• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk analysis and evaluation

Search Result 1,373, Processing Time 0.032 seconds

지역별 아파트 투자성과에 관한 분석 (Analysis on the Apartment Investment Performance)

  • 강원철;김원희
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
    • /
    • 제13권2호
    • /
    • pp.431-439
    • /
    • 2013
  • 본 연구의 목적은 위험을 반영하여 지역별 아파트 투자성과를 분석하고 지역별 특성의 존재유무를 검증하는 것이다. 분석을 위해 지역별 아파트 투자성과를 장단기로 나누어 분석하였다. 자료수집기간은 2002년부터 2012년의 10년간이며 대상지역은 서울의 강남 북과 6개 광역시이다. 성과평가를 위해 만기 5년의 국민주택1종 채권수익률을 무위험수익률로 사용하고 임대수익계산을 위해서는 만기1~2년 정기예금금리를 사용하였다. 분석결과, 장기투자성과 시에는 서울과 인천은 지역특성이 존재하지 않아 트레이너지표를 사용하여 평가하였으며 지방광역시는 지역특성이 존재하여 젠센지표로 평가하였다. 또 단기성과평가시에는 모든 지역에서 지역특성이 존재하는 것으로 나타나 젠센지표를 사용하여 평가하였다. 모든 지역에서 지역특성이 작용하는 단기 성과평가 결과는 단순수익률로 평가한 결과와 전혀 다른 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 단순 수익률로 성과평가를 할 경우에는 성과에 대한 인식을 왜곡할 수 있음이 드러났다.

DSM기법에 의한 위험 및 안전 관리를 통해 무기체계 시험평가 프로세스의 개선에 관한 연구 (On Enhancing Test and Evaluation Process of Weapon Systems Development using DSM-Based Risk and Safety Management)

  • 심상현;이재천
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제17권2호
    • /
    • pp.89-96
    • /
    • 2015
  • The weapon systems development has some distinct characteristics in that a big size of government budget (derived from national tax) has been expended frequently and the completion of the development projects seems to take long. Thus, the impact of the potential changes in the required operational capability on the development activities can induce some type of project risks. As such, proper management of project risk has been one of crucial subjects in the weapon systems development. Although a variety of methods can be considered, an approach based on the test and evaluation (T&E) process has been selected in this paper in order to appropriately handle those potential risks. In the study of the underlying T&E process, the safety consideration (for instance, explosiveness) of weapon systems is also included. To achieve the objective of the paper, a step-by-step procedure is first presented in the analysis of the T&E process. Then, to pursue some enhancement on the process, a set of necessary and useful activities are added in terms of risk and safety management. The resultant process is further analyzed and tailored based on a design structure matrix method. The case study of a tank development is also discussed.

FREM을 적용한 고층건물의 화재위험도 비교평가연구 (A Study of Comparative Evaluation for High-rise Building Fire Risk by the Use of FREM)

  • 김동일;손기상;이수경
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
    • /
    • 제16권1호
    • /
    • pp.45-50
    • /
    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 화재위험도 분석 개념과 정의 및 접근방식을 검토하여 건물화재위험도 분석의 기반을 구축하였으며, 다음으로 컴퓨터 프로그램인 FREM을 사용하여 국내외 대표적인 고층건물 100동에 대한 화재위험도를 평가한 후 위험의 유형을 도출하였고, 또한 외국에서 개발된 이 기법을 국내에서 적용하였을 때 발생되는 문제점을 밝혔다. 고층건물의 화재위험도 평가에 있어 가장 중요한 요소는 건물 내 방화구획과 자동소화설비의 신뢰도라 할 수 있다. 더불어 고층건물에서 화재안전을 확보하기 위하여서는 이 두 설비를 유효하게 설치하고 유지관리 하는 것이 무엇보다 중요하다. 또한, 차후 이 두 설비 등에 대한 신뢰도 평가기준을 더욱 심도 있게 연구하여, 지수를 이용한 건물 화재위험도 평가에 적용한다면 적은 비용으로 보다 정확한 위험도 산정이 가능할 것이다.

