• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.239-251
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• 2022

본 연구는 국가적 위기·위험 상황에서 대중(大衆) 위기 커뮤니케이션과 심정 영향력 및 행동의도 간 구조적 관계를 파악하고자 하였다. 선행연구와 실증연구로 진행된 결과를 바탕으로 위기·위협 유형, 위기·위협 반응, 심정(위기·위험 책임성, 전략적 위기·위험 반성적 반응), 행동의도의 나타난 결과를 바탕으로 관광목적지로서 관광지에 방문한 관광객을 대상으로 관광목적지에서의 위기·위험 커뮤니케이션과 한국인의 고유한 정서 중 하나인 심정(心情)인 (위기·위험책임성, 전략적 반응, 위기·위험 반성적 반응) 간의 관계는 물론 결과변수인 행동의도간의 관계를 파악하였다. 제시한 연구목적을 달성하기 위해 각각의 연구개념에 대해 이론연구를 하였다. 이를 바탕으로 설문지를 도출 후 실증연구를 병행하였다. 가설 3개를 설정하였으며 가설 결과에 따라서 유의미한 결과를 확인하였고 기위험 상황이 발생하면 정부, 사업체, 지역사회가 적극적으로 대응하고 대처하는 문제가 위기·위험의 문제를 상쇄시킬 수 있는 기회로 삼을 것이다.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제23권7호
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• pp.810-819
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• 2017

현행 방제선 배치 항만의 합리적인 방안을 모색하고자 국내 주요 항만을 대상으로 이용실태와 위험요인의 분포현황을 조사하여 각 항만별 위험도를 평가하고 위험도 산정 값을 기준으로 전체 항만을 4단계의 위험군으로 분류하여 방제선 배치 항만의 현실화를 추구하였다. 그 결과 항만의 위험도는 대규모 석유화학 산업시설이 위치하고 있는 여수 광양항(1.85), 울산항(1.33), 대산항(1.25)이 특히 높게 나타나고, 선박 통항량이 많은 부산항(0.95), 인천항(0.83)과 최근 항만시설의 확충으로 대형선 통항량이 증가한 목포항(0.71)과 제주항(0.49), 주변에 어업권 허가건수가 많은 마산항(0.44) 순서로 나타났다. 또한, 위험도 값이 가장 높게 나타난 여수 광양항을 기준으로 각 항만의 상대적 비율을 등급화하여 위험군을 4단계로 구분했을 때 최고위험군은 여수 광양항, 울산항, 대산항, 부산항이고, 고위험군은 인천항, 목포항, 제주항, 마산항이며, 중위험군은 평택 당진항, 포항항, 군산항, 동해 묵호항, 저위험군은 삼천포항, 옥계항, 장승포항으로 분류되었다. 이 중 현행 법률상 방제선 배치항만은 모두 중위험군 이상의 항만이며 중위험군으로 새롭게 평가되는 목포항, 제주항, 동해 묵호항은 제외되어 있다. 따라서 이들 3개 항만을 방제선 배치항만으로 새롭게 지정하여 기름오염사고에 대비할 필요가 있다.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제23권5호
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• pp.27-34
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• 2005

본 논문은 위기관리체계를 사전적(事前的)인 위험관리와 사후적(事後的)인 비상대응체계로 구분하여, 예방안전과 사고대응의 두 측면에서 국가적인 안전관리를 고찰하였다. 선행연구(홍석진, 2003)에서 선정된 위험인자를 토대로 관제, 공항 분야의 추가적인 위험인자를 보다 광범위한 설문조사 분석을 통해 선정하였으며, 체계적 분석(DEA)에 의해 구축된 중요인자들에 대하여 통계적 접근방법을 통해 위험인자의 중요도, 발생빈도의 분류기준과 위험지표 (Risk Indicator)를 개발하여 위험관리모형을 구축하고, 위험지표를 활용할 수 있는 방안과 위험관리모형을 적용하기 위한 개선안을 제시하였다. 비상대응체계에 있어서는 실제 사고사례분석과 해외의 법체계 고찰을 통해 국내의 개선방안을 도출하여 제시하였다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제53권3호
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• pp.967-973
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• 2021

