• 제목/요약/키워드: random variable

검색결과 904건 처리시간 0.023초

Impact of spar-nacelle-blade coupling on the edgewise response of floating offshore wind turbines

  • Dinh, Van-Nguyen;Basu, Biswajit;Nielsen, Soren R.K.
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.231-253
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    • 2013
  • The impact of spar-nacelle-blade coupling on edgewise dynamic responses of spar-type floating wind turbines (S-FOWT) is investigated in this paper. Currently, this coupling is not considered explicitly by researchers. First of all, a coupled model of edgewise vibration of the S-FOWT considering the aerodynamic properties of the blade, variable mass and stiffness per unit length, gravity, the interactions among the blades, nacelle, spar and mooring system, the hydrodynamic effects, the restoring moment and the buoyancy force is proposed. The aerodynamic loads are combined of a steady wind (including the wind shear) and turbulence. Each blade is modeled as a cantilever beam vibrating in its fundamental mode. The mooring cables are modeled using an extended quasi-static method. The hydrodynamic effects calculated by using Morison's equation and strip theory consist of added mass, fluid inertia and viscous drag forces. The random sea state is simulated by superimposing a number of linear regular waves. The model shows that the vibration of the blades, nacelle, tower, and spar are coupled in all degrees of freedom and in all inertial, dissipative and elastic components. An uncoupled model of the S-FOWT is then formulated in which the blades and the nacelle are not coupled with the spar vibration. A 5MW S-FOWT is analyzed by using the two proposed models. In the no-wave sea, the coupling is found to contribute to spar responses only. When the wave loading is considered, the coupling is significant for the responses of both the nacelle and the spar.

와이블 풍속 분포 파라미터 추정을 위한 Ln­least 방법의 확률도시위치 적용 (An Application of the Probability Plotting Positions for the Ln­least Method for Estimating the Parameters of Weibull Wind Speed Distribution)

  • 강동범;고경남
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제38권5호
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2018
  • The Ln-least method is commonly used to estimate the Weibull parameters from the observed wind speed data. In previous studies, the bin method has been used to calculate the cumulative frequency distribution for the Ln-least method. The purpose of this study is to obtain better performance in the Ln-least method by applying probability plotting position(PPP) instead of the bin method. Two types of the wind speed data were used for the analysis. One was the observed wind speed data taken from three sites with different topographical conditions. The other was the virtual wind speed data which were statistically generated by a random variable with known Weibull parameters. Also, ten types of PPP formulas were applied which were Hazen, California, Weibull, Blom, Gringorten, Chegodayev, Cunnane, Tukey, Beard and Median. In addition, in order to suggest the most suitable PPP formula for estimating Weibull parameters, two accuracy tests, the root mean square error(RMSE) and $R^2$ tests, were performed. As a result, all of PPPs showed better performances than the bin method and the best PPP was the Hazen formula. In the RMSE test, compared with the bin method, the Hazen formula increased estimation performance by 38.2% for the observed wind speed data and by 37.0% for the virtual wind speed data. For the $R^2$ test, the Hazen formula improved the performance by 1.2% and 2.7%, respectively. In addition, the performance of the PPP depended on the frequency of low wind speeds and wind speed variability.

부재 연결부 회전 강성의 불확실성을 고려한 가설 구조물의 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis of Temporary Structures Considering Uncertainty in Rotational Stiffness at Member Joints)

  • 류선호;옥승용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2019
  • This study deals with the reliability analysis approach of the temporary structure that can consider the uncertainty in rotational stiffness at the joints of the members, for which the semi-rigid connections are modelled as rotational spring and its coefficient is treated as a random variable following uniform distribution. In addition, this study introduces a computational procedure of the effective length coefficient for more accurate buckling load according to connection conditions of the supporting members attached to the joint. From the results of this study, it can be seen that the failure probability of the joint-hinge model (Case 1) presented in the design standard is higher than that of the practical model (Case 5) considering the rotational stiffness at the joints. This implies that the design standard leads to a conservative design of the temporary structure. The results also confirmed that the failure probability of the vertical member, i.e., the most critical member, can be further reduced when the base connection is provided with a fixed end. The comparative results between FORM, SORM and MCS further demonstrated that FORM can have a high level of numerical efficiency while ensuring the accuracy of the solution, compared with SORM and MCS. Based on these results, the proposed approach can be used as an accurate and efficient reliability analysis method of the three dimensional temporary structure.

