• 제목/요약/키워드: relative risk efficiency

검색결과 41건 처리시간 0.028초

Basic Architecture of Navigation Safety Module in S2 Service of Korean e-Navigation System

  • Yoo, Yun-Ja;Kim, Tae-Goun;Moon, Serng-Bae
    • 한국항해항만학회지
    • /
    • 제42권5호
    • /
    • pp.311-316
    • /
    • 2018
  • IMO introduced the concept of e-Navigation and proposed MSPs(Maritime Service Portfolios) concept to reduce marine accidents, to improve efficiency of ship operation, port operation, and ship operation technology. Korean e-Navigation defines S1 ~ S5 services, as the service concept focused on domestic e-Navigation service corresponding to IMO MSPs, and is constructing a system as an ongoing project. S2 service (onboard system remote monitoring service) among the concepts of Korean e-Navigation services, is a service concept that judges the emergency level according to risk if an abnormal condition occurs during navigation, and provides corresponding guidance to accident ships based on emergency level. The purpose of this paper is to provide a basic architecture proposal of Korean e-Navigation S2 service navigation safety module, based on the S2 service operation concept. To do this, we conducted a questionnaire survey to ask experts with experience with sailors, to respond to the subjective risk experienced by sailors considering effects of anomalies, including equipment failure relative to sailing and navigational safety. Risk level for each abnormal condition was classified. The basic algorithm design of the navigation safety module is composed of safety index (SI) calculation module based on results of questionnaire and expert opinions, safety level (SL) determination module according to safety index, and corresponding guidance generation module according to safety level. To conduct basic validation of basic architecture of the navigation safety module, simulation of the ship anomaly monitoring was performed, and results have been revealed.

다분류 SVM을 이용한 DEA기반 벤처기업 효율성등급 예측모형 (The Prediction of DEA based Efficiency Rating for Venture Business Using Multi-class SVM)

  • 박지영;홍태호
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.139-155
    • /
    • 2009
  • For the last few decades, many studies have tried to explore and unveil venture companies' success factors and unique features in order to identify the sources of such companies' competitive advantages over their rivals. Such venture companies have shown tendency to give high returns for investors generally making the best use of information technology. For this reason, many venture companies are keen on attracting avid investors' attention. Investors generally make their investment decisions by carefully examining the evaluation criteria of the alternatives. To them, credit rating information provided by international rating agencies, such as Standard and Poor's, Moody's and Fitch is crucial source as to such pivotal concerns as companies stability, growth, and risk status. But these types of information are generated only for the companies issuing corporate bonds, not venture companies. Therefore, this study proposes a method for evaluating venture businesses by presenting our recent empirical results using financial data of Korean venture companies listed on KOSDAQ in Korea exchange. In addition, this paper used multi-class SVM for the prediction of DEA-based efficiency rating for venture businesses, which was derived from our proposed method. Our approach sheds light on ways to locate efficient companies generating high level of profits. Above all, in determining effective ways to evaluate a venture firm's efficiency, it is important to understand the major contributing factors of such efficiency. Therefore, this paper is constructed on the basis of following two ideas to classify which companies are more efficient venture companies: i) making DEA based multi-class rating for sample companies and ii) developing multi-class SVM-based efficiency prediction model for classifying all companies. First, the Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) is a non-parametric multiple input-output efficiency technique that measures the relative efficiency of decision making units(DMUs) using a linear programming based model. It is non-parametric because it requires no assumption on the shape or parameters of the underlying production function. DEA has been already widely applied for evaluating the relative efficiency of DMUs. Recently, a number of DEA based studies have evaluated the efficiency of various types of companies, such as internet companies and venture companies. It has been also applied to corporate credit ratings. In this study we utilized DEA for sorting venture companies by efficiency based ratings. The Support Vector Machine(SVM), on the other hand, is a popular technique for solving data classification problems. In this paper, we employed SVM to classify the efficiency ratings in IT venture companies according to the results of DEA. The SVM method was first developed by Vapnik (1995). As one of many machine learning techniques, SVM is based on a statistical theory. Thus far, the method has shown good performances especially in generalizing capacity in classification tasks, resulting in numerous applications in many areas of business, SVM is basically the algorithm that finds the maximum margin hyperplane, which is the maximum separation between classes. According to this method, support vectors are the closest to the maximum margin hyperplane. If it is impossible to classify, we can use the kernel function. In the case of nonlinear class boundaries, we can transform the inputs into a high-dimensional feature space, This is the original input space and is mapped into a high-dimensional dot-product space. Many studies applied SVM to the prediction of bankruptcy, the forecast a financial time series, and the problem of estimating credit rating, In this study we employed SVM for developing data mining-based efficiency prediction model. We used the Gaussian radial function as a kernel function of SVM. In multi-class SVM, we adopted one-against-one approach between binary classification method and two all-together methods, proposed by Weston and Watkins(1999) and Crammer and Singer(2000), respectively. In this research, we used corporate information of 154 companies listed on KOSDAQ market in Korea exchange. We obtained companies' financial information of 2005 from the KIS(Korea Information Service, Inc.). Using this data, we made multi-class rating with DEA efficiency and built multi-class prediction model based data mining. Among three manners of multi-classification, the hit ratio of the Weston and Watkins method is the best in the test data set. In multi classification problems as efficiency ratings of venture business, it is very useful for investors to know the class with errors, one class difference, when it is difficult to find out the accurate class in the actual market. So we presented accuracy results within 1-class errors, and the Weston and Watkins method showed 85.7% accuracy in our test samples. We conclude that the DEA based multi-class approach in venture business generates more information than the binary classification problem, notwithstanding its efficiency level. We believe this model can help investors in decision making as it provides a reliably tool to evaluate venture companies in the financial domain. For the future research, we perceive the need to enhance such areas as the variable selection process, the parameter selection of kernel function, the generalization, and the sample size of multi-class.

