• 제목/요약/키워드: predictive role

검색결과 286건 처리시간 0.026초

Fundamental materials research in view of predicting the performance of concrete structures

  • Breugel, K. van
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2006
  • For advanced civil engineering structures a service life of hundred up to hundred fifty and even two hundred years is sometimes required. The prediction of the performance of concrete structures over such a long period requires accurate and reliable predictive models. Most of the presently used, mostly experience based models don't have the quality and reliability that is required for reliable long-term predictions. The models designers are searching for should be based on an accurate description of the relevant degradation mechanisms. The starting point of such models is a realistic description of the microstructure of the concrete. In this presentation the need and the role of fundamental microstructural models for predicting the performance of concrete structures will be presented. An example will be given of a microstructural model with a proven potential for long-term predictions. Besides this also the role of models in general, i.e. in the whole design and execution process of concrete structures, will be dealt with. Finally recent trends in concrete research will be presented, like the research on self-healing cement-bases systems.

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만성질환자 가족의 삶의 질 예측모형 구축에 관한 연구 (A Model for Quality of Life of Family Caregivers with a Chronically Ill Patient)

  • 박은숙;이숙자;박영주
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.344-357
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    • 1998
  • This study was designed to construct a model that predicts the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. The hypothetical model was developed based on the findings from past studies on quality of life and on the family with a chronically ill patient. Data were collected by self-reported questionnaires from 200 family caregivers in Seoul & Kyung Gi-Do, from May 1 to July 21, 1997. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and correlation analysis. The Linear Structural Relationship(LISREL) modeling process was used to find the best fit model which predicts causal relationships among variables. The results are as follows : 1. The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was moderate [X$^2$=31.54(df=23, p=.11), GFI=.96, AGFI=.91, RMR=.04]. 2. Paths of the model were modified by considering both its theoretical implication and the statistical significance of the parameter estimates. Compared to the hypothetical model, the revised model has become parsimonious and had a better fit to the data expect chi-square value(GFI=.95, AGFI=.91, RMR=.04). 3. Some of predictive factors, especially economic status, physical ability to perform daily-life activity, period after disease-onset, social support and fatigue revealed indirect effects on the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. 4. The factors, burden and role satisfaction revealed significant direct effects on the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. 5. All predictive variables of quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient, especially economic status, physical ability to perform daily-life activity, period after disease-onset, social support, fatigue, burden and role satisfaction explained 38.0% of the total variance in the model. In conclusion, the derived model in this study is considered appropriate in explaining and predicting quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. Therefore it can effectively be used as a reference model for further studies and suggests direction in nursing practice.

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비즈니스 인텔리전스 시스템의 활용 방안에 관한 연구: 설명 기능을 중심으로 (A study on the use of a Business Intelligence system : the role of explanations)

  • 권영옥
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.155-169
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    • 2014
  • 다양한 빅데이터 기술이 발전함에 따라, 기업의 전략결정에 있어서 과거에는 의사결정자의 직관이나 경험에 의존하는 경향이 있었다면, 현재는 데이터를 활용한 과학적이고 분석적인 접근이 이루어지고 있다. 이에 많은 기업들이 경영정보시스템 중의 하나인 비즈니스 인텔리전스 (Business Intelligence) 시스템의 예측분석 기능을 활용하고 있다. 하지만, 이러한 시스템이 미래의 경영환경 변화를 예측하고 기업의 의사결정을 돕는 조언자 (Advisor)로서 역할을 한다고 가정할 때, 시스템에서 제공하는 분석결과가 의사결정자에게 도움을 주는 조언 (Advice) 의 역할을 하지 못하는 경우가 많은 실정이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 미래예측의 문제에 있어 의사결정자가 시스템의 조언을 따르는데 영향을 미치는 요소들과 영향력에 대해 분석하고, 그 결과를 바탕으로 데이터 기반의 의사결정을 보다 적극적으로 지원하는 시스템 환경을 제시하고자 한다. 좀 더 구체적으로는 예측 과정에 대한 자세한 설명이나 근거 제시가 시스템의 예측결과에 대한 의사결정자의 수용정도에 미치는 영향을 연구하였다. 이를 위하여 193명의 실험자를 대상으로 영화의 개봉 주 매출액을 예측하는 업무를 수행하고, 예측에 대한 설명의 길이와 조언자의 유형(사람과 시스템의 조언 비교)뿐 아니라 의사결정자의 개인 특성이 의사결정자의 조언 수용정도에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 시스템에서 제공하는 조언 내용인 예측결과와 설명에 대해 의사결정가가 느끼는 유용성, 신뢰성, 만족도가 조언의 수용에 미치는 영향도 분석하였다. 본 연구는 시스템의 분석결과를 조언으로 보고 조언자와 조언에 관한 의사결정학 분야의 선행연구를 접목시켜 경영정보시스템 연구 분야를 확장하였다는 점에서 연구의 의의가 있고, 실무적으로도 데이터 기반의 의사결정을 보다 적극적으로 지원할 수 있는 시스템 환경을 만들기 위해서 고려해야 할 점들을 제시함으로써 시스템 활용을 위한 정책결정에도 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 본다.

