• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk analysis and evaluation

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Development of MCDM for the Selection of Preferable Alternative and Determination of Investment Priority in Water Resource Projects (수자원사업 대안선정 및 투자우선순위결정을 위한 다기준의사결정모형 개발)

  • Yeo, Kyudong;Kim, Gilho;Lee, Sangwon;Choi, Seungan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.6B
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    • pp.551-563
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    • 2011
  • Water resource projects need an enormous national budget. Therefore, a reasonable and reliable decision making is required for the planning of water resource projects, but decision making has been mostly performed by economic analysis. The objective of this study is to develop a Multi-criteria Decision Making(MCDM) model which can assess the project in various aspects for the selection of preferable alternative and determination of investment priority in water resource projects. In this study, the criteria involves economic feasibility, policies, vulnerability, and sub-items which have weights obtained from the expert survey for the consistent evaluation. We also derived the utility function considering risk trend of each item based on the expert survey. Then, the total score was estimated by weights of each item and utility score of each attribute. The results show that vulnerability is a major contributor for the criteria. This study will contribute to the selection of proper water resource projects considering efficiency of project and fairness for vulnerable area.

A Comparison study on the relationship between the Self-reported Voice Problem and Body Mass Index (자가 음성평가와 체질량지수의 특성 비교)

  • Lee, Inae;Hwang, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1330-1334
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the association between self-reported voice problem and body mass index. Data were collected from the 5th Korea National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (2010) from 5,811 subjects(2,503 men and 3,308 women) aged 19 years and olders. chi-square, t-test and multi-nominal logistic regression analysis were used that to compare self-reported voice problem and variable(age, sex, hight, weight, waist measurement, body mass index). body mass index(OR=1.028, 95% CI: 1.003-1.056) was independently associated with self-reported voice problem(p<0.031). also over weight-two step obesity (OR=1.765, 95% CI: 1.036-3.006) were independently associated with self-reported voice problem(p<0.036). The results of comparison verified that body mass index are valuable self-reported voice problem of risk factor. when the evaluation were conducted, what was considered body mass index is needed.

Development and Efficiency Evaluation of Auxiliary Shielding using Elbow Support (팔꿈치 지지대를 사용한 보조 차폐 기구의 개발 및 효용성 평가)

  • Hyun-Woo Im;Jae-Suk Kim;Dong-Gu Kang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2024
  • As the importance of intervention has recently increased, interest in the health of medical staff performing the procedure is increasing. Existing radiation shielding devices have limited the operator's movement and have not been properly used due to the risk of infection, and adequate radiation shielding of the operator's gonads and furthermore, the entire area of the procedure room has not been achieved. An auxiliary shielding device was manufactured by attaching a Bismuth to the elbow support used in the procedure, and the radiation shielding effect was measured. As a result of the measurement, the average spatial dose rate decreased by about 64.8%, and the independent sample t-test analysis showed statistically significant below the significance probability (p<0.05). The use of an auxiliary shielding device is considered to be an effective shielding method that can shield the operator's gonads and reduce the radiation spatial dose rate of the entire area of the procedure room.

The Application of Fuzzy Logic to Assess the Performance of Participants and Components of Building Information Modeling

  • Wang, Bohan;Yang, Jin;Tan, Adrian;Tan, Fabian Hadipriono;Parke, Michael
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2018
  • In the last decade, the use of Building Information Modeling (BIM) as a new technology has been applied with traditional Computer-aided design implementations in an increasing number of architecture, engineering, and construction projects and applications. Its employment alongside construction management, can be a valuable tool in helping move these activities and projects forward in a more efficient and time-effective manner. The traditional stakeholders, i.e., Owner, A/E and the Contractor are involved in this BIM system that is used in almost every activity of construction projects, such as design, cost estimate and scheduling. This article extracts major features of the application of BIM from perspective of participating BIM components, along with the different phrases, and applies to them a logistic analysis using a fuzzy performance tree, quantifying these phrases to judge the effectiveness of the BIM techniques employed. That is to say, these fuzzy performance trees with fuzzy logic concepts can properly translate the linguistic rating into numeric expressions, and are thus employed in evaluating the influence of BIM applications as a mathematical process. The rotational fuzzy models are used to represent the membership functions of the performance values and their corresponding weights. Illustrations of the use of this fuzzy BIM performance tree are presented in the study for the uninitiated users. The results of these processes are an evaluation of BIM project performance as highly positive. The quantification of the performance ratings for the individual factors is a significant contributor to this assessment, capable of parsing vernacular language into numerical data for a more accurate and precise use in performance analysis. It is hoped that fuzzy performance trees and fuzzy set analysis can be used as a tool for the quality and risk analysis for other construction techniques in the future. Baldwin's rotational models are used to represent the membership functions of the fuzzy sets. Three scenarios are presented using fuzzy MEAN, AND and OR gates from the lowest to intermediate levels of the tree, and fuzzy SUM gate to relate the intermediate level to the top component of the tree, i.e., BIM application final performance. The use of fuzzy MEAN for lower levels and fuzzy SUM gates to reach the top level suggests the most realistic and accurate results. The methodology (fuzzy performance tree) described in this paper is appropriate to implement in today's construction industry when limited objective data is presented and it is heavily relied on experts' subjective judgment.