가습 입자를 활용한 고효율 난방 시스템 개발 (Development of high-efficiency heating system using humidifying particles)

  • 이정원;홍경보
    • Design & Manufacturing
    • /
    • 제14권4호
    • /
    • pp.17-24
    • /
    • 2020
  • Products for heating indoors in low temperature and dry winter are largely divided into products using fossil fuels and products using electricity. The fossil fuels can warm the entire space by convection, but there is a high risk of fire and the frequent ventilation due to the increase in carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide. Heaters using electricity are mainly used because they are convenient to use and are cheap. However, these products can not efficiently warm the air because they use radiation energy. In other words, only the front part exposed to the heater is warm, and the rear part has no heating effect at all. Also, because it emits a large amount of light, fatigue of the eyes is very high. Another problem is that when using electric heaters, the room tends to be dry by high heat. Indoor humidity maintenance is a very important factor in the prevention and treatment of respiratory diseases. Especially, it is essential for health care for infants, bronchial organs and people with weak respiratory because humidity is low in winter. In this study, we conducted a study to develop a product that can improve heating efficiency while maintaining proper indoor humidity by combining heat energy and moisture particles. The concept of humidification and heating at the same time, moisture particles generated in the humidifier pass through the heater, include thermal energy, and the moisture particles with thermal energy are diffused into the space by forced convection, thereby warming the entire space. In addition, the heating time is shortened as the feeling temperature is increased with the high relative humidity, and this has the effect that the heating cost in winter is reduced.

경쟁위험 하에서의 누적발생함수 추정량 성능 비교 (Performance Comparison of Cumulative Incidence Estimators in the Presence of Competing Risks)

  • 김동욱;안치경
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.357-371
    • /
    • 2007
  • 경쟁위험(competing risk) 하에서의 누적 발생함수(cumulative incidence function)는 일반적으로 비모수적 방법으로 추정된다. 그러나 관심 있는 원인에 의한 사건이 다른 원인에 의한 사건보다 상대적으로 적게 발생하는 경우에 비모수적 방법으로 추정된 누적발생함수는 이산성으로 인해 다소 정확하지 않게 된다. 이와 같은 경우에 Bryant와 Diagnam(2004)는 관심 있는 원인에 대한 원인특정적 위험함수(cause-specific hazard function)를 모수적으로 모형화하고 다른 원인에 의한 사건은 비모수적으로 추정하는 준모수적 방법을 제안했다. 본 연구에서는 준모수적 누적발생함수 추정량을 재표현하고 와이블분포모형과 대수 정규분포모형으로 확장하였다. 또한 대수 정규분포 원인특정적 위험모형일 경우 누적 발생함수에 대한 비모수적 추정량, 와이블분포 준모수적 추정량과 대수 정규분포 준모수적 추정량의 효율성을 비교하며 준모수적 추정량의 성능과 모형 오설정이 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다.