소방공무원에서 정신 건강 증진 프로그램의 효과 (The Effect of Mental Health Improvement Programs for Firefighters)

  • 김재준;최태영;김소연;박주현
    • 대한불안의학회지
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.17-24
    • /
    • 2017
  • Objective : The purpose of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of the mental health improvement program in Korean firefighters. Methods : A total of 502 firefighters working at Daegu, Ulsan and Gumi participated in the mental health improvement program for an 8-week period. The program included evaluation and counseling as well as psychoeducation for mental health awareness. Subjects were divided to two groups including the PTSD high risk group and PTSD non-high risk group. Results : The program resulted in a significant decrease in mean scores of depression and insomnia for all firefighters. PTSD high risk group showed a significantly higher level of depression, anxiety, and insomnia. Multiple logistic regression analysis with PTSD high risk group as a dependent variable indicated that moderate depression was a high-risk factor for PTSD in firefighters, as compared to no depression ; in addition, subthreshold and moderate insomnia was another risk factor. Conclusion : The evaluation and management of psychopathologies including depression and insomnia associated with traumatic events can be helpful to improve the mental health of firefighters.

석유화학공장에서의 한국형 위험기반검사에 의한 화학설비의 안정성 평가 (Analysis of Safety of the Chemical Facilities by Korea Risk Based-Inspection in the Petrochemical Plant)

  • 김태옥;이헌창;신평식;최병남;조지훈;최병용;박성후;김형근
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제22권6호
    • /
    • pp.35-40
    • /
    • 2007
  • As a way of improving the safety of the chemical facilities, the risk based-inspection(RBI) was executed for the facilities of the applied petrochemical plant using KS-RBI Ver. 3.0 program developed based on the API-581 based resource document(BRD). From an evaluation result of KS-RBI program, we could find the evaluation of the process safety management(PSM) for the applied plant, risk of the applied process, risk of static facilities and pipes, and the demage mechanism of the facilities. Also, we could suggest a proper inspection plan(frequency and method of inspection) using the calculated risk and the status of the facilities. Therefore, the applied plant could be achieved a reduced inspection cost by an extension of inspection frequency, improved productivity, improved reliability of the facilities, and a computerized history management.

안전관리규정과 철도종합안전심사결과 분석을 통한 국내 철도안전관리체계 개선에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Domestic Rail Safety Management System through the Analysis of Safety Management Regulations and Results of the Universal Rail Safety Audit)

  • 오인택;팽정광;장성용
    • 한국철도학회논문집
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.342-348
    • /
    • 2008
  • 본 논문에서는 철도안전법에 근거한 철도안전관리체계를 정의하고 영국의 철도안전관리체계, 국제항공안전관리체계, 보건안전경영체계 등을 조사하였다. 국내 철도운영자들의 안전관리규정과 철도종합안전심사결과 분석을 통하여 국내 철도운영기관들의 안전관리체계 현황과 문제점을 조사하고 국내 철도안전관리체계의 개선방안을 도출하였다. 먼저 안전관리체계의 지속 개선체계 수립을 위하여 최고경영자의 경영검토 등 안전관리체계 각 단계별 구체적 지속개선방안을 명시한 지침을 수립하여야 한다. 두 번째는 위험도관리 기반 SMS를 정착시키기 위하여 철도운영자들의 인식 전환, 위험도 분석 및 안전성 평가에 필요한 안전위험운영모델과 기본정보 공급체계 구축, 그리고 위험도관리에 필요한 구체적인 요구사항의 관련지침화가 시행되어야 한다.

AHP를 이용한 농업생산기반정비사업 타당성평가 개선방안 (Revision of Feasibility Evaluation Guideline for Agricultural Infrastructure Improvement Project Using AHP Approach)

  • 윤성욱;이석주;이한성;정원호
    • 농촌계획
    • /
    • 제25권2호
    • /
    • pp.35-45
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study revises current feasibility evaluation guideline for agricultural infrastructure improvement project considering recent changes in social and economic environment in rural area. We use an AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) approach to consider qualitative evaluation items in policy enforcement and balanced regional development as well as quantitative items in current economic analysis in the process of feasibility evaluation and decision making. The criteria system is composed of three level hierarchy. In the first level which consists of economic analysis, policy analysis, and regional development analysis, economic analysis was ranked top with relative weight of 0.45 and regional development analysis the lowest with 0.22. In the second level which consists of three evaluation items under policy analysis, consistency in policy enforcement, risk factors, and special evaluation factors, consistency in policy enforcement was ranked top. Finally, 13 detailed evaluation items in the third level were surveyed and ranked by using a comprehensive criticality vector. The result shows that the three most important evaluation items are 'degree of underdevelopment', 'spill-over effect of regional economy' and 'consistency with related planning and policy direction'.

