociopolitical factors into focus. To fully capture psychological drivers of health preventive behaviors in risk situations, anchored on the Model of Risk Information Seeking and Processing (RISP; Griffin, Dunwoody, and Neuwirth 1999), in retrospect of the recent COVID-19 pandemic, we explored whether and how individuals' vaccination behaviors are predicted by RISP-related variables (information insufficiency, affective responses, perceived information gathering capacity, subjective norms) and one's political identity. Findings from a survey of 705 adult participants in the U.S. showed that the effects of one's risk information insufficiency on his or her information seeking and affective response regarding the pandemic, which is also related to their risk susceptibility perceptions. More importantly, the impact of political identity on one's perceived risk susceptibility, and its association with vaccination behaviors are also identified. The findings of this study provide valuable insights for the development of effective health communication strategies for preventive health behaviors.

Design of Frictional Bearing in Isolated Bridge Using Nonlinear Response Spectrum (비선형 응답스펙트럼을 이용한 지진격리교량의 마찰받침 설계)

  • 하동호;송현섭;고현무
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2001.09a
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2001
  • Recently, the number of seismically isolated bridges increased suddenly since the occurrence of strong earthquakes. However, because isolator lies between pier and girder, the response of the superstructure of seismically isolated bridge may be magnified and induce risk of unseating girder Consequently, the response of girder constitutes a crucial factor in designing bridge. In the case of frictional bearing, the inherent nonlinearity makes the use of former linear response spectrum unable to estimate the maximum response of the bearing, and nonlinear tlme history analysis shall be applied. In this paper, nonlinear response spectrum considering frictional element is established, and simple analysis method using such nonlinear spectrum is proposed to estimate the maximum response of the superstructure.

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The Effect of Perceived Risk, Scarcity Message in the CATV Homeshopping Ad, and Purchasing Experience on CATV Homeshopping Consumers Response (케이블 TV홈쇼핑 프로그램에서 지각된 위험과 희소성 메시지가 이용경험이 다른 소비자의 반응에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyu-Wan;Koo, Ja-Eun
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.32
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    • pp.209-245
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    • 2006
  • This study examines primarily the effects of perceived risk and scarcity massage on consumers in CATV homeshopping. For consumers, the perceived risk is the cause of delaying purchase decision in CATV Homeshopping while scarcity message in the Ad facilitate purchasing intention in the CATV homeshopping. And another important characteristic of consumer which exerts impact on the response of consumer to the Ad and the product is the frequency of purchasing experience. Thus the purpose of this study is to test the effect of 3 factors on consumer's response to homeshopping Ad and product: one is perceived risk, another is scarcity message and the third is consumer's difference in purchasing. And these are defined as independent variables. The responses of the consumer, the dependent variables of this test are measured in three dimensions; 1) the purchasing intention of the product, 2) the attitude toward the Ad, and 3) the attitude toward product of the consumer. 110 housewives are sampled and assigned to 4 experimental groups. All the groups first watched a video-taped homeshopping Ad messages, and then filled up their responses on the administered questionnaire. The results of this study shows as follows: 1) Perceived risk has negative effect to consumer response. 2) Scarcity message has positive effect to consumers response. 3) But especially perceived risk has negative effect to high frequency purchasing experience group. 4) Scarcity message has also negative effect to high frequency purchasing experience group. 5) The interaction effect of perceived risk and scarcity message is most prominent to the consumers of high frequent purchasing experience.

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APPLICATION OF METABOLITE PROFILE KINETICS FOR EXPOSURE AND RISK ASSESSMENT

  • Lee, Byung-Mu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Toxicology Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.34-45
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    • 2006
  • Chemical toxicants are metabolically converted to numerous metabolites in the body. Toxicokinetic characteristics of metabolites could be therefore used as biomarker of exposure for human risk assessment. Biologically based dose response (BBDR) model was proposed for future direction of risk assessment. However, this area has not been developed well enough for human application. Benzo(a)pyrene (BP), for example, is a well-known environmental carcinogen and may produce more than 100 metabolites and BPDE-DNA adduct, a covalently bound form of DNA with benzo(a)pyrene diolepoxides (BPDES), has been applied to qualitatively or quantitaively estimate human exposure to BP. In addition, di(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP), a widely used plasticize. in the polymer industry, is one of endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and has been monitored in humans using urinary or serum concentrations of DEHP or its monomer MEHP for exposure and risk assessment. However, it is difficult to estimate the actual level of toxicants using these biomarkers in humans using. This presentation will discuss a methodology of exposure and risk assessment by application of metabolic profiling kinetics.

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What are the Risks of using Smart Technology in the Construction Phase?

  • Lee, Baul;Park, Seung-Kook
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2022
  • In the era of the 4th Industrial Revolution, smart technology being considered to improve productivity breakthroughs is in the spotlight as a means to replace traditional construction technology in the construction industry. However, various problems are occurring in construction sites using smart technology and causing negative impacts on construction projects. Therefore, the objective of this study is to identify risk factors that occur when smart technologies are used in construction projects. To achieve this purpose, this study investigated the difficulties at construction projects using smart technology, and risk factors were derived based on site surveys and literature. The risk factors were measured by experts, and then a total of 19 risk factors was derived by exploratory factor analysis. As a result, risks were classified as 5 factors, the institutional factor is the most difficult response, and the government needs anticipative system improvement and a long-term plan. The research findings provide practical implications for construction experts trying to apply smart technology in construction sites and construction policy-makers to revitalize smart technology.

