• Title/Summary/Keyword: radar-rainfall

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A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data (실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구)

  • Jung, Jae-Sung;lee, Jang-Choon;Park, Young-Ki
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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Application of Very Short-Term Rainfall Forecasting to Urban Water Simulation using TREC Method (TREC기법을 이용한 초단기 레이더 강우예측의 도시유출 모의 적용)

  • Kim, Jong Pil;Yoon, Sun Kwon;Kim, Gwangseob;Moon, Young Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.409-423
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    • 2015
  • In this study the very short-term rainfall forecasting and storm water forecasting using the weather radar data were implemented in an urban stream basin. As forecasting time increasing, the very short-term rainfall forecasting results show that the correlation coefficient was decreased and the root mean square error was increased and then the forecasting model accuracy was decreased. However, as a result of the correlation coefficient up to 60-minute forecasting time is maintained 0.5 or higher was obtained. As a result of storm water forecasting in an urban area, the reduction in peak flow and outflow volume with increasing forecasting time occurs, the peak time was analyzed that relatively matched. In the application of storm water forecasting by radar rainfall forecast, the errors has occurred that we determined some of the external factors. In the future, we believed to be necessary to perform that the continuous algorithm improvement such as simulation of rapid generation and disappearance phenomenon by precipitation echo, the improvement of extreme rainfall forecasting in urban areas, and the rainfall-runoff model parameter optimizations. The results of this study, not only urban stream basin, but also we obtained the observed data, and expand the real-time flood alarm system over the ungaged basins. In addition, it is possible to take advantage of development of as multi-sensor based very short-term rainfall forecasting technology.

Development Strategy of Smart Urban Flood Management System based on High-Resolution Hydrologic Radar (고정밀 수문레이더 기반 스마트 도시홍수 관리시스템 개발방안)

  • YU, Wan-Sik;HWANG, Eui-Ho;CHAE, Hyo-Sok;KIM, Dae-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the frequency of heavy rainfall is increasing due to the effects of climate change, and heavy rainfall in urban areas has an unexpected and local characteristic. Floods caused by localized heavy rains in urban areas occur rapidly and frequently, so that life and property damage is also increasing. It is crucial how fast and precise observations can be made on successful flood management in urban areas. Local heavy rainfall is predominant in low-level storms, and the present large-scale radars are vulnerable to low-level rainfall detection and observations. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a new urban flood forecasting system to minimize urban flood damage by upgrading the urban flood response system and improving observation and forecasting accuracy by quickly observing and predicting the local storm in urban areas. Currently, the WHAP (Water Hazard Information Platform) Project is promoting the goal of securing new concept water disaster response technology by linking high resolution hydrological information with rainfall prediction and urban flood model. In the WHAP Project, local rainfall detection and prediction, urban flood prediction and operation technology are being developed based on high-resolution small radar for observing the local rainfall. This study is expected to provide more accurate and detailed urban flood warning system by enabling high-resolution observation of urban areas.

Estimation of Flood Discharge Using Satellite-Derived Rainfall in Abroad Watersheds - A Case Study of Sebou Watershed, Morocco - (위성 강우자료를 이용한 해외 유역 홍수량 추정 - 모로코 세부강 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • KIM, Joo-Hun;CHOI, Yun-Seok;KIM, Kyung-Tak
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents a technical method for flood estimation based on satellite rainfall and satellite rainfall correction method for watersheds lacking measurement data. The study area was the Sebou Watershed, Morocco. The Integrated Flood Analysis System(IFAS) and Grid-based Rainfall-Runoff Model(GRM) were applied to estimate watershed runoff. Daily rainfall from ground gauges and satellite-derived hourly data were used. In the runoff simulation using satellite rainfall data, the composites of the daily gauge rainfall and the hourly satellite data were applied. The Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission Digital Elevation Model(SRTM DEM) with a 90m spatial resolution and 1km resolution data from Global map land cover and United States Food and Agriculture Organization(US FAO) Harmonized World Soil Database(HWSD) were used. Underestimated satellite rainfall data were calibrated using ground gauge data. The simulation results using the revised satellite rainfall data were $5,878{\sim}7,434m^3/s$ and $6,140{\sim}7,437m^3/s$ based on the IFAS and GRM, respectively. The peak discharge during flooding of Sebou River Watershed in 2009~2010 was estimated to range from $5,800m^3/s$ to $7,500m^3/s$. The flood estimations from the two hydrologic models using satellite-derived rainfall data were similar. Therefore, the calibration method using satellite rainfall suggested in this study can be applied to estimate the flood discharge of watersheds lacking observational data.

Case study on the Accuracy Assessment of the rainrate from the Precipitation Radar of TRMM Satellite over Korean Peninsula

  • Chung, Hyo-Sang;Park, Hye-Sook;Noh, Yoo-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.103-106
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    • 1999
  • The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission(TRMM) is a United States-Japan project for rain measurement from space. The first spaceborne Precipitation Radar(PR) has been installed aboard the TRMM satellite. The ground based validation of the TRMM satellite observations was conducted by TRMM science team through a Global Validation Program(GVP) consisted of 10 or more ground validation sites throughout the tropics. However, TRMM radar should always be validated and assessed against reference data to be used in Korean Peninsula because the rainrates measured with satellite varies by time and space. We have analyzed errors in the comparison of rainrates measured with the TRMM/PR and the ground-based instrument i.e. Automatic Weather System(AWS) by means of statistical methods. Preliminary results show that the near surface rainrate of TRMM/PR are highly correlated with ground measurements especially for the very deep convective rain clouds, though the correlation is changed according to the type and amount of precipitating clouds. Results also show that TRMM/PR instrument is inclined to underestimate the rainrate on the whole over Korea than the AWS measurement for the cases of heavy rainfall.

