• 제목/요약/키워드: receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC curve)

검색결과 293건 처리시간 0.031초

Differentiation of Benign from Malignant Adnexal Masses by Functional 3 Tesla MRI Techniques: Diffusion-Weighted Imaging and Time-Intensity Curves of Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI

  • Malek, Mahrooz;Pourashraf, Maryam;Mousavi, Azam Sadat;Rahmani, Maryam;Ahmadinejad, Nasrin;Alipour, Azam;Hashemi, Firoozeh Sadat;Shakiba, Madjid
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권8호
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    • pp.3407-3412
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    • 2015
  • Background: The aim of this study was to evaluate and compare the accuracy of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) value, and time-intensity curve (TIC) type analysis derived from dynamic contrast-enhanced MR imaging (DCE-MRI) in differentiating benign from malignant adnexal masses. Materials and Methods: 47 patients with 56 adnexal masses (27 malignant and 29 benign) underwent DWI and DCE-MRI examinations, prior to surgery. DWI signal intensity, mean ADC value, and TIC type were determined for all the masses. Results: High signal intensity on DWI and type 3 TIC were helpful in differentiating benign from malignant adnexal masses (p<0.001). The mean ADC value was significantly lower in malignant adnexal masses (p<0.001). An ADC value< $1.20{\times}10^{-3}mm^2/s$ may be the optimal cutoff for differentiating between benign and malignant tumors. The negative predictive value for low signal intensity on DWI, and type 1 TIC were 100%. The pairwise comparison among the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of TIC was significantly larger than the AUCs of DWI and ADC (p<0.001 for comparison of TIC and DWI, p<0.02 for comparison of TIC and ADC value). Conclusions: DWI, ADC value and TIC type derived from DCE-MRI are all sensitive and relatively specific methods for differentiating benign from malignant adnexal masses. By comparing these functional MR techniques, TIC was found to be more accurate than DWI and ADC.

Frequency Ratio와 Evidential Belief Function을 활용한 산사태 유발에 대한 환경지리적 민감성 분석과 검증 - 2013년 춘천 산사태를 중심으로 - (Analysis and Validation of Geo-environmental Susceptibility for Landslide Occurrences Using Frequency Ratio and Evidential Belief Function - A Case for Landslides in Chuncheon in 2013 -)

  • 이원영;성효현;안세진;박선기
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.61-89
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to characterize landslide susceptibility depending on various geo-environmental variables as well as to compare the Frequency Ratio (FR) and Evidential Belief Function (EBF) methods for landslide susceptibility analysis of rainfall-induced landslides. In 2013, a total of 259 landslides occurred in Chuncheon, Gangwon Province, South Korea, due to heavy rainfall events with a total cumulative rainfall of 296~721mm in 106~231 hours duration. Landslides data were mapped with better accuracy using the geographic information system (ArcGIS 10.6 version) based on the historic landslide records in Chuncheon from the National Disaster Management System (NDMS), the 2013 landslide investigation report, orthographic images, and aerial photographs. Then the landslides were randomly split into a testing dataset (70%; 181 landslides) and validation dataset (30%; 78 landslides). First, geo-environmental variables were analyzed by using FR and EBF functions for the full data. The most significant factors related to landslides were altitude (100~200m), slope (15~25°), concave plan curvature, high SPI, young timber age, loose timber density, small timber diameter, artificial forests, coniferous forests, soil depth (50~100cm), very well-drained area, sandy loam soil and so on. Second, the landslide susceptibility index was calculated by using selected geo-environmental variables. The model fit and prediction performance were evaluated using the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under Curve (AUC) methods. The AUC values of both model fit and prediction performance were 80.5% and 76.3% for FR and 76.6% and 74.9% for EBF respectively. However, the landslide susceptibility index, with classes of 'very high' and 'high', was detected by 73.1% of landslides in the EBF model rather than the FR model (66.7%). Therefore, the EBF can be a promising method for spatial prediction of landslide occurrence, while the FR is still a powerful method for the landslide susceptibility mapping.

