• Title/Summary/Keyword: real-time modeling prediction

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PREDICTION OF EMISSIONS USING COMBUSTION PARAMETERS IN A DIESEL ENGINE FITTED WITH CERAMIC FOAM DIESEL PARTICULATE FILTER THROUGH ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK TECHNIQUES

  • BOSE N.;RAGHAVAN I.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2005
  • Diesel engines have low specific fuel consumption, but high particulate emissions, mainly soot. Diesel soot is suspected to have significant effects on the health of living beings and might also affect global warming. Hence stringent measures have been put in place in a number of countries and will be even stronger in the near future. Diesel engines require either advanced integrated exhaust after treatment systems or modified engine models to meet the statutory norms. Experimental analysis to study the emission characteristics is a time consuming affair. In such situations, the real picture of engine control can be obtained by the modeling of trend prediction. In this article, an effort has been made to predict emissions smoke and NO$_{x}$ using cylinder combustion derived parameters and diesel particulate filter data, with artificial neural network techniques in MATLAB environment. The model is based on three layer neural network with a back propagation learning algorithm. The training and test data of emissions were collected from experimental set up in the laboratory for different loads. The network is trained to predict the values of emission with training values. Regression analysis between test and predicted value from neural network shows least error. This approach helps in the reduction of the experimentation required to determine the smoke and NO$_{x}$ for the catalyst coated filters.

A Prony Method Based on Discrete Fourier Transform for Estimation- of Oscillation Mode in Power Systems (이산푸리에변환에 기초한 Prony 법과 전력계통의 진동모드 추정)

  • Nam Hae-Kon;Shim Kwan-Shik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.293-305
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    • 2005
  • This paper describes an improved Prony method in its speed, accuracy and reliability by efficiently determining the optimal sampling interval with use of DFT (discrete Fourier transformation). In the Prony method the computation time is dominated by the size of the linear prediction matrix, which is given by the number of data times the modeling order The size of the matrix in a general Prony method becomes large because of large number of data and so does the computation time. It is found that the Prony method produces satisfactory results when SNR is greater than three. The maximum sampling interval resulting minimum computation time is determined using the fact that the spectrum in DFT is inversely proportional to sampling interval. Also the process of computing the modes is made efficient by applying Hessenberg method to the companion matrix with complex shift and computing selectively only the dominant modes of interest. The proposed method is tested against the 2003 KEPCO system and found to be efficient and reliable. The proposed method may play a key role in monitoring in real time low frequency oscillations of power systems .

A Comparison Study of Forecasting Time Series Models for the Harmful Gas Emission (유해가스 배출량에 대한 시계열 예측 모형의 비교연구)

  • Jang, Moonsoo;Heo, Yoseob;Chung, Hyunsang;Park, Soyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.323-331
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    • 2021
  • With global warming and pollution problems, accurate forecasting of the harmful gases would be an essential alarm in our life. In this paper, we forecast the emission of the five gases(SOx, NO2, NH3, H2S, CH4) using the time series model of ARIMA, the learning algorithms of Random forest, and LSTM. We find that the gas emission data depends on the short-term memory and behaves like a random walk. As a result, we compare the RMSE, MAE, and MAPE as the measure of the prediction performance under the same conditions given to three models. We find that ARIMA forecasts the gas emissions more precisely than the other two learning-based methods. Besides, the ARIMA model is more suitable for the real-time forecasts of gas emissions because it is faster for modeling than the two learning algorithms.

A Study on Dual Response Approach Combining Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm (인공신경망과 유전알고리즘 기반의 쌍대반응표면분석에 관한 연구)

  • Arungpadang, Tritiya R.;Kim, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.361-366
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    • 2013
  • Prediction of process parameters is very important in parameter design. If predictions are fairly accurate, the quality improvement process will be useful to save time and reduce cost. The concept of dual response approach based on response surface methodology has widely been investigated. Dual response approach may take advantages of optimization modeling for finding optimum setting of input factor by separately modeling mean and variance responses. This study proposes an alternative dual response approach based on machine learning techniques instead of statistical analysis tools. A hybrid neural network-genetic algorithm has been proposed for the purpose of parameter design. A neural network is first constructed to model the relationship between responses and input factors. Mean and variance responses correspond to output nodes while input factors are used for input nodes. Using empirical process data, process parameters can be predicted without performing real experimentations. A genetic algorithm is then applied to find the optimum settings of input factors, where the neural network is used to evaluate the mean and variance response. A drug formulation example from pharmaceutical industry has been studied to demonstrate the procedures and applicability of the proposed approach.

