• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall distribution

Search Result 906, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions (3변수 확률분포형에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석)

  • Kim, Byeong-Jun;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.46 no.3
    • /
    • pp.31-42
    • /
    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

Estimation of the Kinetic Energy of Raindrops for Hourly Rainfall Considering the Rainfall Particle Distribution (강우입자분포를 고려한 시강우의 강우에너지 산정 연구)

  • Kim, Seongwon;Jeong, Anchul;Lee, Giha;Jung, Kwansue
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.12
    • /
    • pp.15-23
    • /
    • 2018
  • The occurrence of soil erosions in Korea is mostly driven by flowing water which has a close relationship with rainfalls. The soil eroded by rainfalls flows into and deposits in the river and it polluted the water resources and making the rivers become difficult to be managed. Recently, the frequency of heavy rainfall events that are more than 30 mm/hr has been increasing in Korea due to the influence of climate change, which creating a favourable condition for the occurrence of soil erosion within a short time. In this study, we proposed a method to estimate the distribution of rainfall intensity and to calculate the energy produced by a single rainfall event using the cumulative distribution function that take into account of the physical characteristics of rainfall. The raindrops kinetic energy estimated by the proposed method are compared with the measured data from the previous studies and it is noticed that the raindrops kinetic energy estimated by the rainfall intensity variation is very similar to the results concluded from the previous studies. In order to develop an equation for estimating rainfall kinetic energy, rainfall particle size data measured at a rainfall intensity of 0.254~152.4 mm/hr were used. The rainfall kinetic energy estimated by applying the cumulative distribution function tended to increase in the form of a power function in the relation of rainfall intensity. Based on the equation obtained from this relationship, the rainfall kinetic energy of 1~80 mm/hr rainfall intensity was estimated to be $0.03{\sim}48.26Jm^{-2}mm^{-1}$. Based on the relationship between rainfall intensity and rainfall energy, rainfall kinetic energy equation is proposed as a power function form and it is expected that it can be used in the design of short-term operated facility such as the sizing of sedimentation basin that requires prediction of soil loss by a single rainfall event.

The Estimations of A Conceptual Time Distribution of Rainfall and Design Flood (강우의 개념적 시간분포와 설계홍수량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Byung Woon;Jang Dae Won;Kim Hung Soo;Seoh Byung Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2005.05b
    • /
    • pp.937-942
    • /
    • 2005
  • It is necessary to estimate the runoff hydrograph and peak flood discharge using law of probability for synthetic flood control policy and design of hydraulic structures. Rainfall analysis is needed in the process of peak flood discharge estimation and the time distribution of a design rainfall is a very important process in the analysis. In this study, we estimate design flood for a small urban basin and a rural basin of medium scale which have different travel times. The Huff method is widely used in Korea for the time distribution of design rainfall to estimate design flood. So, we use Huff method and a conceptual method which is suggested in this study for the comparative purpose. The 100-year frequency rainfall is used to estimate design flood for each basin and the design flood is compared with the existing design flood. As the result, the design flood is overestimated $14.6m^3/sec$ by Huff method and is underestimated $70.9m^3/sec$ by a conceptual method for the rural basin. For the small urban basin, the design flood is excessively overestimated $294.65m^3/sec$ by Huff method and is overestimated $173m^3/sec$ by a conceptual method. The reason of excessive overestimation by Huff method in the small urban basin is that the increased rate of rainfall intensity according to the decrease of duration is large and the duration exceeds the time of concentration when the increased rainfall intensity is concentrated in a quartile. Therefore, we suggested a conceptual method for the time distribution of design rainfall by considering the rainless period and duration. Especially, the conceptual method might be useful for the small urban basin with short concentration time which the design flood is overestimated by Huff method.

  • PDF

Time Distribution Characteristics of an Annual Maximum Rainfall According to Rainfall Durations using Huff's Method (Huff의 4분위법을 이용한 지속기간별 연 최대치 강우의 시간분포 특성연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Kyu;Chu, Hyun-Jae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.5B
    • /
    • pp.519-528
    • /
    • 2006
  • In the construction of hydraulic structures deciding a design flood is one of the most important works. It should be especially noted that the time distribution of the design rainfall method makes a significant effect on the results of the design flood. Thus, choosing an appropriate time distribution method for the design rainfall is a very important process. In recent years, Huff's method is usually used in Korea. This method presents dimensionless rainfall-time cumulative curves, which are made through the analyses of storm data. In this study, the annual maximum rainfall data, from 1961 to 2004 were analyzed to make the dimensionless rainfall-time cumulative curves and hyetographs in Seoul. The results were compared with the "Regional Time Distribution of the Design Rainfall", (KICT, 1989 and MCT, 2000). As a result, the dimensionless rainfall-time cumulative curves are smoother than Huff's results when the duration of an annual maximum rainfall is short. In addition, the curves are similar with the Huff's results as the duration is longer.