Preoperative MRI Features Associated With Axillary Nodal Burden and Disease-Free Survival in Patients With Early-Stage Breast Cancer

  • Junjie Zhang;Zhi Yin;Jianxin Zhang;Ruirui Song;Yanfen Cui;Xiaotang Yang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제25권9호
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    • pp.788-797
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    • 2024
  • Objective: To investigate the potential association among preoperative breast MRI features, axillary nodal burden (ANB), and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with early-stage breast cancer. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 297 patients with early-stage breast cancer (cT1-2N0M0) who underwent preoperative MRI between December 2016 and December 2018. Based on the number of positive axillary lymph nodes (LNs) determined by postoperative pathology, the patients were divided into high nodal burden (HNB; ≥3 positive LNs) and non-HNB (<3 positive LNs) groups. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors associated with ANB. Predictive efficacy was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC). Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to determine preoperative features associated with DFS. Results: We included 47 and 250 patients in the HNB and non-HNB groups, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that multifocality/multicentricity (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 3.905, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.685-9.051, P = 0.001) and peritumoral edema (adjusted OR = 3.734, 95% CI: 1.644-8.479, P = 0.002) were independent risk factors for HNB. Combined peritumoral edema and ultifocality/multicentricity achieved an AUC of 0.760 (95% CI: 0.707-0.807) for predicting HNB, with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.0% and 63.2%, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 45 months (range, 5-61 months), 26 cases (8.75%) of breast cancer recurrence were observed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis indicated that younger age (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 3.166, 95% CI: 1.200-8.352, P = 0.021), larger tumor size (adjusted HR = 4.370, 95% CI: 1.671-11.428, P = 0.002), and multifocality/multicentricity (adjusted HR = 5.059, 95% CI: 2.166-11.818, P < 0.001) were independently associated with DFS. Conclusion: Preoperative breast MRI features may be associated with ANB and DFS in patients with early-stage breast cancer.

니트로글리세린 투여 Tc-99m-MIBI 정량 게이트 심근SPECT를 이용한 관상동맥우회로술 후 심근 기능 회복 예측 (Nitroglycerin-Challenged Tc-99m MIBI Quantitative Gated SPECT to Predict Functional Recovery After Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery)

  • 이동수;김유경;천기정;팽진철;이명묵;김기봉;정준기;이명철
    • 대한핵의학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.278-287
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    • 2003
  • 목적: 생존심근 진단에 있어 니트로글리세린 투여 Tc-99m-MIBI 게이트 심근SPECT의 진단성능을 휴식/지연재분포 Tl-201 심근SPECT와 비교하였다. 대상 및 방법: 22명의 관상동맥질환자에서 Tl-201 휴식/디피리다몰 부하 Tc-99m-MIBI 게이트 지연재분포 Tl-201 심근SPECT를 시행하였다. 이 때 게이트SPECT 시행 후 니트로글리세린 0.6 mg을 설하투여하고 연이어 그 자리에서 게이트SPECT를 1회 더 반복 시행하였다. 환자들에게 관상동맥우회로술을 시행하고 3개월 후 게이트 심근SPECT를 추적검사로 시행하였다. 20 분절 모델을 이용하여 각 분절에서 휴식, 지연재분포, 기저상태와 니트로글리세린투여 후의 심벽운동 및 수축기비후화 등을 정량하였다. 정량화된 생존심근 예측지표들 중, (1) 휴식기 Tl-201 섭취, (2) Tl-201 지연재분포, (3) 기저상태의 수축기비후화, (4) 니트로글리세린 투여 후의 수축 기비후화, 네 가지의 예측성능을 평가하고 비교하였다. 결과: 총 100개의 분절이 분석에 포함되었으며, 이 중 66개(66%)의 분절이 재관류 후 기능 회복을 보였다. 최적 기준점인 50%를 기준으로 하였을 때, ROC 곡선 분석에서 휴식기 Tl-201 섭취와 Tl-201 지연재분포의 민감도, 특이도는 각각 79%와 44%, 그리고 82%와 44%였다. 또한 15%를 기준으로 하여, 기저상태 수축기비후화와 니트로글리세린 투여 후 수축기비후화의 민감도, 특이도는, 각각 49%, 50%와 64%, 65%였다. ROC 곡선의 AUC는 니트로 글리세린 투여 후 수축기비후화가 기저시 수축기비후화에 비하여 유의하게 높았다(p=0.004). 결론: 니트로글리세린 투여 Tc-99m-MIBI 정량적 게이트 심근SPECT는 기능이상 심근에서 기능 회복을 예측하는데 유용한 검사이다.

