• 제목/요약/키워드: return period

검색결과 1,001건 처리시간 0.034초

Minimum loading requirements for areas of low seismicity

  • Lam, Nelson T.K.;Tsang, Hing-Ho;Lumantarna, Elisa;Wilson, John L.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.539-561
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    • 2016
  • The rate of occurrence of intraplate earthquake events has been surveyed around the globe to ascertain the average level of intraplate seismic activities on land. Elastic response spectra corresponding to various levels of averaged (uniform) seismicity for a return period of 2475 years have then been derived along with modifying factors that can be used to infer ground motion and spectral response parameters for other return period values. Estimates derived from the assumption of uniform seismicity are intended to identify the minimum level of design seismic hazard in intraplate regions. The probabilistic seismic hazard assessment presented in the paper involved the use of ground motion models that have been developed for regions of different tectonic and crustal classifications. The proposed minimum earthquake loading model is illustrated by the case study of Peninsular Malaysia which has been identified with a minimum effective peak ground acceleration (EPGA) of 0.1 g for a return period of 2475 years, or 0.07 g for a notional return period of 475 years.

시공기간을 고려한 주거용 철근콘크리트 건물의 시공 중 지진하중 영향 분석 (Effect of Seismic Load on Residential RC Buildings under Construction Considering Construction Period)

  • 최성현;김재요
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2022
  • 시공 중인 건물은 시공이 완료된 건물과는 다르게 콘크리트의 강도발현이 충분히 이루어지지 않았기 때문에 지진과 같은 자연재해에 더 취약한 모습을 가질 수 있다. 현재 국내 기준은 건축물의 내진등급별 최소성능 목표를 제시하고 있지만, 설계를 위한 지진하중은 재현주기 2,400년의 지진위험도를 기반으로 한다. 하지만 건물의 시공기간은 건물의 사용기간보다 훨씬 짧기 때문에 재현주기 2,400년의 지진을 시공 중인 건물에 적용하는 것은 과도하다. 따라서 이 연구는 주거용으로 사용되는 철근콘크리트 건물의 시공 중 지진하중을 분석하기 위해 5층, 15층, 25층, 60층 건물의 시공단계모델을 작성하고 재현주기에 따라 저감한 지진하중을 적용하여 구조적 안정성을 확인하였다. 그 결과, 시공기간에 따라 선정한 재현주기의 지진을 적용할 때 구조적 안정성을 확인하였으며, 건물의 규모의 따라 구조적 안전성을 확보할 수 있는 지진재현주기를 확인하였다.

최근 기상 자료에 의한 부산의 세분화된 지역별 재현기대 풍속 산정 (Estimation of Wind Speeds for Return Period in Cellularized District of Basan by the Recent Meteorological Data)

  • 안재혁
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.158-163
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    • 2012
  • This study is concerned with the estimation of wind speeds for return period in cellularized district of Busan by the recent meteorological data. Recently standard of the wind load in Busan area is determined by using meteorological wind speed data which is observed on Automated Synoptic Observing System(ASOS) only. Applying the existing basic wind speed that is 40m/s to the construction design of Busan area is inefficient. Because the wind speeds of Busan area show different amounts depend on the location of cellularized district. This research analyze the observed data of wind speeds of cellularized district in Busan based on Automate Weather System(AWA). In addition that we compute regional wind speeds for return period by using Gumbel distribution and study and compare with the existing basic wind speeds after evaluating appropriateness by Hazen's plot method.

The conditional risk probability-based seawall height design method

  • Yang, Xing;Hu, Xiaodong;Li, Zhiqing
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.1007-1019
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    • 2015
  • The determination of the required seawall height is usually based on the combination of wind speed (or wave height) and still water level according to a specified return period, e.g., 50-year return period wind speed and 50-year return period still water level. In reality, the two variables are be partially correlated. This may be lead to over-design (costs) of seawall structures. The above-mentioned return period for the design of a seawall depends on economy, society and natural environment in the region. This means a specified risk level of overtopping or damage of a seawall structure is usually allowed. The aim of this paper is to present a conditional risk probability-based seawall height design method which incorporates the correlation of the two variables. For purposes of demonstration, the wind speeds and water levels collected from Jiangsu of China are analyzed. The results show this method can improve seawall height design accuracy.