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BIOLOGICALLY-BASED DOSE-RESPONSE MODEL FOR NEUROTOXICITY RISK ASSESSMENT

  • Slikker, William Jr.;Gaylor, David W.
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.205-213
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    • 1990
  • The regulation of neurotoxicants has usually been based upon setting reference doses by dividing a no observed adverse effect level (NOAEL) by uncertainty factors that theoretically account for interspecies and intraspecies extraploation of experimental results in animals to humans. Recently, we have proposed a four-step alternative procedure which provides quantitative estimates of risk as a function of dose. The first step is to establish a mathematical relationship between a biological effect or biomarker and the dose of chemical administered. The second step is to determine the distribution (variability) of individual measurements of biological effects or their biomarkers about the dose response curve. The third step is to define an adverse or abnormal level of a biological effect or biomarker in an untreated population. The fourth and final step is to combine the information from the first three steps to estimate the risk (proportion of individuals exceeding on adverse or abnormal level of a biological effect or biomarker) as a function of dose. The primary purpose of this report is to enhance the certainty of the first step of this procedure by improving our understanding of the relationship between a biomarker and dose of administered chemical. Several factors which need to be considered include: 1) the pharmacokinetics of the parent chemical, 2) the target tissue concentrations of the parent chemical or its bioactivated proximate toxicant, 3) the uptake kinetics of the parent chemical or metabolite into the target cell(s) and/or membrane interactions, and 4) the interaction of the chemical or metabolite with presumed receptor site(s). Because these theoretical factors each contain a saturable step due to definitive amounts of required enzyme, reuptake or receptor site(s), a nonlinear, saturable dose-response curve would be predicted. In order to exemplify this process, effects of the neurotoxicant, methlenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA), were reviewed and analyzed. Our results and those of others indicate that: 1) peak concentrations of MDMA and metabolites are ochieved in rat brain by 30 min and are negligible by 24 hr, 2) a metabolite of MDMA is probably responsible for its neurotoxic effects, and 3) pretreatment with monoamine uptake blockers prevents MDMA neurotoxicity. When data generated from rats administerde MDMA were plotted as bilolgical effect (decreases in hippocampal serotonin concentrations) versus dose, a saturation curve best described the observed relationship. These results support the hypothesis that at least one saturable step is involved in MDMA neurotoxicity. We conclude that the mathematical relationship between biological effect and dose of MDMA, the first step of our quantitative neurotoxicity risk assessment procedure, should reflect this biological model information generated from the whole of the dose-response curve.

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An Fuzzy-based Risk Reasoning Driving Strategy on VANET

  • Lee, Byung-Kwan;Jeong, Yi-Na;Jeong, Eun-Hee
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes an Fuzzy-based Risk Reasoning Driving Strategy on VANET. Its first reasoning phase consists of a WC_risk reasoning that reasons the risk by using limited road factors such as current weather, density, accident, and construction, a DR_risk reasoning that reasons the risk by combining the driving resistance with the weight value suitable for the environment of highways and national roads, a DS_risk reasoning that judges the collision risk by using the travel direction, speed. and distance of vehicles and pedestrians, and a Total_risk reasoning that computes a final risk by using the three above-mentioned reasoning. Its second speed reduction proposal phase decides the reduction ratio according to the result of Total_risk and the reduction ratio by comparing the regulation speed of road to current vehicle's speed. Its third risk notification phase works in case current driving speed exceeds regulation speed or in case the Total_risk is higher than AV(Average Value). The Risk Notification Phase informs rear vehicles or pedestrians around of a risk according to drivers's response. If drivers use a brake according to the proposed speed reduction, the precedent vehicles transfers Risk Notification Messages to rear vehicles. If they don't use a brake, a current driving vehicle transfers a Risk Message to pedestrians. Therefore, this paper not only prevents collision accident beforehand by reasoning the risk happening to pedestrians and vehicles but also decreases the loss of various resources by reducing traffic jam.

Evaluating the economic benefit of diverse drought mitigation strategies for Korean reservoir systems based on simulated inflow sequences (유입량 모의 기법을 활용한 국내 다목적댐 가뭄 대책의 경제적 효과 평가)

  • Ji, Sukwang;Shin, Geumchae;Lee, Seungyub;Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.485-496
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    • 2023
  • Recently, South Korea has been making efforts to mitigate the risk of water scarcity during droughts by utilizing various drought response measures in dam operations. While various studies have been conducted on this topic, there is currently a lack of research on the economic effects of drought response measures. In this study, we evaluated the economic effects of drought response measures on nationwide multipurpose dams by using a long-term simulated inflow model based on ARIMA and Copula and a dam operation model that reflects drought response measures. The results showed that the expected benefits per unit flow rate were highest for coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures, at KRW 1,176 and KRW 1,139, respectively, while the benefits of emergency water supply utilization and water supply adjustment were estimated at KRW 956 and KRW 875, respectively. Additionally, when we examined the changes in the economic benefits of drought response measures based on the assumption of increased drought severity in the future, the changes in the drought risk resulting from reduced inflow increased the economic benefits of all drought response measures. The economic benefits of water supply adjustment increased by 2.6% compared to the baseline, while the economic benefits of coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures increased by 11.7% compared to the baseline. This suggests that dam-network-based measures, such as coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures, are crucial as drought risk increases. This study is expected to serve as a fundamental reference for selecting and utilizing drought response measures in the future.