혁신저항을 매개로 공항에서 바이오 패스의 사용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인분석 (A Study on the Factors Influencing the Intention to Use Bio Pass at Airports through Innovation Resistance)

  • 박성훈;박진우
    • 한국항공운항학회지
    • /
    • 제31권2호
    • /
    • pp.7-17
    • /
    • 2023
  • In the era of the 4th industrial revolution, airports around the world are rapidly pushing for smart airports. One ID service based on biometric technology to eliminate congestion and improve airport operation efficiency is one of them. In particular, biopass, which allows you to use the entire journey with one single token without an ID card or boarding pass from arrival at the airport to boarding an aircraft, is emerging as an important technology for smart airports. This study conducted an empirical analysis to identify factors that affect the intention to use in two aspects: the acceptance, and rejection of bio-pass by combining UTAUT and the innovative resistance model. As a result of the study, it was found that the relative advantages and compatibility had a positive effect on the intention to use, and the perceived risk had a negative effect on the intention to use through innovation resistance. This suggests that infrastructure expansion and usage expansion are needed to use time more efficiently at airports, and that the government, airlines, and airport operators need to cooperate to strengthen the security system to relieve users' psychological anxiety.

혁신저항모델을 활용한 중소기업 기술혁신에 따른 SCM시스템 도입 영향 연구 (A Study on the Technological Innovation and Introduction of SCM System of SMEs' Industry Using the Innovation Resistance Model)

  • 오용민;부제만
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제44권3호
    • /
    • pp.165-175
    • /
    • 2021
  • As the advent of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and Information Age, companies are in the state of infinite competition due to the rapidly changing technological environment and fierce competition. In this situation companies are making efforts to gain the competitive advantage by introducing information systems. Supply Chain Management (SCM) is considered a method to gain a competitive edge in rapid change. In fact, companies that already have introduced the SCM system are achieving company renovation with positive effects such as increase of sales stock reduction on-time delivery cost reduction and improved efficiency. This study was started to investigate the resistance that occurs in introducing the SCM system for small and medium-sized manufacturing industries that have not yet introduced the SCM system despite the importance of the SCM system, and to check the effect on the intention of the introduction. As the result of this study, the first is that the company has the higher technological innovation, the more positive the effect on Relative advantage Compatibility Perceived risk, Complexity. Second, The compatibility of the SCM system was rejected in innovation resistance, but it is adopted with the highest impact in the introduction intention. In addition, the mediating effect of innovation resistance was also rejected, confirming that if the SCM system is compatible for the company, it doesn't affect the resistance and is the biggest factor to consider in the introduction of the SCM system. Third, the perceived risk of the SCM system doesn't directly affect the intention to introduce, but has an indirect effect when mediation innovation resistance.

터보펌프용 터빈 공기상사 성능시험 (Air Similarity Performance Test of Turbopump Turbine)

  • 임병준;홍창욱;김진한
    • 한국추진공학회지
    • /
    • 제10권2호
    • /
    • pp.39-45
    • /
    • 2006
  • 로켓 엔진 터보펌프용 터빈은 고온, 고압의 연소가스를 사용하기 때문에 실제 환경에서 성능시험을 수행하기가 매우 어렵다. 따라서 대부분의 경우, 시험에 따르는 위험을 줄이기 위하여 공기를 사용한 시험을 통하여 성능을 평가한다. 본 논문에서는 10 톤급 액체로켓엔진 터보펌프용 터빈에 대한 공기 상사 성능시험에 대하여 기술하였다. 터빈의 공기역학적인 성능을 평가하기 위한 성능시험설비를 구성하였으며, 성능시험설비는 고압공기 공급시스템, 유량측정용 노즐, 시험부, 동력계. 압력조절을 위한 출구 오리피스 그리고 측정 및 제어 시스템으로 구성된다. 본 논문에서는 터빈성능 시험을 위한 상사시험 조건을 결정하는 방법과 시험조건을 조절하는 방법에 대하여 기술하였다. 시험결과, 측정 변수들의 상대 표준오차는 1%이내였으며 측정된 터빈 효율은 해석결과와 2% 이내로 일치하였다.

현수교 케이블 송기시스템 효율화를 위한 지역별 상대습도 환경 분석 (Analysis of Regional Relative Humidity Environment for Dehumidification System Efficiency of Suspension Bridge Cable)

