• Title/Summary/Keyword: regression algorithm

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A Recommending System for Care Plan(Res-CP) in Long-Term Care Insurance System (데이터마이닝 기법을 활용한 노인장기요양급여 권고모형 개발)

  • Han, Eun-Jeong;Lee, Jung-Suk;Kim, Dong-Geon;Ka, Im-Ok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1229-1237
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    • 2009
  • In the long-term care insurance(LTCI) system, the question of how to provide the most appropriate care has become a major issue for the elderly, their family, and for policy makers. To help beneficiaries use LTC services appropriately to their needs of care, National Health Insurance Corporation(NHIC) provide them with the individualized care plan, named the Long-term Care User Guide. It includes recommendations for beneficiaries' most appropriate type of care. The purpose of this study is to develop a recommending system for care plan(Res-CP) in LTCI system. We used data set for Long-term Care User Guide in the 3rd long-term care insurance pilot programs. To develop the model, we tested four models, including a decision-tree model in data-mining, a logistic regression model, and a boosting and boosting techniques in an ensemble model. A decision-tree model was selected to describe the Res-CP, because it may be easy to explain the algorithm of Res-CP to the working groups. Res-CP might be useful in an evidence-based care planning in LTCI system and may contribute to support use of LTC services efficiently.

Evaluation and complementation of observed flow in the Hancheon watershed in Jeju Island using a physically-based watershed model (유역모형을 활용한 제주도 한천 유역의 관측유량 평가 및 보완)

  • Kim, Chul Gyum;Kim, Nam Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.11
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    • pp.951-959
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to evaluate observed runoff data collected every 10 minutes at stream gauging stations in Jeju Island using a physically-based model, SWAT. The Hancheon watershed was selected as study area, and ephemeral stream algorithm suggested by previous research was incorporated into the model, which is able to simulate ephemeral runoff pattern of Jeju streams. Simulated runoff and runoff rates were compared to observations during 2008-2013, which showed 'very good' performance rating in Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (ME) and determination coefficient ($R^2$). Some observations had problems such that runoff rates were very high for some rainfall events with little amount of antecedent rainfall, and were very low or missing with much rainfall comparing to previous researches. Additionally, regression equation between precipitation and simulated runoff was generated with high degree of correlation. The equation can be utilized to simply predict reasonable runoff, or to investigate and complement the abnormal or missing data of observations on the assumption that modelling results were sufficiently reliable and satisfactory. As results, minimizing the error in calibrating the model by evaluation of observed data would be helpful to accurately model the rainfall-runoff characteristics and analyze the water balance components of watersheds in Jeju Island.

Analysis of Change Rate of SBP and DBP Estimation Fusion Algorithm According to PTT Measurement change PPG Pulse Wave Analysis (PPG 맥파 분석의 PTT 측정변화에 따른 SBP, DBP 추정 융합 알고리즘 변화율 분석)

  • Kim, Seon-Chil
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2020
  • Recently, devices such as smart watches capable of measuring small biosignals have been released. Body composition, blood pressure, heart rate, and oxygen saturation can be easily obtained. However, the part that is not trusted by the user is accuracy. These biosignals are sensitive to the external environment and have large fluctuations depending on the conditions inside the subject's body. Blood pressure measurements, in particular, still give different results, depending on how the conditions in the body are handled. Therefore, in this study, PPG was analyzed to measure PTT at two points of 80% and 100%, the highest in PTT measurement. The effect of the measured value on SBP and DBP was analyzed and a method was proposed to increase the accuracy. As a result of the study, the measured value of PTT at 80% of the peak PPG is more effective in estimating blood pressure of SBP and DBP than the value measured at 100%. In the regression analysis of the rate of change blood pressure estimation, the coefficient of determination of SBP (80%) was 0.6946, and DBP (100%) was 0.547.

Estimation of Suspended Sediment Concentration in Small Stream with Acoustic Backscatter from Horizontal ADCP based on Real-Scale Field Experiment (실규모 현장 실험 기반 H-ADCP 초음파 산란도 활용 소하천용 하천 부유사 농도 측정 기법 개발)

  • Seo, Kanghyeon;Kim, Dongsu;Son, Geunsoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1023-1035
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    • 2016
  • Suspended sediment concentration (SSC) is a crucial riverine parameter in terms that it can be utilized for analyzing sediment transport, stability assessment of river and structure and so on. However, in case of domestic, sediment discharge data are not enough because of using conventional sediment samplers. This study aimed at developing a practical technique for estimating suspended sediment concentration in high spatial and temporal resolution by building relationship between acoustic backscatter (or SNR) from H-ADCP with actually observed data using LISST-100X. In this regard, a dedicated correction algorithm was proposed particularly for the adapted H-ADCP (SonTek SL-3000). Then, a SNR-SSC relation was built based upon a real-scale field experiment, where both H-ADCP and LISST-100X were concurrently operated to observe SNR and SSC, respectively. The coefficient of determination for the developed regression equation of SNR-SSC relation was around 0.85~0.88, thereby the relation could be evaluated to be highly correlated. The result of this study might be potentially applied for real-time and simultaneous observation of SSC when H-ADCP could be applied.