연구실 사전유해인자위험분석 적용방안 및 제도도입 연구 (A Study on Application Method & System Introduction of Laboratory Pre-hazards Risk Analysis)

  • 조남준;지용구
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제31권4호
    • /
    • pp.126-135
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to develop risk assessment techniques and institutional analysis of domestic and international, the management techniques that can efficiently manage the harmful factor of the laboratory and to present the institutional measures that can be efficiently implemented. Due to a variety of adverse factors of laboratory, accidents of laboratory of various forms have occurred, but there is no risk assessment system in order to manage this effectively. So, we investigated this domestic existing risk assessment methods and the outside of the risk assessment system, and also analyzed accidents of domestic laboratory that occurred in 2014. In addition, we targeted the 24 laboratories in 21 universities to investigate the management of harmful factors of the laboratory and performed applying test for 12 domestic laboratories. Existing risk evaluation system, such as PMS, SMS, off-site impact assessment, since the industrial site is the subject, is a difficult problem to be directly applied to the laboratory of the research institute. So, we implemented management status and harmful factors survey and classified the research and development activities based on this data. Finally we developed "pre-hazards risk analysis method" to create each of the safety management measures. In addition, research activities personnel conducted voluntarily risk assessment, which is shared by institutions and government. It is presented the institutional system for safety management of laboratory. Its result, pre-hazards risk analysis method and institutionalization scheme will be able to achieve laboratory accident prevention system.

Effect of endodontic sealer on postoperative pain: a network meta-analysis

  • Cynthia Maria Chaves Monteiro;Ana Cristina Rodrigues Martins;Alessandra Reis;Juliana Larocca de Geus
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
    • /
    • 제48권1호
    • /
    • pp.5.1-5.22
    • /
    • 2023
  • This systematic review and network meta-analysis aimed to answer the following focused research question: "Does the type of endodontic sealer affect the postoperative pain in patients who received endodontic treatment?" Different databases and grey literature were surveyed. Only one randomized controlled trial were included. The risk of bias in the studies was evaluated by using the Cochrane Collaboration's tool. A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to compare the risk and intensity of postoperative pain. The quality of the body of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach. Out of 11,601 studies, 15 remained for qualitative analyses and 12 for meta-analysis. Seven studies were classified at high risk of bias, and 8 studies raised some concerns. No significant differences between the endodontic materials were observed in the direct comparisons, both in risk and in intensity of postoperative pain (pairwise comparisons with 2 studies: I2 = 0%; p > 0.05 and 8 studies: I2 = 23%; p > 0.05, respectively). The certainty of the evidence was graded as low or moderate. There was no difference in the risk and intensity of postoperative pain after filling with different endodontic sealers. Further systematic reviews should be conducted.

농업경영 리스크 요인 분석: AHP와 IPA 분석 (A Factor Analysis on Agricultural Management Risk: AHP & IPA Analysis)

  • 이소진;최문식;김종안
    • 농촌지도와개발
    • /
    • 제23권3호
    • /
    • pp.309-320
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study has systematically classified established the agricultural management risks from the agricultural company's position and analyzed their counterplan situation in order to seek measures to counteract this. The AHP & IPA technique were used as an analysis method concerning the evaluation results. The counterplan situation was deduced through an interview investigation of 112 farmers who produce cabbage, white radish, onion, garlic, chili, and 6 other such items in order to stereotype the risks. If the agricultural companies' management capacity is raised in accordance to the risk counterplan deduced from this study, and the risks of agricultural management activity are avoided ahead of time or counter means are activated, we can anticipate the stabilization of agricultural management.