Diameter Evaluation for PHWR Pressure Tube Based on the Measured Data (측정 데이터 기반 중수로 압력관 직경평가 방법론 개발)

  • Jong Yeob Jung;Sunil Nijhawan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2023
  • Pressure tubes are the main components of PHWR core and serve as the pressure boundary of the primary heat transport system. However, because pressure tubes have changed their geometrical dimensions under the severe operating conditions of high temperature, high pressure and neutron irradiation according to the increase of operation time, all dimensional changes should be predicted to ensure that dimensions remain within the allowable design ranges during the operation. Among the deformations, the diameter expansion due to creep leads to the increase of bypass flow which may not contribute to the fuel cooling, the decrease of critical channel power and finally the deration of the power to maintain the operational safety margin. This study is focused on the modeling of the expansion of the pressure tube diameter based on the operating conditions and measured diameter data. The pressure tube diameter expansion was modeled using the neutron flux and temperature distributions of each fuel channel and each fuel bundle as well as the measured diameter data. Although the basic concept of the current modeling approach is simple, the diameter prediction results using the developed methodology showed very good agreement with the real data, compared to the existing methodology.

Integrative Modeling of Wireless RF Links for Train-to-Wayside Communication in Railway Tunnel

  • Pu, Shi;Hao, Jian-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2012
  • In railway tunnel environment, the reliability of a high-data-rate and real-time train-to-wayside communication should be maintained especially when high-speed train moves along the track. In China and Europe, the communication frequency around 900 MHz is widely used for railway applications. At this carrier frequency band, both of the solutions based on continuously laid leaky coaxial cable (LCX) and discretely installed base-station antennas (BSAs), are applied in tunnel radio coverage. Many available works have concentrated on the radio-wave propagation in tunnels by different kinds of prediction models. Most of them solve this problem as natural propagation in a relatively large hollow waveguide, by neglecting the transmitting/receiving (Tx/Rx) components. However, within such confined areas like railway tunnels especially loaded with train, the complex communication environment becomes an important factor that would affect the quality of the signal transmission. This paper will apply a full-wave numerical method to this case, for considering the BSA or LCX, train antennas and their interacted environments, such as the locomotive body, overhead line for power supply, locomotive pantograph, steel rails, ballastless track, tunnel walls, etc.. Involving finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) method and uni-axial anisotropic perfectly matched layer (UPML) technique, the entire wireless RF downlinks of BSA and LCX to tunnel space to train antenna are precisely modeled (so-called integrative modeling technique, IMT). When exciting the BSA and LCX separately, the field distributions of some cross-sections in a rectangular tunnel are presented. It can be found that the influence of the locomotive body and other tunnel environments is very significant. The field coverage on the locomotive roof plane where the train antennas mounted, seems more homogenous when the side-laying position of the BSA or LCX is much higher. Also, much smoother field coverage solution is achieved by choosing LCX for its characteristic of more homogenous electromagnetic wave radiation.

Incipient Fault Detection of Reactive Ion Etching Process

  • Hong, Sang-Jeen;Park, Jae-Hyun;Han, Seung-Soo
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.262-271
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    • 2005
  • In order to achieve timely and accurate fault detection of plasma etching process, neural network based time series modeling has been applied to reactive ion etching (RIE) using two different in-situ plasma-monitoring sensors called optical emission spectroscopy (OES) and residual gas analyzer (RGA). Four different subsystems of RIE (such as RF power, chamber pressure, and two gas flows) were considered as potential sources of fault, and multiple degrees of faults were tested. OES and RGA data were simultaneously collected while the etching of benzocyclobutene (BCB) in a $SF_6/O_2$ plasma was taking place. To simulate established TSNNs as incipient fault detectors, each TSNN was trained to learn the parameters at t, t+T, ... , and t+4T. This prediction scheme could effectively compensate run-time-delay (RTD) caused by data preprocessing and computation. Satisfying results are presented in this paper, and it turned out that OES is more sensitive to RF power and RGA is to chamber pressure and gas flows. Therefore, the combination of these two sensors is recommended for better fault detection, and they show a potential to the applications of not only incipient fault detection but also incipient real-time diagnosis.