In 2011, an earthquake and subsequent tsunami hit the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant, causing simultaneous accidents in several reactors. This accident shows us that if there are several reactors on site, the seismic risk to multiple units is important to consider, in addition to that to single units in isolation. When a seismic event occurs, a seismic-failure correlation exists between the nuclear power plant's structures, systems, and components (SSCs) due to their seismic-response and seismic-capacity correlations. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the multi-unit seismic risk by considering the SSCs' seismic-failure-correlation effect. In this study, a methodology is proposed to obtain the seismic-response-correlation coefficient between SSCs to calculate the risk to multi-unit facilities. This coefficient is calculated from a probabilistic multi-unit seismic-response analysis. The seismic-response and seismic-failure-correlation coefficients of the emergency diesel generators installed within the units are successfully derived via the proposed method. In addition, the distribution of the seismic-response-correlation coefficient was observed as a function of the distance between SSCs of various dynamic characteristics. It is demonstrated that the proposed methodology can reasonably derive the seismic-response-correlation coefficient between SSCs, which is the input data for multi-unit seismic probabilistic safety assessment.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.24-30
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• 2009

The purpose of this study was to establish an assessment method for the estimation of the pollution risk by oil spill accidents. Various oil spill patterns were calculated based on past accidents in the study area and these results were analyzed statistically. Then the risk probability, the oil arrival time, risk range, and so on were calculated. These calculations were performed for sub area sectors, fisheries and aquaculture farms, based on information about environmentally sensitive resources. Finally, the risk to each sub area sector was assessed by comparing the calculated results. These consequences indicated the objective and general risks of oil spill accidents and the result of this method will be made more appropriate by integrating real time risk predictions.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.43-49
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• 2005

현재 여러 가지 목적으로 사용되고 있는 독성가스는 누출사고 발생시 확산되는 특성이 있어 피해 범위가 매우 넓고, 인체에 치명적이라는 특징을 가지고 있다. 따라서, 위험성이 높은 독성가스 이용시설은 누출사고에 대비한 사고 대응 시스템을 구축하여 비상상황 발생시 즉각 대응이 가능하도록 하여야 한다. 이에 본 연구에서는 FTA기법을 이용한 사고 시나리오 선정 및 빈도 분석과 DNV사의 PHAST(Ver 6.2)를 이용하여 독성가스 누출에 의한 확산 사고영향 분석을 실시하였다. 그리고, 정량적 위험성 평가 결과들을 이용하여 독성가스시설의 비상대응시스템을 구축하였다.

• 한국산업보건학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.175-183
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• 2012

Objectives: This study developed a harmonized method for risk assessment based on the Hazard & Risk Evaluation of Chemicals (HREC) according to the Industrial Safety and Health Act (ISHA). Methods: Three preliminary studies, performed during 2010 and 2011 by the Occupational Safety and Health Research Institute and three academic research groups, were compared. The differences in risk assessment, especially in the dose-response assessment method, were analyzed. A new harmonized method for dose-response assessment was suggested and its applicability for the HREC was examined. Results: Considering the various steps of each dose-response assessment, the equivalent steps in quantitative correction, uncertainty factor 2 (UF2) for intra-species uncertainty, and UF3 for the experimental period in the uncertainty correction were relatively high. Using our new method, the total correction values (quantitative correction plus uncertainty correction) ranged from 72~15,789 to 30~60, and the ratio of the threshold limit value (TLV) to the reference concentration decreased from 12.8~1900 to 5.4~11.8. Furthermore, when we performed risk characterization by our new method, hazard quotient (HQ) values for chloroethylene, epichlorohydrin, and barium sulfate became 3.0, 14.1, and 1.13 respectively, whereas three previous studies reported HQ values of 7.1, 4580, and 87.3 considering reasonable maximum exposure (RME) conditions. HQs of the three chemicals were calculated to be 0.6, 2.4, and 0.1 respectively, when compared to their TLVs. Conclusions: Our new method could be applicable for the HREC because the total correction values and the ratio of TLVs were within reasonable ranges. It is also recommended that additional risk management measures be applied for epichlorohydrin, for which the HQ values were greater than 1 when compared with both reference values and the TLV. Our proposed method could be used to harmonize dose-response assessment methods for the implementation of risk assessment based on the HREC according to ISHA.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권5호
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• pp.87-101
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• 2019

