• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction technique

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Adaptive Inter-Layer Prediction for Intra Texture on H.264 Scalable Video Coding (H.264 기반 스케일러블 비디오 부호화에서 인트라 블럭에 대한 적응적인 계층간 예측 연구)

  • Oh, Hyung-Suk;Park, Seong-Ho;Cheon, Min-Su;Kim, Won-Ha
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.10b
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    • pp.195-197
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    • 2005
  • In the scalable extension of H.264/AVC, spatial scalability is provided residual information as encoding layered spatial resolution between layers. We use the inter-layer prediction to remove this redundancy. In the inter-layer prediction, as the prediction we can use the signal that is the upsampled signal of the lower resolution layer. In this case, coding efficiency can be different from optimal prediction by kinds of interpolation filter. This paper indicates technique to choose the interpolation filter and to enhance coding efficiency for finding more correct prediction in intra macroblock.

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Bankruptcy Prediction using Support Vector Machines (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 기업부도예측)

  • Park, Jung-Min;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Han, In-Goo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2005
  • There has been substantial research into the bankruptcy prediction. Many researchers used the statistical method in the problem until the early 1980s. Since the late 1980s, Artificial Intelligence(AI) has been employed in bankruptcy prediction. And many studies have shown that artificial neural network(ANN) achieved better performance than traditional statistical methods. However, despite ANN's superior performance, it has some problems such as overfitting and poor explanatory power. To overcome these limitations, this paper suggests a relatively new machine learning technique, support vector machine(SVM), to bankruptcy prediction. SVM is simple enough to be analyzed mathematically, and leads to high performances in practical applications. The objective of this paper is to examine the feasibility of SVM in bankruptcy prediction by comparing it with ANN, logistic regression, and multivariate discriminant analysis. The experimental results show that SVM provides a promising alternative to bankruptcy prediction.

A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data (실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구)

  • Jung, Jae-Sung;lee, Jang-Choon;Park, Young-Ki
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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Evolutionary Nonlinear Compensation and Support Vector Machine Based Prediction of Windstorm Advisory (진화적 비선형 보정 및 SVM 분류에 의한 강풍 특보 예측 기법)

  • Seo, Kisung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.12
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    • pp.1799-1803
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    • 2017
  • This paper introduces the prediction methods of windstorm advisory using GP nonlinear compensation and SVM. The existing special report prediction is not specialized for strong wind, such as windstorm, because it is based on the wide range of predicted values for wind speed from low to high. In order to improve the performance of strong wind reporting prediction, a method that can efficiently classify boundaries of strong wind is necessary. First, evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation technique is applied to obtain more accurate values of prediction for wind speed using UM data. Based on the prediction wind speed, the windstorm advisory is determined. Second, SVM method is applied to classify directly using the data of UM predictors and windstorm advisory. Above two methods are compared to evaluate of the performances for the windstorm data in Jeju Island in South Korea. The data of 2007-2009, 2011 year is used for training, and 2012 year is used for test.

Bi-LSTM model with time distribution for bandwidth prediction in mobile networks

  • Hyeonji Lee;Yoohwa Kang;Minju Gwak;Donghyeok An
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.205-217
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    • 2024
  • We propose a bandwidth prediction approach based on deep learning. The approach is intended to accurately predict the bandwidth of various types of mobile networks. We first use a machine learning technique, namely, the gradient boosting algorithm, to recognize the connected mobile network. Second, we apply a handover detection algorithm based on network recognition to account for vertical handover that causes the bandwidth variance. Third, as the communication performance offered by 3G, 4G, and 5G networks varies, we suggest a bidirectional long short-term memory model with time distribution for bandwidth prediction per network. To increase the prediction accuracy, pretraining and fine-tuning are applied for each type of network. We use a dataset collected at University College Cork for network recognition, handover detection, and bandwidth prediction. The performance evaluation indicates that the handover detection algorithm achieves 88.5% accuracy, and the bandwidth prediction model achieves a high accuracy, with a root-mean-square error of only 2.12%.

Efficient Signature-Driven Self-Test for Differential Mixed-Signal Circuits

  • Kim, Byoungho
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.713-718
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    • 2016
  • Predicting precise specifications of differential mixed-signal circuits is a difficult problem, because analytically derived correlation between process variations and conventional specifications exhibits the limited prediction accuracy due to the phase unbalance, for most self-tests. This paper proposes an efficient prediction technique to provide accurate specifications of differential mixed-signal circuits in a system-on-chip (SoC) based on a nonlinear statistical nonlinear regression technique. A spectrally pure sinusoidal signal is applied to a differential DUT, and its output is fed into another differential DUT through a weighting circuitry in the loopback configuration. The weighting circuitry, which is employed from the previous work [3], efficiently produces different weights on the harmonics of the loopback responses, i.e., the signatures. The correlation models, which map the signatures to the conventional specifications, are built based on the statistical nonlinear regression technique, in order to predict accurate nonlinearities of individual DUTs. In production testing, once the efficient signatures are measured, and plugged into the obtained correlation models, the harmonic coefficients of DUTs are readily identified. This work provides a practical test solution to overcome the serious test issue of differential mixed-signal circuits; the low accuracy of analytically derived model is much lower by the errors from the unbalance. Hardware measurement results showed less than 1.0 dB of the prediction error, validating that this approach can be used as production test.

