• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.117-125
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• 2003

In sampling survey, prior-information about population has been generally ignored to estimate parameters. But if there is some believable prior-information about population, it is very useful to get more efficiency estimators by using the prior-information. This paper shows how to estimate the parameter, to evaluate the variance of the estimator, and to un-biasness of the estimator by using multiple stratification with prior-information about survey population. The proposed method is illustrated with a set of hypothetical data. The results show that the proposed estimator is very efficiency and strongly recommendable.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.19 no.8
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• pp.1446-1452
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• 1994

In this paper, Weibull distribution is applied to the lifetme distribution of a device. The method of Bayesian estimate used to estimate requiring parameter in order to predict lifetime of device using accelerated lifetime test data, namely failure time of device. The method of Bayesian estimate needs prior information in order to estimate parameter. But this paper proposed the method of parameter estimate without prior information. As stress is temperature, Arrhenius model is applied and the method of linear estimate is applied to predict lifetime of device at the state of normal operation.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.685-699
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• 2006

Commercial banks and other related areas have developed internal models to better quantify their financial risks. Since an appropriate credit risk model plays a very important role in the risk management at financial institutions, it needs more accurate model which forecasts the credit losses, and statistical inference on that model is required. In this paper, we propose a new method for estimating a default rate. It is a Bayesian approach using the power prior which allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the default rate. Inference on current data could be more reliable if there exist similar data based on previous studies. Ibrahim and Chen (2000) utilize these data to characterize the power prior. It allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the parameters in the models. We demonstrate our methodologies with a real data set regarding SOHO data and also perform a simulation study.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.26-35
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• 2005

This paper is intended to compare the hazard rate estimations from Bayesian approach and maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) method. Hazard rate frequently involves unknown parameters and it is common that those parameters are estimated from observed data by using MLE method. Such estimated parameters are appropriate as long as there are sufficient data. Due to various reasons, however, we frequently cannot obtain sufficient data so that the result of MLE method may be unreliable. In order to resolve such a problem we need to rely on the judgement about the unknown parameters. We do this by adopting the Bayesian approach. The first one is to use a predictive distribution and the second one is a method called Bayesian estimate. In addition, in the Bayesian approach, the prior distribution has a critical effect on the result of analysis, so we introduce the method using computerized-simulation to elicit an effective prior distribution. For the simplicity, we use exponential and gamma distributions as a likelihood distribution and its natural conjugate prior distribution, respectively. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the potential benefits of the Bayesian approach.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.87-97
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• 2020

In this study, the applicability of the geostatistical evolution strategy as an inverse analysis method of estimating hydraulic properties of small-scale basin was tested. The geostatistical evolution strategy is a type of data assimilation method that can effectively estimate aquifer hydraulic conductivity by combining a global optimization model of the evolution strategy and a local optimization model of the ensemble Kalman filtering. In the applicability test, the geometry, hydraulic boundary conditions, and the distribution of groundwater monitoring wells of Hanlim-Eup were employed. On the other hand, a synthetic hydraulic conductivity distribution was generated and used as the reference property for ease of estimation quality assessment. In the estimations, two different cases were tested where, in Case I, both groundwater levels and hydraulic conductivity measurements were assumed to be available, and only the groundwater levels were available, in Case II. In both cases, the reference and estimated hydraulic conductivity fields were found to show reasonable similarity, even though the prior information for estimation was not accurate. The ability to estimate hydraulic conductivity without accurate prior information suggests that this method can be used effectively to estimate mathematical properties in real-world cases, many of which little prior information is available for the aquifer conditions.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.173-181
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• 1993

Nonparametric empirical Bayes estimation of a distribution function with respect to dirichlet process prior is considered when sample sizes are varying from component to component. Zehnwirth's estimate of $\alpha$(R) is modified to be used in our empirical Bayes problem with non-identical components.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.115-122
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• 2016

The classical statistical approach using test data samples to estimate true value of Random Variables by calculating mean and variation (standard deviation or coefficient of variation) of samples is very useful to understand the existing condition of the structure. But with this classical approach, our prior knowledge through educational background and professional experience cannot provide any benefit to make decisions by the structural engineers. This paper shows the role of Bayesian methodology by providing chance of using valuable prior knowledge to come up with more accurate estimation of structural condition. This paper also shows how important it is to have a proper prior estimate of Random Variables and corresponding confidence level through gathering and studying more relevant information.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.10 no.5
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• pp.2179-2188
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• 2015

Recently, many researches have been done to solve the challenging problem of Blind Source Separation (BSS) problems in the underdetermined cases, and the “Two-step” method is widely used, which estimates the mixing matrix first and then extracts the sources. To estimate the mixing matrix, conventional algorithms such as Single-Source-Points (SSPs) detection only exploits the sparsity of original signals. This paper proposes a new underdetermined mixing matrix estimation method for time-delayed mixtures based on the receiver prior exploitation. The prior information is extracted from the specific structure of the complex-valued mixing matrix, which is used to derive a special criterion to determine the SSPs. Moreover, after selecting the SSPs, Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering (AHC) is used to automaticly cluster, suppress, and estimate all the elements of mixing matrix. Finally, a convex-model based subspace method is applied for signal separation. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can estimate the mixing matrix and extract the original source signals with higher accuracy especially in low SNR environments, and does not need the number of sources before hand, which is more reliable in the real non-cooperative environment.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.30 no.1
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• pp.163-178
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• 2001

We consider the experimental design problem of selecting values of design variables x for observation of a response y that depends on x and on model parameters $\theta$. The form of the dependence may be quite general, including all linear and nonlinear modeling situations. The goal of the design selection is to efficiently estimate functions of $\theta$. Three new criteria for selecting design points x are presented. The criteria generalized the usual Bayesian optimal design criteria to situations n which the prior distribution for $\theta$ amy be uncertain. We assume that there are several possible prior distributions,. The new criteria are applied to the nonlinear problem of designing to estimate the turning point of a quadratic equation. We give both analytic and computational results illustrating the robustness of the optimal designs based on the new criteria.

• Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.175-182
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• 2001

We consider the problem of determining smoothing parameters of Gibbs priors for Bayesian methods used in the medical imaging application of emission tomographic reconstruction. We address a simple smoothing prior (membrane) whose global hyperparameter (the smoothing parameter) controls the bias/variance tradeoff of the solution. We base our maximum-likelihood (ML) estimates of hyperparameters on observed training data, and argue the motivation for this approach. Good results are obtained with a simple ML estimate of the smoothing parameter for the membrane prior.