• Title/Summary/Keyword: price down

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Predicting Korea Composite Stock Price Index Movement Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 한국 종합주가지수의 방향성 예측)

  • 박종엽;한인구
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.103-121
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    • 1995
  • This study proposes a artificial neural network method to predict the time to buy and sell the stocks listed on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index(KOSPI). Four types (NN1, NN2, NN3, NN4) of independent networks were developed to predict KOSPIs up/down direction after four weeks. These networks have a difference only in the length of learning period. NN5 - arithmetic average of four networks outputs - shows an higher accuracy than other network types and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), and buying and selling simulation using systems outputs produces higher reture than buy-and-hold strategy.

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Correlation Analysis Among the Price of Apartments in Seoul, Stock Market and main Economic Indicators (서울지역 아파트가격과 주식시장 및 주요 경제지표와의 상관관계 분석)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il;Lee, Ok-Dong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2014
  • Real estate has been the most preferable investment asset since 1980's has begun. Especially the ups and downs of housing price influence significantly on the household and national economy for a digital economy. In this analysis, monthly movement of apartment price of Seoul and its correlation with KOSPI, construction concerned shares, securities concerned shares, interest rate and exchange rate for 320 months(from January, 1987 to August, 2013) are shown. From the analysis, correlation coefficient of the price of apartment in Seoul and KOSPI is 0.8566 which is highly positive while the price of apartment in Seoul and interest rate are shown strong negative correlation which is -0.7846. The rise of stock market does affect the rise of the price of apartments in Seoul, on the contrary, the price goes down when the interest rate goes up.

Dental implant cost by top-down approach (하향식(Top-down)방식을 적용한 치과 임플란트 원가산정)

  • Shin, Hosung;Kim, Min-Young
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.416-424
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the cost of dental implant by top-down method and, on that basis, to provide salient information for the suitable standard of dental insurance fee. A survey data and accounting documents from 36 samples of dental clinics secured with the organisation authority are used and analysed for extracting the representative sample of dental clinic. A researcher visited the dental clinics in person and conducted additional interviews in the omitted case of accounting documents. A dental implant cost by top-down method was estimated to 1,430,000 won. Labor cost accounted for 43% of the total cost structure, ranking it 1st and, management cost, material cost and interest cost on investment cost in order are investigated. Labor cost counts of the total cost that shows the similar aspect to the existing result. Cost in cost accounting of medical care would be used for the judge that cost pursed value for dental service, not price or fee.

Marketing Activities of Producers' Organization and Direction of Consumption Increase on Organic Farming Products (유기농산물 생산자 조직의 유통활동과 소비확대 방향)

  • Kim, Ho
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.13-28
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    • 1995
  • This study analyzed marketing activities of producers' organization on organic farming products(O.F.Ps), and was inquired into direction of consumption increase by it. As a result, in order to raise marketing efficiency and to increase consumption of O.F.Ps, the present questions and issues which are to be solved is as follows: Consumer's confidence for O.F.Ps should be obtained broadly and formally. Particulary, the use of brand such as 'no pollution' or ' no pesticides' should be forbidden without institutional certification. Thus cosumers should be able to distinguish O.F.Ps from general farming products(G.F.Ps) by the brand. Also physical marketing is inefficient since many items are marketed in small amount, and marketing cost is spendedtoo much relatively. Physical marketing center to cut down this expenses should be constructed under government support largely. And the consumers' price of O.F.Ps tends to be fixed all the year round. Owing to this feature, the consumers' price of G.F.Ps have severely influece upon at once demand and supply of O.F.Ps. The associations of consumer and producer should allow O.F.Ps price to fluctuate in proportion to G.F.Ps price. Besides, both should vary marketing patterns. Finally, government should help both associations legally and institutionally to improve all economic activities.

