• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제13권6호
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• pp.1043-1050
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• 2010

This paper examined the probabilistic load analysis for the tailplane during pitching maneuvering in the conceptual aircraft design phase. The flight load analysis based on the probabilistic distribution of design variables are compared with the results of the deterministic analysis. Two forms of variable distribution are used in this paper. One is standard normal distribution, the other distribution is calculated from the results of short-period longitudinal equation of aircraft motion. The influence of the distribution parameter on the probabilistic load analysis was investigated and the significant design variables that have an impact on the mean and variance of probabilistic load were identified. The comparison indicates that probabilistic load analysis provides more reliable probabilistic load distribution for the structural design than the traditional deterministic analysis.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.367-371
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• 2015

In this paper, a novel localization method for a monocular camera is proposed by using a feature-based probabilistic map. The localization of a camera is generally estimated from 3D-to-2D correspondences between a 3D map and an image plane through the PnP algorithm. In the computer vision communities, an accurate 3D map is generated by optimization using a large number of image dataset for camera pose estimation. In robotics communities, a camera pose is estimated by probabilistic approaches with lack of feature. Thus, it needs an extra system because the camera system cannot estimate a full state of the robot pose. Therefore, we propose an accurate localization method for a monocular camera using a probabilistic approach in the case of an insufficient image dataset without any extra system. In our system, features from a probabilistic map are projected into an image plane using linear approximation. By minimizing Mahalanobis distance between the projected features from the probabilistic map and extracted features from a query image, the accurate pose of the monocular camera is estimated from an initial pose obtained by the PnP algorithm. The proposed algorithm is demonstrated through simulations in a 3D space.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.329-336
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• 2012

For designing broadcast protocols in mobile ad hoc networks (MANETs), one of the important goals is to reduce the rebroadcast packets redundancy while reaching all the nodes in network. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic broadcasting mechanism based on selfishness and additional coverage in MANETs. Our approach dynamically adjusts the rebroadcast probability according to the extra covered area and number of neighbor nodes. By these two factors, mobile hosts can be classified into three groups: normal, low selfishness, and high selfishness groups. The nodes in the normal group forward packets for other nodes with high probability, whereas the nodes in the low selfishness group rebroadcast packets with low probability and the nodes in the high selfishness group do not rebroadcast packets. We compared our approach with simple flooding and the fixed probabilistic approach. The simulation results show that the proposed schemes can significantly reduce the number of retransmissions by up to 40% compared simple flooding and fixed probabilistic scheme without significant reduction in the network reachability and end-to-end packet delay.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집(II)
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• pp.181-184
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• 2006

Traditional durability analysis is not possible to provide a controlled durability and long-term performance of concrete structures. Recently, research works have shown that probabilistic approach based on the theory of structural reliability, would be very valuable for durability analysis. In this study, the probabilistic durability analysis based on a Monte Carlo Simulation was carried out using sample data selected from detailed field investigation. The probabilistic properties of some design variables, such as diffusion coefficients of concrete and surface chloride concentration, were newly determined using some experimental data. By applying a probabilistic durability analysis to an integral structural design, the durability performance of concrete structures would be remarkably improved.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제54권11호
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• pp.533-539
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• 2005

According to NERC definition, Available Transfer Capability (ATC) is a measure of the transfer capability remaining in the physical transmission network for the future commercial activity. To calculate Available Transfer Capability, accurate and defensible Total Transfer Capability, Capacity Benefit Margin and Transmission Reliability Margin should be calculated in advance. This paper proposes a method to quantify time varying Available Transfer Capability based on probabilistic approach. The uncertainties of power system and market are considered as complex random variables. Total Transfer Capability is determined by optimization technique such as SQP(Sequential Quadratic Programming). Transmission Reliability Margin with the desired probabilistic margin is calculated based on Probabilistic Load Flow analysis, and Capacity Benefit Margin is evaluated using LOLE of the system. Suggested Available Transfer Capability quantification method is verified using IEEE RTS with 72 bus. The proposed method shows efficiency and flexibility for the quantification of Available Transfer Capability.