강도설계용 풍하중 평가를 위한 재현기간과 기본풍속지도의 제안 (Proposal of Return Period and Basic Wind Speed Map to Estimate Wind Loads for Strength Design in Korea)

  • 하영철
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2018
  • Strength design wind loads for the wind resistance design of structures shall be evaluated by the product of wind loads calculated based on the basic wind speed with 100 years return period and the wind load factor 1.3 specified in the provisions of load combinations in Korean Building Code (KBC) 2016. It may be sure that the wind load factor 1.3 in KBC(2016) had not been determined by probabilistic method or empirical method using meteorological wind speed data in Korea. In this paper, wind load factors were evaluated by probabilistic method and empirical method. The annual maximum 10 minutes mean wind speed data at 69 meteorological stations during past 40 years from 1973 to 2012 were selected for this evaluation. From the comparison of the results of those two method, it can be found that the mean values of wind load factors calculated both probability based method and empirical based method were similar at all meteorological stations. When target level of reliability index is set up 2.5, the mean value of wind load factors for all regions should be presented about 1.35. When target level of reliability index is set up 3.0, wind load factor should be presented about 1.46. By using the relationship between importance factor(conversion factor for return period) and wind load factor, the return periods for strength design were estimated and expected wind speeds of all regions accounting for strength design were proposed. It can be found that return period to estimate wind loads for strength design should be 500 years and 800 years in according to target level of reliability index 2.5 and 3.0, respectively. The 500 years basic wind speed map for strength design was suggested and it can be used with a wind load factor 1.0.

독립호우사상의 확률론적 해석 : 2. 호우사상의 재현기간 (Probabilistic Analysis of Independent Storm Events: 2. Return Periods of Storm Events)

  • 유철상;박민규
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 이변량 극치분포를 이용하여 연최대치 호우사상을 평가하였다. 이를 위해 특정 재현기간을 가지는 호우사상의 강우량을 비동시결합 재현기간, 동시결합 재현기간 그리고 구간조건부 결합재현기간의 세 가지를 이용하여 산정하였다. 이때, 결합재현기간별 호우사상의 값의 크기가 서로 다르게 산정되는 이유를 이변량 분포의 확률특성을 보여주는 사분면을 이용하여 설명하였다. 호우지속기간 24시간인 경우에 동시결합재현기간을 이용하여 산정한 확률강우량은 전통적인 방법으로 얻어진 강우지속기간 24시간의 확률강우량과 유사하게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 전통적인 강우빈도해석의 제약사항을 극복하는데 도움이 될 것으로 보여진다. 이변량 빈도해석으로 얻어진 확률호우사상은 저류시설물의 계획시 통계적으로 보다 유용하면서도 간단한 설계 호우사상을 제공할 수 있을 것으로 보여진다.

포항해역에서의 파랑의 통계적 특성에 대한 연구 (A Study of Statistical Properties of Waves in the Sea Area of Pohang)

  • 안용호;김도영
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.216-221
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, statistical properties of waves in the sea area of Pohang, Korea are examined absed on 1998-1999's wave data from directional wave buoy which is located Pohang(Janggigog). Wave data aquisition rate, monthly maximium, minimum and mean wave heights, frequency of wave direction are summarized. Wave height and period scatter diagrams and n-year return period wave heights are estimated. Wave periods of maximum wave heights are also estimated.

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COVID-19 Pandemic and the Reaction of Asian Stock Markets: Empirical Evidence from Saudi Arabia

  • SHAIK, Abdul Rahman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권12호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2021
  • The study examines the influence of COVID-19 on the stock market returns of Saudi Arabia. The data was analyzed through event study methodology using daily price data of Tadawul All Share Index (TASI). The study examines the behavior pattern of the Saudi Arabian stock market in different phases during the event period by selecting six-event windows with a range of 10 days. The results report a negative Abnormal Return (AR) of -0.003 on the event date, while the abnormal returns reversed the next day to 0.005 positively. The result of Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR) is negative and significant at the 1 percent level in all the six-event windows starting from the event date to day 59 after the event for the TASI index. Even though the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic decreased after 30 days of the event date, it increased during the last ten days of the event window. The stock market volatility of Saudi Arabia increased during the post-event period compared to the pre-event period with a negative mean return of -0.326 and a greater standard deviation. In a conclusion, the study found a significant influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the stock market returns of TASI.