The comparative analysis of image fusion results by using KOMPSAT-2/3 images (아리랑 2호/3호 영상을 이용한 영상융합 비교 분석)

  • Oh, Kwan Young;Jung, Hyung Sup;Jeong, Nam Ki;Lee, Kwang Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.117-132
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    • 2014
  • This paper had a purpose on analyzing result data from pan-sharpening, which have applied on the KOMPSAT-2 and -3 image. Particularly, the study focused on comparing each relative spectral response functions, which considers to cause color distortions of fused image. Two images from same time and location have been collected by KOMPSAT-2 and -3 to apply in the experiment. State-of-the-art algorithms of GIHS, GS1, GSA and GSA-CA were employed for analyzing the results in quantitatively and qualitatively. Following analysis of previous studies, GSA and GSA-CA methods resulted excellent quality in both of KOMPSAT-2/3 results, since they minimize spectral discordances between intensity and PAN image by the linear regression algorithm. It is notable that performances from KOMPSAT-2 and- 3 are not equal under same circumstances because of different spectral characteristics. In fact, KOMPSAT-2 is known as over-injection of low spatial resolution components of blue and green band, are greater than that of the PAN band. KOMPSAT-3, however, has been advanced in most of misperformances and weaknesses comparing from the KOMPSAT-2.

Influence of Amount of Pedigree Information and Parental Misidentification of Progeny on Estimates of Genetic Parameters in Jeju Race Horses (제주마 집단의 혈연 정보량과 정보 오류가 유전 모수 추정치에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Nam-Young;Lee, Sung-Soo;Yang, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of Embryo Transfer
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.289-296
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    • 2014
  • The pedigree information and race records of 1,000 m finishing time of Jeju race horses at KRA were used to study the effect of amount of pedigree information and parental misidentification on the estimates of genetic parameters. The modified data sets were made at the range of 2.5 to 25% parental misidentifications or loss of parental information of individuals with an increment of 2.5 percent. For each incremental level, 20 randomly replicated data sets were obtained and analyzed by single-trait analysis with a DF-REML(AI) algorithm. As the rate of misidentification increased or the amount of pedigree information decreased, the estimates of fraction of additive genetics variance component gradually decreased almost linearly (p<0.05), while the estimated fractions of error variance and permanent environmental variance components gradually increased for the finishing time. Regression coefficients of the percentage amount of both parents' information loss and incorrect pedigree information on additive genetic variances were -0.079 and -0.114, respectively (p<0.01). The estimate of heritability decreased by 0.92% for one percent loss of both parents' information and 1.39% for one percent increase of both parental misidentifications of progeny (p<0.01). For the consideration of probable incorrect and missing parent information of progeny in this early population of Jeju horses, the estimates of additive genetic parameters would be biased downward about ten percent. This results indicate that the amount of pedigree information loss and misidentification of progeny would severely affect estimates of genetic parameters and would reduce genetic gains for selection in Jeju horse population.

Neural Networks-Genetic Algorithm Model for Modeling of Nonlinear Evaporation and Evapotranpiration Time Series. 2. Optimal Model Construction by Uncertainty Analysis (비선형 증발량 및 증발산량 시계열의 모형화를 위한 신경망-유전자 알고리즘 모형 2. 불확실성 분석에 의한 최적모형의 구축)

  • Kim, Sung-Won;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.1 s.174
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2007
  • Uncertainty analysis is used to eliminate the climatic variables of input nodes and construct the model of an optimal type from COMBINE-GRNNM-GA(Type-1), which have been developed in this issue(2007). The input variable which has the lowest smoothing factor during the training performance, is eliminated from the original COMBINE-GRNNM-GA (Type-1). And, the modified COMBINE-GRNNM-GA(Type-1) is retrained to find the new and lowest smoothing factor of the each climatic variable. The input variable which has the lowest smoothing factor, implies the least useful climatic variable for the model output. Furthermore, The sensitive and insensitive climatic variables are chosen from the uncertainty analysis of the input nodes. The optimal COMBINE-GRNNM-GA(Type-1) is developed to estimate and calculate the PE which is missed or ungaged and the $ET_r$ which is not measured with the least cost and endeavor Finally, the PE and $ET_r$. maps can be constructed to give the reference data for drought and irrigation and drainage networks system analysis using the optimal COMBINE-GRNNM-GA(Type-1) in South Korea.