Purpose - This paper examines the effectiveness of the foreign exchange risk insurance system in the promotion of SME exports in Korea. The purpose of this study is to analyze the short-term and long-term responses of SME exports to foreign exchange risk insurance support policies. Based on these empirical studies, we would like to present some operational improvements to the operation of the foreign exchange risk insurance system. Design/methodology - In order to analyze the effect of exchange risk insurance on the exports of SMEs, a VAR model consisting of foreign exchange risk insurance underwriting values, export relative price, and domestic demand pressure, including export volume, was established. The study began with tests of the stationarity of time series data. The unit root tests showed that all concerned variables were non-stationary. Accordingly, the results of the cointegration test showed that the tested variables are not cointegrated. Finally, an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis were conducted to analyze the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. Findings - As a result of estimating the VAR (1) model, foreign exchange risk insurance was found to be significant at a 1% significance level for SME' export promotion. In the impulse response analysis, SMEs' export response to the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance showed that exports gradually increased until the third quarter, and then slowed down. However, the impulse did not disappear, and appeared continuously. Originality/value - This study analyzed the effect of foreign exchange insurance on exports of SMEs by applying the VAR model. In particular, this study is the first to analyze the short-term and long-term effects of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. The empirical evidence in the current study have a policy implication for the policy authority to support and promote the foreign exchange risk insurance in the effect of exchange rate volatility on Korea' export SMEs.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.27-41
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• 1996

This study described methods to predict human health risk associated with exposure to environmental carcinogens using animal bioassay data. Also, biological assumption for various dose-response models were reviewed. To illustrate the process of risk estimate using relevant dose-response models such as Log-normal, Mantel-Bryan, Weibull and Multistage model, we used four animal carcinogenesis bioassy data of chloroform and chloroform concentrations of tap water measured in large cities of Korea from 1987 to 1995. As a result, in the case of using average concentration in exposure data and 95% upper boud unit risk of Multistge model, excess cancer risk(RISK I) was about $1.9\times10^{-6}$, in the case of using probability distribution of cumulative exposure data and unit risks, those risks(RISK II) which were simulated by Monte-Carlo analysis were about $2.4\times10^{-6}\;and\;7.9\times10^{-5}$ at 50 and 95 percentile, respectively. Therefore risk estimated by Monte-Carlo analysis using probability distribution of input variables may be more conservative.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제13권12호
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• pp.6423-6427
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• 2012

Background: Functional single nucleotide polymorphisms of x-ray repair cross-complementing protein 1 (XRCC1) have been suspected to contribute to uterine cervical cancer risk for a long time; however, most previous case-control studies were small sized and biased. Additionally, recent studies suggested that XRCC1 polymorphisms could be a biomarker of response to platinum-based chemotherapy. Methods: A comprehensive search was conducted to retrieve eligible studies and odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated to measure association strength. Results: A total of 13 studies were identified and analyzed. We found that the Arg194Trp polymorphism (Trp vs. Arg, OR=1.342, 95% CI: 1.176) was associated with increased risk of cervical cancer, while no significant association was found with Arg280His (His vs. Arg, OR=1.059, 95% CI: 0.863, 1.299) or Arg399Gln (Gln vs. Arg, OR=1.144, 95% CI: 0.938, 1.394). As for response to platinum-based chemotherapy, the variant XRCC1 399Gln allele (Gln vs. Arg, OR=0.345, 95% CI: 0.163, 0.729) was linked with a poor response; however, the Arg194Trp polymorphism (TrpArg vs. ArgArg, OR=6.421, 95% CI: 1.573, 26.205) predicted a good response. Conclusion: The Arg194Trp polymorphism of XRCC1 increases risk of cervical cancer; the variant 399Gln allele predicts poor response to platinum-based chemotherapy, while the Arg194Trp polymorphism indicates a good response.