• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall data

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Analysis of the Relationship between the Number of Forest Fires and Non-Rainfall Days during the 30-year in South Korea

  • Songhee, Han;Heemun, Chae
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2022
  • This study examined the relationship between the number of forest fires and days with no rainfall based on the national forest fire statistics data of the Korea Forest Service and meteorological data from the Open MET Data Portal of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA; data.kma.go.kr) for the last 30 years (1991-2021). As for the trend in precipitation amount and non-rainfall days, the rainfall and the days with rainfall decreased in 2010 compared to those in 1990s. In terms of the number of forest fires that occurred in February-May accounted for 75% of the total number of forest fires, followed by 29% in April and 25% in March. In 2000s, the total number of forest fires was 5,226, indicating the highest forest fire activity. To analyze the relationship between regional distribution of non-rainfall periods (days) and number of forest fires, the non-rainfall period was categorized into five groups (0 days, 1-10 days, 11-20 days, 21-30 days, and 31 days or longer). During the spring fire danger season, the number of forest fires was the largest when the non-rainfall period was 11-20 days; during the autumn fire precaution period, the number of forest fires was the largest when the non-rainfall period was 1-10 days, 11-20 days, and 21-30 days, showing differences in the duration of forest fire occurrence by region. The 30-year trend indicated that large forest fires occurred only between February and May, and in terms of the relationship with the non-rainfall period groups, large fires occurred when the non-rainfall period was 1-10 days. This signifies that in spring season, the dry period continued throughout the country, indicating that even a short duration of consecutive non-rainfall days poses a high risk of large forest fires.

Filling of Incomplete Rainfall Data Using Fuzzy-Genetic Algorithm (퍼지-유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 결측 강우량의 보정)

  • Kim, Do Jin;Jang, Dae Won;Seoh, Byung Ha;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2005
  • As the distributed model is developed and widely used, the accuracy of a rainfall measurement and more dense rainfall observation network are required for the reflection of various spatial properties. However, in reality, it is not easy to get the accurate data from dense network. Generally, we could not have the proper rainfall gages in space and even we have proper network for rainfall gages it is not easy to reflect the variations of rainfall in space and time. Often, we do also have missing rainfall data at the rainfall gage stations due to various reasons. We estimate the distribution of mean areal rainfall data from the point rainfalls. So, in the aspect of continuous rainfall property in time, we should fill the missing rainfall data then we can represent the spatial distribution of rainfall data. This study uses the Fuzzy-Genetic algorithm as a interpolation method for filling the missing rainfall data. We compare the Fuzzy-Genetic algorithm with arithmetic average method, inverse distance method, normal ratio method, and ratio of distance and elevation method which are widely used previously. As the results, the previous methods showed the accuracy of 70 to 80 % but the Fuzzy-Genetic algorithm showed that of 90 %. Especially, from the sensitivity analysis, we suggest the values of power in the equation for filling the missing data according to the distance and elevation.

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Estimation of Drought Rainfall According to Consecutive Duration and Return Period Using Probability Distribution (확률분포에 의한 지속기간 및 빈도별 가뭄우량 추정)

  • Lee, Soon Hyuk;Maeng, Sung Jin;Ryoo, Kyong Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1103-1106
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to induce the design drought rainfall by the methodology of L-moment including testing homogeneity, independence and outlier of the data of annual minimum monthly rainfall in 57 rainfall stations in Korea in terms of consecutive duration for 1, 2, 4, 6, 9 and 12 months. To select appropriate distribution of the data for annual minimum monthy rainfall by rainfall station, the distribution of generalized extreme value (GEV), generalized logistic (GLO) as well as that of generalized pareto (GPA) are applied and the appropriateness of the applied GEV, GLO, and GPA distribution is judged by L-moment ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. As for the annual minimum monthly rainfall measured by rainfall station and that stimulated by Monte Carlo techniques, the parameters of the appropriately selected GEV and GPA distributions are calculated by the methodology of L-moment and the design drought rainfall is induced. Through the comparative analysis of design drought rainfall induced by GEV and GPA distribution by rainfall station, the optimal design drought rainfall by rainfall station is provided.