Safety Evaluation of Hazardous Metals Migrated in Tumbler Samples (유통 텀블러 제품에서 용출되는 유해금속 안전성평가)

  • Jang, Mi-Kyung;Son, Mi-Hui;Park, Sung-Hee;Cho, Yun-Sik;Ku, Eun-Jung;Chae, Sun-Young;Jeon, Jong-Sup;Lee, Myung-Jin
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.166-172
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    • 2022
  • This study evaluated the migrant and residue tests of lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd), nickel (Ni), arsenic (As), and antimony (Sb) in 70 tumbler samples. The migration levels of hazardous metals in all the samples were within the migration limits outlined in the Korean standards and specifications for utensils, containers, and packages. Moreover, in all the tumbler samples, only Ni was detected in 0.5% citric acid solution of a food stimulant. The maximum level of Ni 0.0144 mg/L was 14.4% of the migrant specification (not more than 0.1 mg/L), which was relatively safe. The 0.5% citric acid solution was eluted at 4℃, 70℃, and 100℃ for 30 min, and only Ni was detected while testing for migration levels according to the temperature variations; all temperature conditions conformed to the standards. The level of Ni migration increased significantly with increasing migration temperature. Regarding the residue level outside the paint-coated tumbler samples, the Pb level was found to range from N.D. to 20638.1323 mg/kg. The risk of Ni was further estimated to be at a safe level of 0.00 to 0.01% compared to the %TDI as a result.

A Microbiological Analysis and Hazard Factor Evaluation of Food Utensils and Fixtures of Food Service Operations in Schools (학교 집단급식소 내 식기류 및 집기류의 미생물학적 분석 및 위해요인 평가)

  • Park, Sung-Jun;Hong, Sung-Ho;Lee, Anne Ha-Young;Kim, Cheol-Ju;Kim, Su-Jin;Kim, Sung-Kyoon;Ko, Gwang-Pyo
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.376-386
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the microbial hazards posed by food utensils and fixtures in food service operations at selected middle and high schools located in Seoul, Korea. Methods: We collected 200 samples of utensils and fixtures including cups, spoons/chopsticks, food trays and tables from five different schools in Seoul. Target microorganisms of this study were divided into two groups: total bacterial count and total coliform as indicators of microbial contamination and Bacillus cereus and Staphylococcus aureus as pathogens of food poisoning. We used selective media to quantify microbial concentration and 16S rRNA PCR assay for qualitative analysis. In addition, intensive interviews with nutritionists were conducted and observations were made to identify factors that may affect microbial contamination. Logistic regression analysis was employed to examine the relationship between the microbial concentration and operation characteristics of each operation. Results: The level of microbial concentration in school B and C were significantly lower than in school A, D and E (p<0.05). Some samples from school A, D and E showed over 3.4 log CFU/100 $cm^2$ (total bacterial count) and 1.0 log CFU/100 $cm^2$ (total coliform), which requires immediate hygienic action. The number of customers per staff member, periodicity of hygiene education for staff and daily operation time of sterilizers were also found to be important factors related with the microbial contamination of food service operations. Conclusions: These results suggested that not only a HACCP (Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Point) approach, but also efforts to assess internal risk factors within operations be needed to reduce the microbial contamination of food utensils and fixtures. This study is expected to provide preliminary data for assessing microbial hazards in food service operations.

