• Title/Summary/Keyword: rare events

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Analysing the Impact of New Risks on Maritime Safety in Korea Using Historical Accident Data (사고기록 데이터를 이용하여 국내 해상안전에 새로운 위기가 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Park, Deuk-Jin;Park, Seong-Bug;Yang, Hyeong-Sun;Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.791-799
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this work is to analyse the impact of new accident risks on maritime safety in Korea. The new accident risks have been induced from new/rare or unprecedented events in world maritime transportation, as identified by 46 experts in the previous study. To measure the impact of these new accident risks on maritime safety in Korea, the statistical accident data reported by the Korean Maritime Safety Tribunals (KMST) has been used for calculation, and the concept of Risk Index (RI) = Frequency Index (FI) + Severity Index (SI)established in a Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) by the IMO has also been introduced. After calculating two kinds of weight for FI and SI from the statistical accident data, high ranked scenarios were identified and their relationships between new risks and these scenarios were analysed. The results from this analysis showed, the root cause of the top-ranked scenario to be "developing high technology", which leads to "shorten cargo handling time". These results differed from optimum RCOs such as "business competition" and "crewing problems" which were identified in the previous study.

Cooperative Experimental Study on Deck Wettings for the S-175 Container Ship Model (S-175 콘테이너 모형선의 갑판침수현상에 대한 공동 조사연구)

  • Kwang-June Bai;Do-Chun Hong;Seok-Won Hong;Sa-Young Hong;Deuk-Joon Yum;In-Kyu Park
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 1992
  • The Seakeeping committee of Korea Towing Tank Conference executed the cooperative experimental study on deck wetting phenomena using S-175 contatiner model ships. Two members, Korea Research Institute of Ships and Ocean Engineering(KRISO) and Hyundai Maritime Research Institute(HMRI) participated in the study. This study was initiated by the ITTC(International Towing Tank Conference) Seakeeping Committee as the cooperative study of the 19th ITTC aiming at the establishement of the model test procedure on the deck wetting phenomena. Special emphasis was made on the determination of reliable record length for experimental measurement on rarely occurring events(such as deck wetness, slamming etc). Comparisons were made on both the test results and the test procedrues in this research. The measured frequencies of deck wetting show remarkable deviations between the runs. This fart implies that sufficiently long record length is required in the deck wetness measurement compared to the conventional ship motion tests. Careful considerations were made on the physical interpretation of the deck wetting phenomena, the correlation between the measured relative motion at stemhead and the measured deck wetness, and the estimation of deck wetting frequencies by Poisson process.

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Lower the Detection Limits of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry

  • John A., Eliades;Song, Jong-Han;Kim, Jun-Gon;Kim, Jae-Yeol;O, Jong-Ju;Kim, Jong-Chan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2013.02a
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    • pp.243-244
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    • 2013
  • Over the past 15 years, several groups have incorporated radio-frequency quadrupole (RFQ) based instruments before the accelerator in accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) systems for ion-gas interactions at low kinetic energy (<40 eV). Most AMS systems arebased on a tandem accelerator, which requires negative ions at injection. Typically, AMS sensitivity abundance ratios for radioactive-to-stable isotope are limited to Xr/Xs >10^-15, and the range of isotopes that can be analyzed is limited because of theneed to produce rather large negative ion beams and the presence of atomic isobaric interferences after stripping. The potential of using low-kinetic energy ion-gas interactions for isobar suppression before the accelerator has been demonstrated for several negative ion isobar systems with a prototype RFQ system incorporated into the AMS system at IsoTrace Laboratory, Canada (Ontario, Toronto). Requisite for any such RFQ system applied to very rare isotope analysis is large transmission of the analyte ion. This requires proper phase-space matching between the RFQ acceptance and the ion beam phase space (e.g. 35 keV, ${\varphi}3mm$, +-35 mrad), and the ability to control the average ion energy during interactions with the gas. A segmented RFQ instrument is currently being designed at Korea Institute for Science and Technology (한국과학기술연구원, KIST). It will consist of: a) an initial static voltage electrode deceleration region, to lower the ion energy from 35 keV down to <40 eV at injection into the first RFQ segment; b) the segmented quadrupole ion-gas interaction region; c) a static voltage electrode re-acceleration region for ion injection into a tandem accelerator. Design considerations and modeling will be discussed. This system should greatly lower the detection limits of the 6 MV AMS system currently being commissioned at KIST. As an example, current detection sensitivity of 41Ca/Ca is limited to the order of 10^-15 while the 41Ca/Ca abundance in modern samples is typically 41Ca/Ca~10^-14 - 10^-15. The major atomic isobaric interference in AMS is 41K. Proof-of-principal work at IsoTrace Lab. has demonstrated that a properly designed system can achieve a relative suppression of KF3-/41CaF3- >4 orders of magnitude while maintaining very high transmission of the 41CaF3- ion. This would lower the 41Ca detection limits of the KIST AMS system to at least 41Ca/Ca~10^-19. As Ca is found in bones and shells, this would potentially allow direct dating of valuable anthropological archives and archives relevant to our understanding of the most pronounced climate change events over the past million years that cannot be directly dated with the presently accessible isotopes.

