• Title/Summary/Keyword: prognostic scores

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Prognostic Scores for Predicting Recurrence in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

  • Somboonporn, Charoonsak
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.2369-2374
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    • 2016
  • Background: Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is a cancer group that shares molecular and cellular origin but shows different clinical courses and prognoses. Several prognostic factors have been reported for predicting recurrence for individual patients. This literature review aimed to evaluate prognostic scores for predicting recurrence of DTC. Materials and Methods: A search of the MEDLINE database for articles published until December 2015 was carried out using the terms "thyroid neoplasms AND (recurrent OR persistent) AND (score OR model OR nomogram)". Studies were eligible for review if they indicated the development of prognostic scoring models, derived from a group of independent prognostic factors, in predicting disease recurrence in DTC patients. Results: Of the 308 articles obtained, five were eligible for evaluation. Two scoring models were developed for DTC including both papillary and follicular carcinoma, one for papillary carcinoma, and the other two for papillary microcarcinoma. The number of patients included in the score development cohort ranged from 59 to 1,669. The number of evaluated potential prognostic factors ranged from 4 to 25. Tumor-related factors were the most common factors included in the final scores, with cervical lymph node metastases being the most common. Only two studies showed internal validation of the derived score. Conclusions: There is a paucity of prognostic scores for predicting disease recurrence in patients with DTC, in particular for follicular thyroid carcinoma. Several limitations of the created scores were found. Performance of the scores has not been adequately studied. Comprehensive validation in multiple cohorts is recommended before widespread use.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Inflammation-Based Prognostic Scores on Hospital Mortality after Gastric Cancer Surgery

  • Dinc, Tolga;Yildiz, Baris Dogu;Kayilioglu, Ilgaz;Sozen, Isa;Tez, Mesut;Coskun, Faruk
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.18
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    • pp.7909-7911
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    • 2014
  • Gastric cancer is the fourth most common malignancy worldwide. Poor prognosis in gastric cancer is linked with hypoalbuminemia. Previous studies demonstrated relationships between gastric cancer and chronic inflammation. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of preoperative inflammation-based prognostic scores regarding hospital mortality after gastrectomy. Unlike other recent articles on the same topic; we could only verify prognostic value of prognostic nutritional index for in hospital mortality after surgery.

C-reactive protein/albumin ratio as prognostic score in oral squamous cell carcinoma

  • Park, Heung-Chul;Kim, Moon-Young;Kim, Chul-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.243-250
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: Many studies have examined histopathological factors and various prognostic scores related to inflammation to predict outcomes. Here, we examined the prognostic value of the C-reactive protein/albumin (CRP/alb) ratio in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Materials and Methods: This retrospective study included 40 patients with OSCC. Using univariate and multivariate analyses, we focused on the correlation of the CRP/alb ratio with clinicopathological characteristics and with overall survival. We then compared five inflammation-based prognostic scores, CRP/alb ratio, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: The optimal cut-off value for the CRP/alb ratio was 0.085. The group with a high CRP/alb ratio had a high TNM clinical stage (P=0.002) and larger primary tumors (P=0.029), with statistically significant differences in lymph node metastasis and distant metastasis. In addition, when the CRP/alb ratio was high, multivariate analysis showed a lower survival rate (P=0.002; hazard ratio=6.078), and the ROC curve showed more outstanding discriminatory ability regarding overall survival compared to other inflammation-based prognostic scores. Conclusion: The CRP/alb ratio can be an independent prognostic factor when predicting prognosis in OSCC and has good prognostic ability.

Prognostic Value of Biochemical Response Models for Primary Biliary Cholangitis and the Additional Role of the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio

  • Yoo, Jeong-Ju;Cho, Eun Ju;Lee, Bora;Kim, Sang Gyune;Kim, Young Seok;Lee, Yun Bin;Lee, Jeong-Hoon;Yu, Su Jong;Kim, Yoon Jun;Yoon, Jung-Hwan
    • Gut and Liver
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.714-721
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    • 2018
  • Background/Aims: Recently reported prognostic models for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) have been shown to be effective in Western populations but have not been well-validated in Asian patients. This study aimed to compare the performance of prognostic models in Korean patients and to investigate whether inflammation-based scores can further help in prognosis prediction. Methods: This study included 271 consecutive patients diagnosed with PBC in Korea. The following prognostic models were evaluated: the Barcelona model, the Paris-I/II model, the Rotterdam criteria, the GLOBE score and the UK-PBC score. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was analyzed with reference to its association with prognosis. Results: For predicting liver transplant or death at the 5-year and 10-year follow-up examinations, the UK-PBC score (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUCs], 0.88 and 0.82) and GLOBE score (AUCs, 0.85 and 0.83) were significantly more accurate in predicting prognosis than the other scoring systems (all p<0.05). There was no significant difference between the performance of the UK-PBC and GLOBE scores. In addition to the prognostic models, a high NLR (>2.46) at baseline was an independent predictor of reduced transplant-free survival in the multivariate analysis (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.74; p<0.01). When the NLR was applied to the prognostic models, it significantly differentiated the prognosis of patients. Conclusions: The UK-PBC and GLOBE scores showed good prognostic performance in Korean patients with PBC. In addition, a high NLR was associated with a poorer prognosis. Including the NLR in prognostic models may further help to stratify patients with PBC.