  • 서동우;김가영
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
    • /
    • 제19권7호
    • /
    • pp.88-94
    • /
    • 2018
  • 국내외 현수교량 주케이블의 경우, 부식을 방지하기 위해 송기시스템을 통하여 주케이블 내부 상대습도를 보통 $40%{\pm}5%$ 이하로 유지하고 있다. 국내 주케이블 송기시스템이 설치된 현수교량의 위치는 모두 지리적으로 온난다습한 기후에 노출되는 빈도가 높은 해안지역이며, 특히나 우리나라의 해안지역은 각 계절의 온도차 및 일교차가 크기 때문에 강재 부식에 더욱 열악한 조건이다. 본 연구에서는 지역별 환경분석을 수행함으로써 보편적으로 사용하고 있는 송기시스템의 가동기준 40%가 아닌 좀 더 효율적인 지역별 송기시스템 가동 기준을 수립하는데 기초자료로 활용하고자 하였다. 최근 국내에 가장 큰 영향을 끼친 태풍 BOLAVEN(2012)과 CHABA(2016) 기간의 상대습도 분포, 분석 기간(2012~2016) 중 내습한 모든 태풍의 기간을 제외한 여름철과 겨울철의 상대습도 분포, 기온과 연계한 겨울철 상대습도 분포 분석을 통해 지역별로 송기시스템 가동기준을 차별화하는 것에 대한 근거를 마련할 수 있었다. 미래 기후변화로 인한 해수면 온도 상승 및 강수량 증가의 영향을 고려할 때 더욱더 객관적인 지역별 송기시스템 가동기준이 필요할 것으로 판단되며, 이는 추후 현수교 주케이블의 송기시스템 가동에 대한 경제적 효율성을 높일 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

댐의 홍수조절에 의한 경제적 효과분석 (Analysis of Economic Effectiveness for Flood Control of Dam)

  • 최승안;이충성;심명필;김형수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제40권5호
    • /
    • pp.383-396
    • /
    • 2007
  • 기존의 댐 계획이나 운영에서는 댐의 홍수조절 효과분석을 위해 댐 홍수조절 기여도 평가, 유황변화, 환경생태학적 변화 및 댐 하류의 수위저감효과를 사용하고 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 분석방법은 댐의 홍수조절에 의한 경제석 효과를 명확하게 제시할 수 없기 때문에, 댐의 치수역할과 필요성에 대한 국민적 공감대 형성이나 댐 사업의 타당성을 정확하게 평가하고 알리기에는 한계가 있다고 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 댐의 홍수조절에 의한 효과를 보다 분명하고 정확하게 산정하기 위하여 기존의 수위저감효과와 더불어 홍수피해 절감량이 얼마나 발생하였는지를 정량화할 수 있는 방법론을 개발하였다. 제안된 방법론에서는 홍수위 조건에 따라 위험상태기준을 잠재안전, 상대위험, 절대위험의 세 가지 상태로 정의하여 이에 따라 홍수피해 절감량을 제시한다. 구축된 방법을 남한강 유역의 2006년 7월 집중호우를 대상으로 충주댐의 홍수조절에 의한 여주지점에서의 수위차감효과와 이에 따른 경제적 효과를 분석하였다. 적용결과 피해경감량은 4조 1,890억원으로 산정되었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 댐의 홍수조절에 대한 경제적 효과분석은 댐의 홍수조절 효과나 증요성을 이해하는데 큰 기여가 될 수 있을 것이다.

보건의료시설의 실내 예상 평균 온열감(PMV), 이산화탄소 농도, 소음도, 조도의 통합실내쾌적도(IEQh)를 통한 연간 실내 쾌적도 평가 (Evaluation of Annual Indoor Environment Quality in Hospitals using Various Comfort-related Factors)

  • 이보람;이대엽;반현경;이세원;김규상;이기영
    • 한국환경보건학회지
    • /
    • 제43권3호
    • /
    • pp.214-222
    • /
    • 2017
  • Objectives: A hospital is a complex building that serves many different purposes. The indoor environment in a hospital plays a major role in patient well-being and the work efficiency of the hospital staff. This study was conducted to evaluate overall comfort in two major hospitals over the course of one year. Methods: Various indoor environmental conditions were measured in two general hospitals for one year (April 2014 to April 2015). Monitoring alternated between the hospitals at one month per respective monitoring session. The indoor air temperature, relative humidity (RH), mean radiant temperature and air velocity were measured in order to calculate the predicted mean vote (PMV). Carbon dioxide concentration, noise level and illumination level were concurrently measured and applied to the overall IEQ acceptance model for the hospitals (IEQh). Results: The IEQh at the two general hospitals was different at five spaces within a building. The IEQh for summer and winter were significantly different. Real-time IEQh demonstrated that indoor comfort was affected by the hospital's operating hours due to operation of the HVAC system. The percentage of indoor comfort in the hospitals was higher using PMV than IEQh. Conclusion: IEQh in the hospitals was different at locations with different purposes. Indoor comfort assessment using IEQh was stricter than with PMV. Additional research is needed in order to optimize the IEQh model.