Development of a Human Error Hazard Identification Method for Introducing Smart Mobiles to Nuclear Power Plants

  • Lee, Yong-Hee;Yun, Jong-Hun;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The aim of this study is to develop an analysis method to extract plausible types of errors when using a smart mobile in nuclear power plants. Background: Smart mobiles such as a smart-phone and a tablet computer(smart-pad) are to be introduced to the various industries. Nuclear power plant like APR1400 already adopted many up-to-date digital devices within its main control room. With this trend, various types of smart mobiles will be inevitably introduced to the nuclear field in the near future. However nuclear power plants(NPPs) should be managed considering a big risk as a result of the trend not only economically but also socially compared to the other industrial systems. It is formally required to make sure to reasonably prevent the all hazards due to the introduction of new technologies and devices before the application to the specific tasks in nuclear power plants. Method: We define interaction segments(IS) as a main architect of interaction description, and enumerate all plausible error segments(ES) for a part of design evaluation of digital devices. Results: We identify various types of interaction errors which are coped with reasonably by interaction design using smart mobiles. Conclusion: According to the application result of the proposed method, we conclude that the proposed method can be utilized to specify the requirements to the human error hazards in digital devices, and to conduct a human factors review during the design of digital devices. Application: The proposed method can be applied to predict the human errors of the tasks related to the digital devices; therefore we can ensure the safety to apply the digital devices to be introduced to NPPs.

Seismic Retrofit of School Facilities Using Rapping and Attaching Composite Material (부착 및 래핑형 복합소재를 이용한 학교시설의 내진보강)

  • Park, Choon-Wook;Kim, Dong-Hwi;Kwon, Min-Ho;Choi, Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2014
  • In paper after the strong earthquake of recently the Korea neighborhood, the Korean government survey show that the 86% of school buildings in Korea are in potential damage risk and only 14% of them are designed as earthquake-resistance buildings. Earthquake Reinforcing projects of school have been a leading by the ministry of education, however their reinforcing methods done by not proved a engineering by experiment which results in uneconomical and uneffective rehabilitation for the future earthquake. An experimental and analytical study have been conducted for the shear reinforcing method of RC beam by axis and horizontal axis load using attaching composite beam. Based on the previous research, in this study, design examples are given to show the performance evaluation for the column reinforcing of old school buildings using nonlinear analysis is going to be conducted and strengthening method is going to be on the market after their performance is proved by the test.

Evaluation of Enterotoxigenic Bacteroides fragilis from Colonic Washings from Patients Undergoing Colonoscopy

  • Van, Ni;Ahlberg, Ned;Jung, Byung Chul;Lee, Min Ho;Ahn, Seung Ju;Lee, In-Soo;Kim, Yoon Suk;Rhee, Ki-Jong
    • Biomedical Science Letters
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.362-368
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    • 2012
  • Enterotoxigenic Bacteroides fragilis (ETBF) is an intestinal commensal bacterium implicated as a risk factor for colon cancer. The key virulence factor is a secreted toxin called B. fragilis toxin (BFT). In this study we used an in vitro bioassay to examine the prevalence of ETBF in colonic washings from patients with colorectal polyps and normal control patients. We found that 9.3% of polyp patients and 10.9% of non-polyp patients harbored ETBF, respectively. A total of nine ETBF clinical isolates were isolated and confirmed to be positive for the BFT gene by PCR analysis and the ability to induce IL-8 secretion in the colonic epithelial cell line HT29/c1. Two of the ETBF clinical strains were characterized further in vitro and in vivo. We found that the two ETBF clinical isolates induced E-cadherin cleavage in HT29/c1 cells and promoted colonic inflammation in C57BL/6 mice. Our results indicate that the prevalence of ETBF in polyp patients were similar in non-polyp patients suggesting that ETBF carriage does not positively correlate to polyp incidence.

Measurement and Evaluation of Flash Point for the DMF Contained Organic Solvent Mixtures (DMF함유 혼합 유기용제에 대한 인화점의 측정과 평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Suk;Han, Ou-Sup;Lee, Keun-Won
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2019
  • The flash points of DMF based organic solvent mixtures used in the synthetic leather manufacturing process were measured. The test group was composed of seven types of solvent mixtures, which included DMF, toluene, and MEK. Each flash point was tested according to the international standard test methods of KS M 2010. The flash points were then predicted using some prediction models and compared with the measured data. From the analysis results, the binary mixtures with a mole ratio of less than approximately 0.7 showed that the measured values were under 25 ℃. This showed that the expectation for the flammable risk lowering effects due to the mixing of high flash point materials was reduced. In addition, the predicted values were evaluated using the average absolute deviation (A.A.D). The results showed that the Le Chatelier's models had an "A.A.D" of 1.95 ℃ and were the closest to the measured values.