건강한 노인의 양손 협응성 변화 패턴: 체계적 문헌고찰 및 메타분석 연구 (Age-related Bimanual Coordination Impairments in Elderly People: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis)

  • Kim, Rye Kyeong;Kang, Nyeonju
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.259-269
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate age-related bimanual coordination functions in older adults. Method: Thirteen studies that compared bimanual coordination functions in older adults with those in healthy young adults qualified for this meta-analysis. We additionally categorized 21 total comparisons from the 13 qualified studies into two types of task-related moderator variables: (1) kinematic versus kinetic movements and (2) symmetry versus asymmetry movements. Results: Random effects model meta-analysis found that older adults revealed significant bimanual coordination impairments as compared with young adults (Hedges's g = -0.771; p < .0001; I2 = 74.437%). We additionally confirmed specific bimanual coordination deficits using two moderator variables: 1) kinematic (Hedges's g = -0.884; p < .0001; I2 = 0.000%) and kinetic (Hedges's g = -0.666; p = .023; I2 = 86.170%). 2) symmetry (Hedges's g = -0.712; p = .001; I2 = 74.291%) and asymmetry (Hedges's g = -0.817; p < .0001; I2 = 76.322%). The moderator variable analysis indicated older adults indicated bimanual coordination deficits in the upper extremities than healthy young adults while performing kinematic bimanual coordination tasks and asymmetry coordination tasks. Conclusion: These findings suggest that developing motor rehabilitation programs based on asymmetric bimanual movement task for enhancing interlimb coordination functions of older adults may be crucial for increasing their independence in everyday activities. Given that elderly revealed the deficits in lower extremities coordination when older adults perform gait, posture, and balance, future studies should estimate lower limb coordination functions in elderly people.

The Effect of Manual Physical Therapy on Improvement in the Range of Motion of Frozen Shoulder Patients: A Meta-Analysis of Cases in South Korea

  • Kim, Chan Myeong;Lee, Jong Kyung;Hwang, Jong Ha;Lee, Jae Kwang
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The main purpose of this meta-analysis was to identify the degree of effect size and variables for the impact of manual physical therapy on the improvement in the range of motion of frozen shoulder patients. Methods: This study collected 8 studies published between 1st January 2010 and 31st December 2020. The analysis of the results verified 49 effect size data and the random effect model was chosen. Results: First, the full case showed the largest mean effect size of 2.485 (p<0.001). Second, the size of the effect based on manual therapy and modality therapy showed an effect size of 4.178 (p<0.001). Third, the outcome group included 6 variables. The external rotation (2.818) variable group showed the largest mean effect size, followed by internal rotation (2.748), flexion (2.643), abduction (2.356), and adduction (2.356). Six outcomes were significant and the mean effect sizes of all the varied groups were above large size. The number of participants showed a 20 or less effect size of 2.478 (p>0.737). The number of intervention periods showed 4 weeks 20 or more effect size of 2.782 (p>0.294). Finally, the 'Trim and Fill' result confirmed that the calibration effect size was 1.471 (p<0.001). Conclusion: This study verified that manual physical therapy had a substantial effect on the improvement of the range of motion of patients with frozen shoulders and that the effects were dependent on the methods of outcomes.

진폭비 불일치에 의한 cross-eye 재밍 성능: 각도 추적 오차 성능 분석 비교 (Performance of cross-eye jamming due to amplitude mismatch: Comparison of performance analysis of angle tracking error)

  • 김제안;김진성;이준호
    • 융합정보논문지
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    • 제11권11호
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문에서는 cross-eye의 두 재밍 안테나의 진폭 불일치로 인한 성능 저하를 고려한다. 진폭비의 불일치는 기계적 결함에 따른 실제 진폭비와 명목상 진폭비의 차이가 정규분포를 갖는 랜덤변수로 모델링한다. 1차 테일러 전개와 2차 테일러 전개를 통한 해석적 성능분석이 제안된다. 실제 진폭비와 명목상 진폭비의 불일치가 발생한 Cross-eye 재밍의 성능 측정은 mean square difference (MSD)를 계산함으로서 측정된다. 해석적으로 유도된 MSD는 1차 테일러 전개 기반 시뮬레이션 기반 MSD 및 2차 테일러 전개 기반 시뮬레이션 기반 MSD와 해석 기반 MSD와 비교함으로써 검증된다. 계산비용이 높은 Monte-Carlo기반 MSD보다 해석 기반 MSD가 우수함을 보인다.