한국판 역학연구 우울척도 개정판(K-CESD-R)의 표준화 연구 (Validation of the Korean version of Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-Revised(K-CESD-R))

  • 이산;오승택;류소연;전진용;이건석;이은;박진영;이상욱;최원정
    • 정신신체의학
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2016
  • 연구목적 역학연구 우울척도 개정판은 우울 증상을 평가하는 데에 유용성이 입증된 척도로 알려져 있으며 '정신장애의 진단 및 통계 편람 제4판(DSM-IV)'에 기술되어 있는 주요우울장애의 주요한 우울 증상들을 포괄하고 있다. 이 연구에서는 한국판 역학연구 우울척도 개정판을 제작하여 척도의 신뢰도, 타당도와 특성을 평가하고자 하였다. 방 법 DSM-IV의 진단기준에 근거한 MINI를 사용하여 주요우울증, 기분부전증, 달리 분류되지 않는 우울장애로 진단된 48명의 환자군과 48명의 정상 대조군이 연구에 참여하였다. 연구 참여자들은 한국판 역학연구 우울척도 개정판, 몽고메리-아스버그 우울증 평가척도, 우울증 선별척도, 단축형 우울증상 평가 척도, 상태-특성 불안척도를 포함한 척도검사를 시행하여 교차 검증하였다. Cronbach's alpha 계수, Pearson 상관계수, 주성분 분석, Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC) 곡선, 최적 절단점 산출을 위한 통계분석을 시행하였다. 결 과 한국판 역학연구 우울척도의 Cronbach's alpha 계수는 0.98이었으며, 한국판 역학연구 우울척도 개정판의 총점은 본 연구에서 시행하였던 다른 우울 및 불안척도의 점수와 높은 상관 관계를 보였다. 주성분 분석에서는 두 요인이 전체 분산의 76.29%를 설명하였으며, ROC 곡선을 이용하였을 때, 한국판 역학연구 우울척도 개정판의 최적 절단점은 13점이었다. 결 론 본 연구는 한국판 역학연구 우울척도 개정판의 표준화를 위한 첫 번째 연구로, 한국판 역학연구 우울척도는 우울 증상을 평가하는데 있어 신뢰성 있고, 타당한 척도임을 밝혔다. 또한 이 척도가 진료 및 역학 연구에서 유용한 선별검사 도구로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

Circulating Levels of Adipocytokines as Potential Biomarkers for Early Detection of Colorectal Carcinoma in Egyptian Patients

  • Zekri, Abdel-Rahman N;Bakr, Yasser Mabrouk;Ezzat, Maali Mohamed;Zakaria, Mohamed Serag Eldeen;Elbaz, Tamer Mahmoud
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권16호
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    • pp.6923-6928
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    • 2015
  • Background: Early detection of various kinds of cancers nowadays is needed including colorectal cancer due to the highly significant effects in improving cancer treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential value of adiponectin, visfatin and resistin as early biomarkers for colorectal cancer patients. Materials and Methods: Serum levels of adiponectin, visfatin and resistin were measured by a sandwich-enzyme-linked (ELISA) assay technique in 114 serum samples comprising 34 patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), 27 with colonic polyps (CP), 24 with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and 29 healthy controls. The diagnostic accuracy of each serum marker was evaluated using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: The mean concentration of adiponectin was significantly higher in CRC and CP groups than IBD and control groups (P-value <0.05). Also the mean concentration of serum resistin was significantly elevated in the IBD and control groups compared to CRC and CP groups (P-value = 0.014). However, no significant difference was noted in patients of the CRC and CP groups. On the other hand, the mean concentration of visfatin was significantly elevated in CRC and control groups compared to CP and IBD groups (P-value = 0.03). ROC analysis curves for the studied markers revealed that between CRC and IBD groups serum level of adiponectin had a sensitivity of 76.7% and a specificity of 76% at a cut off value of 3940, +LR being 3.2 and -LR 0.31 with AUC 0.852, while serum level of adiponectin between CP and IBD had a sensitivity of 77.8% and a specificity of 75% at a cut off value of 3300, with +LR=3.11 and -LR = 0.3 with AUC 0.852. On the other hand the serum level of visfatin between CRC and CP groups had a sensitivity of 65.5% and a specificity of 66.7 at a cut off value of 2.4, +LR being 1.67 and -LR 0.52 with AUC 0.698. Also the serum level of resistin had a sensitivity of 62.5% and a specificity of 70.3% at a cut off value of 24500, with +LR=2.1 and -LR = 0.53 with AUC 0.685 between control and other groups. On the other hand by comparing control vs CP groups resistin had a sensitivity of 81.8% and a specificity of 70.8% at a cut off value of 17700, with +LR=2.8 and -LR = 0.26 with AUC 0.763 while visfatin had a sensitivity of 68.2% and a specificity of 70.8% at a cut off value of 2.7, with +LR=2.34 and -LR = 0.0.45 with AUC 0.812. Conclusions: These findings support potential roles of adiponectin, visfatin and resistin in early detection of CRC and discrimination of different groups of CRC, CP or IBD patients from normal healthy individuals.

