• 제목/요약/키워드: risk indicators

검색결과 506건 처리시간 0.024초

개별차량의 운전지속시간을 고려한 고속도로 휴게시설의 적정위치 선정방법 연구 (A Study on the Optimal Location Estimation of Highway Shelter Considering the Driving Duration of Individual Vehicles)

  • 조황영;이상조
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.16-30
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 휴게시설 이용여부에 따른 개별차량의 운전지속시간을 산정하였으며, 개별링크의 운전지속시간별 차량 수를 바탕으로 가중치를 적용한 장시간 운전에 따른 잠재적 사고위험도를 나타내는 지표를 제안하였다. 이를 바탕으로 개별차량의 운전지속시간을 고려한 고속도로 휴게시설의 적정위치를 산정하는 방법론을 제시하였다. 고속도로에서 수집된 DSRC 개별 차량자료를 활용하여 경부고속도로를 대상으로 주중과 주말을 구분하여 운전지속시간을 고려한 휴게시설 적정위치를 산정하였다. 분석결과 주중과 주말의 위험지표가 높은 구간이 상이한 것으로 나타났다. 주중의 경우 경부고속도로 부산방면 김천JC~금호JC 구간의 위험지표가 높게 나타났으며, 주말의 경우 서울방면 안성JC~동탄JC 구간과 부산방면 안성IC~북천안IC 구간의 위험지표가 높게 나타났다. 본 연구는 개별차량단위의 비집계자료를 활용하여 링크단위의 상세한 분석을 수행할 수 있는 틀을 제공하였다는 점에서 큰 의의를 가진다. 또한 휴게시설 이용여부 분석을 통하여 개별차량의 행태를 반영한 합리적인 운전지속시간을 산정하였다는 점에서 의의가 있다.

임상가를 위한 특집 3 - 우식위험도 평가에 근거한 치아우식증 관리의 임상적용 사례 및 활성화 방안 (The clinical application of dental caries management based on caries risk assessment and activation strategies)

  • 윤홍철;최연희
    • 대한치과의사협회지
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    • 제52권8호
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    • pp.472-477
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    • 2014
  • The new paradigm of dentistry require the detection of caries in their earlier stages. To achieve this, a high technology detection device and systematic and organized caries management system are needed. Caries management by risk assessment (CAMBRA) model is representative caries management system that satisfied new paradigm. Dental caries prevention and treatment according to CAMBRA model is patient-centered, risk-based, evidence-based practice. Therefore, individual caries management such as CAMBRA should be performed through accurate assessment of caries disease indicators and comprehensive assessment of caries risk factors and protective factors. Based on the CAMBRA better effectiveness of comprehensive dental caries management including non-surgical treatment will be accomplished.

날씨파생상품을 이용한 경북지역 사과농가 경영안정 효과 분석 (Analysis of Farm Management Stabilization Effects Using Weather Derivatives for Apple Farmers in Kyeongpuk District)

  • 윤성욱;최장훈;정원호
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.459-475
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes weather derivatives as an alternative risk management tool to stabilize farm revenue to complement the existing crop insurance program which suffers from asymmetric information problems such as adverse selection, moral hazard, and verifiability. We estimated apple yield functions to observe the relationship between yields and weather indices such as temperature and precipitation. Based on the estimated yield functions we designed weather futures and options products underlying temperature and precipitation, and calculated the prices of futures and options by two different approaches, historical distribution and Monte Carlo simulation. We found that weather futures and options stabilize farm revenue based on the estimated four risk indicators: Coefficient of Variation, Value at Risk, Certainty Equivalence, and Risk Premium. As a result, weather derivatives could be considered as a potential farm risk management tool through studying more in legal and institutional strategies and developing various derivatives products.