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The Cinereous Vulture, Aegypius monachus: Cannibalism in its Wintering Ground (월동지에서 독수리(Aegypius monachus)의 카니발리즘)

  • Kang, Seung Gu
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.256-260
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    • 2018
  • Cannibalism is a widely observed phenomenon in the animal kingdom. However, it is rarely found among birds outside nests in the wild because it occurs irregularly and it is almost impossible to monitor animal behavior constantly. On 17 January 2017, this behavior was directly observed from a group of vultures feeding on a conspecific in a paddy field near Lake Geumho in Haenam-gun ($34^{\circ}35^{\prime}58.25^{{\prime}{\prime}}N$, $126^{\circ}26^{\prime}57.64^{{\prime}{\prime}}E$). It was observed and recorded with the binoculars and a camera with a telephoto lens in a car approximately 20 m (or 60 m) away from the site. The observer approached the feeding site after the last vulture had finished feeding and flown away and found remains of a vulture, including body feathers, skull, sterna keel, and both legs. It was the first report of cannibalism in Cinereous vulture Aegypius monachus in its overwintering grounds. The remaining skeleton was very fleshy, and the surrounding grass was wet with the blood of vulture. No other traces of a mammal or bird that could have been the vultures' prey were found. This report provides a detailed account of the events related to this rare observation and the causes that might have led to it.

Development of the EMC-based Empirical Model for Estimating Pollutant Loads from Small Agricultural Watersheds (농촌 소유역에서 EMC를 이용한 오염물질 부하량 산정기법의 개발)

  • Kim, Young-Chul;Kim, Geon-Ha;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.691-703
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, a new and integrated approach easily used to calculate the pollutant loads from agricultural watersheds is suggested. Basic concepts of this empirical tool are based on the hypotheses that variations in event mean concentrations(EMCs) of the pollutants from a given agricultural watershed during rainstorms are only due to the rainfall pattern. This assumption would be feasible to agricultural watersheds whose land uses does not change during the cultivation period overlapped by rainy season and also in which point-sources of the pollutants are rare. Therefore, if EMC data sets through extensive sampling from various rural areas are available, it is possible to establish relationships between EMCs, shapes and land uses of the watersheds, and rainfall events. For this purpose, fifty one sets of EMC values were obtained from nine different watersheds, and those data were used to develop predictive tools for the EMCs of 55, COD, TN and TP in rainfall runoff. The results of the statistical tests for those formulas show that they are not only fairly good in predicting actual EMC values of some parameters, but also useful in terms of calculating pollutant loads on any time-spans such as the day of rainfall event or weekly, monthly, and yearly. Their applicability was briefly demonstrated and discussed. Also, the unit loads calculated from EMCs based on different land uses and real rainfall data over one of the watershed used for this study. were provided, and they are compared with other well-known unit loads.

Cytogenetic Analysis in Korean Head and Neck Cancer Cell Lines: Comparative Genomic Hybridization(CGH) and Array-CGH (두경부 편평상피세포암 세포주의 염색체 이상 분석: 비교유전체보합법과 Array 비교유전체보합법)