비지도학습 오토 엔코더를 활용한 네트워크 이상 검출 기술 (Network Anomaly Detection Technologies Using Unsupervised Learning AutoEncoders)

  • 강구홍
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.617-629
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    • 2020
  • 인터넷 컴퓨팅 환경의 변화, 새로운 서비스 출현, 그리고 지능화되어 가는 해커들의 다양한 공격으로 인한 규칙 기반 침입탐지시스템의 한계점을 극복하기 위해 기계학습 및 딥러닝 기술을 활용한 네트워크 이상 검출(NAD: Network Anomaly Detection)에 대한 관심이 집중되고 있다. NAD를 위한 대부분의 기존 기계학습 및 딥러닝 기술은 '정상'과 '공격'으로 레이블링된 훈련용 데이터 셋을 학습하는 지도학습 방법을 사용한다. 본 논문에서는 공격의 징후가 없는 일상의 네트워크에서 수집할 수 있는 레이블링이 필요 없는 데이터 셋을 이용하는 비지도학습 오토 엔코더(AE: AutoEncoder)를 활용한 NAD 적용 가능성을 제시한다. AE 성능을 검증하기 위해 NSL-KDD 훈련 및 시험 데이터 셋을 사용해 정확도, 정밀도, 재현율, f1-점수, 그리고 ROC AUC (Receiver Operating Characteristic Area Under Curve) 값을 보인다. 특히 이들 성능지표를 대상으로 AE의 층수, 규제 강도, 그리고 디노이징 효과 등을 분석하여 레퍼런스 모델을 제시하였다. AE의 훈련 데이터 셋에 대한 재생오류 82-th 백분위수를 기준 값으로 KDDTest+와 KDDTest-21 시험 데이터 셋에 대해 90.4%와 89% f1-점수를 각각 보였다.

Preliminary Evaluation of Clinical Utility of CYFRA 21-1, CA 72-4, NSE, CA19-9 and CEA in Stomach Cancer

  • Gwak, Hee Keun;Lee, Jai Hyuen;Park, Seok Gun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.4933-4938
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    • 2014
  • Background: Although various tumor markers have been utilized in management of stomach cancer (SC), only a few reports have described relevance of examples such as CYFRA 21-1 and neuron-specific enolase (NSE). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the potential diagnostic performance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), CA 19-9, CA72-4, CYFRA 21-1 and NSE in patients with SC. Materials and Methods: Ninety-six SC patients with pathologic confirmation between 2012 and 2013 were enrolled. Serum levels of five tumor markers were analyzed using a solid-phase immunoradiometric assay. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted for the five tumor markers to investigate their diagnostic powers and adjusted cutoff values derived from analysis of ROC curves were evaluated to calculate the sensitivity of each for SC with recommended cutoff values. Results: Based on two different cutoff values (recommended and adjusted), CYFRA 21-1 (${\geq}2.0$ and 1.2 ng/ml) had a respective sensitivity of 50% and 78.1%, compared with 8.3% and 18.8% for CEA (${\geq}7.0$ and 3.9 ng/ml), 15.6% and 18.8% for CA 19-9 (${\geq}37$ and 26.7 ng/ml), 28.1% and 9.6% for CA 72-4 (${\geq}4.0$ and 13 ng/ml) and 7.3% and 7.3% for NSE (${\geq}14.7$ and 15.0 ng/ml) in the initial staging of primary SC. The area under the curve (AUC) for CYFRA 21-1, with a value of 0.978 (95% confidence interval, 0.964-0.991) was comparatively the highest. Univariate analysis revealed significant relationships between tumor marker level and lymph node involvement, metastasis and staging with CYFRA 21-1, CA 72-4 and NSE. Conclusions: CYFRA 21-1 was the most sensitive tumor marker and showed the most powerful diagnostic performance among the five SC tumor markers. NSE and CA 72-4 are significantly related to lymph node involvement, metastasis or stage. Further evaluations are warranted to clarify the clinical usefulness and prognostic prediction of these markers in SC.

