• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability prediction

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A Semi-Implicit Integration for Rate-Dependent Plasticity with Nonlinear Kinematic Hardening (비선형 이동경화를 고려한 점소성 모델의 내연적 적분)

  • Yoon, Sam-Son;Lee, Soon-Bok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.1562-1570
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    • 2003
  • The prediction of the inelastic behavior of the structure is an essential part of reliability assessment procedure, because most of the failures are induced by the inelastic deformation, such as creep and plastic deformation. During decades, there has been much progress in understanding of the inelastic behavior of the materials and a lot of inelastic constitutive equations have been developed. The complexity of these constitutive equations generally requires a stable and accurate numerical method. The radial return mapping is one of the most robust integration scheme currently used. Nonlinear kinematic hardening model of Armstrong-Fredrick type has recovery term and the direction of kinematic hardening increment is not parallel to that of plastic strain increment. In this case, The conventional radial return mapping method cannot be applied directly. In this investigation, we expanded the radial return mapping method to consider the nonlinear kinematic hardening model and implemented this integration scheme into ABAQUS by means of UMAT subroutine. The solution of the non-linear system of algebraic equations arising from time discretization with the generalized midpoint rule is determined using Newton method and bisection method. Using dynamic yield condition derived from linearization of flow rule, the integration scheme for elastoplastic and viscoplastic constitutive model was unified. Several numerical examples are considered to demonstrate the efficiency and applicability of the present method.

Prediction of Lift Performance of Automotive Glass Using Finite Element Analysis (유한요소해석을 통한 자동차용 글라스의 승강성능 예측)

  • Moon, Hyung-Il;Kim, Heon-Young;Choi, Cheon;Lee, In-Heok;Kim, Do-Hyung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.1749-1755
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    • 2010
  • The performance of power window system was decided by driving characteristics of the window regulator part and reaction by the glass run. The performance of power window system usually has been predicted by experimental methods. In this paper, an analytical method using the explicit code was suggested to overcome the limit of the experimental methods. The friction coefficient of glass run was obtained by the friction test at various conditions and the Mooney-Rivlin model was used. Also, a mechanism of window regulator consisted of the fast belt system and the slip ring elements. And, we conducted the analysis considering characteristic of a motor and obtained the lifting speed of automotive glass with high reliability

Analysis of Uncertainty of Rainfall Frequency Analysis Including Extreme Rainfall Events (극치강우사상을 포함한 강우빈도분석의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Ug;Lee, Kil-Seong;Park, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.337-351
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    • 2010
  • There is a growing dissatisfaction with use of conventional statistical methods for the prediction of extreme events. Conventional methodology for modeling extreme event consists of adopting an asymptotic model to describe stochastic variation. However asymptotically motivated models remain the centerpiece of our modeling strategy, since without such an asymptotic basis, models have no rational for extrapolation beyond the level of observed data. Also, this asymptotic models ignored or overestimate the uncertainty and finally decrease the reliability of uncertainty. Therefore this article provide the research example of the extreme rainfall event and the methodology to reduce the uncertainty. In this study, the Bayesian MCMC (Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo) and the MLE (Maximum Likelihood Estimation) methods using a quadratic approximation are applied to perform the at-site rainfall frequency analysis. Especially, the GEV distribution and Gumbel distribution which frequently used distribution in the fields of rainfall frequency distribution are used and compared. Also, the results of two distribution are analyzed and compared in the aspect of uncertainty.

Generalization modeling and verify for low-orbit satellite regulation converter (저궤도 위성의 정 전압 변압기 일반화 모델링 및 적용)

  • Yun, Seok-Teak
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.136-140
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    • 2011
  • Satellites industry has been developing with the commercial and military needs. Because power system of satellites is very important to survival operation and hard to test, increasing reliability is very critical. Especially LEO small satellites are very sensitive to power system, effective stabilization control is important. Because of various need of load condition, converter design are complicated. Therefore this paper introduced general modeling of LEO small satellite converter system and analyzed stabilization control design. The performance prediction of LEO small satellites power system is typically critical. Because of verity controller and rectification value, it is hard to computation and test implementation. So, this approach has merit that will reduce cost and make more reliable system. Furthermore, it can be constraint of converter specification and controller design. This paper will examine generation a modeling of LEO small satellites power converting system, and a possible guide line to design reliable controller which optimizing power converters of LEO small satellite.

Active Facial Tracking for Fatigue Detection (피로 검출을 위한 능동적 얼굴 추적)

  • Kim, Tae-Woo;Kang, Yong-Seok
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2009
  • The vision-based driver fatigue detection is one of the most prospective commercial applications of facial expression recognition technology. The facial feature tracking is the primary technique issue in it. Current facial tracking technology faces three challenges: (1) detection failure of some or all of features due to a variety of lighting conditions and head motions; (2) multiple and non-rigid object tracking; and (3) features occlusion when the head is in oblique angles. In this paper, we propose a new active approach. First, the active IR sensor is used to robustly detect pupils under variable lighting conditions. The detected pupils are then used to predict the head motion. Furthermore, face movement is assumed to be locally smooth so that a facial feature can be tracked with a Kalman filter. The simultaneous use of the pupil constraint and the Kalman filtering greatly increases the prediction accuracy for each feature position. Feature detection is accomplished in the Gabor space with respect to the vicinity of predicted location. Local graphs consisting of identified features are extracted and used to capture the spatial relationship among detected features. Finally, a graph-based reliability propagation is proposed to tackle the occlusion problem and verify the tracking results. The experimental results show validity of our active approach to real-life facial tracking under variable lighting conditions, head orientations, and facial expressions.