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The Error Structure of the CAPPI and the Correction of the Range Dependent Error due to the Earth Curvature (CAPPI 반사도의 오차구조 및 지구곡률효과로 인한 거리오차 보정)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Yoon, Jungsoo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2012
  • It is important to characterize and quantify the inherent error in the radar rainfall to make full use of the radar rainfall. This study verified the error structure of the reflectivity and corrected the range dependent error in the CAPPI using a VPR (vertical profile of reflectivity) model. The error of the CAPPI to display the reflectivity data becomes bigger for the range longer than 100 km. This range dependent error, however, is significantly improved by corrected the CAPPI data using the VPR model.

The Development of a Rainfall Correction Technique based on Machine Learning for Hydrological Applications (수문학적 활용을 위한 머신러닝 기반의 강우보정기술 개발)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Ko, Chul-Min;Shin, Seong-Cheol;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2019
  • For the purposes of enhancing usability of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), the quantitative precipitation prediction scheme by machine learning has been proposed. In this study, heavy rainfall was corrected for by utilizing rainfall predictors from LENS and Radar from 2017 to 2018, as well as machine learning tools LightGBM and XGBoost. The results were analyzed using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Normalized Peak Error (NPE), and Peak Timing Error (PTE) for rainfall corrected through machine learning. Machine learning results (i.e. using LightGBM and XGBoost) showed improvements in the overall correction of rainfall and maximum rainfall compared to LENS. For example, the MAE of case 5 was found to be 24.252 using LENS, 11.564 using LightGBM, and 11.693 using XGBoost, showing excellent error improvement in machine learning results. This rainfall correction technique can provide hydrologically meaningful rainfall information such as predictions of flooding. Future research on the interpretation of various hydrologic processes using machine learning is necessary.

Bright band detection using X-band polarimetric radar (X-밴드 이중편파 레이더에 의한 밝은 띠 탐지)

  • Lee, Dong-ryul;Jang, Bong-joo;Hwang, Seok Hwan;Noh, Hui-seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1211-1220
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    • 2020
  • This research detects the features of the bright band (BB) through analysis of the vertical profile of range height indicator (RHI) and the slant range beam profile of plane position indicator (PPI) of the polarimetric radar measurements-horizontal reflectivity (ZH), differential reflectivity (ZDR), and cross-correlation coefficient (ρHV). As a result of the analysis, it is possible to clearly detect the bright band using the polarimetric radar measurements, and it is confirmed that the result is consistent by double searching for the BB using the RHI and PPI scan data at the same time. Based on these results, the accuracy of QPE (quantification of precipitation estimation) can be improved by applying the BB search method by the PPI slant range in this research to large rainfall radars that only scan PPI volumes in the field without RHI observations.

Half-hourly Rainfall Monitoring over the Indochina Area from MTSAT Infrared Measurements: Development of Rain Estimation Algorithm using an Artificial Neural Network

  • Thu, Nguyen Vinh;Sohn, Byung-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.465-474
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    • 2010
  • Real-time rainfall monitoring is of great practical importance over the highly populated Indochina area, which is prone to natural disasters, in particular in association with rainfall. With the goal of d etermining near real-time half-hourlyrain estimates from satellite, the three-layer, artificial neural networks (ANN) approach was used to train the brightness temperatures at 6.7, 11, and $12-{\mu}m$ channels of the Japanese geostationary satellite MTSAT against passive microwavebased rain rates from Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) and TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR) data for the June-September 2005 period. The developed model was applied to the MTSAT data for the June-September 2006 period. The results demonstrate that the developed algorithm is comparable to the PERSIANN (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks) results and can be used for flood monitoring across the Indochina area on a half-hourly time scale.

Applicability of Spatial Interpolation Methods for the Estimation of Rainfall Field (강우장 추정을 위한 공간보간기법의 적용성 평가)

  • Jang, Hongsuk;Kang, Narae;Noh, Huiseong;Lee, Dong Ryul;Choi, Changhyun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.370-379
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    • 2015
  • In recent, the natural disaster like localized heavy rainfall due to the climate change is increasing. Therefore, it is important issue that the precise observation of rainfall and accurate spatial distribution of the rainfall for fast recovery of damaged region. Thus, researches on the use of the radar rainfall data have been performed. But there is a limitation in the estimation of spatial distribution of rainfall using rain gauge. Accordingly, this study uses the Kriging method which is a spatial interpolation method, to measure the rainfall field in Namgang river dam basin. The purpose of this study is to apply KED(Kriging with External Drift) with OK(Ordinary Kriging) and CK(Co-Kriging), generally used in Korea, to estimate rainfall field and compare each method for evaluate the applicability of each method. As a result of the quantitative assessment, the OK method using the raingauge only has 0.978 of correlation coefficient, 0.915 of slope best-fit line, and 0.957 of $R^2$ and shows an excellent result that MAE, RMSE, MSSE, and MRE are the closest to zero. Then KED and CK are in order of their good results. But the quantitative assessment alone has limitations in the evaluation of the methods for the precise estimation of the spatial distribution of rainfall. Thus, it is considered that there is a need to application of more sophisticated methods which can quantify the spatial distribution and this can be used to compare the similarity of rainfall field.