• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall-runoff modeling

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HSPF Modeling for Identifying Runoff Reduction Effect of Nonpoint Source Pollution by Rice Straw Mulching on Upland Crops (볏짚 피복에 의한 밭 비점원오염 저감효과 분석을 위한 HSPF 모델링)

  • Jung, Chung-Gil;Park, Jong-Yoon;Lee, Hyung-Jin;Choi, Joong-Dae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2012
  • This study is to assess the reduction of non-point source pollution loads for rice straw surface covering of upland crop cultivation at a watershed scale. For Byulmi-cheon watershed ($1.21km^2$) located in the upstream of Gyeongancheon, the HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran), a physically based distributed hydrological model was applied. Before evaluation, the model was calibrated and validated using 9 rainfall events. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) for streamflow was 0.62~0.78 and the NSE for water quality (Sediment, T-N, and T-P) were 0.68, 0.60, and 0.58 respectively. From the field experiment of 16 rainfall events, the rice straw covering reduced surface runoff average 10 % compared to normal surface condition. By handling infiltration parameter (INFILT) in the model, the value of 16.0 mm/hr was found to reduce about 10 % reduction of surface runoff. For this condition, the reduction effect of Sediment, T-N, and T-P loads were 87.2, 28.5, and 85.1 % respectively. The rice straw surface covering was effective for removing surface runoff dependent loads such as Sediment and T-P.

Climate change impact analysis on water supply reliability and flood risk using combined rainfall-runoff and reservoir operation modeling: Hapcheon-Dam catchment case (강우-유출 및 저수지 운영 연계 모의를 통한 기후변화의 이수안전도 및 홍수위험도 영향 분석: 합천댐 유역 사례)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Lee, Garim;Kim, Bomi;Jo, Jihyeon;Woo, Dong Kook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제56권11호
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    • pp.765-774
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    • 2023
  • Due to climatechange, precipitation variability has increased, leading to more frequentoccurrences of droughts and floods. To establish measures for managing waterresources in response to the increasing uncertainties of climate conditions, itis necessary to understand the variability of natural river discharge and theimpact of reservoir operation modeling considering dam inflow and artificialwater supply. In this study, an integrated rainfall-runoff and reservoiroperation modeling was applied to analyze the water supply reliability andflood risk for a multipurpose dam catchment under climate change conditions. Therainfall-runoff model employed was the modèle du Génie Rural à 4 paramètresJournalier (GR4J) model, and the reservoir operation model used was an R-basedmodel with the structure of HEC-Ressim. Applying the climate change scenariosuntil 2100 to the established integrated model, the changes in water supplyreliability and flood risk of the Happcheon Dam were quantitatively analyzed.The results of the water supply reliability analysis showed that under SSP2-4.5conditions, the water supply reliability was higher than that under SSP5-8.5conditions. Particularly, in the far-future period, the range of flood risk widened,and both SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios showed the highest median flood riskvalues. While precipitation and runoff were expected to increase by less than10%, dam-released flood discharge was projected to surge by over 120% comparedto the baseline

Evaluation of Runoff Prediction from Managed Golf Course using WEPP Watershed Model (WEPP 모형을 이용한 골프장 잔디 관리에 따른 유출특성 모의)

  • Choi, Jaewan;Shin, Min Hwan;Ryu, Ji Chul;Kum, Donghyuk;Kang, Hyunwoo;Cheon, Se Uk;Shin, Dong Seok;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2012
  • It has been known that Golf course could impose negative impacts on water-ecosystem if pollutant-laden runoff is not treated well. It is important to control non-point source and re-use treated wastewater from the golf course to secure water quality of receiving waterbodies. At golf courses, the rainfall-runoff is affected by various practices to manage grasses. In many hydrological modelings, especially in simple rainfall-runoff modeling, effects on runoff of plant growth and cutting are not considered. In the study, the water erosion prediction project (WEPP), capable of simulating plant growth and various management, was evaluated for its runoff prediction from golf course under grass cutting and irrigation. The %Difference, $R^2$ and the NSE for runoff comparisons were 1.15%, 0.93 and 0.92 for calibration, and 18.12%, 0.82 and 0.88 for validation period, respectively. In grass cutting scenario, grass height was managed to be 18~25 mm. The estimated runoff was decreased by 27%. The difference in estimated total runoff was 11.8% depending on irrigation. As shown in this study, if grass management and irrigation are well-controlled, water quality of downstream areas could be obtained.