• Composites Research
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.29-35
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• 2013

복합재료 샌드위치 구조는 굽힘 강성을 향상시키고 복합재 적층판에 비해 30% 이상의 무게를 절감할 수 있다. 그러나 일반 금속에 비해 제작과정에서 발생되는 재료물성의 불확실성이 많이 내재되어 있으므로 신뢰성 기반 확률론적 설계방법이 요구된다. 본 논문에서는 안전계수를 이용한 고전적인 설계 방법이 구조물의 안전을 보장하지 않는다는 확률론적 증거를 제시하기 위하여 단순화된 복합재 샌드위치 동체에 대해 PMS(Probabilistic Margin of Safety)를 계산하였다. 이 과정에서 CMCS(Crude Monte-Carlo Simulation)에 의해 계산된 확률밀도함수를 이용하였다. 더 나아가 신뢰성 기반 최적설계를 수행하고 효율적인 계산을 위해 RBDO-MPDF(RBDO by Moving PDF) 방법을 제시하였다. 본 논문의 결과는 구조물의 신뢰성을 보장하기 위한 개선된 설계 방법과 효율적인 신뢰성 기반 최적설계 방법 연구에 유용할 것이다.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.207-217
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• 2017

Because of the inevitable uncertainties such as structural parameters, external excitations and measurement noises, the effects of uncertainties should be taken into consideration in structural damage detection. In this paper, two probabilistic structural damage detection approaches are proposed to account for the underlying uncertainties in structural parameters and external excitation. The first approach adopts the statistical moment-based structural damage detection (SMBDD) algorithm together with the sensitivity analysis of the damage vector to the uncertain parameters. The approach takes the advantage of the strength SMBDD, so it is robust to measurement noise. However, it requests the number of measured responses is not less than that of unknown structural parameters. To reduce the number of measurements requested by the SMBDD algorithm, another probabilistic structural damage detection approach is proposed. It is based on the integration of structural damage detection using temporal moments in each time segment of measured response time history with the sensitivity analysis of the damage vector to the uncertain parameters. In both approaches, probability distribution of damage vector is estimated from those of uncertain parameters based on stochastic finite element model updating and probabilistic propagation. By comparing the two probability distribution characteristics for the undamaged and damaged models, probability of damage existence and damage extent at structural element level can be detected. Some numerical examples are used to demonstrate the performances of the two proposed approaches, respectively.

• 전산구조공학
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.93-99
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• 1989

1960년대 이후 구조공학자들이 구조해석 및 설계시의 고려대상(하중, 부재저항력 등)에 내재하는 불확실성을 구조물 안전도의 중요 영향인자로 인식하게 됨에 따라 확률이론을 도입한 구조해석 및 설계법이 급속히 발달하였고, 이 분야의 연구결과에 히입어 최근에는 기존 시방서에 이러한 설계법의 도입이 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 이러한 세계적인 경향에 맞추어, 국내에서도 확률론적 설계법을 도입하기 위해서는 설계시 고려되어야 하는 작용하중의 확률적 특성을 규명하는 연구가 선행되어야 한다. 이에 본 연구에서는 아파트에 작용하는 적재하중의 자료를 체계적으로 수집, 통계처리하여 확률적 특성을 분석하였다. 또한 이 자료를 이용하여 사용기간 동안의 극한값을 분석하여 현행 설계하중과 비교하였고, 부재별로 합리적인 설계하중안을 제시하였다.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술발표회
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• pp.707-714
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• 2009

The design response spectrum generally used in Korea is decided by the site coefficients determined by deterministic methodology, while it is based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. The design response spectrum has to be made using probabilistic method which includes uncertainties of ground motions and ground properties for coincide with probabilistic methodology of seismic hazard analysis. In this study probabilistic site coefficients were developed, which were defined by the results of site response analysis using a set of ground motion that was compatible with present seismic hazard map. The design response spectrum defined by probabilistic seismic coefficients resulted in lower spectrum in long period area and larger spectrum in short period area. Also, the maximum spectral accelerations in site class D and site class E were lower than one in site class C while in the previous design response spectrum the maximum spectral acceleration increased from site class A to E.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.711-725
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• 2013

A heuristic with multi-byte suffix matching plays an important role in real pattern matching algorithms. By skipping many characters at a time in the process of comparing a given pattern with the text, the pattern matching algorithm based on a heuristic with multi-byte suffix matching shows a faster average search time than algorithms based on deterministic finite automata. Based on various experimental results and simulations, the previous works show that the pattern matching algorithms with multi-byte suffix matching performs well. However, there have been limited studies on the mathematical model for analyzing the performance in a standard manner. In this paper, we propose a new probabilistic model, which evaluates the performance of a heuristic with multi-byte suffix matching in an average-case search. When the theoretical analysis results and experimental results were compared, the proposed probabilistic model was found to be sufficient for evaluating the performance of a heuristic with suffix matching in the real pattern matching algorithms.