SWMM 분석을 통한 투수성 포장의 유출 저감 특성 평가 (Performance Evaluation of the Runoff Reduction with Permeable Pavements using the SWMM Model)

  • 임무광;류성우;박대근;이재훈;조윤호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES: This study aims to evaluate the runoff reduction with permeable pavements using the SWMM analysis. METHODS: In this study, simulations were carried out using two different models, simple and complex, to evaluate the runoff reduction when an impermeable pavement is replaced with a permeable pavement. In the simple model, the target area for the analysis was grouped into four areas by the land use characteristics, using the statistical database. In the complex model, simulation was performed based on the data on the sewer and road network configuration of Yongsan-Gu Bogwang-Dong in Seoul, using the ArcGIS software. A scenario was created to investigate the hydro-performance of the permeable pavement based on the return period, runoff coefficient, and the area of permeable pavement that could be laid within one hour after rainfall. RESULTS : The simple modeling analysis results showed that, when an impervious pavement is replaced with a permeable pavement, the peak discharge reduced from $16.7m^3/s$ to $10.4m^3/s$. This represents a reduction of approximately 37.6%. The peak discharge from the whole basin showed a reduction of approximately 11.0%, and the quantity decreased from $52.9m^3/s$ to $47.2m^3/s$. The total flowoff reduced from $43,261m^3$ to $38,551m^3$, i.e., by approximately 10.9%. In the complex model, performed using the ArcGIS interpretation with fewer permeable pavements applicable, the return period and the runoff coefficient increased, and the total flowoff and peak discharge also increased. When the return period was set to 20 years, and a runoff coefficient of 0.05 was applied to all the roads, the total outflow reduced by $5195.7m^3$, and the ratio reduced to 11.7%. When the return period was increased from 20 years to 30 and 100 years, the total outflow reduction decreased from 11.7% to 8.0% and 5.1%, respectively. When a runoff coefficient of 0.5 was applied to all the roads under the return period of 20 years, the total outflow reduction was 10.8%; when the return period was increased to 30 and 100 years, the total outflow reduction decreased to 6.5% and 2.9%, respectively. However, unlike in the simple model, for all the cases in the complex model, the peak discharge reductions were less than 1%. CONCLUSIONS : Being one of the techniques for water circulation and runoff reduction, a high reduction for the small return period rainfall event of penetration was obtained by applying permeable pavements instead of impermeable pavement. With the SWMM analysis results, it was proved that changing to permeable pavement is one of the ways to effectively provide water circulation to various green infrastructure projects, and for stormwater management in urban watersheds.

재현기간별 확률 향우강도식 산정에 관한 수문통계학적 고찰-청주 지방을 중심으로- (A Review for Caluculation of the Formula for Probable Rainfall Intensities Following Return Periods in the Hydrological Statistics. -On Cheong-Ju district-)

  • 이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.3848-3859
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    • 1975
  • The author attempted to find most suitable formulas for probable rainfall intensities with analysis and consideration for characteristics of rainfall intensities according to the short and long period return periods at Cheong-Joo district. Above mentioned formulas induced by this study can be contributed to the credibility of runoff estimation for urban sewerage system, drainage works in small catchment area and embankment works in the rivers. The results of this study are summarized as follows: 1 Calculation values by Gumbel-Chow method were selected as a mean values for the calculation of probable rainfall intensities according to return periods in the short period. 2. Calculations for probable rainfall intensities for long period are based upon to the result by Iwai's method. Talbot type, {{{{I= {a} over {t+b} }}}} is confirmed as a most suitable formula for probable rainfall intensities among calculation methods in the short periods at Cheong-Joo district. 4. Specific coefficient method, I24=RN24${\beta}$N was selected as a means of calculation for suitable formulas of probable rainfall intensities according to return periods in case of long period. 5. Runoff estimation with high credibility by rational formula can be anticipated by establishment for the most suitable probable rainfall intensities at Cheong-Joo district.

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