FDG-PET/CT as prognostic factor and surveillance tool for postoperative radiation recurrence in locally advanced head and neck cancer

  • Kim, Gi-Won;Kim, Yeon-Sil;Han, Eun-Ji;Yoo, Ie-Ryung;Song, Jin-Ho;Lee, Sang-Nam;Lee, Jong-Hoon;Choi, Byung-Oak;Jang, Hong-Seok;Yoon, Sei-Chul
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.243-251
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: To evaluate the prognostic value of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) on initial positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) and investigate the clinical value of SUVmax for early detection of locoregional recurrent disease after postoperative radiotherapy in patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Materials and Methods: A total of 100 patients with locally advanced HNSCC received primary tumor excision and neck dissection followed by adjuvant radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy. The MTV and SUVmax were measured from primary sites and neck nodes. The prognostic value of MTV and SUVmax were assessed using initial staging PET/CT (study A). Follow-up PET/CT scan available after postoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy or radiotherapy were evaluated for the SUVmax value and correlated with locoregional recurrence (study B). A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to define a threshold value of SUVmax with the highest accuracy for recurrent disease assessment. Results: High MTV (>41 mL) is negative prognostic factor for disease free survival (p = 0.041). Postradiation SUVmax was significantly correlated with locoregional recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.812; 95% confidence interval, 1.361 to 2.413; P < 0.001). A cutoff value of 5.38 from follow-up PET/CT was identified as having maximal accuracy for detecting locoregional recurrence by ROC analysis. Conclusion: MTV at staging work-up was significantly associated with disease free survival. The SUVmax value from follow-up PET/CT showed high diagnostic accuracy for the detection of locoregional recurrence in postoperatively irradiated HNSCC.

Performance of the R-way Colposcopic Evaluation System in Cervical Cancer Screening

  • Zhao, Jian;Zhang, Xi;Chen, Rui;Zhao, Yu-Qian;Wang, Ting-Ting;He, Shan;Qiao, You-Lin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.4223-4228
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    • 2015
  • Objective: To investigate the diagnostic value of the R-way colposcopic evaluation system (R-way system) in cervical cancer screening. Materials and Methods: Between August 2013 and August 2014, a total of 1,059 cases referred to colposcopy in Peking University First Hospital were studied using both the R-way system and conventional colposcopy. Our study evaluated and compared the diagnostic ability of the two methods in detecting high-grade lesions and cervical cancer (hereinafter called CIN2+). Evaluation indicators including sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), Youden index and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were calculated. Results: The R-way system had a slightly lower specificity (94.5%) than conventional colposcopy (96.0%) for CIN2+ detection (P=0.181). However, the sensitivity (77.8%) was significantly higher than with the conventional colposcopic method (46.6%) (${\chi}^2=64.351$, P<0.001). In addition, the AUC of the ROC for CIN2+ detection using the R-way system (0.839) was larger than that with conventional colposcopy (0.731) (Z=4.348, P<0.001). If preliminary result had been drawn from cervical exfoliated cytology before colposcopy referral, combination of the R-way system with cytology could increase the sensitivity to 93.9% for CIN2+ detection (excluding ASCUS\LSIL), confirmed by multipoint biopsy or ECC. Conclusions: The diagnostic value of the R-way evaluation system is higher than that of conventional colposcopic evaluation in cervical cancer screening. Moreover, taking the ease of use and standardized quality control management into account, the R-way system is highly preferable.