Development of dam inflow simulation technique coupled with rainfall simulation and rainfall-runoff model (강우모의기법과 강우-유출 모형을 연계한 댐 유입량 자료 생성기법 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;So, Byung-Jin;Ryou, Min-Suk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2016
  • Generally, a natural river discharge is highly regulated by the hydraulic structures, and the regulated flow is substantially different from natural inflow characteristics for the use of water resources planning. The natural inflow data are necessarily required for hydrologic analysis and water resources planning. This study aimed to develop an integrated model for more reliable simulation of daily dam inflow. First, a piecewise Kernel-Pareto distribution was used for rainfall simulation model, which can more effectively reproduce the low order moments (e.g. mean and median) as well as the extremes. Second, a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme was applied for the SAC-SMA rainfall-runoff model that is able to quantitatively assess uncertainties associated with model parameters. It was confirmed that the proposed modeling scheme is capable of reproducing the underlying statistical properties of discharge, and can be further used to provide a set of plausible scenarios for water budget analysis in water resources planning.

Rainfall-Runoff Analysis Utilizing Multiple Impulse Responses (복수의 임펄스 응답을 이용한 강우-유출 해석)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Joo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.537-543
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    • 2006
  • There have been many recent studies on the nonlinear rainfall-runoff modeling, where the use of neural networks is shown to be quite successful. Due to fundamental limitation of linear structures, employing linear models has often been considered inferior to the neural network approaches in this area. However, we believe that with an appropriate extension, the concept of linear impulse responses can be a viable tool since it enables us to understand underlying dynamics principles better. In this paper, we propose the use of multiple impulse responses for the problem of rainfall-runoff analysis. The proposed method is based on a simple and fixed strategy for switching among multiple linear impulse-response models, each of which satisfies the constraints of non-negativity and uni-modality. The computational analysis performed for a certain Korean hydrometeorologic data set showed that the proposed method can yield very meaningful results.

LONG-TERM STREAMFLOW SENSITIVITY TO RAINFALL VARIABILITY UNDER IPCC SRES CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

  • Kang, Boo-sik;Jorge a. ramirez, Jorge-A.-Ramirez
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.81-99
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    • 2004
  • Long term streamflow regime under virtual climate change scenario was examined. Rainfall forecast simulation of the Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM2) of the Canadian Climate Center for modeling and analysis for the IPCC SRES B2 scenario was used for analysis. The B2 scenario envisions slower population growth (10.4 billion by 2010) with a more rapidly evolving economy and more emphasis on environmental protection. The relatively large scale of GCM hinders the accurate computation of the important streamflow characteristics such as the peak flow rate and lag time, etc. The GCM rainfall with more than 100km scale was downscaled to 2km-scale using the space-time stochastic random cascade model. The HEC-HMS was used for distributed hydrologic model which can take the grid rainfall as input data. The result illustrates that the annual variation of the total runoff and the peak flow can be much greater than rainfall variation, which means actual impact of rainfall variation for the available water resources can be much greater than the extent of the rainfall variation.

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Determination of the Optimized Structure of Self-Organizing Map for the Rainfall-Runoff Analysis in Naju (나주지점의 강우-유출 해석을 위한 최적의 SOM 구조 결정)

  • Kim, Yong-Gu;Jin, Young-Hoon;Park, Sung-Chun;Jeong, Choen-Lee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제41권10호
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    • pp.995-1007
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    • 2008
  • Studies on modeling the rainfall-runoff relationship which shows nonlinear trend strongly use artificial neural networks theory not only for the prediction but also for the characteristics analysis of the data used by pattern classification. For the pattern classification, the results from Self-Organizing Map (SOM) mention that the map size and array for the SOM training have significantly influenced on the SOM performance. Since there is no deterministic method or theoretical equation to determine the number of rows and columns for the map size, hexagonal array is generally used for the map array. Therefore, this study present a determination of the optimized map structure for the rainfall-runoff analysis in Naju station considering the map size and array simultaneously which can represent the classified characterization of rainfall-runoff relationship. The result showed that the map size of 20$\times$16 hexagonal array with 8-clustered patterns was selected as an appropriate map structure for rainfall-runoff analysis in Naju station.