Discrepancies Between Implementation and Perceived Effectiveness of Leading Safety Indicators in the US Dairy Product Manufacturing Industry

  • Derlyke, Peter Van;Marin, Luz S.;Zreiqat, Majed
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.343-349
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    • 2022
  • Background: In the United States, the dairy product manufacturing industry has consistently had higher rates of work-related nonfatal injuries and illnesses compared to the national average for industries in all sectors. The selection and implementation of appropriate safety performance indicators are important aspect of reducing risk within safety management systems. This study examined the leading safety indicators implemented in the dairy product-manufacturing sector (NAICS 3115) and their perceived effectiveness in reducing work-related injuries. Methods: Perceptions were collected from individuals with safety responsibilities in the dairy product manufacturing facilities. OSHA Incident Rate (OIR) and Days away, restricted and transferred (DART) rates from 2013 to 2018 were analyzed. Results: The perceived most effective leading were safety observations, stop work authority, near miss reporting, safety audits, preventative maintenance, safety inspections, safety training attendance, and job hazard analysis/safety analysis, respectively. The 6-year trend analysis showed that those implementing all eight top indicators had a slightly lower rates than those that did not implement all eight. Production focused mentality, poor training, and lack of management commitment were perceived as the leading causes of injuries in this industry. Conclusion: Collecting leading indicators with the unique interest to meet the regulatory requirements and to document the management system without the actual goal of using them as input to improve the system most probably will not lead to an effective reduction of negative safety outcomes. For leading indicators to be effective, they should be properly selected, executed, periodically evaluated and actions are taken when necessary.

농촌의 마을소멸지수 개발 및 적용 - 충청남도를 대상으로 - (Development and Application of Village Extinction Index in Rural Areas - A Case Study on Chungcheongnam-do -)

  • 윤정미;조영재;김진영
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2023
  • The sense of crisis regarding regional extinction due to low birth rates and an aging population is expanding. Generally, the local extinction index is used to analyze local extinction. However, it is challenging to diagnose the actual situation of village extinction risk in rural areas, even though the regional extinction index can be analyzed in units such as Si-Gun-Gu and Eup-Myeon-Dong. This difficulty arises because the regional extinction index solely relies on natural population growth indicators (elderly population and female population aged 20-39). Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop a village extinction index that can identify the disappearance of rural villages. Additionally, the aim is to apply the developed indicators to the village (administrative ri) spatial unit. The existing regional extinction index used only mortality-related indicators as factors for natural population decline and fertility-related indicators as factors for natural population growth. However, the developed village extinction index included not only the factors of natural population change but also incorporated social population growth factors and factors related to the pace of village extinction. This is the key difference between the developed village extinction index and the existing regional extinction index. In this study, the indicators of "total population," "number of young women aged 20-44," "number of elderly population aged 70 or older," and "number of incoming population" were selected to develop a village extinction index. The village extinction index was developed by incorporating both natural population growth indicators and social population growth indicators. The developed village extinction index was applied to administrative villages. This research is expected to provide a more accurate understanding of the current state of rural villages facing extinction.

Global Assessment of Climate Change-Associated Drought Risk

  • 김혜진;김연주
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.397-397
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    • 2019
  • With the consequences of climate change becoming more evident, research on climate-associated risks has become a basis for climate adaptation and mitigation. Amongst the different sectors and natural resources considered in assessing such risks, drought is one impact to our environment that experiences stress from climate change but is often overlooked and has the potential to bring severe consequences when drought occurs. For example, when temperatures are higher, water demand increases and water supply decreases; when precipitation patterns fluctuate immensely, floods and droughts occur more frequently at greater magnitudes, putting stress on ecosystems. Hence, it is important for us to evaluate drought risk to observe how different climate change and socioeconomic scenarios can affect this vital life resource. In this study, we review the context of drought risk on the basis of climate change impacts and socioeconomic indicators. As underlined in the IPCC AR5 report, the risks are identified by understanding the vulnerability, exposure, and hazards of drought. This study analyzed drought risk on a global scale with different RCP scenarios projected until the year 2099 with a focus on the variables population, precipitation, water resources, and temperature.