Serum Talin-1 is a Potential Novel Biomarker for Diagnosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Egyptian Patients

  • Youns, Mahmoud M.;Abdel Wahab, Abdel Hady A.;Hassan, Zeinab A.;Attia, Mohamed S.
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.3819-3823
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    • 2013
  • Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer mortality worldwide. The outcome of HCC depends mainly on its early diagnosis. To date, the performance of traditional biomarkers is unsatisfactory. Talins were firstly identified as cytoplasmic protein partners of integrins but Talin-1 appears to play a crucial role in cancer formation and progression. Our study was conducted to assess the diagnostic value of serum Talin-1 (TLN1) compared to the most feasible traditional biomarker alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for the diagnosis of HCC. Methods: TLN1 was detected using enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in serum samples from 120 Egyptian subjects including 40 with HCC, 40 with liver cirrhosis (LC) and 40 healthy controls (HC). Results: ROC curve analysis was used to create a predictive model for TLN1 relative to AFP in HCC diagnosis. Serum levels of TLN1 in hepatocellular carcinoma patients were significantly higher compared to the other groups (p<0.0001). The diagnostic accuracy of TLN1 was higher than that of AFP regarding sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value in diagnosis of HCC. Conclusions: The present study showed for the first time that Talin-1 (TLN1) is a potential diagnostic marker for HCC, with a higher sensitivity and specificity compared to the traditional biomarker AFP.

Role of Ultrasound in Characterization of Ovarian Masses

  • Hafeez, Saima;Sufian, Saira;Beg, Madiha;Hadi, Quratulain;Jamil, Yasir;Masroor, Imrana
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.603-606
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    • 2013
  • Background: Ovarian cancer is the second most common malignancy in Pakistani women, accounting for 4% of all cancers in the female population. The aim of this study was to determine sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values and 95% confidence intervals for ultrasound in characterization of ovarian masses in patients presenting at public and private tertiary care hospitals in Karachi, Pakistan. Materials and Methods: We adopted a cross-sectional analytical study design to retrospectively collect data from January 2009-11 from medical records of two tertiary care hospitals. Using a non-probability purposive sampling technique, we recruited a sample of 86 women aged between 15 and 85 years fulfilling inclusion criteria with histopathologically proven ovarian masses presenting for an ultrasound examination in our radiology departments. Results: Our retrospective data depicted sensitivity and specificity of ultrasound to be 90.7%, 95%CI (0.77, 0.97) and 91.4%, 95%CI (0.76, 0.98) respectively. Positive predictive value was 93%, 95%CI (0.79, 0.98) and negative predictive value was 89%, 95%CI (0.73, 0.96). A total of 78 ovarian masses were detected, out of which 42 were malignant and 36 were benign. Conclusions: Results of our study further reinforce the conclusion that ultrasound should be used as an initial modality of choice in the workup of every woman suspected of having an ovarian mass. It not only results in decreasing the mortality but also avoids unnecessary surgical interventions.

감정 자세 인식을 위한 자세특징과 감정예측 모델 (Posture features and emotion predictive models for affective postures recognition)

  • 김진옥
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2011
  • 감정 컴퓨팅의 대표적 연구 주제는 기계가 사람의 감정을 인식하여 이에 적절히 대응하는 것이다. 감정 인식 연구에서는 얼굴과 목소리 단서를 이용하여 감정을 포착하는데 집중했으며 최근에 와서 행동자세를 주요 수단으로 이용하고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 감정 표현에서 중요한 역할을 담당하는 자세 특징을 포착하고 확인하여 감정을 판별하는 것이다. 이를 위해 먼저 자세포착시스템으로 다양한 감정 자세를 수집하여 감정별 특징을 공간적 특징으로 설명한다. 그리고 동작을 취하는 행위자가 의도하는 감정과 관찰자가 인지하는 감정 간에 통계적으로 의미 있는 상관관계가 있음을 표준통계기술을 통해 확인한다. 6가지 주요 감정을 판별하기 위해 판별 분석법을 이용하여 감정 자세 예측 모델을 구축하고 자세 특징을 측정한다. 제안 특징과 모델의 평가는 행위자-관찰자 감정 자세 집단의 상관관계를 이용하여 수행한다. 정량적 실험 결과는 제안된 자세 특징으로 감정을 잘 판별하며 감정 예측 모델이 잘 수행됨을 보여준다.