A Study On Intelligent Robot Control Based On Voice Recognition For Smart FA (스마트 FA를 위한 음성인식 지능로봇제어에 관한 연구)

  • Sim, H.S.;Kim, M.S.;Choi, M.H.;Bae, H.Y.;Kim, H.J.;Kim, D.B.;Han, S.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2018
  • This Study Propose A New Approach To Impliment A Intelligent Robot Control Based on Voice Recognition For Smart Factory Automation Since human usually communicate each other by voices, it is very convenient if voice is used to command humanoid robots or the other type robot system. A lot of researches has been performed about voice recognition systems for this purpose. Hidden Markov Model is a robust statistical methodology for efficient voice recognition in noise environments. It has being tested in a wide range of applications. A prediction approach traditionally applied for the text compression and coding, Prediction by Partial Matching which is a finite-context statistical modeling technique and can predict the next characters based on the context, has shown a great potential in developing novel solutions to several language modeling problems in speech recognition. It was illustrated the reliability of voice recognition by experiments for humanoid robot with 26 joints as the purpose of application to the manufacturing process.

Simulations of Temporal and Spatial Distributions of Rainfall-Induced Turbidity Flow in a Reservoir Using CE-QUAL-W2 (CE-QUAL-W2 모형을 이용한 저수지 탁수의 시공간분포 모의)

  • Chung, Se-Woong;Oh, Jung-Kuk;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.8 s.157
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    • pp.655-664
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    • 2005
  • A real-time monitoring and modeling system (RTMMS) for rainfall-induced turbidity flow, which is one of the major obstacles for sustainable use of reservoir water resources, is under development. As a prediction model for the RTMMS, a laterally integrated two-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model, CE-QUAL-W2 was tested by simulating the temperature stratification, density flow regimes, and temporal and spatial distributions of turbidity in a reservoir. The inflow water temperature and turbidity measured every hour during the flood season of 2004 were used as the boundary conditions. The monitoring data showed that inflow water temperature drop by 5 to $10^{\circ}C$ during rainfall events in summer, and consequently resulted in the development of density flow regimes such as plunge flow and interflow in the reservoir. The model showed relatively satisfactory performance in replicating the water temperature profiles and turbidity distributions, although considerable discrepancies were partially detected between observed and simulated results. The model was either very efficient in computation as the CPU run time to simulate the whole flood season took only 4 minutes with a Pentium 4(CPU 2.0GHz) desktop computer, which is essentially requited for real-time modeling of turbidity plume.

Improvement of Atmospheric Dispersion Model Performance by Pretreatment of Dispersion Coefficients (분산계수의 전처리에 의한 대기분산모델 성능의 개선)

  • Park, Ok-Hyun;Kim, Gyung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.449-456
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    • 2007
  • Dispersion coefficient preprocessing schemes have been examined to improve plume dispersion model performance in complex coastal areas. The performances of various schemes for constructing the sigma correction order were evaluated through estimations of statistical measures, such as bias, gross error, R, FB, NMSE, within FAC2, MG, VG, IOA, UAPC and MRE. This was undertaken for the results of dispersion modeling, which applied each scheme. Environmental factors such as sampling time, surface roughness, plume rising, plume height and terrain rolling were considered in this study. Gaussian plume dispersion model was used to calculate 1 hr $SO_2$ concentration 4 km downwind from a power plant in Boryeung coastal area. Here, measured data for January to December of 2002 were obtained so that modelling results could be compared. To compare the performances between various schemes, integrated scores of statistical measures were obtained by giving weights for each measure and then summing each score. This was done because each statistical measure has its own function and criteria; as a result, no measure can be taken as a sole index indicative of the performance level for each modeling scheme. The best preprocessing scheme was discerned using the step-wise method. The most significant factor influencing the magnitude of real dispersion coefficients appeared to be sampling time. A second significant factor appeared to be surface roughness, with the rolling terrain being the least significant for elevated sources in a gently rolling terrain. The best sequence of correcting the sigma from P-G scheme was found to be the combination of (1) sampling time, (2) surface roughness, (3) plume rising, (4) plume height, and (5) terrain rolling.