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Fuzzy set을 이용한 실시간 지점단위 농경지 침수위험 지수 산정 (Estimating Real-time Inundation Vulnerability Index at Point-unit Farmland Scale using Fuzzy set)

  • 은상규;김태곤;이지민;장민원;서교
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2014
  • Smartphones change the picture of data and information sharing and make it possible to share various real-time flooding data and information. The vulnerability indicators of farmland inundation is needed to calculate the risk of farmland flood based on changeable hydro-meteorological data over time with morphologic characteristics of flood-damaged areas. To find related variables show the vulnerability of farmland inundation using the binary-logit model and correlation analysis and to provide vulnerability indicators were estimated by fuzzy set method. The outputs of vulnerability indicators were compared with the results of Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) for verification. From the result vulnerability indicators are applicable to mobile_based information system of farmland inundation.

지역사회 보건사회지표를 이용한 시군구 지역 간 건강수준 비교 및 관련 요인 상관관계 분석 (A Comparison of Community Health Status by Region and an Investigation of related Factors using Community Health Indicators)

  • 박은옥
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper was to compare community health status by region and to investigate related factors using community health and social indicators. Methods: Data were collected from statistics of local districts that were provided by KNSO and KCDC. ANOVA and correlation were analyzed using PASW 18.0. Results: The standardized cancer mortality rate was higher in metropolitan areas than in other areas. On the contrary, the mortality of respiratory disease, traffic accident, and suicide were higher in rural areas. Small cities and county districts showed higher prevalence in obesity prevalence than metropolitan areas. Metropolitan areas presented higher prevalence in alcohol drinking during the previous month, perceived stress, and seat belt use. The age-adjusted standardized mortality rate was correlated with higher prevalence of smoking, obesity, percentage of the elderly, number of beds, number of social welfare facilities, number of registered cars, lower percentage of financial independence, number of doctors, and percentage of water supply service & sewage. Conclusion: Since significant differences in mortality rate and prevalence of health risk behaviors exist between regional areas and the mortality rate was correlated with other social indicators and health indicators, health policies and social policies considering these differences should be develop and implemented to the communities.

Correlation of Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection with Diabetes Mellitus Indicators

  • Lee, Jung Hwa;Hyun, Sung Hee;Park, Kap Tae;Ahn, Tae Ho;Kim, In Sik
    • 대한임상검사과학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2013
  • Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection has recently shown to be associated with diabetes mellitus. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between chronic hepatitis B and diabetes mellitus indicators. We evaluated anthropometry, metabolic syndrome risk factors, fasting glucose, HbA1c, and C-peptide among the normal and HBV subjects. The partial correlation and average comparison analysis were used to assess the independent association between chronic hepatitis B and diabetes mellitus indicators. Average comparisons of normal and HBV subjects were significantly different in fasting glucose (p<0.000), HbA1c (p<0.000), C-peptide (p<0.000), alanine transaminase (ALT) (p<0.000) and aspartate transaminase (AST) (p<0.000). We may suggest that HBV infection is related to diabetes mellitus indicators such as fasting glucose, HbA1c and C-peptide.

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INTEGRATED SOCIETAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR NUCLEAR POWER AND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

  • LEE, SANG HUN;KANG, HYUN GOOK
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the estimation of the social cost of energy sources has been emphasized as various novel energy options become feasible in addition to conventional ones. In particular, the social cost of introducing measures to protect power-distribution systems from power-source instability and the cost of accident-risk response for various power sources must be investigated. To account for these risk factors, an integrated societal risk assessment framework, based on power-uncertainty analysis and accident-consequence analysis, is proposed. In this study, we applied the proposed framework to nuclear power plants, solar photovoltaic systems, and wind-turbine generators. The required capacity of gas-turbine power plants to be used as backup power facilities to compensate for fluctuations in the power output from the main power source was estimated based on the performance indicators of each power source. The average individual health risk per terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity produced by each power source was quantitatively estimated by assessing accident frequency and the consequences of specific accident scenarios based on the probabilistic risk assessment methodology. This study is expected to provide insight into integrated societal risk analysis, and can be used to estimate the social cost of various power sources.