Application of a Semi-Physical Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Model in South Korea to estimate Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Risk

  • Alcantara, Angelika L.;Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.152-152
    • /
    • 2022
  • Only employing historical data limits the estimation of the full distribution of probable Tropical Cyclone (TC) risk due to the insufficiency of samples. Addressing this limitation, this study introduces a semi-physical TC rainfall model that produces spatially and temporally resolved TC rainfall data to improve TC risk assessments. The model combines a statistical-based track model based on the Markov renewal process to produce synthetic TC tracks, with a physics-based model that considers the interaction between TC and the atmospheric environment to estimate TC rainfall. The simulated data from the combined model are then fitted to a probability distribution function to compute the spatially heterogeneous risk brought by landfalling TCs. The methodology is employed in South Korea as a case study to be able to implement a country-scale-based vulnerability inspection from damaging TC impacts. Results show that the proposed model can produce TC tracks that do not only follow the spatial distribution of past TCs but also reveal new paths that could be utilized to consider events outside of what has been historically observed. The model is also found to be suitable for properly estimating the total rainfall induced by landfalling TCs across various points of interest within the study area. The simulated TC rainfall data enable us to reliably estimate extreme rainfall from higher return periods that are often overlooked when only the historical data is employed. In addition, the model can properly describe the distribution of rainfall extremes that show a heterogeneous pattern throughout the study area and that vary per return period. Overall, results show that the proposed approach can be a valuable tool in providing sufficient TC rainfall samples that could be an aid in improving TC risk assessment.

  • PDF

Determine the return period of flash floods by combining flash flood guidance and best fit distribution

  • Duong, Ngoc Tien;Kim, Jeong-Bae;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.362-362
    • /
    • 2020
  • Flash flood is a dangerous weather phenomenon, affecting humans and the economy. The identification, forecast of the changing trend and its characteristics are increasingly concerned. In the world, there have many methods for determining the characteristics of flash floods, in which flash flood guidance (FFG) is a fast, effective and widely used method. The main source of flash floods is short-term rainfall. In this study, we used the data of cross-sectional measurement at the tributaries and the hourly rain data from the automatic rainfall measurement stations in the Geum river basin. Besides, we use a combination of the flash flood guidance and the best fit distribution function to estimate the repeatability of flash floods for head-water catchments in Geum river basin. In which, FFG determines the threshold of rainfall for flash floods. The study has determined the best hourly rainfall distribution function for the Geum river basin and estimated the maximum rainfall of 1hr according to the return periods.

  • PDF

The Estimation of Pollution Loads in First-flush Overflows with Various Rainfall and Regional Characteristics (강우 및 지역특성별 초기우수월류에 의한 오염부하 기여도 평가)

  • Kim, Hongtae;Shin, Dongseok;Kim, Yongseok
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.30 no.6
    • /
    • pp.622-631
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research was to find a proper disposal rainfall extent to improve water quality. SWMM was applied to select catchment area and tested first flush load and rainfall extent. BOD 40mg/L was selected to dispose the first flush and sewer overflow with the same as the criteria of Sewerage Act. Design rainfall, BOD load ratio of first flush sewer overflow, and the ratio of disposal flow were analyzed under various rainfall distribution. BOD load and design rainfall to treat overflow in situation of first flush extent with 4.3~17.4% were 56~87% and 3.8~6.8 mm/day, respectively. In urban area, first flush loads were not correspond to land activities, but tend to increase with increasing rainfall amount and drainage area. The more the distribution of rainfall is similar to Huff-frontal or central distribution of rainfall, the more increase the first flush loads.

Comparison of Urban Runoff Models for Interior Drainage in Urban Basin (도시유역의 내수배제를 위한 도시유출모델의 비교)

  • Choi, Yun-Young;Lee, Yeong-Hwal;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.251-259
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this study, the urban runoff models, ILLUDAS model and SWMM, are analyzed the probable peak discharge and discharge using rainfall distribution by Huff's method at Bum-uh chun area in Taegu city. The probability rainfall and intensity is analyzed by Pearson-III type. The rainfall duration, 90 minutes, is determined by the critical duration computed the maximun peak discharge for some rainfall durations. The peak discharge according to Huff's rainfall distribution types compute in order of type 3, type 4, type2, and type 1, so Huff's 3 type is selected as an adequate rainfall distribution in Bum-uh chun basin. ILLUDAS model and SWMM are shown as good models in Bum-uh chun, but SWMM is computed higher peak discharge than ILLUDAS model, so SWMM is shown as the adequate urban runoff model for the design of interior drainage in urban basin.

  • PDF

Study on the Sequential Generation of Monthly Rainfall Amounts (월강우량의 모의발생에 관한 연구)

  • 이근후;류한열
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.4232-4241
    • /
    • 1976
  • This study was carried out to clarify the stochastic characteristics of monthly rainfalls and to select a proper model for generating the sequential monthly rainfall amounts. The results abtained are as follows: 1. Log-Normal distribution function is the best fit theoretical distribution function to the empirical distribution of monthly rainfall amounts. 2. Seasonal and random components are found to exist in the time series of monthly rainfall amounts and non-stationarity is shown from the correlograms. 3. The Monte Carlo model shows a tendency to underestimate the mean values and standard deviations of monthly rainfall amounts. 4. The 1st order Markov model reproduces means, standard deviations, and coefficient of skewness with an error of ten percent or less. 5. A correlogram derived from the data generated by 1st order Markov model shows the charaterstics of historical data exactly. 6. It is concluded that the 1st order Markov model is superior to the Monte Carlo model in their reproducing ability of stochastic properties of monthly rainfall amounts.

  • PDF

Peak Discharge Change by Dirrerent Design Rainfall on Small Watershed

  • Jun, Byong-Ho;Jang, Suk-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
    • /
    • v.3
    • /
    • pp.97-104
    • /
    • 1992
  • To design the minor structures in the small watersheds, it is required to calculate the peak discharge. For these calculations the simple peak flow prediction equations, the unit hydrograph method. the syntheic unit hydrograph methods or the runoff simulation models are adopted. To use these methods it is generally requried to know the amount and the distributions of the design rainfall; which are the uniform distribution, the trangular distribution, the trapezoidal distribution, or the Huff type distribution. In this study, the peak discharges are calculated by the different rainfall distributions and the results are compared.

  • PDF