Analyzing Machine Learning Techniques for Fault Prediction Using Web Applications

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Sharma, Anjali
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.751-770
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    • 2018
  • Web applications are indispensable in the software industry and continuously evolve either meeting a newer criteria and/or including new functionalities. However, despite assuring quality via testing, what hinders a straightforward development is the presence of defects. Several factors contribute to defects and are often minimized at high expense in terms of man-hours. Thus, detection of fault proneness in early phases of software development is important. Therefore, a fault prediction model for identifying fault-prone classes in a web application is highly desired. In this work, we compare 14 machine learning techniques to analyse the relationship between object oriented metrics and fault prediction in web applications. The study is carried out using various releases of Apache Click and Apache Rave datasets. En-route to the predictive analysis, the input basis set for each release is first optimized using filter based correlation feature selection (CFS) method. It is found that the LCOM3, WMC, NPM and DAM metrics are the most significant predictors. The statistical analysis of these metrics also finds good conformity with the CFS evaluation and affirms the role of these metrics in the defect prediction of web applications. The overall predictive ability of different fault prediction models is first ranked using Friedman technique and then statistically compared using Nemenyi post-hoc analysis. The results not only upholds the predictive capability of machine learning models for faulty classes using web applications, but also finds that ensemble algorithms are most appropriate for defect prediction in Apache datasets. Further, we also derive a consensus between the metrics selected by the CFS technique and the statistical analysis of the datasets.

기계학습을 이용한 유동가속부식 모델링: 랜덤 포레스트와 비선형 회귀분석과의 비교 (Modeling of Flow-Accelerated Corrosion using Machine Learning: Comparison between Random Forest and Non-linear Regression)

  • 이경근;이은희;김성우;김경모;김동진
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2019
  • Flow-Accelerated Corrosion (FAC) is a phenomenon in which a protective coating on a metal surface is dissolved by a flow of fluid in a metal pipe, leading to continuous wall-thinning. Recently, many countries have developed computer codes to manage FAC in power plants, and the FAC prediction model in these computer codes plays an important role in predictive performance. Herein, the FAC prediction model was developed by applying a machine learning method and the conventional nonlinear regression method. The random forest, a widely used machine learning technique in predictive modeling led to easy calculation of FAC tendency for five input variables: flow rate, temperature, pH, Cr content, and dissolved oxygen concentration. However, the model showed significant errors in some input conditions, and it was difficult to obtain proper regression results without using additional data points. In contrast, nonlinear regression analysis predicted robust estimation even with relatively insufficient data by assuming an empirical equation and the model showed better predictive power when the interaction between DO and pH was considered. The comparative analysis of this study is believed to provide important insights for developing a more sophisticated FAC prediction model.

Involvement of FoxM1 in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Recurrence

  • Xu, Nuo;Wu, Sheng-Di;Wang, Hao;Wang, Qun;Bai, Chun-Xue
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권9호
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    • pp.4739-4743
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    • 2012
  • Background: Predictive biomarkers for lung cancer recurrence after curative tumor resection remain unclear. This study set out to assess the role of FoxM1 in the recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer. Methods: Immunohistochemistry for FoxM1 expression was performed on paraffin-embedded tumor tissues from 165 NSCLC patients. Association of FoxM1 expression with clinicopathological parameters and disease free survival were evaluated. Results: Our results indicated FoxM1 expression to be significantly associated with poorer tissue differentiation (P =0.03), higher TNM stage (P <0.01), lymph node metastasis (P <0.01), advanced tumor stage (P <0.01), and poorer disease free survival (P <0.01). Multivariable analysis showed that FoxM1 expression increased the hazard of recurrence (hazard ratio= 1.96, 95% CI, 1.04-3.17, P <0.05), indicating that FoxM1 is an independent and significant predictor of lung cancer recurrence. Conclusion: Therefore, FoxM1 is an independent risk factor for recurrence of NSCLC. Elevated FoxM1 expression could be used as an indicator of poor disease free survival.

실시간 일정계획 문제에 대한 Control 기반의 매개변수 프로그래밍을 이용한 해법의 개발 (Development of An On-line Scheduling Framework Based on Control Principles and its Computation Methodology Using Parametric Programming)

  • 유준형
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.1215-1219
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    • 2006
  • Scheduling plays an important role in the process management in terms of providing profit-maximizing operation sequence of multiple orders and estimating completion times of them. In order to takes its full potential, varying conditions should be properly reflected in computing the schedule. The adjustment of scheduling decisions has to be made frequently in response to the occurrence of variations. It is often challenging because their model has to be adjusted and their solutions have to be computed within short time period. This paper employs Model Predictive Control(MPC) principles for updating the process condition in the scheduling model. The solutions of the resulting problems considering variations are computed using parametric programming techniques. The key advantage of the proposed framework is that repetition of solving similar programming problems with decreasing dimensionis avoided and all potential schedules are obtained before the execution of the actual processes. Therefore, the proposed framework contributes to constructing a robust decision-support tool in the face of varying environment. An example is solved to illustrate the potential of the proposed framework with remarks on potential wide applications.