Application of a Grid-Based Rainfall-Runoff Model Using SRTM DEM (SRTM DEM을 이용한 격자기반 강우-유출모의)

  • Jung, In-Kyun;Park, Jong-Yoon;Park, Min-Ji;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Jeong, Hyeon-Gyo;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the applicability of SRTM(The Shuttle Radar Topography Mission) DEM(Digital Elevation Model) which is one of the remotely sensed shuttle's radar digital elevation was tested for use as the input data in a grid-based rainfall-runoff model. The SRTM DEM and digital topographic map derived DEM(TOPO DEM) were building with 500m spatial resolution for the Chungju-Dam watershed which located in the middle east of South Korea, and stream-burning method was applied to delineate the proper flow direction for model application. Similar topographical characteristics were shown as a result of comparing elevation, flow-direction, hydrological slope, number of watershed cell, and profile between SRTM DEM and TOPO DEM. Two DEMs were tested by using a grid-based rainfall-runoff model named KIMSTORM with 6 storm events. The results also showed no significant differences in average values of relative error for both peak runoff(0.91 %) and total runoff volume(0.29 %). The results showed that the SRTM DEM has applicability like TOPO DEM for use in a grid-based rainfall-runoff modeling.

Development of Distributed Rainfall -Runoff Model by Using GIS and Uncertainty Analysis (II) - Application and Analysis - (GIS와 불확실도 해석기법을 이용한 분포형 강우 -유출 모형의 개발 (II) - 적용 및 분석 -)

  • Choi, Hyun-Sang;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.341-352
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    • 2004
  • In this study(II), the model developed in the previous study(I) has been tested on two cases of constant-slope areas to verify the model applicability. Firstly, an impervious one-dimensional runoff problem has been simulated. Secondly, an impervious two-dimensional runoff problem at a converging plain which consists of a V-shaped section plus a portion of the surface of a cone has been simulated. For each case, the simulation results have good agreements with the observed data. And the model has been applied to actual watersheds, which were the Sulma watershed with 8$\textrm{km}^2$ and the Donggok watershed with 33.2$\textrm{km}^2$, drainage area, respectively. The simulated results agree with observed in terms of discharges at several stations. Monte Carlo simulation was also performed on the same watersheds and the modeling results have been evaluated. The suggested model can be used for real-time forecasting of rainfall-runoff analysis, and will contribute for basinwide flood control in the future.

Impact Assessment of Spatial Resolution of Radar Rainfall and a Distributed Hydrologic Model on Parameter Estimation (레이더 강우 및 분포형 수문모형의 공간해상도가 매개변수 추정에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Choi, Shin Woo;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyung Tak
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.1443-1454
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we assess impact of spatial resolution of radar rainfall and a distributed hydrologic model on parameter estimation and rainfall-runoff response. Radar data measured by S-band polarimetric radar located at Mt. Bisl in the year of 2012 are used for the comparative study. As different rainfall estimates such as R-KDP, R-Z, and R-ZDR show good agreement with ground rainfall, R-KDP are applied for rainfall-runoff modeling due to relatively high accuracy in terms of catchment averaged and gauging point rainfall. GRM (grid based rainfall-runoff model) is implemented for flood simulations at the Geumho River catchment with spatial resolutions of 200m, 500m, and 1000m. Automatic calibration is performed by PEST (model independent parameter estimation tool) to find suitable parameters for each spatial resolution. For 200m resolution, multipliers of overlandflow and soil hydraulic conductivity are estimated within stable ranges, while high variations are found from results for 500m and 1000m resolution. No tendency is found in the estimated initial soil moisture. When parameters estimated for different spatial resolution are applied for other resolutions, 200m resolution model shows higher sensitivity compared to 1000m resolution model.