진폭비 섭동에 의한 cross-eye 재밍에 대한 수치적분 기반 성능분석 (Numerical Integration-based Performance Analysis of Cross-eye Jamming Algorithm through Amplitude Ratio Perturbation)

  • 김제안;최윤주;이준호
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문에서는 기계적 결함에 따른 실제 진폭비와 명목상 진폭비의 차이를 정규분포를 갖는 랜덤변수로 모델링할 때, crosse-eye의 재밍 효과의 성능 분석을 다룬다. 수치 적분 기반 접근법을 사용하여 구한 mean square difference (MSD)를 제안한다. 수치 적분 기반 접근법을 사용하여 구한 MSD는 1차 테일러 근사 기반성능 분석 방법과 2차 테일러 근사 기반 해석적 성능 분석 방법을 이용하여 계산한 analytic 기반 MSD보다 근사하지 않은 Monte-Carlo 기반 Simulation MSD에 가깝다. 이는 수치 적분 기반 MSD가 정확성이 더 높은 것을 뜻한다. 계산비용이 큰 Monte-Carlo 기반 Simulation을 이용하지 않아도 수치적분을 통하여 MSD로 주어지는 진폭비 섭동이 성능 저하에 미치는 영향을 구할 수 있음을 보인다.

안전율 확률분포에 근거한 케이블지지교량 주요부재의 내진성능 취약도 평가 (Seismic Fragility Evaluation of Cable Supported Bridges Based on Probability Distribution Using Safety Factors of Structural Members)

  • 박진우;김창성;김두기
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2019
  • 이 연구에서는 교량 주요부재의 내진보강 우선순위를 합리적으로 결정하는데 그 목적이 있다. 평가대상으로 케이블 교량을 선정하였으며 정량적 지표인 주요부재의 취약도를 평가하기 위해 확률분포에 근거한 신뢰도를 활용하였다. 확률변수인 안전계수는 주하중(고정하중, 활하중)과 부하중(지진, 내풍, 온도 등)을 고려하였고 지진하중은 교량의 사용수명 동안 발생 가능한 진진을 적용하였다. 이러한 신뢰도를 근간으로 각 주요부재의 취약도 점유율을 확인한 결과 받침(23.8%)이 가장 취약하였으며 받침콘크리트(20.5%), 교각(18.9%), 기초(17.3%), 보강형(14.6%), 케이블(5.0%) 순으로 나타났다.

응답률이 선형인 표본조사에서 편향 보정 추정 (Bias adjusted estimation in a sample survey with linear response rate)

  • 정희영;신기일
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.631-642
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    • 2019
  • 다수의 항목무응답이 발생한 표본조사에서는 추정의 정확성이 떨어진다. 이를 해결하기 위한 많은 방법이 개발되었으나 응답률이 관심변수에 의해 영향을 받는 경우임에도 이를 고려하지 않고 랜덤으로 무응답이 발생한다는 가정 하에서 사용하는 무응답 처리 방법을 사용하게 되면 편향이 발생하는 것으로 알려져 있다. Chung과 Shin (2017)과 Min과 Shin (2018)은 응답률이 관심변수의 함수인 경우에서 발생된 편향을 적절히 처리하여 추정의 정확성을 향상시키는 방법을 제안하였다. 본 연구에서는 응답률 함수가 선형(linear)이면서 초모집단 모형의 오차가 정규분포를 따르는 경우를 살펴보았으며 층별 모집단 수가 편향 보정에 영향을 주는지도 살펴보았다. 모의실험을 통하여 제안된 추정량의 성능을 살펴보았으며 실제 자료 분석을 통해 이를 확인하였다.

Comparison of data mining algorithms for sex determination based on mastoid process measurements using cone-beam computed tomography

  • Farhadian, Maryam;Salemi, Fatemeh;Shokri, Abbas;Safi, Yaser;Rahimpanah, Shahin
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The mastoid region is ideal for studying sexual dimorphism due to its anatomical position at the base of the skull. This study aimed to determine sex in the Iranian population based on measurements of the mastoid process using different data mining algorithms. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study was conducted on 190 3-dimensional cone-beam computed tomographic (CBCT) images of 105 women and 85 men between the ages of 18 and 70 years. On each CBCT scan, the following 9 landmarks were measured: the distance between the porion and the mastoidale; the mastoid length, height, and width; the distance between the mastoidale and the mastoid incision; the intermastoid distance (IMD); the distance between the lowest point of the mastoid triangle and the most prominent convex surface of the mastoid (MF); the distance between the most prominent convex mastoid point (IMSLD); and the intersecting angle drawn from the most prominent right and left mastoid point (MMCA). Several predictive models were constructed and their accuracy was compared using cross-validation. Results: The results of the t-test revealed a statistically significant difference between the sexes in all variables except MF and MMCA. The random forest model, with an accuracy of 97.0%, had the best performance in predicting sex. The IMSLD and IMD made the largest contributions to predicting sex, while the MMCA variable had the least significant role. Conclusion: These results show the possibility of developing an accurate tool using data mining algorithms for sex determination in the forensic framework.