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On eBay's Fee Structure from a Channel Coordination Perspective

  • Chen, Jen-Ming;Cheng, Hung-Liang;Chien, Mei-Chen
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2010
  • Can eBay.com's fee structure coordinate the channel? It's a critical strategic problem in e-commerce operations and an interesting research hypothesis as well. eBay's fees include three parts: monthly subscription fee, insertion fee, and final value fee (i.e., a revenue sharing portion), which represent a generic form of revenue sharing fee structure between the retailer and the vendor in a supply chain. This research deals with such a channel consisting of a price-setting vendor who sells products through eBay's marketplace exclusively to the end customers. The up- and down-stream channel relationship is consignment-based revenue sharing. We use a game-theoretic approach with assumption of the retailer (i.e., eBay.com) being a Stackelberg-leader and the vendor being a follower. The Stackelberg-leader decides on the terms of revenue sharing contract (i.e., fee structure), and the follower (vendor) decides on how many units to sell and the items' selling price. This study formulates several profit-maximization models by considering the effects of the retail price on the demand function. Under such settings, we show that eBay's fee structure can improve the channel efficiency; yet it cannot coordinate the channel optimally.

Regional Patterns of Farmland Price Changes for the Farmland Reverse Mortgage System (농지연금 도입에 따른 지역별 농지가격의 변동형태 분석 -경기도와 경상북도 지역을 대상으로-)

  • Lim, Dae-Bong;Cho, Deok-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.663-680
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    • 2010
  • This paper aims at analysing Regional Patterns of Farmland Price Changes for the Farmland Reverse Mortgage System. Farmland Reverse Mortgage(FRM) is a system in which the aged farmers in the rural areas receive certain amount of money monthly through the liquidation of their own farmlands for the life time. Farmland price affects the farmland annuity considerably. In the future, if the farmland price goes down than the price when the borrower joined FRM, the borrower can get profits from the pension. Based on the results, the farmland price of Kyeonggi-do is strongly related to economic growth rates(index of industrial product). while that of Gyeongsangbuk-do is weakly related to economic variables including economic growth rates. Therefore, the expectation of farmland value rising rate will be higher in Kyeonggi-do than in Gyeongsangbuk-do. Thus the number of borrowers who want to join FRM in Gyeongsangbuk-do will be more than those in Kyeonggi-do.

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The Research on the Cost Analysis of the Abalone Aquacultural Management in Korea (전복 양식업의 경영비 분석과 정책 시사점 연구)

  • Ock, Young-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2015
  • The abalone aquaculture has been very rapidly developed in Korea. Annual production quantity was less 200 tons before 2000th, it have been increased to over 9,000 tons in 2014. Also Abalone export amounts have been over 20 million dollars. The reason of rapid growth of Abalone aquaculture in Korea is due to high level profit ratio. Then now many fishing officers and other aquaculture fishers want to participate with abalone aquaculture newly. However Recent Abalone aquaculture in Korea is faced some problems. Aspects of production environmental status of fishing grounds are more aggravate, and then abalone aquaculture is exposed to various disease, and death rate of young abalone is higher. And aspect of management, the aquaculture cost is more increase. The demand of abalone also is depressing recently, this cause to come down the production price. In this viewpoint, Management analysis of abalone aquaculture in Korea is helpful for decision making of general aquaculture fisher want to participate newly. The analysis is practiced two aspects. One is index analysis, and the other is Break-even-point(BEP) analysis. The result of index analysis, average net profit rate has shown 28.0%, however the Regional difference has excessive. That is, Wando(major) has shown 39.4%, and Haenam province has shown 14.2%. On the other hand, the more scale has shown higher profit rate by aquaculture scale. And the result of BEP analysis, average has shown 93 cage number per abalone aquaculture household, and Wando(major) has shown 56 cage number, Haenam province has shown 131 cage number. The lower production abalone price of recent means higher BEP level.

Current Issues on the Free Trade System for Dairy Industry (수입자유화와 낙농에 관한 소고)

