• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제70권1호
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• pp.81-96
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• 2019

In this paper, a hybrid uncertain model is applied to system reliability based design optimization (RBDO) of trusses. All random variables are described by random distributions but some key distribution parameters of them which lack information are defined by variation intervals. For system RBDO of trusses, the first order reliability method, as well as monotonicity analysis and the branch and bound method, are utilized to determine the system failure probability; and Improved (${\mu}+{\lambda}$) constrained differential evolution (ICDE) is employed for the optimization process. System reliability assessment of several numerical examples and system RBDO of different truss structures are proposed to verify our results. Moreover, the effect of different classes of interval distribution parameters on the optimum weight of the structure and the reliability index are also investigated. The results indicate that the weight of the structure is increased by increasing the uncertainty level. Moreover, it is shown that for a certain random variable, the optimum weight is more increased by the translation interval parameters than the rotation ones.

• 자원환경지질
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• 제52권2호
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• pp.199-212
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• 2019

머신러닝 기법을 활용한 분석에서 훈련 데이터의 샘플링 전략은 예측 정확도 뿐 만 아니라 일반화 능력에도 많은 영향을 미친다. 특히, 산사태 취약성 분석의 경우, 산사태 발생부에 대한 정보에 비해 산사태 미발생부에 대한 정보가 과도하게 많은 데이터 불균형 현상이 발생하며, 이에 따라 분석 모델의 훈련 데이터 설계 시 데이터 샘플링 과정이 필수적이다. 그러나 기존의 연구들은 대부분 산사태 미발생부 선택 시 발생부 데이터와 1:1의 비율을 갖도록 무작위로 선택하는 방법을 적용하였을 뿐, 특정한 선택 기준에 따라 분석을 수행하지 않았다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 훈련 데이터의 샘플링 전략이 모델의 예측 성능에 미치는 결과를 확인하기 위하여 산사태 발생부와 미발생부의 샘플링 전략기준에 따라 서로 다른 6개의 시나리오를 만들어 Random Forest 모델의 훈련에 사용하였다. 또한 Random Forest의 결과 중 하나인 변수 중요도를 각 산사태 유발인자들에 가중치로 곱하여 줌으로써 산사태 취약지수 값을 산정하였으며, 취약지수 값을 이용해 산사태 취약성도를 제작하고 각 결과 지도의 정확도를 비교 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 훈련데이터의 샘플링 방법에 상관없이 두 지역의 산사태 취약성 분석 결과는 모두 70~80%의 정확도를 보였다. 이를 통해 Random Forest 기법의 산사태 취약성 분석기법으로서의 적용 가능성을 확인하였으며, Random Forest 모델이 제공하는 입력변수의 중요도를 산사태 유발인자 가중치로 활용할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 또한 훈련 시나리오 간의 정확도를 비교한 결과, 특정한 기준에 의해 훈련 데이터를 설계하는 것이 기존의 랜덤 선택 방법보다 높은 예측 정확도를 기대할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.937-945
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• 2018

A probabilistic study of a reinforced earth wall in a frictional soil using the surface response methodology (RSM) is presented. A deterministic model based on numerical simulations is used (Abdelouhab et al. 2011, 2012b) and the serviceability limit state (SLS) is considered in the analysis. The model computes the maximum horizontal displacement of the wall. The response surface methodology is utilized for the assessment of the Hasofer-Lind reliability index and is optimized by the use of a genetic algorithm. The soil friction angle and the unit weight are considered as random variables while studying the SLS. The assumption of non-normal distribution for the random variables has an important effect on the reliability index for the practical range of values of the wall horizontal displacement.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.109-120
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• 2007

본 연구에서는 고속도로와 같은 연속 교통류에서의 군집화 현상을 연구함으로서 보다 현실적인 고속도로의 교통류를 반영할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하고 있다. 이와 같은 연구를 통하여 안전성과 신뢰성을 확보하는 고속도로에서의 시스템 구축을 할 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구는 차량들의 '임의효과'에 의하여 차량군집을 발생되는 과정을 모형화하였으며 본 모형의 검증은 경기도 지역의 '자유로' 지점데이터를 이용하였다.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.538-543
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• 2011

In this paper, optimal spot weld layout design of the shock tower structure is performed for increasing fatigue life of spot weld and fatigue life of shock tower simultaneously. To predict the fatigue life, linear static analysis is conducted then fatigue analysis is performed by applying random vibration load. To optimize the spot weld layout, design variables that have an effect on spot weld fatigue life are selected. Based on the DOE table, spot weld fatigue analysis is conducted. Finally, response surface model is made from fatigue analysis results and optimized spot weld layout model which increases fatigue life of sport weld and fatigue life of shock tower is determined.

• Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.107-117
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• 2019

When a vehicle moves with a high rotation rate, it is not easy to measure the angular velocity using an off-the-shelf gyroscope. If the angular velocity is estimated using the extended Kalman filter in the gyro-free inertial navigation system, the effect of the accelerometer error and initial angular velocity error can be reduced. In this paper, in order to improve the navigation performance of the gyro-free inertial navigation system, an angular velocity estimation method is proposed based on an extended Kalman filter with an accelerometer random bias error model. In order to show the validity of the proposed estimation method, angular velocities and navigation outputs of a vehicle with 3 rev/s rotation rate are estimated. The results are compared with estimates by other methods such as the integration and an extended Kalman filter without an accelerometer random bias error model. The proposed method gives better estimation results than other methods.

• Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.471-502
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• 2016

This paper presents the dynamic instability analysis of un-damped elastically supported piezoelectric functionally graded (FG) beams subjected to in-plane static and dynamic periodic thermomechanical loadings with uncertain system properties. The elastic foundation model is assumed as one parameter Pasternak foundation with Winkler cubic nonlinearity. The piezoelectric FG beam is subjected to non-uniform temperature distribution with temperature dependent material properties. The Young's modulus and Poison's ratio of ceramic, metal and piezoelectric, density of respective ceramic and metal, volume fraction exponent and foundation parameters are taken as uncertain system properties. The basic nonlinear formulation of the beam is based on higher order shear deformation theory (HSDT) with von-Karman strain kinematics. The governing deterministic static and dynamic random instability equation and regions is solved by Bolotin's approach with Newmark's time integration method combined with first order perturbation technique (FOPT). Typical numerical results in terms of the mean and standard deviation of dynamic instability analysis are presented to examine the effect of slenderness ratios, volume fraction exponents, foundation parameters, amplitude ratios, temperature increments and position of piezoelectric layers by changing the random system properties. The correctness of the present stochastic model is examined by comparing the results with direct Monte Caro simulation (MCS).

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.59-68
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• 2002

원자로 내부구조물의 상부안내구조물집합체는 노심지지배럴과 내부배럴집합체와 함께 원통형의 실린더 구조이며, 유체의 난류하중과 펌프의 맥동하중으로 인한 유체유발하중을 수평방향으로 받는다. 본 논문에서는 이 유체유발하중에 대한 랜덤진동해석과 조화응답해석을 수행한 내용을 기술하였다. 이 해석을 위해 집중질량 보 요소 모델을 사용하였고, 랜덤하중과 펌프맥동하중으로 발생되는 동적응답특성을 평가하였다. 특히 원통형태의 상부안내구조물, 노심지지배럴, 내부배럴집합체 사이에서 형성되는 환형공간의 동수력 연성 효과를 고려하여 모델링 하였고, 상부안내구조물 안쪽에 설치되는 내부배럴집합체의 추가 영향을 검토하였다. 내부배럴집합체의 추가로 인한 하중조건별 최대동적응답은 구조물의 고유진동수에 영향을 받으며, 따라서 구조물의 최대동적응답은 여러 하중 조건별 동적해석 평가를 통해 보수적으로 구하여져야 한다.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.735-741
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• 2008

Identification of asymmetry and anisotropy of rotor system is important for diagnosis of rotating machinery. Directional frequency response functions (dFRFs) are known to be a powerful tool in effectively detecting the presence of asymmetry or anisotropy. In this paper, an input noise effect of dFRFs for rotors is estimated, when both asymmetry and anisotropy are present. The normalized random errors of the dFRFs are calculated to verify the validity of the method, which is demonstrated by numerical simulation with a simple rotor model.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.70-74
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• 1997

Data on 2,571 lactation records of Nili-Ravi buffaloes from four institutional herds and four field recording centers were analyzed under an animal model to see the effect of season definition on the error variance of the fitted model. Herd-year-season(HYS) was the main fixed effect along with permanent environment, breeding value and residuals as the random effects. All known relationships among the animals were considered. The error variance differed for various HYS combinations. It was minimum when then months were not grouped into seasons. The four or Five season scenarios were better than the two season scenarios. The average number of lactations represented in a HYS combination varied widely from 6 to 28. Very few subclasses for a given HYS combination warrants the use of fewer seasons for animal model evaluation of buffaloes.