• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall-runoff modeling

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The Application of Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) for Modeling the Hourly Runoff in the Gapcheon Watershed (적응형 네트워크 기반 퍼지추론 시스템을 적용한 갑천유역의 홍수유출 모델링)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Chung, Gunhui;Lee, Do-Hun;Lee, Eun Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2011
  • The adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) which had a success for time series prediction and system control was applied for modeling the hourly runoff in the Gapcheon watershed. The ANFIS used the antecedent rainfall and runoff as the input. The ANFIS was trained by varying the various simulation factors such as mean areal rainfall estimation, the number of input variables, the type of membership function and the number of membership function. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean peak runoff error (PE), and mean peak time error (TE) were used for validating the ANFIS simulation. The ANFIS predicted runoff was in good agreement with the measured runoff and the applicability of ANFIS for modelling the hourly runoff appeared to be good. The forecasting ability of ANFIS up to the maximum 8 lead hour was investigated by applying the different input structure to ANFIS model. The accuracy of ANFIS for predicting the hourly runoff was reduced as the forecasting lead hours increased. The long-term predictability of ANFIS for forecasting the hourly runoff at longer lead hours appeared to be limited. The ANFIS might be useful for modeling the hourly runoff and has an advantage over the physically based models because the model construction of ANFIS based on only input and output data is relatively simple.

Grid Based Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Storage Function Method (저류함수기법을 이용한 격자기반의 강우-유출 모형 개발)

  • Shin, Cheol-Kyun;Cho, Hyo-Seob;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.11
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    • pp.969-978
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    • 2004
  • According to the report of hydrologic modeling study, from a quantitative point of view, a lumped model is more efficient than a distributed model. A distributed model has to simplify geospatial characteristics for the shake of restricted application on computer calculation and field observation. In this reason, a distributed model can not help having some errors of water quantity modelling. However, considering a distribution of rainfall-runoff reflected spatial characteristics, a distributed model is more efficient to simulate a flow of surface water, The purpose of this study is modeling of spatial rainfall-runoff of surface water using grid based distributed model, which is consisted of storage function model and essential basin-channel parameters( slope, flow direction & accumulation), and that procedure is able to be executed at a personal computer. The prototype of this model is developed in Heongseong Multipunose Dam basin and adapted in Hapchon Multipurpose Dam basin, which is larger than the former about five times. The efficiency coefficients in result of two dam basin simulations are more than about 0.9, but ones at the upstream water level gauge station meet with bad result owing to overestimated rating curves in high water level. As a result of this study, it is easily implemented that spatially distributed rainfall-runoff model using GIS, and geophysical characteristics of the catchment, hereafter it is anticipated that this model is easily able to apply rainfall data by real time.

Resampling for Roughness Coefficient of Surface Runoff Model Using Mosaic Scheme (모자이크기법을 이용한 지표유출모형의 조도계수 리샘플링)

  • Park, Sang-Sik;Kang, Boo-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2011
  • Physically-based resampling scheme for roughness coefficient of surface runoff considering the spatial landuse distribution was suggested for the purpose of effective operational application of recent grid-based distributed rainfall runoff model. Generally grid scale(mother scale) of hydrologic modeling can be greater than the scale (child scale) of original GIS thematic digital map when the objective basin is wide or topographically simple, so the modeler uses large grid scale. The resampled roughness coefficient was estimated and compared using 3 different schemes of Predominant, Composite and Mosaic approaches and total runoff volume and peak streamflow were computed through distributed rainfall-runoff model. For quantitative assessment of biases between computational simulation and observation, runoff responses for the roughness estimated using the 3 different schemes were evaluated using MAPE(Mean Areal Percentage Error), RMSE(Root-Mean Squared Error), and COE(Coefficient of Efficiency). As a result, in the case of 500m scale Mosaic resampling for the natural and urban basin, the distribution of surface runoff roughness coefficient shows biggest difference from that of original scale but surface runoff simulation shows smallest, especially in peakflow rather than total runoff volume.

Discussion for the Effectiveness of Radar Data through Distributed Storm Runoff Modeling (분포형 홍수유출 모델링을 통한 레이더 강우자료의 효과분석)

  • Ahn, So Ra;Jang, Cheol Hee;Kim, Sang Ho;Han, Myoung Sun;Kim, Jin Hoon;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2013
  • This study is to evaluate the use of dual-polarization radar data for storm runoff modeling in Namgang dam (2,293 $km^2$) watershed using KIMSTORM (Grid-based KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model). The Bisl dual-polarization radar data for 3 typhoons (Khanun, Bolaven, Sanba) and 1 heavy rain event in 2012 were obtained from Han River Flood Control Office. Even the radar data were overall less than the ground data in areal average, the spatio-temporal pattern between the two data was good showing the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) and bias with 0.97 and 0.84 respectively. For the case of heavy rain, the radar data caught the rain passing through the ground stations. The KIMSTORM was set to $500{\times}500$ m resolution and a total of 21,372 cells (156 rows${\times}$137 columns) for the watershed. Using 28 ground rainfall data, the model was calibrated using discharge data at 5 stations with $R^2$, Nash and Sutcliffe Model Efficiency (ME) and Volume Conservation Index (VCI) with 0.85, 0.78 and 1.09 respectively. The calibration results by radar rainfall showed $R^2$, ME and VCI were 0.85, 0.79, and 1.04 respectively. The VCI by radar data was enhanced by 5 %.