New Prognostic Scoring System for Incurable Stage IV Colorectal Cancer

  • Kishiki, Tomokazu;Masaki, Tadahiko;Mastuoka, Hiroyoshi;Abe, Nobustugu;Mori, Toshiyuki;Sugiyama, Masanori
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.597-601
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    • 2016
  • Background: Components of the systemic inflammatory response, combined to form inflammation-based prognostic scores (mGPS, NLR, PLR, PI, PNI) have been associated with overall survival. The aim of the present study was to compare various prognostic factors including many previously established parameters and such systemic inflammation-based prognostic scores in a series of incurable stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. Materials and Methods: Patients (n=167) with stage IV CRC undergoing surgical procedures between 2005 and 2013 were enrolled. Preoperatively (7-30 days before surgery), routine laboratory examinations were performed on the same day. We calculated scores using these data and analyzed the association with cancer specific survival (CSS) statistically. Results: Univariate analysis revealed significant associations between CSS and WBC, albumin, CRP, CEA values, mGPS, PNI, and PI values among preoperative factors. On multivariate analysis, high mGPS and high CEA independently predicted shorter CSS (p=0.001 and p=0.018). A new scoring system was constructed using mGPS and CEA. When patients were separated into three categorized using this system, the new score accurately predicted CSS (p < 0.001). Conclusions: The present study indicates that a new scoring system, consisting of mGPS and CEA, is a simple and useful tool in predicting the survival of patients with incurable stage IV CRC, and should be included in the routine assessment of these patients for decision making of appropriate treatment.

Systemic Inflammatory Response as a Prognostic Factor in Patients with Cancer (암환자의 예후인자로서 전신염증반응에 대한 고찰)

  • Yoon, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Traditional Oncology
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2012
  • Objective : The association of cancer survival and components of the systemic inflammatory response, combined to form inflammation-based prognostic scores (modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio, Platelet Lymphocyte Ratio) is reviewed in this article. Methods and Results : With extensive research of papers in the PubMed, there is good evidence that preoperative measures of the systemic inflammatory response predict cancer survival, independent of tumor stage, in primary operable cancer. GPS also shows its prognostic value as a predictor of survival, independent of tumor stage, performance status and treatment in a variety of advanced cancer. GPS is associated with chemotherapy related toxicities as well as response to treatment and C-reactive protein shows its clinical value as a monitor of chemotherapy response. The systemic inflammatory response is closely related to cachexia and may be suitable measure for the clinical definition of cancer cachexia. Conclusion : Anticipated survival using the inflammation-based prognostic score is a major factor to be taken into consideration when deciding whether active intervention including surgery and chemotherapy or palliation therapy including acupuncture and herb medication is appropriate.

PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF PROLIFERATION FACTORS IN ORAL SQUAMOUS CELL CARCINOMA (구강 편평세포암에서 예후 및 경부임파절 전이와 관련한 증식인자의 발현에 관한 연구)

  • Paeng, Jun-Young;Ok, Yong-Ju;Yun, Pil-Young;Myoung, Hoon;Hwang, Soon-Jung;Seo, Byoung-Moo;Choi, Jin-Young;Lee, Jong-Ho;Choung, Pill-Hoon;Kim, Myung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the value of proliferation factors, Ki67 and PCNA, as prognostic markers predicting the survival and neck metastasis in patients with oral cancer. Methods: 101 patients with HNSCCs, were followed retrospectively for a median period of 60 months(from 16 to 82 months). All tumors were resected surgically and examined by conventional light microscopy, immunohistochemistry. The age, sex, tumor location, clinical stage(size), metastasis, proliferative activity index(assessed by proliferating cell nuclear antigen(PCNA) and Ki67 immunoreactivity) were considered as potential prognostic factors and were correlated with patient survival. Results: Ki67 staining results ranged from 5% to 80% of tumor cell nuclei, with a median of 25%. PCNA staining results ranged from 1% to 90% with a median of 50%. With a cut-off point of 25%, patients with lower Ki67 scores showed survival advantages over those with higher Ki67 scores (p=0.0089). With cut-off point of 50%, patients with lower PCNA scores showed survival advantages over those with higher PCNA scores (p=0.0104). Pathologically neck node positive patients(n=27) showed higher PCNA expression(p=0.02) than pathologically negative neck node patients(n=39). Conclusions: The lower expressions of Ki67 and PCNA were associated with favorable prognosis such as higher survival rate and lower neck node metastasis.