Centroid and Nearest Neighbor based Class Imbalance Reduction with Relevant Feature Selection using Ant Colony Optimization for Software Defect Prediction

  • B., Kiran Kumar;Gyani, Jayadev;Y., Bhavani;P., Ganesh Reddy;T, Nagasai Anjani Kumar
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • Nowadays software defect prediction (SDP) is most active research going on in software engineering. Early detection of defects lowers the cost of the software and also improves reliability. Machine learning techniques are widely used to create SDP models based on programming measures. The majority of defect prediction models in the literature have problems with class imbalance and high dimensionality. In this paper, we proposed Centroid and Nearest Neighbor based Class Imbalance Reduction (CNNCIR) technique that considers dataset distribution characteristics to generate symmetry between defective and non-defective records in imbalanced datasets. The proposed approach is compared with SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique). The high-dimensionality problem is addressed using Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) technique by choosing relevant features. We used nine different classifiers to analyze six open-source software defect datasets from the PROMISE repository and seven performance measures are used to evaluate them. The results of the proposed CNNCIR method with ACO based feature selection reveals that it outperforms SMOTE in the majority of cases.

A Basic Study on Sale Price Prediction Model of Apartment Building Projects using Machine Learning Technique (머신러닝 기반 공동주택 분양가 예측모델 개발 기초연구)

  • Son, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Ji-Myong;Han, Bum-Jin;Na, Young-Ju;Kim, Tae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.151-152
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    • 2021
  • The sale price of apartment buildings is a key factor in the success or failure of apartment projects, and the factors that affect the sale price of apartments vary widely, including location, environmental factors, and economic conditions. Existing methods of predicting the sale price do not reflect the nonlinear characteristics of apartment prices, which are determined by the complex impact factors of reality, because statistical analysis is conducted under the assumption of a linear model. To improve these problems, a new analysis technique is needed to predict apartment sales prices by complex nonlinear influencing factors. Using machine learning techniques that have recently attracted attention in the field of engineering, it is possible to predict the sale price reflecting the complexity of various factors. Therefore, this study aims to conduct a basic study for the development of a machine learning-based prediction model for apartment sale prices.

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Development of Prediction Model of Financial Distress and Improvement of Prediction Performance Using Data Mining Techniques (데이터마이닝 기법을 이용한 기업부실화 예측 모델 개발과 예측 성능 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Raynghyung;Yoo, Donghee;Kim, Gunwoo
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.173-198
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    • 2016
  • Financial distress can damage stakeholders and even lead to significant social costs. Thus, financial distress prediction is an important issue in macroeconomics. However, most existing studies on building a financial distress prediction model have only considered idiosyncratic risk factors without considering systematic risk factors. In this study, we propose a prediction model that considers both the idiosyncratic risk based on a financial ratio and the systematic risk based on a business cycle. Ultimately, we build several IT artifacts associated with financial ratio and add them to the idiosyncratic risk factors as well as address the imbalanced data problem by using an oversampling technique and synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) to ensure good performance. When considering systematic risk, our study ensures that each data set consists of both financially distressed companies and financially sound companies in each business cycle phase. We conducted several experiments that change the initial imbalanced sample ratio between the two company groups into a 1:1 sample ratio using SMOTE and compared the prediction results from the individual data set. We also predicted data sets from the subsequent business cycle phase as a test set through a built prediction model that used business contraction phase data sets, and then we compared previous prediction performance and subsequent prediction performance. Thus, our findings can provide insights into making rational decisions for stakeholders that are experiencing an economic crisis.

Prediction of the Movement Directions of Index and Stock Prices Using Extreme Gradient Boosting (익스트림 그라디언트 부스팅을 이용한 지수/주가 이동 방향 예측)

  • Kim, HyoungDo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2018
  • Both investors and researchers are attentive to the prediction of stock price movement directions since the accurate prediction plays an important role in strategic decision making on stock trading. According to previous studies, taken together, one can see that different factors are considered depending on stock markets and prediction periods. This paper aims to analyze what data mining techniques show better performance with some representative index and stock price datasets in the Korea stock market. In particular, extreme gradient boosting technique, proving itself to be the fore-runner through recent open competitions, is applied to the prediction problem. Its performance has been analyzed in comparison with other data mining techniques reported good in the prediction of stock price movement directions such as random forests, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks. Through experiments with the index/price datasets of 12 years, it is identified that the gradient boosting technique is the best in predicting the movement directions after 1 to 4 days with a few partial equivalence to the other techniques.