  • Lee, Man-Jae
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 1996
  • The world dairy industry has been driving their dairy policy on the basis of the self-supportihg principle. With progressing the GATT negotiation, the objective production amount has been reduced to maintain the optimum level, which decreasing the extra supply and over-stock before the U.R talks. The Oceania countries, where has the price competition capability, are continually increasing the milk production amount. Even through the USA is trying to increase their production amount with new export policy, the U.S.S.R collapse-down caused to decrease the milk production in world-wide basis. Because the U.S.S.R produced the highest amount of milk in the world. Moreover Europe Union countries, which recorded the half amount of dairy products in the world was decreasing their milk production. Therefore, about 4% of shortage is encountering at major dairy production countries in the standpoint of supply and demand. The drastic increasement of foreign dairy product import affects the domestic dairy industry with raw milk replacement and new dairy food demands creation since 1995, the initial period of free import system. Now, the domestic dairy industry are facing the inevitable problems such as the correction of producting and processing system. First of all, our dairy industry should resettle down the dairy production structure on the basis of self-supply of raw milk and offer the accurate dairy food informations. We still need to improve the raw milk quality. Also, more efforts are needed to have proper raw milk price policy. General domestic policies including the settlement of raw milk supply and demand, the reliability of inspection system in raw milk, ideal raw milk price system, centralization of raw milk collection, specially separated dairy organization should be improved legally in our dairy industry.

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A Study on Properties of Crude Oil Based Derivative Linked Security (유가 연계 파생결합증권의 특성에 대한 연구)

  • Sohn, Kyoung-Woo;Chung, Ji-Yeong
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.243-260
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This paper aims to investigate the properties of crude oil based derivative security (DLS) focusing on step-down type for comprehensive understanding of its risk. Design/methodology/approach - Kernel estimation is conducted to figure out statistical feature of the process of oil price. We simulate oil price paths based on kernel estimation results and derive probabilities of hitting the barrier and early redemption. Findings - The amount of issuance for crude oil based DLS is relatively low when base prices are below $40 while it is high when base prices are around $60 or $100, which is not consistent with kernel estimation results showing that oil futures prices tend to revert toward $46.14 and the mean-reverting speed is faster as oil price is lower. The analysis based on simulated oil price paths reveals that probability of early redemption is below 50% for DLS with high base prices and the ratio of the probability of early redemption to the probability of hitting barrier is remarkably low compared to the case for DLS with low base prices, as the chance of early redemption is deferred. Research implications or Originality - Empirical results imply that the level of the base price is a crucial factor of the risk for DLS, thus introducing a time-varying knock-in barrier, which is similar to adjust the base price, merits consideration to enhance protection for DLS investors.

A study on the Stable Supply of Fishery Oil in Korea (어업용 유류의 안정적인 공급에 관한 연구)

  • 강연실;이광남
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.115-133
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    • 2000
  • The policy of suppling tax-exempt fishery oil in Korea has a history of almost 40 years, which was initiated by the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives in 1965. In 1999 the volume of fishery oil supplied to the earning fishermen and fishing entrepreneurs amounted to 8,390 thousand DM, 500 billion won in total. This paper analyzes the oil supplying system to fishermen in Korea and shows that the structural obstacles to the stable provision of fishery oil lies in the ineffective bargaining power (fixing price). Provided that the NFFC as a buyer, which is not equipped with the storage facilities for oil bids for a unit-price contract of fishery oil, there exists a possibility of collusion among 5 local oil refineries corporations to influence the oil price, making it difficult to reach a resonable price of oil. Though the international bids and direct imports following the liberalization of oil imports would help lower the unit price, purchasing and importing the oil out of season at a lower price would not be guaranteed without the oil storage facilities. Furthermore, the current supply system of oil is quite vulnerable to the extraneous factors and, say when the oil price soars unpredictably, it is almost impossible to supply low - priced fishery oil to fishermen. The National Federation of Fisheries Association of Japan(Zengyoren), for instance, possesses 10 oil storage facilities, which had been built across the country during the last 20 years (1964-1984). The storage capacity of these facilities reaches 0.6million DM(by kind, 0.56million DM for A heavy oil, 38thousand D/M kerosene, 5thousand D/M for diesel fuel oil). Allowing no intermediary of production associations(fisheries cooperatives) the NFFA's capacity for keeping oil in reserve rises much higher. As these storage facilities can keep the oil amounting to as much as of 70 days demand in reserve, a stable supply of fishery oil on favorable terms is secured. In contrast with Japan case, unequipped with the storage facilities for fishery oil, Korea does not have much bargaining power for bringing down the price of fishery oil. To make matters worse, the oil storing capacity of the member cooperatives is the volume of only 8 days demand. In case the oil price rises, it is almost impossible to supply the oil to the fishermen at a price lower than the price risen.

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