Changes in Disc Height as a Prognostic Factor in Patients Undergoing Microscopic Discectomy

  • Myeonggeon Kweon;Koang-Hum Bak;Hyeong-Joong Yi;Kyu-Sun Choi;Myung-Hoon Han;Min-Kyun Na;Hyoung-Joon Chun
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2024
  • Objective : Some patients with disc herniation who underwent discectomy complain of back pain after surgery and are unsatisfied with the surgical results. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between preoperative disc height (DH), postoperative DH, and pain score 12 months after surgery in patients who underwent microdiscectomy for herniated lumbar disc. Methods : This study enrolled patients who underwent microdiscectomy at a medical center between January 2012 and December 2020. Patients with X-ray or computed tomography and pain score assessment (visual analog scale score) prior to surgery, immediately post-op, and at 1, 6, and 12 months after surgery were included. The DH index was defined as DH/overlying vertebral width. The DH ratio was defined as the postoperative DH/preoperative DH. Simple linear regression and multivariate linear regression analyses were applied to assess the correlation between DHs and leg pain scores 12 months after surgery. Results : A total of 118 patients who underwent microdiscectomy were included. DH decreased up to 12 months after surgery. The DH ratio at 1, 6, and 12 months after discectomy showed a significant positive correlation with the pain scores at 12 months after discectomy (1 month : p=0.045, B=0.52; 6 months : p=0.008, B=0.78; 12 months : p=0.005, B=0.69). Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that the level of surgery, sex, age, and body mass index had no significant relationship with back pain scores after 12 months. Conclusion : In patients who underwent microdiscectomy, the DH ratios at 1, 6, and 12 months after surgery were prognostic factors for back pain scores at 12 months after surgery. Aggressive discectomy is recommended for lower postoperative DH ratios and Visual analog scale scores, leading to improved patient satisfaction.

The Prognostic Values of Acute Physiological Parameters in Hemorrhagic Stroke Patients: Differences Between Patients with High and Low Glasgow Coma Scale Scores on Admission (출혈성 뇌졸중 환자의 생리적 예측 인자에 대한 연구: 입원시 Glasgow Coma Scale 점수에 따른 비교)

  • Seo, Wha Sook;Oh, Hyun Soo
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: This study was to identify the significant acute physiological predictors of mortality and of functional and cognitive recovery in hemorrhagic stroke patients. Methods: The subjects were 108 hemorrhagic stroke patients admitted to Neurological Intensive Care Unit of a university hospital. Results: The significant physiological predictors of mortality and of functional and cognitive recovery were quite different upon admission Glasgow Coma Scale scores: respiratory rate, hematocrit, serum pH, osmolality, and $PaCO_2$ were the predictors in the subjects with a high Glasgow Coma Scale scores while blood pressure, $PaO_2$, respiratory rate, and hematocrit in the subjects with a low Glasgow coma scale scores. Conclusion: The physiological derangements induced by acute stroke are undoubtedly influence clinical outcome. More study is required to determine their diverse impacts on clinical outcomes.

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Clinical features and prognostic factors in drowning children: a regional experience

  • Son, Kyung Lae;Hwang, Su Kyeong;Choi, Hee Joung
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.59 no.5
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    • pp.212-217
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: This study aimed to evaluate the clinical features of children who have survived a water submersion incident, and to identify risk factors for prognosis. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients who experienced submersion between January 2005 and December 2014. The patients were classified into 2 groups, according to complications, and prognostic factors were evaluated. Results: During the study period, 29 children experienced submersion (20 boys and 9 girls; mean age, $83.8{\pm}46.4$ months). Submersion occurred most commonly in the summer, with the peak incidence in August. The most frequent Szpilman clinical score was grade 5 (13 patients; 44.8%), followed by grade 6 (7 patients; 24.1%), and grades 1 or 2 (3 patients; 10.3%). Five children (17.2%) in the poor prognosis group died or had hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy, and the overall mortality rate was 6.9%. Poor prognosis after submersion was associated with lower consciousness levels (P=0.003), higher Szpilman scores (P=0.007), greater need for intubation and mechanical ventilator support (P=0.001), and longer duration of oxygen therapy (P=0.015). Poor prognosis was also associated with lower bicarbonate levels (P=0.038), as well as higher sodium, aspartate transaminase (AST), and alanine transaminase (ALT) levels (P=0.034, P=0.006, and P=0.005, respectively). Szpilman clinical scores were positively correlated with consciousness levels (r=0.489, P=0.002) and serum liver enzyme levels (AST and ALT; r=0.521, P=0.004). Conclusion: We characterized the prognostic factors associated with submersion outcomes, using the Szpilman clinical score, which is comparable to consciousness level for predicting mortality.