Runoff Estimation Using Rainfalls Derived from Multi-Satellite Images (다중 위성 강우자료를 이용한 유출 평가)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Choi, Yun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to suggest a method for estimating rainfall-runoff relationship using runoff analysis with satellite rainfall and global geographic data for the region due to lack of observed data. This study uses CMORPH and GSMaP_NRT as satellite rainfall data, and GTOPO30 and GLCC as global geographic data. IFAS is used for runoff modeling. In the evaluation of rainfall data, the correlation coefficients of CMORPH and GSMaP_NRT with observed data are 0.37 and 0.30 respectively. Calculated peak runoffs using IFAS show small relative errors with observed data in case of parameters are not calibrated with satellite rainfall data. Therefore, the methods suggested in this study could be applied to ungauged watershed. In the future, this study will analyze runoff for North Korea, a representative inaccessible region, using satellite rainfall and global geographic data.

An Analysis of the Rainfall-Runoff of Natural Watershed Using the Hydraulic Routing Method (수리학적 추적 방법을 이용한 자연하천의 강우유출 해석)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.7 s.156
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    • pp.555-564
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a simple rainfall-runoff model was proposed by using the hydraulic routing model that requires relatively few parameters. The parameters of this model were estimated by the watershed characteristics data, and were applied to the Soyang watershed and Ui stream watershed by using the kinematic wave for overland flow and dynamic wave routing for channel routing. In order to demonstrate validity, the proposed approach was compared to the HEC-1 model for the Soyang watershed. As the results of modeling have shown, the hydraulic model shows reasonable results similar to that of the HEC-1 model. This model also represents good results for the Ui stream watershed. Hence, even if this model is a simple rainfall-runoff model using general methodology, it is competitive to the natural watershed. However, it is still difficult to estimate the roughness coefficient and the catchment width, and therefore this model is in need of such supplements.

Development of Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Modelling System Integrated with GIS (지리정보시스템과 통합된 분포형 강우-유출 모의 시스템 개발)

  • Choi, Yun-Seok;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.76-87
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    • 2009
  • Most distributed models have been developed for data interchange between model for hydrological analysis and GIS(Geographic Information System). And some interface systems between them have been developed to operate the model conveniently. This study is about developing integrated system between model and GIS not coupled system based on file interchange or interface system. In this study, HyGIS-GRM which is integrated system between GRM(Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model) which is physically based distributed rainfall-runoff model and HyGIS(Hydro Geographic Information System) have been developed. HyGIS-GRM can carry out all the processes from preparing input data to appling them to model in the same system, and this operation environment can improve the efficiency of running the model and analyzing modeling results. HyGIS-GRM can provide objective modeling environment through establishing the process of integrated operation of GIS and distributed model, and we can obtain fundamental technologies for developing integrated system between GIS and water resources model.

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Modeling Infiltration and Redistribution for Multistorm Runoff Events

  • 유동렬;이강근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.74-77
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    • 2000
  • Infiltration and water flow in the upper soil layer of a deep water table aquifer are modeled for multistorm runoff events. The infiltration process is developed using the sharp wetting front model of Green and Ampt, and the following redistribution process is modeled using the gravity drained rectangular approximation. The Brooks-Corey model [Brooks and Corey, 1966] is adopted to relate the effective soil saturation, the tension head, and the unsaturated hydraulic conductivity Firstly, the infiltration and redistribution model is developed for a single stom runoff event. Then a couple of events combined for multistorm runoff events. In the later case, infiltration rate of the second rainfall is strongly influenced by the length of the rainfall hiatus and soil moisture profile.

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Parameters Study of Linear Reservoir Models for Rainfall-Runoff Response (강우-유출에 대한 선형저수지 모형의 매개변수 연구)

  • Seo, Yeong-Je;Kim, Jin-Gyu;Park, Hyeon-Ju
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.711-720
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    • 1999
  • In this study, a various rainfall-runoff modelling approaches have been applied to the runoff response of flood hydrograph in three experimental watershed of the western part of korea. Mathematical models of runoff response also have been studied including linear system theory based on modeling techniques. Eight models were operated at the five water level gauging stations and the parameters of each model were computed by the Rosenbrock's hill climbing method to minimize the objective function. For the parameter verification of the models, a different complex rainfall-runoff event was selected in the same of the three river basins and derived IUH of the each model could be calibrated. Furthermore multiple regressions of the logarithmic transformation method between model parameters and catchment characteristics were studied in the selected five station.

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Analysis of a Change in the Water-Balance after Application of Decentralized Rainwater Management Facilities - Based on the Results of the Hydrologic Modeling using the CAT - (분산식 빗물관리시설 적용에 따른 물수지 변화 분석 연구 - CAT을 이용한 수문모델링 결과를 토대로 -)

  • Lee, Tae-Goo;Han, Young-Hae
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2011
  • To analyze changes in the water-balance before and after using decentralized rainwater management facilities, this study carried out hydrologic modeling based on data including roof planting, rainwater use, infiltration and detention facilities applied to the sites. The results of the analysis are as follows: First, the total runoff quantity after facility installation was about 24% less than before. In particular, it showed that the surface runoff declined significantly. Second, the analysis of the effects of different decentralized rainwater management facilities revealed that the rooftop planting contributed to about a 3.5 times increase in actual evaporation than before. Third, the analysis of the effect of decentralized management facilities by different rainfall events showed that it turned to have about a 30% decreasing effect after facility installation for a monthly rainfall over 500mm or so and about 50% declining effect for a monthly rainfall about 200mm. As discussed above, the study confirmed that it is important to implement decentralized rainwater management facilities to improve inevitable changes in water-balance arising from development as it would be a significant alternative for sustainable urban development.