  • Shin, You-Ree;Park, Soo-Yeun;Lee, Dong-Wook;Kim, Han-Su;Go, Young-Min;Park, Hyun-Joo;Choung, Sung-Min
    • Korean Journal of Head & Neck Oncology
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2008
  • Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma(HNSCC) is notorious for its poor outcome and increasing incidence. But, the studies of cytogenetic analysis in HNSCC are relatively rare, because of difficulties in culturing solid tumor cells and complexity in chromosomal DNA abberations associated with the lesions. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the location of chromosomal aberrations in Korean HNSCC cell lines (SNU-1041, 1066, and 1076) with comparative genomic hybridization(CGH) and array based CGH(array-CGH). Chromosomal gains of 3q23-q27, 5p13-p15.3, 7p21-pter, 8q11.2-q12, 8q21.1-qter, 9q22-q34, 16q22-q24, and 20q11.2-qter, as well as chromosomal losses on 3p10-p14 were found in all 3 SNU cell lines. Losses on 3p15- p23, 4q22-q27, 4q31.3-qter, 6q14-q15, 7q31-q34, 8p12-pter, 18q21-q23, and 21q11.2-q12 were observed in 2 of 3 cell lines. In array-CGH, many genes were altered including gains of PIK3CA, MYC, EVI1, MAD1L1 genes and losses of SERPIN genes. These aberrations of gene and chromosome coincide with other results of study, generally. These data about the patterns of chromosomal aberrations could be a basic step for understanding more detailed genetic events in the carcinogenesis and also provide information for diagosis and treatment in HNSCC.

Prognostic significance of non-chest pain symptoms in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

  • Kim, Inna;Kim, Min Chul;Park, Keun Ho;Sim, Doo Sun;Hong, Young Joon;Kim, Ju Han;Jeong, Myung Ho;Cho, Jeong Gwan;Park, Jong Chun;Cho, Myeong Chan;Kim, Jong Jin;Kim, Young Jo;Ahn, Youngkeun
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.1111-1118
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    • 2018
  • Background/Aims: Chest pain is an essential symptom in the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). One-third of patients with ACS present atypically, which can influence their receiving timely lifesaving therapy. Methods: A total of 617 NSTEMI patients from the Korea Acute MI Registry (KAMIR) and the Korea Working Group on MI (KorMI) databases were analyzed. The study population was divided into two groups by symptoms at presentation (typical symptoms group, 128; atypical symptoms groups, 128). Results: In this study population, 23% of patients presented without chest pain. After propensity score matching, the contact-to-device time ($2,618{\pm}381minutes$ vs. $1,739{\pm}241minutes$, p = 0.050), the symptoms-to-balloon time ($3,426{\pm}389minutes$ vs. $2,366{\pm}255minutes$, p = 0.024), and the door-to-balloon time ($2,339{\pm}380minutes$ vs. $1,544{\pm}244minutes$, p = 0.002) were significantly higher in the patients with atypical symptoms than in those with typical symptoms, respectively. Atypical symptoms were an independent predictor for 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 2.820; 95% confidence interval, 1.058 to 7.515; p = 0.038). The Kaplan-Meier estimates showed higher risk for 12-month mortality in patients with atypical symptoms (p = 0.048) and no significant difference for 12-month major adverse cardiac events (p = 0.487). Conclusions: Acute myocardial infarction patients with atypical symptoms were not rare in clinical practice and showed a high risk of delayed reperfusion therapy. After imbalance between the groups was minimized by use of propensity score matching, patients who presented atypically had a high mortality rate.

Risk Factors of Allogenous Bone Graft Collapse in Two-Level Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion

  • Woo, Joon-Bum;Son, Dong-Wuk;Lee, Su-Hun;Lee, Jun-Seok;Lee, Sang Weon;Song, Geun Sung
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.450-457
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    • 2019
  • Objective : Anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) is commonly used surgical procedure for cervical degenerative disease. Among the various intervertebral spacers, the use of allografts is increasing due to its advantages such as no harvest site complications and low rate of subsidence. Although subsidence is a rare complication, graft collapse is often observed in the follow-up period. Graft collapse is defined as a significant graft height loss without subsidence, which can lead to clinical deterioration due to foraminal re-stenosis or segmental kyphosis. However, studies about the collapse of allografts are very limited. In this study, we evaluated risk factors associated with graft collapse. Methods : We retrospectively reviewed 33 patients who underwent two level ACDF with anterior plating using allogenous bone graft from January 2013 to June 2017. Various factors related to cervical sagittal alignment were measured preoperatively (PRE), postoperatively (POST), and last follow-up. The collapse was defined as the ratio of decrement from POST disc height to follow-up disc height. We also defined significant collapses as disc heights that were decreased by 30% or more after surgery. The intraoperative distraction was defined as the ratio of increment from PRE disc height to POST disc height. Results : The subsidence rate was 4.5% and graft collapse rate was 28.8%. The pseudarthrosis rate was 16.7% and there was no association between pseudarthrosis and graft collapse. Among the collapse-related risk factors, pre-operative segmental angle (p=0.047) and intra-operative distraction (p=0.003) were significantly related to allograft collapse. The cut-off value of intraoperative distraction ${\geq}37.3%$ was significantly associated with collapse (p=0.009; odds ratio, 4.622; 95% confidence interval, 1.470-14.531). The average time of events were as follows: collapse, $5.8{\pm}5.7months$; subsidence, $0.99{\pm}0.50months$; and instrument failure, $9.13{\pm}0.50months$. Conclusion : We experienced a higher frequency rate of collapse than subsidence in ACDF using an allograft. Of the various preoperative factors, intra-operative distraction was the most predictable factor of the allograft collapse. This was especially true when the intraoperative distraction was more than 37%, in which case the occurrence of graft collapse increased 4.6 times. We also found that instrument failure occurs only after the allograft collapse.