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A Study on Error of Frequence Rainfall Estimates Using Random Variate (무작위변량을 이용한 강우빈도분석시 내외삽오차에 관한 연구)

  • Chai, Han Kyu;Eam, Ki Ok
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.20 no.A
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2000
  • In the study rainfall frequency analysis attemped the many specific property data record duration it is differance from occur to error-term and probability ditribution of concern manifest. error-term analysis of method are fact sample data using method in other hand it is not appear to be fault that sample data of number to be small random variates. Therefore, day-rainfall data: to randomicity consider of this study sample data to the Monte Carlo method by randomize after data recode duration of form was choice method which compared an assumed maternal distribution from splitting frequency analysis consequence. In the conclusion, frequency analysis of chuncheon region rainfall appeared samll RMSE to the Gamma II distribution. In the rainfall frequency analysis estimate RMSE using random variates great transform, RMSE is appear that return period increasing little by little RMSE incresed and data number incresing to RMSE decreseing.

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Rainfall Trend Detection Using Non Parametric Test in the Yom River Basin, Thailand

  • Mama, Ruetaitip;Bidorn, Butsawan;Namsai, Matharit;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.424-424
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    • 2017
  • Several studies of the world have analyzed the regional rainfall trends in large data sets. However, it reported that the long-term behavior of rainfall was different on spatial and temporal scales. The objective of this study is to determine the local trends of rainfall indices in the Yom River Basin, Thailand. The rainfall indices consist of the annual total precipitation (PRCTPOP), number of heavy rainfall days ($R_{10}$), number of very heavy rainfall days ($R_{20}$), consecutive of dry days (CDD), consecutive of wet days (CWD), daily maximum rainfall ($R_{x1}$), five-days maximum rainfall ($R_{x5}$), and total of annual rainy day ($R_{annual}$). The rainfall data from twelve hydrological stations during the period 1965-2015 were used to analysis rainfall trend. The Mann-Kendall test, which is non-parametric test was adopted to detect trend at 95 percent confident level. The results of these data were found that there is only one station an increasing significantly trend in PRCTPOP index. CWD, which the index is expresses longest annual wet days, was exhibited significant negative trend in three locations. Meanwhile, the significant positive trend of CDD that represents longest annual dry spell was exhibited four locations. Three out of thirteen stations had significant decreasing trend in $R_{annual}$ index. In contrast, there is a station statistically significant increasing trend. The analysis of $R_{x1}$ was showed a station significant decreasing trend at located in the middle of basin, while the $R_{x5}$ of the most locations an insignificant decreasing trend. The heavy rainfall index indicated significant decreasing trend in two rainfall stations, whereas was not notice the increase or decrease trends in very heavy rainfall index. The results of this study suggest that the trend signal in the Yom River Basin in the half twentieth century showed the decreasing tendency in both of intensity and frequency of rainfall.

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Flood Simulation using Vflo and Radar Rainfall Adjustment Data by Statistical Objective Analysis (통계적 객관 분석법에 의한 레이더강우 보정 및 Vflo를 이용한 홍수모의)

  • Noh, Hui Seong;Kang, Na Rae;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the use of radar rainfall data that can help tracking of the development and movement of rainfall's spatial distribution is drawing much attention in hydrology. The reliability of existing radar rainfall compared to gauge rainfall data on the ground has not yet been confirmed and so we have difficulties to apply the radar rainfall in hydrology. The radar rainfall for the applications in hydrology are adjusted merging method derived from gage. This study uses the Mean-Field Bias (MFB) and Statistical Objective Analysis (SOA) as correction methods to create adjusted grid-based radar rainfall data which can represent the temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall. This study used a storm event occurred in August 2010 for the adjustment of radar rainfall. In addition, the grid-based distributed rainfall-runoff model (Vflo), which enables more detailed examinations of spatial flux changes in the basin rather than the lumped hydrological models, has been applied to Gamcheon river basin which is a tributary of Nakdong River located in south-eastern part of the Korean peninsular and the basin area is $1005km^2$. The simulated runoff was compared with the observed runoff in an attempt to evaluate the usability of radar rainfall data and the reliability of the correction methods. The error range of peak discharge using each correction method was within 20 percent and the efficiency of the model was between 60 and 80 percent. In particular, the SOA method showed better results than MFB method. Therefore, the SOA method could be used for the adjustment of grid-based radar rainfall and the adjusted radar rainfall can be used as an input data of rainfall-runoff models.

