• Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.559-566
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• 2004

In general, the certainty factors of the fuzzy production rules and the certainty factors of fuzzy propositions appearing in the rules are represented by real values between zero and one. If it can allow the certainty factors of the fuzzy production rules and the certainty factors of fuzzy propositions to be represented by interval -valued fuzzy sets, then it can allow the reasoning of rule-based systems to perform fuzzy reasoning in more flexible manner. This paper presents fuzzy Petri nets and proposes an interval-valued fuzzy backward reasoning algorithm for rule-based systems based on fuzzy Petri nets Fuzzy Petri nets model the fuzzy production rules in the knowledge base of a rule-based system, where the certainty factors of the fuzzy propositions appearing in the fuzzy production rules and the certainty factors of the rules are represented by interval-valued fuzzy sets. The algorithm we proposed generates the backward reasoning path from the goal node to the initial nodes and then evaluates the certainty factor of the goal node. The proposed interval-valued fuzzy backward reasoning algorithm can allow the rule-based systems to perform fuzzy backward reasoning in a more flexible and human-like manner.

• Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.791-810
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• 2017

This study explored the possibility of using visual models in teaching proportional reasoning based on the review of previous studies. Many studies on proportional reasoning emphasize that students tend to simply apply formal procedures without understanding the meaning behind them and that using visual models may be an alternative to help students develop informal strategies and proportional reasoning. Given these, we re-constructed and implemented the unit of a textbook to teach sixth graders proportional reasoning with ratio table, double number line, and double tape diagram. The results of this study showed that such visual models helped students understand the meaning of proportion, explore the properties of proportion, and solve proportional problems. However, several difficulties that students experienced in using the visual models led us to suggest cautionary notes when to teach proportional reasoning with visual models. As such, this study is expected to provide empirical information for textbook developers and teachers who teach proportional reasoning with visual models.

• Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.23-49
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• 2017

This study examined two current learning models for covariational reasoning(Carlson et al.(2002), Thompson, & Carlson(2017)), applied the models to teaching two $9^{th}$ grade students, and analyzed the results according to the types of graphs(a quantitative graph or qualitative graph). Results showed that the model of Thompson and Carlson(2017) was more useful than that of Carlson et al.(2002) in figuring out the students' levels in their quantitative graphing activities. Applying Carlson et al.(2002)'s model made it possible to classify levels of the students in their qualitative graphs. The results of this study suggest that not only quantitative understanding but also qualitative understanding is important in investigating students' covariational reasoning levels. The model of Thompson and Carlson(2017) reveals more various aspects in exploring students' levels of quantitative understanding, and the model of Carlson et al.(2002) revealing more of qualitative understanding.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.51-60
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• 2006

The goal of qualitative analysis is to capture and formalize qualitative and intuitive knowledge about physical world. Qualitative reasoning has been successfully applied to electric and mechanical mechanism domains, in which most of reasoning has focused on simulation. This paper introduces a qualitative comparative analysis technique which predicts how a change in a given situation propagates. We developed a comparative analysis technique which extends previous research by including a reasoning technique about the relative rate of the change of a parameter. Previous research focuses only on the relative change of a parameter. Causal model for the given situation is generated from qualitative domain model. The propagation by the change in causal relations are traced by applying our comparative analysis. By providing explanation as well as prediction for the given change, our technique is expected to be used in design, diagnosis, intelligent tutoring system, environmental evaluation.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.42-52
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• 2013

The aim of this study is to present a prediction model of construction cost for a bridge that has a high reliability using historical data from the planning phase based on a CBR (Case-Based Reasoning) method in order to overcome limitations of existing construction cost prediction methods, which is linearly estimated. To do this, a reasoning model of bridge construction cost by a spreadsheet template was suggested using complexly both CBR and GA (Genetic Algorithm). Besides, this study performed a case study to verify the suggested cost reasoning model for bridge construction projects. Measuring efficiency for a result of the case study was 8.69% on average. Since accuracy of the suggested prediction cost is relatively high compared to the other analysis methods for a prediction of construction cost, reliability of the suggested model was secured. In the case that information for detailed specifications of each bridge type in an initial design phase is difficult to be collected, the suggested model is able to predict the bridge construction cost within the minimized measuring efficiency with only the representative specifications for bridges as an improved correction method. Therefore, it is expected that the model will be used to estimate a reasonable construction cost for a bridge project.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.641-651
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• 2003

This study suggests the hybrid models for interest rate forecasting using structural changes (or change points). The basic concept of this proposed model is to obtain significant intervals caused by change points, to identify them as the change-point groups, and to reflect them in interest rate forecasting. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in the U. S. Treasury bill rate dataset. The second phase is to forecast the change-point groups with data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast interest rates with backpropagation neural networks (BPN). Based on this structure, we propose three hybrid models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported model, (2) case-based reasoning (CBR)-supported model, and (3) BPN-supported model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. For interest rate forecasting, this study then examines the prediction ability of hybrid models to reflect the structural change.

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.135-149
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose the high-risk group detection model for patients with high blood pressure using case-based reasoning. The proposed model can be applied for public health maintenance organizations to effectively manage knowledge related to high blood pressure and efficiently allocate limited health care resources. Especially, the focus is on the development of the model that can handle constraints such as managing large volume of data, enabling the automatic learning to adapt to external environmental changes and operating the system on a real-time basis. Using real data collected from local public health centers, the optimal high-risk group detection model was derived incorporating optimal parameter sets. The results of the performance test for the model using test data show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is two times better than the natural risk of high blood pressure.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.57-72
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• 2003

This article provides integrated neural network models for the interest rate forecasting using change-point detection. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in interest rate dataset. The second phase is to forecast change-point group with data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast the interest rate with BPN. Based on this structure, we propose three integrated neural network models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported neural network model, (2) case based reasoning (CBR)-supported neural network model and (3) backpropagation neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. For interest rate forecasting, this study then examines the predictability of integrated neural network models to represent the structural change.

• Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.193-204
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• 1990

This paper discusses a reasoning model of information retrieval with a hierarchical thesaurus.The model computes the conceptual distance between a query and an object,both are indexed with weighted terms from a hierarchical thesaurus. The proposed model allows Boolean operators for user queries and edge weights for a hierarchical thesaurus. Experimental results have shown that the proposed model simulates, with surprising accuracy, people in the assessment of conceptual closeness between queries objects.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.1 no.1 s.1
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• pp.107-111
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• 2005

When a pedagogical agent system aims to provide students with interactive help, it needs to know what knowledge the student has and what goals the student is currently trying to achieve. That is, it must do both assessment and plan recognition. These modeling tasks involve a high level of uncertainty when students are allowed to follow various lines of reasoning and are not required to show all their reasoning explicitly. In this paper, the student model for interactive edutainment applications is proposed. This model is based on Bayesian Networks to expose constructs and parameters of rules and propositions pertaining to game and problem solving activities. This student model could be utilized as the emotion generation model for student and agent as well.