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Estimation of Leak Frequency Function by Application of Non-linear Regression Analysis to Generic Data (비선형 회귀분석을 이용한 Generic 데이터 기반의 누출빈도함수 추정)

  • Yoon, Ik Keun;Dan, Seung Kyu;Jung, Ho Jin;Hong, Seong Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2020
  • Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is used as a legal or voluntary safety management tool for the hazardous material industry and the utilization of the method is gradually increasing. Therefore, a leak frequency analysis based on reliable generic data is a critical element in the evolution of QRA and safety technologies. The aim of this paper is to derive the leak frequency function that can be applied more flexibly in QRA based on OGP report with high reliability and global utilization. For the purpose, we first reviewed the data on the 16 equipments included in the OGP report and selected the predictors. And then we found good equations to fit the OGP data using non-linear regression analysis. The various expectation functions were applied to search for suitable parameter to serve as a meaningful reference in the future. The results of this analysis show that the best fitting parameter is found in the form of DNV function and connection function in natural logarithm. In conclusion, the average percentage error between the fitted and the original value is very small as 3 %, so the derived prediction function can be applicable in the quantitative frequency analysis. This study is to contribute to expand the applicability of QRA and advance safety engineering as providing the generic equations for practical leak frequency analysis.

Active Facial Tracking for Fatigue Detection (피로 검출을 위한 능동적 얼굴 추적)

  • 박호식;정연숙;손동주;나상동;배철수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.603-607
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    • 2004
  • The vision-based driver fatigue detection is one of the most prospective commercial applications of facial expression recognition technology. The facial feature tracking is the primary technique issue in it. Current facial tracking technology faces three challenges: (1) detection failure of some or all of features due to a variety of lighting conditions and head motions; (2) multiple and non-rigid object tracking and (3) features occlusion when the head is in oblique angles. In this paper, we propose a new active approach. First, the active IR sensor is used to robustly detect pupils under variable lighting conditions. The detected pupils are then used to predict the head motion. Furthermore, face movement is assumed to be locally smooth so that a facial feature can be tracked with a Kalman filter. The simultaneous use of the pupil constraint and the Kalman filtering greatly increases the prediction accuracy for each feature position. Feature detection is accomplished in the Gabor space with respect to the vicinity of predicted location. Local graphs consisting of identified features are extracted and used to capture the spatial relationship among detected features. Finally, a graph-based reliability propagation is proposed to tackle the occlusion problem and verify the tracking results. The experimental results show validity of our active approach to real-life facial tracking under variable lighting conditions, head orientations, and facial expressions.

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A Time Series-based Algorithm for Eliminating Outliers of GPS Probe Data (시계열기반의 GPS 프로브 자료의 이상치 제거 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Kee-Choo;Jang, Jeong-A
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2004
  • A treatment of outlier has been discussed. Outliers disrupt the reliability of information systems and they should be eliminated prior to the information and/or data fusion. A time series-based elimination algorithm were proposed and prediction interval, as a criterion of acceptable value width, was obtained with the model. Ten actual link values were used and the best model was identified as IMA(1,1). Although the actual verification was difficult in a sense that the matching process between the eliminated data and model data was not readily available, the proposed model can be successfully used in practice with some calibration efforts.

Drawing of Impedance Plane Diagrams of Absolute Coil ECT Signals by finite Element Analysis (유한요소해석에 의한 절대코일 와전류 신호의 임피던스 평면도 작성)

  • Shin, Young-Kil;Lee, Yun-Tai;Lee, Jeong-Ho;Song, Myung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.315-324
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    • 2004
  • In eddy current testing(ECT), differential probes have been frequently used since they .an reduce the number of parameters that influence ECT signals. However, differential signal is actually the difference of the two coils' impedance so that signal prediction and interpretation are not easy, On the other hand, absolute coil signal is rather straightforward to predict and analyze. Therefore, combined use of the two types of signals would increase the test reliability. In this paper, absolute coil signals from Inconel plate and tubes are predicted by the finite element analysis and efforts of lift-off, fill-factor, conductivity, operating frequency, test specimen thickness, inner diameter defects, and outer diameter defects are investigated. As a result, various impedance plane diagrams are drawn and analyzed. Significant practical knowldege about absolute signals is accumulated and similar characteristics of the two types of signal could be understood. Finally, slope angle versus defect depth calibration corves are prepared for three different frequencies.

Designing Support System for Analysis of Market Concentration and Competition Situation (시장집중도 및 경쟁현황 분석 지원시스템 설계)

  • Kim, Ji-Hui;Yoo, Hyoung Sun;Seo, Ju Hwan;Kim, You-Eil;Hwang, Jee Na
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.252-261
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    • 2017
  • This paper is aimed for providing Business Intelligence System which is in order to analysis and produce the useful industrial information such as the market penetrance and the status of competition among the enterprises in the same or similar industrial field. These industrial information were mainly analysed by the annual sales of the enterprises in the entire industry and the industrial market based on KSIC was segmented. The results obtained in the study were applied as a module in the KMAPS(KISTI Market Analysis and Prediction System) which is the demand-based Business Intelligence System. And they were verified reliability by comparing to the qualitative analyses of the specialists. It is considered that the market penetrance and competition information can be valuably used for the enterprises makes a decision to enter the new market or develop new products.