Estimation of Total Precipitable Water from MODIS Infrared Measurements over East Asia (MODIS 적외 자료를 이용한 동아시아 지역의 총가강수량 산출)

  • Park, Ho-Sun;Sohn, Byung-Ju;Chung, Eui-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.309-324
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    • 2008
  • In this study the retrieval algorithms have been developed to retrieve total precipitable water (TPW) from Terra/Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) infrared measurements using a physical iterative retrieval method and a split-window technique over East Asia. Retrieved results from these algorithms were validated against Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) over ocean and radiosonde observation over land and were analyzed for investigating the key factors affecting the accuracy of results and physical processes of retrieval methods. Atmospheric profiles from Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System (RDAPS), which produces analysis and prediction field of atmospheric variables over East Asia, were used as first-guess profiles for the physical retrieval algorithm. We used RTTOV-7 radiative transfer model to calculate the upwelling radiance at the top of the atmosphere. For the split-window technique, regression coefficients were obtained by relating the calculated brightness temperature to the paired radiosonde-estimated TPW. Physically retrieved TPWs were validated against SSM/I and radiosonde observations for 14 cases in August and December 2004 and results showed that the physical method improves the accuracy of TPW with smaller bias in comparison to TPWs of RDAPS data, MODIS products, and TPWs from split-window technique. Although physical iterative retrieval can reduce the bias of first-guess profiles and bring in more accurate TPWs, the retrieved results show the dependency upon initial guess fields. It is thought that the dependency is due to the fact that the water vapor absorption channels used in this study may not reflect moisture features in particular near surface.

Evaluation of the future agricultural drought severity of South Korea by using reservoir drought index (RDI) and climate change scenarios (저수지 가뭄지수와 기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 우리나라 미래 농업가뭄 평가)

  • Kim, Jin Uk;Lee, Ji Wan;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.381-395
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to predict agricultural reservoir storage rate (RSR) in a month. This algorithm was developed by multiple linear regression model (MLRM) which included the past 3 months RSRs data and the future climate change scenarios. In order to improve use of predicted RSR, this study need the severe criteria in terms of drought. So, the predicted RSR was indexed as the 3 months reservoir drought index (RDI3) and then it was disaggregated into drought duration, severity, and intensity. For the future RSR estimation by climate change scenarios, the 6 RCP 8.5 scenarios of HadGEM2-ES, CESM1-BGC, MPI-ESM-MR, INM-CM4, FGOALS-s2, and HadGEM3-RA were used in three future evaluation periods (S1: 2011~2040, S2: 2041~2070, S3: 2071~2099). The future S3 period of HadGEM2-ES scenario which has the biggest increase in precipitation and temperature showed the largest decrease to 60.2% among the 6 scenarios compared to the historical RSR (1976~2005) 77.3%. In contrast, INM-CM4 scenario which has smallest changes in precipitation and temperature in S3 period showed the smallest decrease to 72.8%. For the CESM1-BGC and MPI-ESM-MR, FGOALS-s2, and HadGEM3-RA, the S3 period RSR showed 72.6%, 72.6%, 67.4%, and 64.5% decrease respectively. The future severe drought condition of RDI3 below -0.25 showed the increase trend for the number and severity up to -2.0 during S3 period.

Correction of Lunar Irradiation Effect and Change Detection Using Suomi-NPP Data (VIIRS DNB 영상의 달빛 영향 보정 및 변화 탐지)

  • Lee, Boram;Lee, Yoon-Kyung;Kim, Donghan;Kim, Sang-Wan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.265-278
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    • 2019
  • Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Day/Night Band (DNB) data help to enable rapid emergency responses through detection of the artificial and natural disasters occurring at night. The DNB data without correction of lunar irradiance effect distributed by Korea Ocean Science Center (KOSC) has advantage for rapid change detection because of direct receiving. In this study, radiance differences according to the phase of the moon was analyzed for urban and mountain areas in Korean Peninsula using the DNB data directly receiving to KOSC. Lunar irradiance correction algorithm was proposed for the change detection. Relative correction was performed by regression analysis between the selected pixels considering the land cover classification in the reference DNB image during the new moon and the input DNB image. As a result of daily difference image analysis, the brightness value change in urban area and mountain area was ${\pm}30$ radiance and below ${\pm}1$ radiance respectively. The object based change detection was performed after the extraction of the main object of interest based on the average image of time series data in order to reduce the matching and geometric error between DNB images. The changes in brightness occurring in mountainous areas were effectively detected after the calibration of lunar irradiance effect, and it showed that the developed technology could be used for real time change detection.