A Runoff Parameter Estimation Using Spatially Distributed Rainfall and an Analysis of the Effect of Rainfall Errors on Runoff Computation (공간 분포된 강우를 사용한 유출 매개변수 추정 및 강우오차가 유출계산에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Yun, Yong-Nam;Kim, Jung-Hun;Yu, Cheol-Sang;Kim, Sang-Dan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2002
  • This study was intended to investigate the rainfall-runoff relationship with spatially distributed rainfall data, and then, to analyze and quantify the uncertainty induced by spatially averaging rainfall data. For constructing spatially distributed rainfall data, several historical rainfall events were extended spatially by simple kriging method based on the semivariogram as a function of the relative distance. Runoff was computed by two models; one was the modified Clark model with spatially distributed rainfall data and the other was the conventional Clark model with spatially averaged rainfall data. Rainfall errors and discharge errors occurred through this process were defined and analyzed with respect to various rain-gage network densities. The following conclusions were derived as the results of this work; 1) The conventional Clark parameters could be appropriate for translating spatially distributed rainfall data. 2) The parameters estimated by the modified Clark model are more stable than those of the conventional Clark model. 3) Rainfall and discharge errors are shown to be reduced exponentially as the density of rain-gage network is increased. 4) It was found that discharge errors were affected largely by rainfall errors as the rain-gage network density was small.

On the Stationarity of Rainfall Quantiles: 2. Proposal of New Methodologies (확률강우량의 정상성 판단: 2. 새로운 방법의 제안)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Jung, Sung-In;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2007
  • This study proposed new simple methodologies for testing the stationarity of rainfall quantiles, and applied to the rainfall data at Seoul. The methodologies in this study are based on the analysis of frequency change of rainfall quantiles, different from previous studies like Ahn et al. (2001) who analyzed the change of rainfall quantiles themselves. The different types of methodologies are proposed in this study; one is to evaluate the occurrence frequency of rainfall with its return period more than the data length, and the other is to evaluate the effect of new observation on the highest rainfall data recorded. The application of these methodologies shows that the rainfall quantiles at Seoul have no significant proof leading their non-stationarity.

Rainfall Adjust and Forecasting in Seoul Using a Artificial Neural Network Technique Including a Correlation Coefficient (인공신경망기법에 상관계수를 고려한 서울 강우관측 지점 간의 강우보완 및 예측)

  • Ahn, Jeong-Whan;Jung, Hee-Sun;Park, In-Chan;Cho, Won-Cheol
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2008
  • In this study, rainfall adjust and forecasting using artificial neural network(ANN) which includes a correlation coefficient is application in Seoul region. It analyzed one-hour rainfall data which has been reported in 25 region in seoul during from 2000 to 2006 at rainfall observatory by AWS. The ANN learning algorithm apply for input data that each region using cross-correlation will use the highest correlation coefficient region. In addition, rainfall adjust analyzed the minimum error based on correlation coefficient and determination coefficient related to the input region. ANN model used back-propagation algorithm for learning algorithm. In case of the back-propagation algorithm, many attempts and efforts are required to find the optimum neural network structure as applied model. This is calculated similar to the observed rainfall that the correlation coefficient was 0.98 in missing rainfall adjust at 10 region. As a result, ANN model has been for suitable for rainfall adjust. It is considered that the result will be more accurate when it includes climate data affecting rainfall.

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Measurement of Rainfall using Sensor Signal Generated from Vehicle Rain Sensor (차량용 레인센서에서 생성된 센서시그널을 이용한 강우량 측정)

  • Kim, Young Gon;Lee, Suk Ho;Kim, Byung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we developed a relational formula for observing high - resolution rainfall using vehicle rain sensor. The vehicle rain sensor consists of eight channels. Each channel generates a sensor signal by detecting the amount of rainfall on the windshield of the vehicle when rainfall occurs. The higher the rainfall, the lower the sensor signal is. Using these characteristics of the sensor signal generated by the rain sensor, we developed a relational expression. In order to generate specific rainfall, an artificial rainfall generator was constructed and the change of the sensor signal according to the variation of the rainfall amount in the artificial rainfall generator was analyzed. Among them, the optimal sensor channel which reflects various rainfall amounts through the sensitivity analysis was selected. The sensor signal was generated in 5 minutes using the selected channel and the representative values of the generated 5 - minute sensor signals were set as the average, 25th, 50th, and 75th quartiles. The calculated rainfall values were applied to the actual rainfall data using the constructed relational equation and the calculated rainfall amount was compared with the rainfall values observed at the rainfall station. Although the reliability of the relational expression was somewhat lower than that of the data of the verification result data, it was judged that the experimental data of the residual range was insufficient. The rainfall value was calculated by applying the developed relation to the actual rainfall, and compared with the rainfall value generated by the ground rainfall observation instrument observed at the same time to verify the reliability. As a result, the rain sensor showed a fine rainfall of less than 0.5 mm And the average observation error was 0.36mm.