Effects of Vegetation Recovery for Surface Runoff and Soil Erosion in Burned Mountains, Yangyang (양양 산불지역 지표유출 및 토양침식에 대한 식생회복의 영향)

  • Shin, Seung Sook;Park, Sang Deog;Cho, Jae Woong;Lee, Kyu Song
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4B
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2008
  • While characteristics of topography, soil, and vegetation coverage were surveyed, also surface runoff and soil erosion for each rainfall event were measured to analyze effect of change of land cover conditions in mountain areas, Yangyang, directly after wildfire. Fifteen rainfall events were taken in total during the survey period. The result of this survey appeared that the amount of surface runoff and soil erosion are a great difference between plots with rapidly recovered vegetation and bare plots after wildfire. The burned plots where vegetation recovered rapidly generated two times or more of surface runoff and soil erosion than control plots, as burned plots with bare soil showed about ten times of surface runoff and sediment than control plots. The result of correlation analysis between main parameters of the surface runoff and soil erosion presented that rainfall factors and vegetation factors had significant effects on runoff and soil erosion. The sensitivity of runoff and soil erosion showed specially high correlation with vegetation indices. If the land surface disturbed by wildfire are recovered by natural vegetation as time passes, runoff and soil erosion may be decreased gradually. Because runoff and soil erosion in the areas with rare vegetation or bare soil are generated continuously, the discriminated mediation strategies would be established as condition of each region.

Correlation of Nonpoint Pollutant and Particulate Matters at a Small Suburban Area (비시가화지역에서 비점오염물질과 입자성물질의 유출 상관성)

  • Park, Ji-Young;Bae, Sang-Ho;Yoon, Young-H.;Lim, Hyun-Man;Park, Jae-Roh;Oh, Hyun-Je;Kim, Weon-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.720-728
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    • 2012
  • In general, nonpoint pollutant of a watershed is drained out in the form of storm water runoff during rainfall events. As the bulk of the nonpoint pollutant is in adsorbed form on particulate matters, in order to understand the behavior of nonpoint pollutant it is essential to grasp the characteristics of particulate matters in rainfall runoff. Though, previous studies for the relationship between the runoff characteristics of pollutants and the size distribution of particulate matters are very rare. In this study, a small non-urbanized area (basin area of 52.8 ha) with various landuse types including paddy, dry fields and forest was selected and investigated in detail for the runoff properties of each pollutant during several rainfall events. The correlation and effects between particulate matters and nonpoint pollutant were analyzed quantitatively. As a result, the significant first flush was observed on each event and it became clear that fine particulate matters ($80{\mu}m$ or less) has contributed in the runoff process of nutrients and heavy metals. Organic matters ($BOD_5$, TOC), nutrients (TN, TP) and several heavy metals (Al, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg and Zn) represented high correlations with SS (total), VSS, SS (d < $20{\mu}m$) and SS ($20{\mu}m$ $$\leq_-$$ d < $80{\mu}m$). On the other hand, $COD_{cr}$, Cd, Mn and Pb did not show clear correlations with the behavior of particulate matters. Therefore, we have to examine the introduction of nonpoint pollution mitigation facilities considering the facts that nonpoint pollutant runoff process has high correlation with the behavior of particulate matters and is changeable based on the target pollutants.